Viktor Vilotijevic

I don’t even know where to start with predictions. Who knows if there will be a theatrical release if the second wave of COVID-19 happens. Even if it doesn’t what number of theaters will we be operating with and how much will people still be scared from going to theatres.

I think theaters will start opening in June, and will be at almost full capacity by August/September.

I'm expecting 40-50 million opening this time around max. But let's say if they put "Mulan" or even "A Quiet Place Part II", I think both films could claim victory over "Halloween". Any news on when will the trailer drop? Btw, shooting of "Halloween Ends" is pushed for Summer 2020.

Well, I guess this will keep the original release date, but I am scared what they may add for October 16th, now that so many films got delayed.

Ok, this is going to be scary prediction. MARCH 20-22: 1. "I Still Believe" - 4.3 / 15.9 2. "Onward" - 4.0 / 66.7 3. "Bloodshot" - 3.1 / 15.5 4. "The Invisible Man" - 2.5 / 68.4 5. "The Hunt" - 1.8 / 8.7 6. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 0.9 / 147.5 7. "Call Of The Wild" - 0.8 / 63.4 8. "The Way Back" - 0.7 / 14.7 9. "Emma" - 0.5 / 10.9 10. "Bad Boys 3" - 0.4 / 205.0 11. "Jumanji 2" - 0.2 / 317.1 12. "Birds Of Prey" - 0.2 / 84.4 Top 10 should be 19 million $. If I am not mistaken that hasn't happened since early 80's.

I am scared to predict how will next 4 weekends look like. Just look at them pushing back “Trolls” and “Black Widow”.

NEW PREDICTIONS FOR NEXT 4 WEEKS: MARCH 13-15: 1. "Onward" - 22.3/ 72.2 2. "I Still Believe" - 13.4 3. "The Invisible Man" - 9.0 / 67.4 4. "Bloodshot" - 8.6 5. "The Hunt" - 7.2 6. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 4.6 / 147.8 7. "The Way Back" - 4.5 / 15.6 8. "Call Of the Wild" - 3.7 / 63.6 9. "Emma" - 3.1 / 11.8 10. "Bad Boys 3" - 1.9 / 205.2 11. "Birds of Prey" - 0.9 / 84.5 12. "Impractical Jokers" - 0.9 / 10.7 MARCH 20-22: 1. "Onward" - 13.8 / 93.4 2. "I Still Believe" - 8.0 / 25.3 3. "The Invisible Man" - 5.3 / 75.7 4. "Bloodshot" - 3.6 / 14.5 5. "The Hunt" - 3.1 / 12.5 6. "The Way Back" - 2.9 / 20.1 7. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 2.8 / 152.1 8. "Emma" - 2.1 / 15.1 9. "Call Of The Wild" - 1.9 / 66.8 10. "Bad Boys 3" - 1.2 / 207.1 11. "Jumanji 2" - 0.5 / 318.1 12. "Birds Of Prey" - 0.3 / 85.1 MARCH 27-29: 1. "Onward" - 8.9 / 106.8 2. "I Still Believe" - 5.2 / 32.9 3. "The Invisible Man" - 3.2 / 80.9 4. "The Way Back" - 1.9 / 23.1 5. "Sonic The Hedgehog" - 1.8 / 155.0 6. "Bloodshot" - 1.6 / 17.4 7. "Emma" - 1.5 / 17.4 8. "The Hunt" - 1.3 / 14.8 9. "Call Of The Wild" - 1.2 / 68.7 10. "Bad Boys 3" - 0.8 / 208.3 11. "Jumanji 2" - 0.3 / 318.6 12. "1917" - 0.2 / 160.3 APRIL 3-5: 1. "Onward" - 5.7 / 115.8 2. "I Still Believe" - 3.4 / 38.0 3. "The Invisible Man" - 2.1 / 84.2 4. "The Way Back" - 1.2 / 25.0 5. "Sonic The Hedgehog" - 1.2 / 156.9 6. "Emma" - 1.0 / 18.9 7. "Call Of The Wild" - 0.8 / 70.0 8. "Bloodshot" - 0.7 / 18.7 9. "The Hunt" - 0.5 / 15.8 10. "Bad Boys 3" - 0.5 / 209.1 11. "Never Rarely Sometimes Always" - 0.3 12. "First Cow" - 0.2 I really have no idea if they are going to expand these platform films, and how will the audience embrace them. But it will be the most tragic box office in a long time. April 3-5 will possibly fall short of 20 million $ in top 12, and that didn't happen in last 25+ years.

