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MagnarTheGreat

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  1. They're releasing a lot of sequels lately. Here's some of my recent (not adjusted by inflation) charts and table. * 2023 is incomplete * 2023 is incomplete Table (click to enlarge😞 Pre-pandemic, the average domestic MCU first weekend multiplier was 2.81 with movies obtaining 90% of their gross in 30 days. Since the pandemic and the launch of Disney+, the average domestic MCU first weekend multiplier is 2.47 with movies obtaining 90% of their gross in 28 days.
  2. Phase 4 (2021-2022) on average was more frontloaded than the previous phases. Generally speaking these sequels are more frontloaded than the new sub-franchise entry points and the MCU has just so happened to have released four (BP2), then five (AM3), and soon six (GotG3) sequels in a row for the first time. (I made this table yesterday/this morning so it's slightly outdated by today's actuals.) (click here to enlarge)
  3. All things going against The Northman having some break out box office success: * R rated & adult-skewing / movie theaters dominated in general by kids and teens flicks like superheroes and Sonic the Hedgehog * super dark and violent * setting & time period (set over a thousand years ago) *'original' / no brand recognition / obscure IP (well the tale of Amleth is pretty obscure in the U.S. anyway) IMO, this is the best of the three Eggers movies and I liked it about as much as the new Batman. Eggers brings his weird style and a more than solid execution to what is otherwise a story we’ve seen numerous times before though perhaps not as violent and (literally) dark as this movie and its protagonist is. It's more of a mass market movie with a straightforward & time-tested story and less baffling (which may disappoint some of Eggers' hardcore fans), but it's still a dark and violent adult-skewing movie which limits that appeal to a certain extent. Fortunately I felt it never degenerated into becoming misery porn though you can see the horror reflected in the general population on-screen though it doesn't wallow in it. I liked the score quite a bit - it fit well - and the performances were quite good. **** / *****
  4. I really didn't like it unfortunately. A pretty monochromatic screensaver featuring a parade of facts from the Dune Wikipedia does not a good movie make. A joyless, poorly paced slog with nothing characters that abruptly ends. Acting like robots works for Blade Runner but here it's the opposite. Villeneuve's weakest film to me and I've seen them all in the theaters except the school shooting one and Maelstrom. 😑
  5. She's tenth in the marketing credits billing, and that hasn't always necessarily matched the end credits billing or screen time. Casino Royale (2006) Movie Marketing Credits 1. Daniel Craig, 2. Eva Green, 3. Mads Mikkelsen, 4. Jeffrey Wright, 5. Judi Dench Movie End Credits: 1. Daniel Craig, 2. Eva Green, 3. Mads Mikkelsen, 4. Judi Dench, 5. Jeffrey Wright, 6. Giancarlo Giannini, 7. Caterina Murino, 8. Simon Abkarian, 9. Isaach De Bankolé, 10. Jesper Christensen Quantum of Solace (2008) Movie Marketing Credits: 1. Daniel Craig, 2. Olga Kurylenko, 3. Mathieu Amalric, 4. Giancarlo Giannini, 5. Jeffrey Wright, 6. Judi Dench Movie End Credits: 1. Daniel Craig, 2. Olga Kurylenko, 3. Mathieu Amalric, 4. Judi Dench, 5. Giancarlo Giannini, 6. Gemma Arterton, 7. Jeffrey Wright, 8. David Harbour, 9. Jesper Christensen, 10. Anatole Taubman Skyfall (2012) Movie Marketing Credits: 1. Daniel Craig, 2. Javier Bardem, 3. Ralph Fiennes, 4. Naomie Harris, 5. Bérénice Marlohe, 6. Albert Finney, 7. Judi Dench Movie End Credits: 1. Daniel Craig, 2. Judi Dench, 3. Javier Bardem, 4. Ralph Fiennes, 5. Naomie Harris, 6. Bérénice Marlohe, 7. Albert Finney, 8. Ben Whishaw, 9. Rory Kinnear, 10. Ola Rapace Spectre (2015) Movie Marketing Credits: 1. Daniel Craig, 2. Christoph Waltz, 3. Léa Seydoux, 4. Ben Whishaw, 5. Naomie Harris, 6. Dave Bautista, 7. Monica Belluci, 8. Ralph Fiennes Movie End Credits: 1. Daniel Craig, 2. Christoph Waltz, 3. Léa Seydoux, 4. Ralph Fiennes, 5. Monica Bellucci, 6. Ben Whishaw, 7. Naomie Harris, 8. Dave Bautista, 9. Andrew Scott, 10. Rory Kinnear No Time To Die (2020) Movie Marketing Credits: 1. Daniel Craig, 2. Rami Malek, 3. Léa Seydoux, 4. Lashana Lynch, 5. Ben Whishaw, 6. Naomie Harris, 7. Jeffrey Wright, 8. Christoph Waltz, 9. Ralph Fiennes, (10. Ana de Armas) They've really marketed her a decent amount from beginning of filming for what Fukunaga called a cameo and she's in the phase one of the merch/toys. August FUNKO preorder line 1011 James Bond (No Time To Die) 1012 Nomi (No Time To Die) 1013 Safin (No Time To Die) 1014 Paloma (No Time To Die) So she's either worse than Captain Phasma or perhaps there's more yet to be seen they feel they can't show before the movie. Not like Fukunaga isn't known for some unexpected. I'm biased too but furthermore I wonder how many sidekicks James Bond really needs in one movie so I'm partial to something else; disappointed at the lack of female villains the Craig run has had. It's reportedly the longest Craig-era one, gonna be like a series/season finale as well as a standalone. The bloated character roster seen above is probably also is contributing to its length.
