jma22

$700M Locked. 30-45 Domestic & 45-60 Int = 700M-730M

Dune Part 2: 4,54M€ first week. (+57% Dune 1)

Spain 13-15 October 2023: TOP 10 (€) 1. Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour: 1.138.510 (NEW) ------------ 1.138.510 2. Paw Patrol: The Mighty Movie: 1.125.533 (NEW) ------------ 1.793.919 3. The Exorcist: Believer: 633.566 (-35%) ------------ 2.308.262 4. Sound of Freedom: 596.320 (NEW) ------------ 955.296 5. Me he hecho viral: 373.764 (NEW) ------------ 578.806 6. The Creator: 346.628 (-30%) ------------ 2.542.249 7. Saw X: 267.193 (-28%) ------------ 1.956.168 8. A Haunting in Venice: 240.182 (-19%) ------------ 4.309.118 9. Campeonex: 205.321 (-04%) ------------ 11.495.157 10. Coup de Chance: 154.174 (-31%) ------------ 1.129.471 Top 25 = 5,75M€

Spain 25-27 July 2023: Top 10 (€) 1. Campeonex: 1.299.595 (-25%) ------------ 4.959.866 2. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: 624.726 (NEW) ------------ 624.726 3. Barbie: 614.805 (-17%) ----------- 30.877.849 4. Meg 2 567.216 (-20%) ----------- 10.228.210 5. Oppenheimer: 563.059 (-13%) ----------- 17.994.616 6. Mi soledad tiene alas: 310.811 (NEW) ------------ 310.811 7. Gran Turismo: 294.522 (-24%) ------------ 2.806.339 8. Elemental: 293.227 (-07%) ----------- 11.179.347 9. Blue Beetle: 264.480 (-53%) ------------ 1.282.331 10. Cobweb: 188.189 (NEW) ------------ 188.458 Top 25 = 5,5M€

30m it's locked for Barbie. The goal of this movie is the top 10 of all time With 28,15M€ until Wednesday, Barbie ranks 18th of all time at Spanish box office. The 10th movie of all time is The Lord of the Rings 1 which grossed 31,9M€ here. So let's see if Barbie can do it !! Oppenheimer (15,75M€ until Wednesday) will soon become Nolan's highest grossing film surpassing Incepction 17,05M€ and could have a very good late legs. Elemental surpassed 10M€ and it's the 9th film to do it this 2023. Meg 2 will probably end its run very close too.

From 175m to 210 there's a difference of 35m so yeah , probably you're right. But no way 260m in existing markets. Gran Turismo releases this weekend so maybe affects a bit, and not only Asia is droping bad, Latam too That being said, hopefully it reaches 1500m and even surpasses Top Gun Maverick but for now I stay in the 1400-1500 range

Barbie grossed 74,6m OS last weekend. 175m it's a realistic forecast imho. (Japan and Middle east not icluded)

Barbie crossed the Barbillion last weekend and it grossed 1034 M until Sunday I'll try to make a realistc forecast to see how far can Barbie go. I think 1300 M it's locked, while 1360 M it's almost locked. That would mean reaching two major goals of Barbie: nº 1 of the year (worldwide) and the highest grossing Warner film ever. My Barbie forecast: 1400M ($) 1034m (total until Sunday) 166m Domestic --- For a total 625M 25m Japan and Middle East (This countries have the release this weekend) 175m current International countries - 120m Europe -- Uk 35m (for a total of 95m£), Germany 16m, France 14m, Italy 8m, Spain 8m , Netherlands 7m , Poland 5m, Nordics 10m and 17m the rest. - 20m Oceania -- Australia 18m (for a total of 89m AUD) and New Zeland 2m - 35m Latam + Asia Maybe I underestimated Japan and North America.. I wouldn't be surprised if Japan 50m and Domestic +650m I don't think Barbie grosses less than 1400 so ... 1400m-1500m $

Domestic: 75m China: 115m Korea and Japan: 10m OS-C-K-J: 150m Total: 350m

- Meg 2 had a great OW and better than expected with 2,9M€ (estimated). That's better than the original film (2018) which had an OW: 2,07M€ and grossed 11M€ at the end of its run. I think Meg 2 will be more frontloaded so let's say 9M€ (total) - Maybe I'm wrong but I think Franspeech it's overestimating the total of Barbie and Elemental. He did it last weekend too, so until actuals comes out , I'd say Barbie total until today is 23M (Not 23,5) and Elemental 8,2M - This weekend Barbenheimer saw bad drops due the big opening of Meg2 , but I still predict: 30m for Barbie , 18m for Oppenheier and 10m for Elemental Great summer for the Spanish box office!!!

