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Happy Summer Movie Season. Play the summer game.


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About dakus

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  1. I’m still in the boat that Dora is going to do surprisingly great. It’ll finish ~300M WW in my opinion
  2. When it comes to the proportional numbers on the top broadcast shows, Canadians absolutely watch more. http://assets.numeris.ca/Downloads/April 29, 2019 - May 5, 2019 (National).pdf https://programminginsider.com/live7-weekly-ratings-the-rookie-season-finale-ranks-fifth-in-adults-18-49-gains-runner-up-in-viewer-lifts/ As a couple examples, indexing to population for this specific week roughly 9.1% of Canadians watched BBT compared to 4.85% of Americans. 5.25% of Canadians watched New Amsterdam compared to 2.87% of Americans. 5.55% of Canadians watched NCIS vs. 4,77% of Americans. 3.95% of Canadians watched Greys Anatomy vs. 2.93% of Americans, and so on. These shows were just randomly picked off the list too. Of course, there is a very plausible chance that cable numbers may skew this, but given the difficulty of following them I really can't say.
  3. Along the topic of Canadian holidays, does anyone have a general idea of on average what’s percentage of the DOM box office is from Canada? I know from following TV ratings that Canadians watch proportionally more TV then Americans and I wonder if that’s similar for movies?
  4. -45.2% OS and -38.8% OS-CN. Definitely a good hold. Should be noted that it opened to about 4M in Russia though, which skews things.
  5. 450+ seems pretty plausible to me now. It’s at 290.6M right now. Add 55M dom, 15M CN, 12M JP puts it at 372.6M. From there around a 2.1x ROW weekend multiplier puts it at 450M.
  6. You can't remotely compare Us and John Wick Cinemascores. Us is a horror movie, which always has deflated Cinemascores compared to action movies. Someone can correct me if i'm wrong, but i'm pretty sure there isn't any sort of correlation between R-ratings having deflated Cinemascores compared to PG-13 movies.
  7. Anecdotally, Aladdin is doing mediocre at some regional theatres I've checked out too. I don't have exact counts, but its basically on par with Pikachu at this point. Maybe the slightest bit ahead, which fits a lot of what has been seen in this thread.
  8. Holy cow I haven't really glanced at Fandango in a few days, but man those Sun is also a Star numbers looks horrible. I guess there's been too many shitty teen romance movies the last few months or something that the audience is burned out.
  9. I don't see how you get a 53M weekend off of an 18-20M Friday. Seems they expect it to be extremely frontloaded
  10. Not surprising at all to me. An Asian rom-com is hardly a unique or special thing to China. Why watch a western one when you can simply just watch one of the million Chinese ones instead?
  11. At least we know it won't tank or anything. It should perform about as currently expected with an 8.6
  12. The estimates coming in the morning are from the studio itself, so it doesn’t matter which source you get it from
  13. It should definitely make up a lot of ground in South America. It should hopefully over perform RPO a reasonable amount in Europe too, as well as optimistically 50M or so in North America.
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