Seems like “Onward” will spend 5 weekends at #1.

Parasite Worldwide: $290.0mn+ (estimate trough 3/19/20) Asia & Oceania : $141.3mn South Korea: $73.2mn Japan: $41.0 mn Taiwan: $5.0 mn Vietnam: $3.2mn Australia & NZ: $4.2mn Hong Kong: $2.2mn Russia: $3.1 mn Indonesia: $1.5mn Thailand: $1.5mn Singapore: $0.8mn India: $0.6mn South East Asia: $5.0mn Europe : $76.3mn France: $15.5mn UK: $15.7mn Germany: $9.4mn Spain: $9.1mn Italy: $6.3mn Netherlands: $4.1mn Switzerland: $1.7mn Norway: $2.1mn Denmark: $1.3mn Finland: $1.1mn Belgium: $1.1mn Greece: $0.8mn Turkey: $1.1mn Others: $7.0mn Latin America : $17.2mn Mexico: $7.8mn Brazil: $4.1mn Colombia: $1.6mn Argentina: $1.3mn Chile: $0.7mn Central American: $0.7mn Others: $1.0mn North America : $53.5mn Others: $2.0mn Top 5 markets: 1. South Korea 2. USA 3. Japan 4. UK 5. France Projected worldwide total: 293-5 million $

MARCH 13-15: 1. "Onward" - 22.0 / 72.7 2. "I Still Believe" - 12.6 3. "The Hunt" - 9.1 4. "Bloodshot" - 8.5 5. "The Invisible Man" - 8.1 / 68.0 6. "The Way Back" - 4.5 / 15.6 7. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 3.9 / 147.2 8. "Call Of the Wild" - 3.5 / 63.3 9. "Emma" - 3.1 / 11.8 10. "Bad Boys 3" - 1.9 / 205.2 11. "Birds of Prey" - 1.0 / 84.5 12. "Impractical Jokers" - 0.9 / 11.1 Is there anything going wide from the current limited releases in the next 3 weeks?

I'm wondering, will they maybe have another Bond song by then?

Well, the film can only benefit from that. Q4 release will guarantee China release and will by default make more money.

Parasite Worldwide: $272mn + (estimate trough 3/5/20) Asia & Oceania : $132.8mn South Korea: $73.2 mn Japan: $35.5 mn Taiwan: $5.0 mn Vietnam: $3.0mn Australia: $3.5 mn Hong Kong: $2mn Russia: $1.6 mn Indonesia: $1.5mn Thailand: $1.5mn Singapore: $0.8mn India: $0.6mn South East Asia: $4.5mn (could be more) Europe : $69.1mn France: $14.9mn UK: $13.9mn Germany: $8.6mn Spain: $8.0mn Italy: $6.1mn Netherlands: $3.3mn Switzerland: $1.7mn Norway: $1.8mn Denmark: $1.3mn Finland: $1.1mn Belgium: $1.1mn Greece: $0.8mn Turkey: $1.0mn Others: $5.5mn Latin America : $16.0mn Mexico: $7.5 mn Brazil: $4.0mn Colombia: $1.6mn Argentina: $1.1mn Chile: $0.7mn Central American: $0.55mn Others: $0.6mn North America : $52.0mn Others: $2.0mn

