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MG10

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Posts posted by MG10

  1. 4 hours ago, Spidey Freak said:

     

    Yes thank you. That's what I was getting at by saying this opened in a severely crowded time frame as opposed to Mario which was the only big player in the entirety of April but you gave it much more detail and brought receipts.

     

    It would've been an amusing scenario if AtSV and Mario dates had been swapped. Mario losing screens in June and not living up to its potential because of it would have started a 'Woke Hollywood is flopping with its feminist Princess Peach' narrative by the haters

     

     

     

    Your are talking like Mario would have lost half of its gross, in reality making 1.2B instead of 1.35B wouldn't have started anything...

  2. 2 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

    It also makes me think superhero fatigue is definitely a thing, perhaps not so much in USA/Canada but definitely internationally. ATSV and GOTG3 would have been easy $1b+ movies that made 9 figs in China if they came out in 2019.

     

    I thought at least here on BoxOfficeTheory I wouldn't see people throwing 1 billion predictions to every movie expected to do over 700M, Spider Verse 2 never had any chance

  3. 1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:

    Europe, Middle East &Africa

     

    I'll never understand why they count them together, especially since after separating the Middle East from Asia and adding it instead to Africa you already have a decently relevant market, which also has tastes that have nothing to do with Europe which in any case counts for 90% of the total box office...

    • Sad 1
  4. 4 hours ago, Kon said:

     

    I've never denied Will Smith's popularity.

     

    Remember I was answering someone who is implying Will Smith's star power is one of the main reasons why Aladdin has a much better box office than The Little Mermaid.

     

    I dissagree because Will Smith's star power would benefit mainly the first weekend. However, Aladdin just have a really big box office due to its legs.

     

     

    PS: At domestic level, The Little Mermaid (who has no star power) has bigger OW than Aladdin.

     

    Yeah obviusly he isn't the only reason for a 500M difference but he certainly helped (can you imagine having instead, I don't know, Paul Rudd in his role?), and I don't understand why people who went especially thanks to him aren't "allowed" to go in the second or third weekend... 😅

  5. 13 hours ago, Kon said:

     

    Honestly, I still don't know why people think Will Smith was a big draw for Aladdin.

     

    The first domestic week of Aladdin was smaller than The Little Mermaid. Aladdin was a big success due to the legs, which Will Smith star power wouldn't help.

     

    The start of Aladdin's box office in Overseas Markets aren't so different to The Little Mermaid (except particular cases like China or South Korea). So, I don't think Will Smith star power help there either.

     

    What? Will Smith is one of the most popular actors in the world, and in 2019 he was also among the most appreciated one. How was he not a draw?

    • Like 1
  6. 2 hours ago, Flip said:

    We're still pretty far out, but I could see major markets playing out as so:

     

    Japan: 45m

    China: 125m

    South Korea: 50m

    UK: 50m

    France: 35m

    Germany: 25m

    Australia: 30m

    India: 20m

    Taiwan: 20m

    Mexico: 15m

     

    Cumulative makes 415m vs. Fallout which did 415.5m in the same territories. The problem for this movie is that it's going to have a gap to make up due to China likely decreasing from Fallout's gross.

     

    I think Usa/Canada alone will fill the gap of the Chinese performance (maybe reaching 300M?), while all the other markets need to grow to make the film reach 900M

    • Like 1
  7. "Presales" here, "advanced tickets" there, "seat occupancy" etc, sure that's interesting but in reality I just want to see real numbers and real data from the opening weekend

     

    But in case of failure as it seem what could be the reasons? The first "multiversal" movie of the DC with heavy marketing, fine reviews and two Flash, two Batman, one Supergirl and a few cameo and appearances which makes less than 500M WW?

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