Oh I agree with you . FFH is not overperforming , atleast domestically. Though overseas it's a subjective question depending on how much it makes.
The thing is , normally studios present their expectations similar to the first film even if they know it's gonna make higher. The problem here is Sony expected 125m 6-day performance which is way lower than Homecoming. Now I am confused that despite Tom Holland's Spidey being more popular , why did they predict that number ?
Even if we say they are being conservative, it was just too low ? So did they really thought that FFH isn't gonna make more than Homecoming, or they based their projections on something else( like dates , marketing spread etc) ?
In this case were we wrong in expecting 200 M for FFH , or are we used to having MCU overperform at box office