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Posts posted by Inceptionzq
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Update by Deadline:
https://deadline.com/2019/10/joker-box-office-opening-weekend-1202752002/
QuoteJoker is headed toward an October Thursday night preview record of $10M-$12M, which would upset the $10M made by Venom a year ago.
PostTrak exits show 4 stars out of 5, with an 84% positive and 62% definite recommend which is very good. The under 25 set enjoy Joker better than the over 25 set, 95% to 79% in grade, yet it’s the latter who were the majority with a 67% turnout. Demo breakdown from top to bottom included M25+ (47%), F25+ (21%), M25- (21%), and F25- (11%). Hopefully more of the under 25ers spread the word and show up. Out of the four, men under 25 loved it the most at 98% followed by females under 25 at 89%. Diversity breakdown at this point in time is Caucasians 48% (85% grade), Hispanic 21% (92% grade), African American 16% (75% grade) and Asian 12% (83% grade).
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 36 217 7:00 PM 134 217 10:00 PM 66 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 25 187 7:30 PM 74 187 10:30 PM 23 187 IMAX: 5:30 PM 0 411 8:30 PM 9 411 2D: 4:00 PM 0 94 4:15 PM 0 44 5:00 PM 7 158 5:30 PM 1 92 5:45 PM 0 36 6:00 PM 0 92 6:15 PM 0 48 6:15 PM 0 48 6:30 PM 20 94 6:45 PM 0 36 7:15 PM 2 44 7:15 PM 2 44 7:45 PM 0 56 8:00 PM 20 158 8:15 PM 0 44 8:30 PM 11 92 8:45 PM 0 36 9:00 PM 9 92 9:15 PM 0 48 9:15 PM 4 48 9:30 PM 1 94 9:45 PM 2 94 9:45 PM 2 36 10:15 PM 0 44 10:15 PM 0 44 10:45 PM 2 56 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 450 3964 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 35 384 10:30 PM 7 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 26 210 7:00 PM 107 210 10:00 PM 37 210 2D: 4:15 PM 3 52 5:00 PM 0 52 5:15 PM 4 159 5:30 PM 0 85 5:45 PM 6 159 6:00 PM 3 52 6:15 PM 5 85 6:30 PM 2 85 6:45 PM 0 52 7:15 PM 6 52 7:45 PM 0 45 8:00 PM 2 52 8:15 PM 20 159 8:30 PM 4 85 8:45 PM 2 159 9:00 PM 0 52 9:15 PM 9 85 9:30 PM 2 85 9:45 PM 0 52 10:15 PM 6 52 Total 290 3441 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 1837 418 18000 10.21% 8 125 Adjusted IT 2 comp: 8.94M
Adjusted Lion King comp: 9.33M
Not as much of an increase as I had hoped for with the IT 2 comp. Still a good jump though. But an awesome jump for the Lion King comp. But it's probably pretty safe to say that Denver is gonna underperform.
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 71 217 7:00 PM 150 217 10:00 PM 86 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 34 187 7:30 PM 94 187 10:30 PM 26 187 IMAX: 5:30 PM 5 411 8:30 PM 38 411 2D: 4:00 PM 18 94 4:15 PM 2 44 5:00 PM 11 158 5:30 PM 1 92 5:45 PM 2 36 6:00 PM 0 92 6:15 PM 0 48 6:15 PM 0 48 6:30 PM 26 94 6:45 PM 0 36 7:15 PM 6 44 7:15 PM 8 44 7:45 PM 2 56 8:00 PM 33 158 8:15 PM 0 44 8:30 PM 15 92 8:45 PM 0 36 9:00 PM 10 92 9:15 PM 0 48 9:15 PM 4 48 9:30 PM 2 94 9:45 PM 2 94 9:45 PM 2 36 10:15 PM 0 44 10:15 PM 3 44 10:45 PM 5 56 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 656 3964 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 26 384 7:30 PM 54 384 10:30 PM 11 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 48 210 7:00 PM 128 210 10:00 PM 42 210 2D: 4:15 PM 14 52 5:00 PM 3 52 5:15 PM 4 159 5:30 PM 4 85 5:45 PM 8 159 6:00 PM 6 52 6:15 PM 5 85 6:30 PM 3 85 6:45 PM 0 52 7:15 PM 14 52 7:45 PM 9 45 8:00 PM 2 52 8:15 PM 20 159 8:30 PM 4 85 8:45 PM 6 159 9:00 PM 2 52 9:15 PM 9 85 9:30 PM 6 85 9:45 PM 0 52 10:15 PM 7 52 Total 435 3441 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 3104 1267 18000 17.24% 8 125 Adjusted IT 2 comp: 9.62M
Adjusted Lion King comp: 10.67M
Adjusted Hobbs comp: 9.92M
Adjusted OUATiH comp: 9.68M
Denver definitely looks like it is underperforming. Even with the Lion King numbers. So, I'll go a little higher than that and say 11.3M.