MARCH 6-8: 1. "Onward" - 58.6 2. "The Invisible Man" - 15.4 / 53.0 3. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 9.1 / 141.7 4. "Call Of the Wild" - 7.0 / 58.1 5. "The Way Back" - 6.7 6. "Emma" - 4.8 / 6.8 7. "Bad Boys 3" - 2.8 / 201.7 8. "Birds of Prey" - 2.3 / 82.6 9. "My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising" - 1.8 / 12.1 10. "1917" - 1.6 / 158.4 11. "Impractical Jokers" - 1.5 / 9.1 12. "Jumanji 2" - 1.3 / 315.7

I don't think it will pass "Life Is Beautiful". Should end it's run between 54 and 55 million $. Parasite Worldwide: $259mn + (couldn't find updates for some countries) Asia & Oceania : $129.0mn South Korea: $73.4 mn Japan: $31.8 mn Taiwan: $5.0 mn Vietnam: $3.0mn Australia: $3.2 mn Hong Kong: $2mn Russia: $1.7 mn Indonesia: $1.5mn Thailand: $1.5mn Singapore: $0.8mn India: $0.6mn South East Asia: $4.5mn (could be more) Europe : $63.7mn France: $14.4mn UK: $11.8mn Germany: $7.4mn Spain: $6.9mn Italy: $6.0mn Netherlands: $3.3mn Switzerland: $1.7mn Norway: $1.6mn Denmark: $1.3mn Finland: $1.1mn Belgium: $1.1mn Greece: $0.8mn Turkey: $0.8mn Others: $5.5mn Latin America : $14.9mn Mexico: $7.3 mn Brazil: $3.1mn Colombia: $1.6mn Argentina: $1.1mn Chile: $0.7mn Central American: $0.55mn Others: $0.6mn North America : $50.0mn Others: $2.0mn

FEBRUARY 28-MARCH 1: 1. "The Invisible Man" - 27.2 2. "Call Of the Wild" - 13.3 / 46.0 3. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 12.8 / 125.1 4. "My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising" - 4.8 / 8.2 5. "Bad Boys 3" - 3.9 / 197.0 6. "Birds of Prey" - 3.5 / 78.2 7. "Impractical Jokers" - 2.7 / 5.8 8. "1917" - 2.5 / 155.7 9. "Brahms: The Boy II" - 2.4 / 9.6 10. "Fantasy Island" - 2.2 / 23.9 11. "Jumanji 2" - 1.9 / 313.5 12. "Parasite" - 1.5 / 51.5

So, I guess this will open between 30 and 35 million $.

Parasite Worldwide: $253mn + (couldn't find updates for some countries) Asia & Oceania : $126.4mn South Korea: $73.3 mn Japan: $30.5 mn Taiwan: $5.0 mn Vietnam: $3.0mn Australia: $3.0 mn Hong Kong: $2mn Russia: $1.7 mn Indonesia: $1.5mn Thailand: $1.5mn Singapore: $0.8mn India: $0.6mn South East Asia: $4.5mn (could be more) Europe : $61.2mn France: $14.2mn UK: $10.9mn Germany: $6.2mn Spain: $6.9mn Italy: $6.4mn Netherlands: $3.0mn Switzerland: $1.7mn Norway: $1.3mn Denmark: $1.3mn Finland: $1.1mn Belgium: $1.1mn Greece: $0.8mn Turkey: $0.8mn Others: $5.5mn Latin America : $14.8mn Mexico: $7.1 mn Brazil: $3.1mn Colombia: $1.6mn Argentina: $1.1mn Chile: $0.7mn Central American: $0.55mn Others: $0.6mn North America : $48.8mn Others: $2.0mn

