Inceptionzq
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Posts posted by Inceptionzq
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18 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
That is very good as we are just into day 2. Any comparisons. Did you track TLK?
I did, but no comps until tomorrow. It’s gonna look really bad though. I tracked 6 theaters at that point for TLK, and it was at 1114 tickets sold. In the same theaters, Frozen is currently at 362. TLK has an extra week of sales at that point, which is largely why it’ll look so bad.
Another reason it’ll look bad is because Frozen has been doing horribly at theaters not named Century X or AMC Y. I have 3 theaters that aren’t from those chains, and they are barely selling more than 10% of the total. Normally, I would expect closer to 20% right now.
But this shouldn’t affect the Lion King comps as much as the week difference in time of presales. Mostly just something to think about when looking at the AMC and Cinemark/Century data.
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
Frozen 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 65 1030 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 110 1695 SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 9 HOURS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 466 466 9539 4.89% 9 55 Frozen 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 105 1030 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 139 1695 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 631 165 9539 6.61% 9 55 -
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
Doctor Sleep Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 53 346 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 31 329 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 155 37 3496 4.43% 9 22 Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 1.52M
Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 1.56M
Terminator comp: 1.63M
IT 2 comp: 1.03M
Doctor Sleep Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 63 346 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 50 539 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 207 52 4987 4.15% 9 30 Showings added: 8
Seats added: 1491
Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 1.42M
Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 1.7M
IT 2 comp: 1.13M
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 1527 3153 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 1578 3926 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 7404 34 22870 32.37% 9 182 The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 1527 3153 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 1588 3926 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 7456 52 22870 32.60% 9 182 Over 98% of The Lion King's final total.
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15 minutes ago, frozenheart1993 said:
sorry,What does TLK FSS mean?
The Lion King’s opening Friday, Saturday, and Sunday
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Frozen 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 65 1030 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 110 1695 SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 9 HOURS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 466 466 9539 4.89% 9 55 -
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41 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
There is a fan event at AMC but its for 10AM on Saturday. Has that happened before? Normally it happens around the time previews happen. I guess it makes sense for F2 considering the audience base will prefer Saturday Morning. I see 103 shows at AMC. None at Cinemark.
It’s an AMC Dolby exclusive fan event
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
Doctor Sleep Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 46 346 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 19 329 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 118 24 3496 3.38% 9 22 Showings added: 1
Seats added: 97
Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 1.72M
Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 1.52M
Terminator comp: 1.46M
IT 2 comp: 832K
Doctor Sleep Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 53 346 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 31 329 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 155 37 3496 4.43% 9 22 Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 1.52M
Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 1.56M
Terminator comp: 1.63M
IT 2 comp: 1.03M
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 1525 3153 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 1571 3926 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 7370 52 22870 32.23% 9 182 Over 97% of The Lion King.
The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 1527 3153 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 1578 3926 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 7404 34 22870 32.37% 9 182 -
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Starting out with 55 showings here. Thought it’d be higher, but I guess the theaters will wait until we’re closer to release.
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49 minutes ago, jedijake said:
Final total of pre-sales? Opening day totals?
Final total of ticket sales for Thursday previews
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22 minutes ago, jedijake said:
When people say "97% of TLK" do you mean 97% of where TLK was at the same point or 97% of TLK's total?
97% of the final total
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On 11/2/2019 at 4:02 PM, Inceptionzq said:
Doctor Sleep Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 36 346 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 14 329 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 94 12 3399 2.77% 8 21 Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 1.68M
Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 1.47M
Adjusted Terminator comp: 1.61M
IT 2 comp: 715K
Doctor Sleep Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 46 346 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 19 329 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 118 24 3496 3.38% 9 22 Showings added: 1
Seats added: 97
Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 1.72M
Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 1.52M
Terminator comp: 1.46M
IT 2 comp: 832K
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On 11/2/2019 at 3:51 PM, Inceptionzq said:
The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 1520 3153 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 1569 3926 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 7318 58 22870 32.00% 9 182 Over 96% of The Lion King
The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 1525 3153 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 1571 3926 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 7370 52 22870 32.23% 9 182 Over 97% of The Lion King.