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23 minutes ago, RealLyre said:
why did the Joker thread get locked? some posts were deleted so I can't really know what happened but can't the mods just ban the problematic users and move on?
The mods gave plenty of warnings and the toxicity didn’t stop
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20 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 27 217 7:00 PM 119 217 10:00 PM 55 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 19 187 7:30 PM 61 187 10:30 PM 13 187 IMAX: 5:30 PM 0 411 8:30 PM 0 411 2D: 4:00 PM 0 94 4:15 PM 0 44 5:00 PM 7 158 5:30 PM 1 92 5:45 PM 0 36 6:00 PM 0 92 6:15 PM 0 48 6:15 PM 0 48 6:30 PM 17 94 6:45 PM 0 36 7:15 PM 0 44 7:15 PM 0 44 7:45 PM 0 56 8:00 PM 15 158 8:15 PM 0 44 8:30 PM 6 92 8:45 PM 0 36 9:00 PM 7 92 9:15 PM 0 48 9:15 PM 0 48 9:30 PM 1 94 9:45 PM 0 94 9:45 PM 0 36 10:15 PM 0 44 10:15 PM 0 44 10:45 PM 0 56 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 348 3964 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 29 384 10:30 PM 5 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 23 210 7:00 PM 94 210 10:00 PM 29 210 2D: 4:15 PM 0 52 5:00 PM 0 52 5:15 PM 2 159 5:30 PM 0 85 5:45 PM 6 159 6:00 PM 0 52 6:15 PM 5 85 6:30 PM 2 85 6:45 PM 0 52 7:15 PM 6 52 7:45 PM 0 45 8:00 PM 0 52 8:15 PM 18 159 8:30 PM 2 85 8:45 PM 2 159 9:00 PM 0 52 9:15 PM 2 85 9:30 PM 2 85 9:45 PM 0 52 10:15 PM 6 52 Total 237 3441 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 1419 317 18000 7.88% 8 125 Just FYI, I did the count at the usual time that I do. I just didn't have enough time to compile and post it.
Showings added: 44
Seats added: 3384
IT 2 comp: 7.76M
Lion King comp: 7.47M
Another big increase from yesterday. This time it was pretty even with what IT 2 did on the same day. Still nothing in Denver that would indicate double digit previews to me, even when guesstimating the adjusted comps. I don't think the adjusted comp would even be hitting 9M right now. But I'm not counting out double digits yet. IT 2 had a huge jump over the last two days. I think Joker can go even bigger.
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 36 217 7:00 PM 134 217 10:00 PM 66 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 25 187 7:30 PM 74 187 10:30 PM 23 187 IMAX: 5:30 PM 0 411 8:30 PM 9 411 2D: 4:00 PM 0 94 4:15 PM 0 44 5:00 PM 7 158 5:30 PM 1 92 5:45 PM 0 36 6:00 PM 0 92 6:15 PM 0 48 6:15 PM 0 48 6:30 PM 20 94 6:45 PM 0 36 7:15 PM 2 44 7:15 PM 2 44 7:45 PM 0 56 8:00 PM 20 158 8:15 PM 0 44 8:30 PM 11 92 8:45 PM 0 36 9:00 PM 9 92 9:15 PM 0 48 9:15 PM 4 48 9:30 PM 1 94 9:45 PM 2 94 9:45 PM 2 36 10:15 PM 0 44 10:15 PM 0 44 10:45 PM 2 56 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 450 3964 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 35 384 10:30 PM 7 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 26 210 7:00 PM 107 210 10:00 PM 37 210 2D: 4:15 PM 3 52 5:00 PM 0 52 5:15 PM 4 159 5:30 PM 0 85 5:45 PM 6 159 6:00 PM 3 52 6:15 PM 5 85 6:30 PM 2 85 6:45 PM 0 52 7:15 PM 6 52 7:45 PM 0 45 8:00 PM 2 52 8:15 PM 20 159 8:30 PM 4 85 8:45 PM 2 159 9:00 PM 0 52 9:15 PM 9 85 9:30 PM 2 85 9:45 PM 0 52 10:15 PM 6 52 Total 290 3441 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 1837 418 18000 10.21% 8 125 Adjusted IT 2 comp: 8.94M
Adjusted Lion King comp: 9.33M
Not as much of an increase as I had hoped for with the IT 2 comp. Still a good jump though. But an awesome jump for the Lion King comp. But it's probably pretty safe to say that Denver is gonna underperform.
