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jalidi

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  1. It just ticked over 858 million domestic and I think that's where it's going to stay. Didn't IW make about two million international or so between August and December? Maybe about 2,798 or 2,799 finish. For it to break the all-time record and yet not reach 2.8 billion would be quite a feat! But unless there're undeclared overseas grosses which will materialize in the final international update there's no more water to squeeze from the rock.
  2. Has a solid million left in domestic, maybe 1.5. International needs to pull in another 4 from somewhere. It's still playing in 20+ countries and did 300K+ weekend before last. It'll run for at least another full month and when final totals come in for all foreign territories there's a good possibility it'll be determined that there was just enough to touch 2.8 billion.
  3. Going to get at least a million this weekend OS. Plus at least another million over the past whole week, in addition to the actuals from last week, which have not yet been reported. I'm guessing international will increase about three or four million next update.
  4. At this point, especially after OS actuals come in, Endgame is going to break the record on remaining domestic gross alone. OS won't collapse. They still are re-releasing in Brazil and South Korea in August, that'll net a few more million with continuing declines in all territories. There's even a small chance the movie will become the first 2.8 billion dollar box office film.
  5. Still lots of markets worldwide remaining where the Endgame re-release hasn't debuted yet. The international ripple throughout July might generate minimal amounts of revenue per country, but every little bit will add up. Probably will get a couple million in each of the whole remaining weeks of July, perhaps a couple million throughout the rest of its worldwide run in August and beyond. Minimum of 6 million, and we'll see 1930, which is the magic number. Once we hit that, we no longer need international revenue to break the record. We're currently about 13.8 million away with the domestic at 849.5, which will be at least 851.0 by Sunday. To break the record with 1930 it'll need 858, or 7.0 million more after this weekend. Which is totally doable from a 1.5 million dollar weekend. In fact, Infinity War, from its own 1.5 million weekend last July, made 5.9 million. And Black Panther's extended domestic run netted a full million dollars a month throughout June and July. It's not gonna fall short. They're steadily chipping away at it and the film will likely be about 10 million away from the goal at the end of this weekend. All those people writing articles, declaring Endgame has missed, are just clickbait. Good reads, and a great laugh, though.
  6. Long time lurker, thought I'd just weigh in after the results of this past weekend. Overall, Endgame is definitely going to pass Avatar, though it will take longer than most expected given the monstrous worldwide opening weekend numbers. It left it in pretty good shape for the 11th weekend, now merely $15,513,852 away from the goal, and it just had a 4.4 million dollar worldwide weekend with pending countries slated to open for re-release throughout July. Plus the run still has more than two months to go, over Labor Day and into September. Domestically speaking, weekday and weekend declines will be like 50%, and knowing what Endgame made last week ($2,872,936 weekdays, $3,100,000 estimate) we'll likely see about 3.5 million for all of next week. Then about 2 the whole following week, then 1, then 0.5 at the end of the month, going into August. The entire month of August will give at least another million (which is what Infinity War did) and maybe a bit more in September, too. So altogether domestic has about 8 million left in the tank, taking us to 856 domestic (from current 847.8) and the remaining total down to 7.5 million, which has to come from overseas. International is tricky but 7.5 million is quite doable with them having them expanding in different countries on different weeks. Worldwide, excluding domestic, they will make about 1-2 million each entire week of July, plus whatever they get in August, probably less than a million for the whole month. When all's said and done it appears that it'll come to at least 1932. Enough with domestic for it to just barely take the record, probably sometime in August. It's so close now, it's gonna happen eventually. If it doesn't surprise in July or get it in August and September, I'm betting they will keep it in theatres even into October to trickle things past the finish line, like what happened with Black Panther in reaching that 700 million domestic milestone.
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