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2 minutes ago, kkccoo said:
That will be nice if so. I hope someone here can closely track the F2 presale. F1 box office made me interested in box office in the first place anyway.
You’ll have no shortage of F2 tracking here
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4 hours ago, a2k said:
looks good for low-20s ow so far. i think it will ramp up. 1.75m previews and mid-high 20s ow would be great.
When you factor in pre-previews, mid 20s looks likely. Possibly high 20s too. They’re hard to estimate, but I don’t think it did more than 1M. Might even pin it at around 875K. Only 7/9 theaters I track did pre-previews, and 8 showings between them. I didn’t record it, but it sold somewhere in the mid 300s. I think around 360.
Downton Abbey did 2.2M, and had all 9 theaters with 13 showings. It sold 809 tickets. Doctor Sleep would comp out to almost 980K. But if it also had less showings and theaters nationwide, then probably less than that. The floor might be something like 800K.
But all things considered, 800K should be enough to get overall previews to 2.5M+. And with usual frontloading by fans, that would get around 25M.
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
Doctor Sleep Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 33 346 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 11 329 SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 2 DAYS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 82 14 3399 2.41% 8 21 Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 1.65M
Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 1.56M
Adjusted Terminator comp: 1.66M
IT 2 comp: 687K
Doctor Sleep Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 36 346 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 14 329 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 94 12 3399 2.77% 8 21 Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 1.68M
Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 1.47M
Adjusted Terminator comp: 1.61M
IT 2 comp: 715K
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 1511 3153 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 1565 3926 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 7260 33 22870 31.74% 9 182 The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 1520 3153 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 1569 3926 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 7318 58 22870 32.00% 9 182 Over 96% of The Lion King
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Doctor Sleep Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 33 346 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 11 329 SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 2 DAYS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 82 14 3399 2.41% 8 21 Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 1.65M
Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 1.56M
Adjusted Terminator comp: 1.66M
IT 2 comp: 687K
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 1510 3153 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 1561 3926 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 7227 69 22870 31.60% 9 182 Pretty solid. Sold more over these past 24 hours than over the previous 2 days. Over 95% of The Lion King
The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 1511 3153 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 1565 3926 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 7260 33 22870 31.74% 9 182 -
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A: Domestic top 15:
1) The Rise of Skywalker: 718M
2) Frozen 2: 496M
3) Jumanji: 301M
4) Birds of Prey: 131M
5) Little Women: 124M
6) Dolittle: 115M
7) A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood: 111M
😎 Ford v Ferrari: 106M
9) Bad Boys for Life: 103M
10) Cats: 97M
11) Terminator: 95M
12) Doctor Sleep: 91M
13) Knives Out: 87M
14) Spies in Disguise: 85M
15) Last Christmas: 81M
Backup 16*) Richard Jewell: 73M
*Only used if a film above exits the game
B: Top 7 Domestic OW:
1) The Rise of Skywalker: 208M
2) Frozen 2: 138M
3) Birds of Prey: 83M
4) Jumanji: 73M
5) Dolittle: 46M
6) Bad Boys for Life: 41M
7) Terminator: 37.5M
Backup 8*) Doctor Sleep: 28M
*Only used if a film above exits the game
😄 Worldwide top 12:
1) The Rise of Skywalker: 1.527B
2) Frozen 2: 1.435B