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On 9/30/2019 at 4:37 PM, Inceptionzq said:
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 23 217 7:00 PM 111 217 10:00 PM 44 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 12 187 7:30 PM 53 187 10:30 PM 12 187 2D: 5:00 PM 5 158 5:30 PM 0 92 6:30 PM 17 94 8:00 PM 15 158 8:30 PM 4 92 9:30 PM 1 94 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 297 2058 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 22 384 10:30 PM 1 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 22 210 7:00 PM 83 210 10:00 PM 20 210 2D: 5:15 PM 2 159 5:45 PM 6 159 6:15 PM 5 85 6:30 PM 2 85 7:15 PM 6 52 8:15 PM 7 159 8:45 PM 2 159 9:15 PM 0 85 9:30 PM 2 85 10:15 PM 4 52 Total 188 2862 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 1102 176 14616 7.54% 8 81 IT 2 comp: 7.29M
Lion King comp: 6.76M
HUGE increase today. Easily surpasses IT 2's daily increase, though I had to do that count a few hours early. But the lead is big enough that those few hours probably wouldn't close the gap. Looking at Aurora's numbers for IT 2 on Wednesday and Thursday, I'd guesstimate that the comp would adjust to high 7M - low 8M. And for TLK, somewhere in the low to mid 7M. Just two days until I'll actually be able to adjust!
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 27 217 7:00 PM 119 217 10:00 PM 55 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 19 187 7:30 PM 61 187 10:30 PM 13 187 IMAX: 5:30 PM 0 411 8:30 PM 0 411 2D: 4:00 PM 0 94 4:15 PM 0 44 5:00 PM 7 158 5:30 PM 1 92 5:45 PM 0 36 6:00 PM 0 92 6:15 PM 0 48 6:15 PM 0 48 6:30 PM 17 94 6:45 PM 0 36 7:15 PM 0 44 7:15 PM 0 44 7:45 PM 0 56 8:00 PM 15 158 8:15 PM 0 44 8:30 PM 6 92 8:45 PM 0 36 9:00 PM 7 92 9:15 PM 0 48 9:15 PM 0 48 9:30 PM 1 94 9:45 PM 0 94 9:45 PM 0 36 10:15 PM 0 44 10:15 PM 0 44 10:45 PM 0 56 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 348 3964 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 29 384 10:30 PM 5 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 23 210 7:00 PM 94 210 10:00 PM 29 210 2D: 4:15 PM 0 52 5:00 PM 0 52 5:15 PM 2 159 5:30 PM 0 85 5:45 PM 6 159 6:00 PM 0 52 6:15 PM 5 85 6:30 PM 2 85 6:45 PM 0 52 7:15 PM 6 52 7:45 PM 0 45 8:00 PM 0 52 8:15 PM 18 159 8:30 PM 2 85 8:45 PM 2 159 9:00 PM 0 52 9:15 PM 2 85 9:30 PM 2 85 9:45 PM 0 52 10:15 PM 6 52 Total 237 3441 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 1419 317 18000 7.88% 8 125 Just FYI, I did the count at the usual time that I do. I just didn't have enough time to compile and post it.
Showings added: 44
Seats added: 3384
IT 2 comp: 7.76M
Lion King comp: 7.47M
Another big increase from yesterday. This time it was pretty even with what IT 2 did on the same day. Still nothing in Denver that would indicate double digit previews to me, even when guesstimating the adjusted comps. I don't think the adjusted comp would even be hitting 9M right now. But I'm not counting out double digits yet. IT 2 had a huge jump over the last two days. I think Joker can go even bigger.
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 23 217 7:00 PM 107 217 10:00 PM 37 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 6 187 7:30 PM 39 187 10:30 PM 8 187 2D: 5:00 PM 5 158 5:30 PM 0 92 6:30 PM 11 94 8:00 PM 14 158 8:30 PM 4 92 9:30 PM 1 94 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 255 2058 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 22 384 10:30 PM 1 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 17 210 7:00 PM 78 210 10:00 PM 14 210 2D: 5:15 PM 2 159 5:45 PM 2 159 6:15 PM 5 85 6:30 PM 2 85 7:15 PM 3 52 8:15 PM 2 159 8:45 PM 2 159 9:15 PM 0 85 9:30 PM 2 85 10:15 PM 2 52 Total 158 2862 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 926 76 14616 6.34% 8 81 IT 2 comp: 6.53M
Lion King comp: 6.39M
Well it dropped from yesterday. I'm not surprised though, IT 2 did the same thing. But the chances of Joker beating IT 2 grow slimmer and slimmer.
