charlie Jatinder

If Flash and Dune comps are $1M, I think this can do $1.5M+. However, Transformer comp being $1.1M is not good.

GB:FE my ests. (15.35) (16.80) (10.65) // 42.8 (2.85) (4.32) (2.89)

Godzilla x Kong MiniTC2 T-1 Day Friday - 7707/136291 (586 showings) $105K Comps John Wick 4 - $18.2M Indiana Jones - $19M Fast X - $26.3M Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $26.8M Same as above, tickets sold comps. Gross comps are 5% higher. Points to $20M+ could be in the $23-25M range.

Godzilla x Kong MiniTC2 T-1 Day Previews - 5208/55979 (218 showings) $74K Comps John Wick 4 - $6.5M Indiana Jones - $7.8M Fast X - $8.8M Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $8.8M The above are tix sold comps, gross comps are roughly 5% higher due to higher ATP. California locs are over-indexing being around 27% of total, normally they are 17-20%

Just a reminder that you will likely be overindexing as CA is on spring break this week. MiniTC2 for instance overindex by ~50-70% when AZ is on Spring break. That said, since you don't track walkups, the impact in your case is probably low. Also since 70%+ schools are off nationwide on FRI, that should also lower overindexing degree a bit.

ATP is higher than all other mini-Tentpoles in recent times except Dune 2, so that is a plus as well.

5x will be 167K. I think that’s a bit high, though 155K from 4.25x be fine.

Think 150K MTC1 be enough for $9M previews. Seems doable for now.

Godzilla x Kong HOYTS T-0 Day THU - 6880/60124 Don't have the comp for Dune 2. I guess should go for A$1.25M+ THU.

120+ possible os edit: not releasing in Germany and France, may be some other EU countries. So 110 ish.

If it was some serious benchmark like $100M, there would have been some noise. Now with $43M, who care attitude is there.

Everything is reported. The raw gross which is 97-99% of actuals for all films is $41.7M. The best it can be is $43.25M. That aside, there has never been case of SAT actuals coming 5% higher than estimates. The only estimate part of weekend that can change significantly is SUN. Sony firstly fudged OD from $15.4M to $16M but their SAT estimate was $16.9M which was what it was. They gave a optimistic 27% SUN drop for $45M estimates but actual SUN dropped 37% to $10.7M. But Sony just bumped SAT numbers and gave 37% drop from that for $45M weekend actuals.

Not predicting 10, just saying that if by WED night it is in 8 range, can reach 10.

Thursday before Good Friday get boost too. If comps are around $8M by WED night, can expect them to end $9-10M due to THU being holiday eve.

The question for me is whether it can outopen Dune 2. It felt like a solid possibility but last few days have been a bit slow for that. Still could make a comeback. @TwoMisfits can you tell about GxK offers and when do they begin.

MON Should be 2.85, lets see what Sony give 1.9 1.65

15.4 16.9 10.6

Godzilla x Kong HOYTS T-2 Days THU - 3388/59001 Comps 0.51x Dune 2 - A$780K Daily pace is 80% and growing. A$1.25M THU doable.

If it was $44.5M actuals, I would have totally expected Sony to make it $45M+ but from $43M, that will be absurd.

Fri is 15.4, lets see what Sony calls it

10.75 5.5 4.85

That and the recent strong finish trend by KFP & Ghostbusters. Even Dune to some extent.

Are you including early shows? there is something off here, there is absolutely no way it has sold that many seats. (Unless people are somehow really committed to Florida alliance… lol) Probably you are counting blocked seats in some cinemas. That would also explain how GB comps for Dune were so high and same here for Civil War. Dune comp being $3M is almost impossible.

Just not able to focus and get the result.

yeah kind of. at final stage though, couple of bad last few years study wise.