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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
This run seems a couple of hours later than what you had for SC though. Still not sure about 10 but should be close at least. Actually MTC2 number is quite good though. 10m seems like it should happen. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Eternals has passed Shang-Chi final at MTC2. Moving at expected pace. Still on track for 9.7 million (10% higher than SC) I think, with a chance for more. -
Spiderman : No Way Home - Box office thread
Menor the Destroyer replied to LPLC's topic in International Box Office
I think it has a shot at beating IW presales, which weren't anywhere close to EG anyway. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Could be some PLF skew thing, maybe people are going for IMAX for Eternals just a tad more than SC, skewing MTC2's ATP down slightly and MTC1 up. Would expect it to make maybe a 2-3% difference overall as MTC1 is bigger. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Based on scraper data, they are almost identical. Kinda odd though, I remember that Katniss said that now that you mention it. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
MTC2 ATP is identical to SC (I know there were price hikes in Sac but overall it's the same). MTC1 does seem around 3-5% higher though. Could make a difference in MTC1 heavy markets. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
With @Inceptionzq also saying 9.7, I am going to make that call before we get final MTC numbers. I am fairly confident it's going to land in that ballpark. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I was eyeballing somewhere around that, but would go with ~9.7 off of those numbers. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
10 seems tough from there. At least the 140k target seems hard. SC added 36k between your update around this time (I think you updated around half an hour before this) and final. Eternals has a longer runtime so walkups for late shows would be lower. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Low 70s from 23m Fri? I don't see that happening. Sat PS are too strong and historically the Sat bump should be strong in Nov as well. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Eternals MTC2 Thursday: Showtimes: 2661 (+66) Seats Sold: 70007/383301 (+11255) $ Sales: 945404 (+144039) SC added 12200 per Keyser, but that was later in the night (and usually that is when Thursday has the surge). I had taken an SC run earlier in the day that was 8k in 23 hours. So this seems ok. Think its gonna just miss 10m though, high 9s seems more likely. Friday: Showtimes: 4873 (+85) Seats Sold: 74268/736960 (+14434) $ Sales: 934050 (+172214) Kinda eh day (SC also added 14k-ish). I am tamping my weekend expectations down to high 70s for now.