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 23 217 7:00 PM 111 217 10:00 PM 44 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 12 187 7:30 PM 53 187 10:30 PM 12 187 2D: 5:00 PM 5 158 5:30 PM 0 92 6:30 PM 17 94 8:00 PM 15 158 8:30 PM 4 92 9:30 PM 1 94 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 297 2058 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 22 384 10:30 PM 1 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 22 210 7:00 PM 83 210 10:00 PM 20 210 2D: 5:15 PM 2 159 5:45 PM 6 159 6:15 PM 5 85 6:30 PM 2 85 7:15 PM 6 52 8:15 PM 7 159 8:45 PM 2 159 9:15 PM 0 85 9:30 PM 2 85 10:15 PM 4 52 Total 188 2862 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 1102 176 14616 7.54% 8 81 IT 2 comp: 7.29M
Lion King comp: 6.76M
HUGE increase today. Easily surpasses IT 2's daily increase, though I had to do that count a few hours early. But the lead is big enough that those few hours probably wouldn't close the gap. Looking at Aurora's numbers for IT 2 on Wednesday and Thursday, I'd guesstimate that the comp would adjust to high 7M - low 8M. And for TLK, somewhere in the low to mid 7M. Just two days until I'll actually be able to adjust!
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Btw you linked the wrong preseason prediction thread
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On 9/28/2019 at 4:39 PM, Inceptionzq said:
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 21 217 7:00 PM 98 217 10:00 PM 37 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 6 187 7:30 PM 36 187 10:30 PM 8 187 2D: 5:00 PM 3 158 5:30 PM 0 92 6:30 PM 11 94 8:00 PM 14 158 8:30 PM 4 92 9:30 PM 1 94 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 239 2058 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 15 384 10:30 PM 1 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 15 210 7:00 PM 71 210 10:00 PM 12 210 2D: 5:15 PM 2 159 5:45 PM 2 159 6:15 PM 5 85 6:30 PM 2 85 7:15 PM 3 52 8:15 PM 2 159 8:45 PM 2 159 9:15 PM 0 85 9:30 PM 2 85 10:15 PM 2 52 Total 140 2862 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 850 96 14616 5.82% 8 81 IT 2 comp: 6.46M
Lion King comp: 6.38M
A decent jump, but nothing close to IT 2's jump on this day. At least the comps are still increasing though. If I were able to adjust right now, both of these comps would most definitely be over 7M.
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 23 217 7:00 PM 107 217 10:00 PM 37 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 6 187 7:30 PM 39 187 10:30 PM 8 187 2D: 5:00 PM 5 158 5:30 PM 0 92 6:30 PM 11 94 8:00 PM 14 158 8:30 PM 4 92 9:30 PM 1 94 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 255 2058 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 22 384 10:30 PM 1 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 17 210 7:00 PM 78 210 10:00 PM 14 210 2D: 5:15 PM 2 159 5:45 PM 2 159 6:15 PM 5 85 6:30 PM 2 85 7:15 PM 3 52 8:15 PM 2 159 8:45 PM 2 159 9:15 PM 0 85 9:30 PM 2 85 10:15 PM 2 52 Total 158 2862 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 926 76 14616 6.34% 8 81 IT 2 comp: 6.53M
Lion King comp: 6.39M
Well it dropped from yesterday. I'm not surprised though, IT 2 did the same thing. But the chances of Joker beating IT 2 grow slimmer and slimmer.
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1. The Rise of Skywalker
2. Knives Out
3. Joker
4. Tenet
5. Wonder Woman 1984
6. Black Widow
7. Frozen 2
8. Jojo Rabbit
9. Jumanji
10. Gemini Man
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10 hours ago, CJohn said:
Midsommar is a bloody masterpiece. Holy fucking shit. What an experience.
I just watched it... WTF... not in a bad way though. But WTF
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 14 217 7:00 PM 92 217 10:00 PM 31 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 5 187 7:30 PM 34 187 10:30 PM 7 187 2D: 5:00 PM 3 158 5:30 PM 0 92 6:30 PM 7 94 8:00 PM 14 158 8:30 PM 4 92 9:30 PM 0 94 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 211 2058 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 15 384 10:30 PM 1 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 14 210 7:00 PM 68 210 10:00 PM 12 210 2D: 5:15 PM 2 159 5:45 PM 0 159 6:15 PM 4 85 6:30 PM 2 85 7:15 PM 0 52 8:15 PM 0 159 8:45 PM 2 159 9:15 PM 0 85 9:30 PM 0 85 10:15 PM 2 52 Total 126 2862 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 754 77 14616 5.16% 8 81 IT 2 comp: 6.31M
Lion King comp: 6.16M
At this point, I had all 9 theaters for TLK. So, start taking that comp with a slight grain of salt for now. But anyways, ticket sales are flat from yesterday as you can see. It's still behind IT 2's pace, but not by much. The gap is growing though. With Aurora, I don't know whether Joker would be ahead or not. But to tie with IT by Thursday, Joker needs to really pick it up. Accounting for Aurora, Joker needs to outsell IT by exactly 500 by Thursday. The chances seem pretty slim.