  6. $20 for a family/group film where dad or gandma would have paid for all the tickets is a fine price. But for adult-skewing fare where everybody would have bought their individual ticket it's a better idea for it to be priced lower. It's a harder ask at $20, I saw The Invisible Man a little over a week ago and it feels like weeks ago at this point. It was good and recommendable. It's sort of playing in the same 'mass audience horror movie' space that something like Jordan Peele's Get Out was more than something like Us or the more artsy fartsy horror movies that seem to divide like Ari Aster or Robert Eggers.
  7. $20 isn't a bad price when you're accustomed to buying tickets for your family/other people (family movies would benefit the most), it's a harder ask for a loner audience of one though.
  8. RE: Good Dinosaur comp Good Dinosaur was released on a before Thanksgiving Wednesday, too, deflating that first weekend of $39.2M domestic a tad.
  9. No Time to Die: Daniel Craig’s Bond prepares for his final mission in these exclusive pictures | GamesRadar+ THE TONIGHT SHOW STARRING JIMMY FALLON, NBC Th 3/5: Guest: Daniel Craig SATURDAY NIGHT LIVE, NBC Sa 3/7 Host: Daniel Craig
  10. I've been seeing Ana de Armas get a lot of promo for someone with no cast billing on the poster or the featurette and has been described as The featurette premise as described by Fukunaga reminds me a bit of I think they can make Seydoux's character Swann more interesting in this one given a second chance but I do get what some feel about a lack connection. I don't know if they can fix the latter but the former is doable.
  11. Stamina updates on the Top 10 domestic movies >$200M (2015-2020):
  12. Stamina updates for the Top 10 domestic movies >$200M (2015-2020): (update: Joker total +$122,527; no other impact)
  13. These are the two week demo figures...which often differ from the opening day/Thursday or opening weekend figures.
  14. Comparatively it's also at/entered into the height of its theater count advantage. The more it can stay ahead in availability or increase the gap the more beneficial. Week 1 only TROS = TLJ -2.3% (TROS +174 theaters than TLJ) Week 2 only TROS = TLJ -24.3% (TROS +174 theaters than TLJ) Week 3 only TROS = TLJ -45.3% (TROS +174 theaters than TLJ) Week 4 only TROS = TLJ -34.4% (TROS +47 theaters than TLJ) Week 5 only TROS = TLJ -26.8% (TROS -32 theaters than TLJ) Average weekly: TROS = TLJ -26.6% Day 36 only TROS = TLJ -22.4% (TROS +344 theaters than TLJ)
  15. The first Frozen had some top tier stamina in the past 10 years, took something like over 70 days IIRC to make 90% of its domestic gross. As a sequel, which are more frontloaded in general, it wasn't going to happen in exactly that way again. Frozen II has performed very well though post-opening when compared to some of the best of its contemporaries. As far as the total box office goes, the movie benefited as well from 6 years of ticket price hikes, like Ralph Breaks the Internet did.
  16. @a2kSteeper fifth week theater count drop for TROS (%) than all the recent predecessor SW movies. TFA (December) (Week 4 to Week 5): -7.55% RO (December) (Week 4 to Week 5): -23.94% TLJ (December) (Week 4 to Week 5): -26.98% SOLO (May) (Week 4 to Week 5): -26.52% (Week 3 to Week 4 -26.60%, Week 2 to Week 3 -1.05%) TROS (December) (Week 4 to Week 5): -28.53% (Week 3 to Week 4 -2.88%)
  17. Speaking of which, made this chart yesterday: The Top 10 did well (especially Disney) even if the overall domestic BO went down for 2019, accounting for a larger % share https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/us-box-office-2019-revenue-falls-4-percent-sharpest-decline-5-years-1264724
  18. TROS Multiplier advantage versus TLJ Multiplier advantage Week 1 = +0.28 (2.82 + 0.28 * $177.4M = $550M TROS final domestic total) Multiplier advantage Week 2 = +0.24 (2.82 + 0.24 * $177.4M = $543M TROS final domestic total) Multiplier advantage Week 3 = +0.11 (2.82 + 0.11 * $177.4M = $520M TROS final domestic total) ... and so on ... If it keeps on decreasing, then the final total shifts downward. If it increases, the final total shifts upward. And TLJ only added another 0.32 to its multiplier between yesterday (Thursday) and its final multiplier. If TROS final total is $500M, then day it hit 90% is Day 17 If TROS final total is $505M, then day it hit 90% is Day 18 If TROS final total is $510M, then day it hit 90% is Day 20 If TROS final total is $515M, then day it hit 90% is Day 22 (today) If TROS final total is >=$520M, then day it hit 90% is Day >=22 (today) Comparisons
  19. Discount Tuesdays resume tomorrow at AMC theaters. AMC: "Discount Tuesdays are excluded December 24th and December 31st. The savings will return January 7th, 2020!"
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