3) Jumanji: 826M
4) Dolittle: 361M
5) Birds of Prey: 318M
6) Terminator: 293M
7) Cats: 277M
😎 Little Women: 268M
9) Bad Boys for Life: 259M
10) Spies in Disguise: 250M
11) Ford v Ferrari: 243M
12) Doctor Sleep: 238M
Backup 13*) Knives Out: 196M
*Only used if a film above exits the game
😧 TOP 5 Weekends
1) Dec 20-22: 308M
2) Nov 22-24: 229M
3) Dec 27-29: 213M
4) Nov 29-Dec 1: 173M
5) Dec 13-15: 147M
backup 6*)
*Only used if a film above exits the game
E: Multipliers
1) Little Women: 5.9
2) Cats: 5.8
3) Spies in Disguise: 5.68
4) A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood: 5.29
5) Richard Jewell: 5.21
backup 6*) Last Christmas: 4.82
*Only used if a film above exits the game
F: Total Grosses
Top 15 DOM) 2.81B
Top 7 OW) 625M
Top 12 WW) 6.49B
Top 5 W/E) 1.07B
Average Multi) 5.59
G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS
RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game:
A: 70M: Richard Jewell
B: 100M: Cats
😄 200M: Birds of Prey
😧 300M: Jumanji
E: 400M: Frozen
RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game:
A: $1.2B: Frozen
B: $900M: Jumanji
😄 700M: Jumanji
😧 500M: Dolittle
E: 300M: Terminator
RFQ3: Predict the highest grossing film released in each month by the end of the game:
A: November: Frozen 2
B: December: The Rise of Skywalker
😄 January: Dolittle
D February: Birds of Prey
E: Best Picture: Little Women
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On 10/30/2019 at 4:19 PM, Inceptionzq said:
Terminator: Dark Fate Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 106 808 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 79 753 SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 2 DAYS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 332 108 6513 5.10% 9 31 Showings added: 2
Seats added: 176
Zombieland 2 comp: 2.07M
Gemini Man comp: 2.89M
Hobbs comp: 2.14M
Terminator: Dark Fate Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Total 218 1124 AMC Highlands Ranch 24
Total 159 753 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 935 603 6829 13.69% 9 33 Showings added: 2
Seats added: 316
Zombieland 2 comp: 1.94M
Gemini Man comp: 2.78M
Hobbs comp: 2.64M
Rambo comp: 2.58M
Hustlers comp: 2.77M
Walkups will probably be weaker than all of these movies since it's Halloween. But when we take out the Zombieland comp, low 2Ms does look pretty good. I'll go with 2.3M. Maybe this actually will get close to a 40M OW.
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Part A:
1. Will Terminator Open to more than $30M? 1000 YES
2. Will Terminator Open to more than $40M? 2000 NO
3. Will Terminator Open to more than $35M? 3000 YES
4. Will Terminator' drop more than 30% on Sunday? 4000 YES
5. Will Terminator's Saturday be enough to take number 1 for the weekend on its own? 5000 YES
6. Will Joker finish in 2nd place? 1000 YES
7. Will Addam's Family stay in the top 5? 2000 YES
8. Will Arctic Dogs open above Motherless Brooklyn? 3000 YES
9. Will Inside Game have a higher PTA than The Portal? 4000 YES
10. Will Countdown stay above Black and Blue? 5000 NO
11. Will Zombieland drop more than 53%? 1000 NO
12. Will Gemini Man increase more than Joker on Saturday? 2000 YES
13. Will Parasite have a PTA above $7,500k? 3000 NO
14. Will JoJo Rabbit enter the top 8? 4000 NO
15. Will Current War stay above The Lighthouse? 5000 NO
16. Will Maleficent's Domestic Total overtake Addam's Family's by the end of Sunday? 1000 NO
17. Will Gemini Man have the worst PTA in the top 10? 2000 YES(but will it even be in the top 10?...)
18. Will Abominable stay above Downton Abbey? 3000 NO
19. How many films will make more than $7M this weekend? 4000 FIVE
20. How many of these questions will turn out to be a fecking nightmare because of all the changes and stuff? 5000 100%
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Terminator make for its 3 day OW? $37,723,674
2. What will Joker's Sunday gross be? $3,531,234
3. What will Zombieland's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $1765
Part 😄
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
1. Terminator
2. Joker
4. Harriet
6. Zombieland
8. Black and Blue
10. Motherless Brooklyn
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
in Numbers and Data
Posted
https://deadline.com/2019/11/doctor-sleep-weekend-box-office-opening-stephen-king-emilia-clarke-last-christmas-terminator-1202779022/