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 21 217 7:00 PM 98 217 10:00 PM 37 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 6 187 7:30 PM 36 187 10:30 PM 8 187 2D: 5:00 PM 3 158 5:30 PM 0 92 6:30 PM 11 94 8:00 PM 14 158 8:30 PM 4 92 9:30 PM 1 94 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 239 2058 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 15 384 10:30 PM 1 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 15 210 7:00 PM 71 210 10:00 PM 12 210 2D: 5:15 PM 2 159 5:45 PM 2 159 6:15 PM 5 85 6:30 PM 2 85 7:15 PM 3 52 8:15 PM 2 159 8:45 PM 2 159 9:15 PM 0 85 9:30 PM 2 85 10:15 PM 2 52 Total 140 2862 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 850 96 14616 5.82% 8 81 IT 2 comp: 6.46M
Lion King comp: 6.38M
A decent jump, but nothing close to IT 2's jump on this day. At least the comps are still increasing though. If I were able to adjust right now, both of these comps would most definitely be over 7M.
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56 minutes ago, Tinalera said:
A question about comps. Is it simply a matter of going and seeing how much a previous movie made on that day/same time during its own run? Wheres the beat place to find previous movie info? Or is it just going back through this weekend thread?
Comps are you comparing how much tickets were sold at the same point between different movies you tracked.
Basically, you’re doing movie X tickets sold divided by movie Y tickets sold at the same amount of days before their previews, and multiply that by movie Y’s preview gross.
For example, let’s say Joker sold 100 tickets ten days before previews started, and IT 2 sold 200. You’d do 100 divided by 200, then multiply that by how much IT 2 made on preview night, 10.5M. You’d get 5.25M
Sometimes theaters won’t post showtimes for movie X at the same time as they did for movie Y during their presales. So, you can go a step further and do adjusted comps.
Going back to the example, let’s say IT 2 had showtimes for theater 5, but Joker didn’t yet. So, you’d take the 200 tickets that IT 2 sold, and subtract how many theater 5 sold. We’ll say theater 5 sold 20 tickets. So you do 200-20, and get 180. Then you do the regular comp process. 100 divided by 180, multiply that by 10.5M. And you get 5.83M
If you’re not already, make sure you’re saving the presales data you’re posting on here. It looks like you’re posting enough information that you could just go back through here, but it’ll be a lot easier to have it all in one place.
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 12 217 7:00 PM 89 217 10:00 PM 21 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 5 187 7:30 PM 28 187 10:30 PM 5 187 2D: 5:00 PM 3 158 5:30 PM 0 92 6:30 PM 5 94 8:00 PM 14 158 8:30 PM 4 92 9:30 PM 0 94 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 186 2058 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 11 384 10:30 PM 1 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 13 210 7:00 PM 65 210 10:00 PM 10 210 2D: 5:15 PM 2 159 5:45 PM 0 159 6:15 PM 4 85 6:30 PM 2 85 7:15 PM 0 52 8:15 PM 0 159 8:45 PM 2 159 9:15 PM 0 85 9:30 PM 0 85 10:15 PM 2 52 Total 116 2862 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 677 79 14616 4.63% 8 81 IT 2 comp: 6.09M
Adjusted Lion King comp: 6.92M
Joker has now fallen behind IT 2 in day to day sales. However, IT 2 had Century Aurora, so Joker should be ahead when accounting for that. But it is close between them now.
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 14 217 7:00 PM 92 217 10:00 PM 31 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 5 187 7:30 PM 34 187 10:30 PM 7 187 2D: 5:00 PM 3 158 5:30 PM 0 92 6:30 PM 7 94 8:00 PM 14 158 8:30 PM 4 92 9:30 PM 0 94 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 211 2058 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 15 384 10:30 PM 1 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 14 210 7:00 PM 68 210 10:00 PM 12 210 2D: 5:15 PM 2 159 5:45 PM 0 159 6:15 PM 4 85 6:30 PM 2 85 7:15 PM 0 52 8:15 PM 0 159 8:45 PM 2 159 9:15 PM 0 85 9:30 PM 0 85 10:15 PM 2 52 Total 126 2862 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 754 77 14616 5.16% 8 81 IT 2 comp: 6.31M
Lion King comp: 6.16M
At this point, I had all 9 theaters for TLK. So, start taking that comp with a slight grain of salt for now. But anyways, ticket sales are flat from yesterday as you can see. It's still behind IT 2's pace, but not by much. The gap is growing though. With Aurora, I don't know whether Joker would be ahead or not. But to tie with IT by Thursday, Joker needs to really pick it up. Accounting for Aurora, Joker needs to outsell IT by exactly 500 by Thursday. The chances seem pretty slim.
