It's very hard for a film to miss a 3.5x multi at this time of year though. That being said I do agree that it's unlikely to natch the 5x multi that the first film had.
FNAF is just of these things you either saw coming or didn't. If you know a lot of gamers and gen zers then you knew it would be a hit. Otherwise this probably blindsided you.
Um no I definitely don't agree that those songs are more known than Anti Hero and Cruel Summer at this rate. All are relatively equal outside of Born This WY which isn't even on the same league as the rest.
As for Selena, she has a huge follower count because she has a big career outside of music. She is an actress and has a very successful makeup line, also she is just a social media guru.
Difference is DP never actually had strong pre sales lmao. I don't think anyone is expecting a 100m+ opening. Rather just compete to potentially be the biggest horror of the year.