Update as of 02/21/2020 The numbers on this chart refer to Global Box Office (theatrical runs only). Film titles in Italics have not been nominated for Best Foreign Language Film, but in other categories (Animated Feature, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Art Directing, etc.) “Spirited Away” (2001) - Japan - $347,800,000 (1 Oscar) “Parasite” (2019) - South Korea - $241,300,000* (4 Oscars) “How’s Mowing Castle” (2004) - Japan - $236,200,000 (1 Nomination) “Life Is beautiful” (1998) - Italy - $230,100,000 (3 Oscars) “Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon” (2000) - Taiwan - $213,500,000 (4 Oscars) “Hero” (2002) - China - $177,400,000 (1 Nomination) “Amelie” (2001) - France - $174,200,000 (5 Nominations) “The Wind Rises” (2013) - Japan - $136,500,000 (1 Nomination) “Downfall” (2004) - Germany - $93,600,000 (1 Oscar) “House Of Flying Daggers” (2004) - China - $92,900,000 (1 Nomination) “The Chorus” (2004) - France - $88,400,000 (2 Nominations) "Volver" (2006) - Spain - $87,200,000 (1 Nomination) “La Vie En Rose” (2007) - France - $86,300,000 (2 Oscars) “Das Boot” (1981) - Germany - $84,900,000 (6 Nominations) “Pan’s Labyrinth” (2006) - Mexico - $83,900,000 (3 Oscars) “Curse of the Golden Flower” (2006) - China - $78,600,000 (1 Nomination) “The Lives Of Others” (2006) - Germany - $77,400,000 (1 Oscar) “A Very Long Engagement” (2004) - France - $76,600,000 (2 Nominations) “The Grandmaster” (2013) - China - $73,900,000 (2 Nominations) “Departures” (2008) - Japan - $70,500,000 (1 Oscar)

Parasite Worldwide: $240.1 Asia & Oceania : $122.5mn South Korea: $73.3mn Japan: $26.5mn Taiwan: $4.9mn Vietnam: $3mn Australia: $2.8mn Hong Kong: $2mn Russia: $1.6mn Indonesia: $1.5mn Thailand: $1.5mn Singapore: $0.8mn India: $0.6mn South East Asia: $4mn (could be more) Europe : $56.5mn France: $14.2 mn UK: $9.1 mn Germany: $6.3 mn Spain: $5.8 mn Italy: $5.5 mn Netherlands: $2.8mn Switzerland: $1.9 mn Norway: $1.2 mn Denmark: $1.3mn Finland: $1.1mn Belgium: $0.9mn Greece: $0.8mn Turkey: $0.6mn Others: $5.0 mn Latin America : $13.7mn Mexico: $6.7 mn Brazil: $2.8 mn Colombia: $1.5mn Argentina: $1mn Chile: $0.6mn Central American: $0.55mn Others: $0.45mn North America : $45.8mn Others: $1.6mn

Isn't 240 million $ a bit too high? I mean I know it will go past 250-260 million, but that was fast.

I don’t know why isn’t Box Office Mojo updating “Parasite’s” numbers. On their page it’s showing around 198 million $. I’m sure we’re closer to 210-215 million $ by now.

I think this one will open close or with a bit more than 100 million $ in US and if it shows legs and good word of mouth, 1 billion is achievable. "Spectre" was a bad film overall.

I’m more interested in seeing what will “Parasite” do in the end

So by tomorrow morning, the total should be around 214 million $, which makes it second highest grossing Foreign Language Oscar film (that's not animated), right behind "Life Is Beautiful", which grossed 230.1 million $. So, I guess it will surpass that one too, within next 10-ish days. And then the only two other foreign films that were nominated/won Oscar are: "Spirited Away" (347.8 million $) and "Howl's Moving Castle" (236.2 million $). The second one also shouldn't be hard to surpass. Based on Summer Tentpole's estimates, this is how I think the theatrical run worldwide will end: Parasite Worldwide: $264.3 million Asia & Oceania : $138.9mn South Korea: $74.5 million (unless it picks up again) Japan: $40 million Taiwan: $5.5 million Vietnam: $3million Australia: $3.5 million Hong Kong: $2.2 million Russia: $2 million Indonesia: $1.7 million India: $0.8 million South East Asia: $5.5 million Europe : $57.5 million France: $14.5 million UK: $14 million Germany: $5.4 million Spain: $6.8 million Italy: $8 million Netherlands: $2.8 million Others: $6 million Latin America : $10.7 million Mexico: $6.0 million Brazil: $2.4mn Argentina: $1.3mn Others: $1.0mn North America : $55 million Others: $2.2 million