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11/22/2019 Frozen 2 $115,000,000 – $145,000,000 $125,000,000 NEW $455,000,000 NEW Disney - 2
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3 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:
It seems to be the same deal as before from a glance. So Sony won?
Plus Feige hinting that Sony can use Spider-Man in their own universe now. Don’t think that was the case before
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Abominable Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 3D: 7:00 PM 13 56 9:45 PM 3 56 Prime: 6:00 PM 10 187 2D: 6:00 PM 13 92 8:45 PM 6 92 Total 45 483 AMC Highlands 24 3D: 7:00 PM 0 45 Dolby: 6:30 PM 12 210 2D: 6:00 PM 2 85 Total 14 340 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 233 170 5198 4.48% 9 40 Dora comp: 756K
Art of Racing in the Rain comp: 444K
Lion King comp: 706K
I'm inclined to believe the Dora and Lion King comp. Using the Smallfoot IM, it would have a range of 19-20.4M for the weekend. I'll just go with what TLK and Dora says, and go with 730K. Definitely not confident in that though.
Also, @Eric!, interesting how our final numbers are pretty similar, but our comps are so different. The difference for Dora is definitely because of the large Hispanic presence here, but I'm not sure about Art of Racing in the Rain.
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 10 217 7:00 PM 89 217 10:00 PM 19 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 5 187 7:30 PM 24 187 10:30 PM 5 187 2D: 5:00 PM 4 158 5:30 PM 0 92 6:30 PM 5 94 8:00 PM 12 158 8:30 PM 4 92 9:30 PM 0 94 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 177 2058 AMC Highlands 24
IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 10 384 10:30 PM 0 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 11 210 7:00 PM 59 210 10:00 PM 10 210 2D: 5:15 PM 0 159 5:45 PM 0 159 6:15 PM 2 85 6:30 PM 2 85 7:15 PM 0 52 8:15 PM 0 159 8:45 PM 2 159 9:15 PM 0 85 9:30 PM 0 85 10:15 PM 2 52 Total 102 2862 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 598 103 14616 4.09% 8 81 IT 2 comp: 5.78M
Adjusted Lion King comp: 6.6M
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 12 217 7:00 PM 89 217 10:00 PM 21 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 5 187 7:30 PM 28 187 10:30 PM 5 187 2D: 5:00 PM 3 158 5:30 PM 0 92 6:30 PM 5 94 8:00 PM 14 158 8:30 PM 4 92 9:30 PM 0 94 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 186 2058 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 11 384 10:30 PM 1 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 13 210 7:00 PM 65 210 10:00 PM 10 210 2D: 5:15 PM 2 159 5:45 PM 0 159 6:15 PM 4 85 6:30 PM 2 85 7:15 PM 0 52 8:15 PM 0 159 8:45 PM 2 159 9:15 PM 0 85 9:30 PM 0 85 10:15 PM 2 52 Total 116 2862 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 677 79 14616 4.63% 8 81 IT 2 comp: 6.09M
Adjusted Lion King comp: 6.92M
Joker has now fallen behind IT 2 in day to day sales. However, IT 2 had Century Aurora, so Joker should be ahead when accounting for that. But it is close between them now.
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Quote
This morning, tracking showed that Disney’s sequel Maleficent: Mistress of Evil is set to open on Oct. 18 to $50M, while Sony’s Zombieland: Double Tap is on course to do $25M.
Meanwhile, tracking is still sees Warner Bros. Joker next Friday as October’s biggest opener of all-time with $84M, besting previous champ Venom ($80.2M).
In regards to Oct. 11 releases, updated projections show Paramount’s Will Smith movie from director Ang Lee, Gemini Man, strong with African American crowd with $29M-$30M. MGM’s animated feature release of The Addams Family is also looking great with $28M.- 3
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1 hour ago, DCfanboy4Life said:
I’d like to get in on the action for joker! What do I need to do to keep you guys updated on my city
Pick a theater, or multiple theaters if you’d prefer. Use word, excel, or an alternative equivalent to these two to record the data. Use Fandango, Atom tickets, or the theater’s website to go through each showtime and count the number of seats in the theater, and the number of seats sold. Record them in word or excel. Below, I have examples of how I did it with Excel and Word. Try to pick a time that will best suit you everyday so it will be recorded every 24 hours.
If you think you might want to do this for more movies, I’d recommend you make a separate word document to record the count for each day.
For example:
Joker:
Day 2: 1(seats sold)/5(total seats in theater(s))Day 1: 5/10
The day number being the number of days until previews start.
If you do multiple theaters, I’d even record the individual tickets sold for each theater.
Joker:Day 2: Three theaters: 1, 0, 0: 1/5(No theater X or theater Y)
Day 1: Five theaters: 1, 0, 0, 0, 4: 5/10
Make sure you record the theater counts in the same order every time so you know which ones are which. And record which theaters don’t have showtimes that day. I bold everything but the individual theater counts so it’s clear that they are the individual theaters.
Excel example(imagine there are borders around each box):
15 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 10 217 7:00 PM 89 217 10:00 PM 19 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 5 187 7:30 PM 24 187 10:30 PM 5 187 2D: 5:00 PM 4 158 5:30 PM 0 92 6:30 PM 5 94 8:00 PM 12 158 8:30 PM 4 92 9:30 PM 0 94 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 177 2058 AMC Highlands 24
IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 10 384 10:30 PM 0 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 11 210 7:00 PM 59 210 10:00 PM 10 210 2D: 5:15 PM 0 159 5:45 PM 0 159 6:15 PM 2 85 6:30 PM 2 85 7:15 PM 0 52 8:15 PM 0 159 8:45 PM 2 159 9:15 PM 0 85 9:30 PM 0 85 10:15 PM 2 52 Total 102 2862 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 598 103 14616 4.09% 8 81 Word example:
On 9/19/2019 at 7:31 PM, Inceptionzq said:Ad Astra Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster Promenade 24:
IMAX:
7 PM – 81/411(+40)
10 PM – 23/411(+11)
2D:
7 PM – 40/94(+24)
10:30 PM – 15/94(+11)
AMC Highlands Ranch 24:
2D:
NEW 7:30 PM – 72/159(+72)
Total from 9 theaters(27 showings): 661(+507)/4201(+581)(15.7%)
Hope that helps! Good luck and have fun!
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10 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
how much we are looking at. A possible 100mn?
Too soon to say since Joker started presales so late. Give it a few days, and we should have a much better idea
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Dolby:
4:00 PM
9
217
7:00 PM
72
217
10:00 PM
16
217
Prime:
4:30 PM
4
187
7:30 PM
19
187
10:30 PM
4
187
2D:
5:00 PM
4
158
5:30 PM
0
92
6:30 PM
5
94
8:00 PM
12
158
8:30 PM
4
92
9:30 PM
0
94
11:00 PM
0
158
Total
149
2058
AMC Highlands 24
IMAX:
4:30 PM
4
384
7:30 PM
10
384
10:30 PM
0
384
Dolby:
4:00 PM
5
210
7:00 PM
49
210
10:00 PM
9
210
2D:
5:15 PM
0
159
5:45 PM
0
159
6:15 PM
2
85
6:30 PM
2
85
7:15 PM
0
52
8:15 PM
0
159
8:45 PM
2
159
9:15 PM
0
85
9:30 PM
0
85
10:15 PM
2
52
Total
85
2862
SEATS SOLD
SOLD TODAY
TOTAL SEATS
PERCENT SOLD
THEATERS
SHOWINGS
495
140
14616
3.39%
8
81
Showings added: 2
Seats added: 550
If you haven't already heard, Century Aurora XD will not be showing Joker. For IT 2, that theater sold almost 13% of the tickets out of the 9 theaters. So, it messes things up a bit. I won't be able to adjust for that theater until the last couple days because I only recently started saving individual theater counts. But I'll continue to do regular comps, and hopefully my other nearby theaters will pick up some of that loss. Just take them with a grain of salt.
IT 2 comp: 5.13M
Adjusted Lion King comp: 5.82M
For TLK, I didn't track the Aurora theater at this point. So the comp is probably a better look at what it's looking like in Denver right now.
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 10 217 7:00 PM 89 217 10:00 PM 19 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 5 187 7:30 PM 24 187 10:30 PM 5 187 2D: 5:00 PM 4 158 5:30 PM 0 92 6:30 PM 5 94 8:00 PM 12 158 8:30 PM 4 92 9:30 PM 0 94 11:00 PM 0 158 Total 177 2058 AMC Highlands 24
IMAX: 4:30 PM 4 384 7:30 PM 10 384 10:30 PM 0 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 11 210 7:00 PM 59 210 10:00 PM 10 210 2D: 5:15 PM 0 159 5:45 PM 0 159 6:15 PM 2 85 6:30 PM 2 85 7:15 PM 0 52 8:15 PM 0 159 8:45 PM 2 159 9:15 PM 0 85 9:30 PM 0 85 10:15 PM 2 52 Total 102 2862 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 598 103 14616 4.09% 8 81 IT 2 comp: 5.78M
Adjusted Lion King comp: 6.6M
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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24 Dolby: 4:00 PM 4 217 7:00 PM 52 217 10:00 PM 15 217 Prime: 4:30 PM 4 187 7:30 PM 15 187 10:30 PM 0 187 2D: 5:00 PM 3 158 5:30 PM 0 92 6:30 PM 3 94 8:00 PM 9 158 8:30 PM 4 92 9:30 PM 0 94 11:00 PM 0 158 AMC Highlands 24 IMAX: 4:30 PM 3 384 7:30 PM 5 384 10:30 PM 0 384 Dolby: 4:00 PM 5 210 7:00 PM 31 210 10:00 PM 8 210 2D: 5:15 PM 0 159 5:45 PM 0 159 6:15 PM 0 85 6:30 PM 0 85 7:15 PM 0 52 8:15 PM 0 159 8:45 PM 2 159 9:15 PM 0 85 9:30 PM 0 85 10:15 PM 2 52 SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS 355 355 14066 2.52% 8 79 Seems like a good start. Comps are worthless right now. One theater has yet to put up showings, and multiple theaters don't look like they've posted their full lineup yet. So, there's probably still a lot more to come.
Also, are the lines on the charts not showing up for anyone? It was doing that for me yesterday, but magically appeared a couple hours after I posted.
Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver
AMC Westminster 24
Dolby:
4:00 PM
9
217
7:00 PM
72
217
10:00 PM
16
217
Prime:
4:30 PM
4
187
7:30 PM
19
187
10:30 PM
4
187
2D:
5:00 PM
4
158
5:30 PM
0
92
6:30 PM
5
94
8:00 PM
12
158
8:30 PM
4
92
9:30 PM
0
94
11:00 PM
0
158
Total
149
2058
AMC Highlands 24
IMAX:
4:30 PM
4
384
7:30 PM
10
384
10:30 PM
0
384
Dolby:
4:00 PM
5
210
7:00 PM
49
210
10:00 PM
9
210
2D:
5:15 PM
0
159
5:45 PM
0
159
6:15 PM
2
85
6:30 PM
2
85
7:15 PM
0
52
8:15 PM
0
159
8:45 PM
2
159
9:15 PM
0
85
9:30 PM
0
85
10:15 PM
2
52
Total
85
2862
SEATS SOLD
SOLD TODAY
TOTAL SEATS
PERCENT SOLD
THEATERS
SHOWINGS
495
140
14616
3.39%
8
81
Showings added: 2
Seats added: 550
If you haven't already heard, Century Aurora XD will not be showing Joker. For IT 2, that theater sold almost 13% of the tickets out of the 9 theaters. So, it messes things up a bit. I won't be able to adjust for that theater until the last couple days because I only recently started saving individual theater counts. But I'll continue to do regular comps, and hopefully my other nearby theaters will pick up some of that loss. Just take them with a grain of salt.
IT 2 comp: 5.13M
Adjusted Lion King comp: 5.82M
For TLK, I didn't track the Aurora theater at this point. So the comp is probably a better look at what it's looking like in Denver right now.
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5 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:
Yeah, 200M probably won’t be for 5+ years in my estimation. But it’s still roughly the same ballpark as an actual OD that has happened, which is kind of wild.
4 years ago the OD record was 91M, and it had been the same for over 4 years by then, so my point was just that even very recently 200M OD would have sounded completely out of calibration with reality. As much above the record as a 350M OD in the present.
Still, I don’t think anything will match the hype of Endgame for a long time. Even if something did within the next 5ish years, will ticket price inflation be enough? Nobody really knows. But average ticket price growth has slowed down quite a bit. It took 10 years for the average ticket price to increase by 27% from 2008-2018. Before that, it increased 53% from 1998-2008. And only 12% from 2013-2018.
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/about/adjuster.htm
I think Endgame is the peak of the MCU. It’ll still be really successful though. TFA is the peak of Star Wars. I don’t think Avatar will reach the heights of the MCU or Star Wars. So, unless ticket prices go through the roof, I really don’t think a 200M OD is possible for a long long time. Unless the Avatar movies surprise, what could be more hyped than the return of Star Wars or the culmination of an 11 year saga?
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JOKER WEEKEND THREAD | 96M DOM, 151 OS, 247M WW (October Record all around) | ***NO SPOILERS*** | SALE LIVE: Monthly Premium Account 50% off, Monthly Gold Account $5 Off
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Yeah it’s the exact same as IT 2. More positivity though, 84% vs 80%.