Friday 04 July 1. Meg 2: 1,1M€ 2. Barbie: 0.64M€ ------------ 22M€ 3. Oppenheimer: 0,42M€ ---- 11,2M€

Spain 28-30 July 2023: Top 8 (€) 1. Barbie: 3.629.001 (-30%) ------------ 16.737.487 2. Oppenheimer: 2.282.022 (-17%) ------------ 8.468.784 3. Elemental: 818.222 (-27%) ------------ 6.697.927 4. Insidious: The Red Door: 580.638 (-33%) ------------ 2.560.425 5. Mission Impossible: DR Part One: 406.161 (-36%) ------------ 4.537.383 6. Haunted Mansion: 399.328 (NEW) ------------ 399.328 7. Vacaciones de verano: 386.214 (-25%) ------------ 5.651.409 8. Indiana Jones and the Dial of destiny: 330.153 (-29%) ------------ 10.430.821 TOP 25 = 9,06M€

I think Barbie coud end with $365M in Europe: Uk: 115m France: 45m Germany: 45m Italy: 35m Spain: 35m Nordics: 25m Netherlands: 18m Poland: 12m Rest: +35m Maybe I'm a bit optimistic with some countries and a bit pessimistic with others, but i'd say +325 m it's locked. 400m with crazy legs.

Last Monday was 14M... huge drop

Top Christopher Nolan movies in Spain (€) 1. Inception: 17,05M 2. The Dark Knight Rises: 11,96M 3. The Dark Knight: 11,15M 4. Interstellar: 9,75M 5. Dunkirk: 9,04M 6. Oppenheimer: 8,5M (11 days) 7. Tenet: 7,6M 8. Batman Begins: 7,33M 9. The Prestige: 3,9M 10. Insomnia: 3M 11. Memento: 1,05M

Great Weekend !! - Barbie should should beat Super Mario Bros (27,4M€) and become the top 1 of 2023 with 30M€... Outstanding - Oppenheimer coud be Nolan's highest grossing film in Spain if it perform with drops like that (-16%) - Elemental with a good drop should end its run at +9M€. Not bad if you compare with Lightyear (4,6M€) but far from typical gross of a Pixar movie in Spain.

Spain 9-11 June 2023: Top 10 (€) 1. Spider-Man: Across the SV: 1.184.508 (-46%) ------------ 4.263.801 2. The Little Mermaid: 1.115.401 (-43%) ------------ 8.368.000 3. Transformers: Rise of The Beasts: 1.085.563 (NEW) ------------ 1.085.563 4. Fast X: 527.107 (-51%) ------------ 11.776.143 5. Como Dios manda: 387.927 (-29%) ------------ 1.181.812 6. The Boogeyman: 187.378 (-46%) ------------ 711.451 7. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3: 179.648 (-47%) ------------ 10.880.000 8. The Super Mario Bros Movie: 179.384 (-36%) ------------ 26.790.639 9. Master Gardener: 116.885 (NEW) ------------ 116.885 10. Vaya Vacaciones: 94.185 (-39%) ------------ 4.514.420 TOP 25 = 5,3M€

Spain 4-6 June 2023: Top 10 (€) 1. Spider-Man: Across the SV: 2.182.821 (NEW) ------------ 2.182.821 2. The Little Mermaid: 1.966.972 (-38%) ------------ 6.340.111 3. Fast X: 1.072.075 (-50%) ------------ 10.672.060 4. Como Dios manda: 545.133 (NEW) ------------ 545.133 5. The Boogeyman: 346.921 (NEW) ------------ 346.921 6. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3: 336.596 (-46%) ------------ 10.530.550 7. The Super Mario Bros Movie: 281.285 (-37%) ------------ 26.498.504 8. Vaya Vacaciones: 154.205 (-48%) ------------ 4.353.815 9. Le Otto montagne: 38.938 (-34%) ------------ 258.981 10. Evil Dead Rise: 33.055 (-64%) ------------ 3.774.992 TOP 25 = 7,2M€

Highest grossing animated movies in Spain (+20M€) 1. Shrek 2: 28,2M€ 2. The Super Mario Bros. Movie: 25,8M€ 3. Toy Story 3: 25M€ 4. UP: 24,9M€ 5. Minions: 24M€ 6. Finding Nemo: 23,8M€ 7. Shrek 3: 22,3M€ 8. Toy Story 4: 22,1M€ 9. Inisde Out: 21,8M€ 10. Ice Age 3: 21,8M€ 11. The Secret Life of Pets: 21,3M€ 12. The Incredibles: 21,1M€ 13. Frozen 2: 20,8M€ 14. Minions: The Rise of Gru: 20,7M€ 15. Despicable me 3: 20,7M€ 16. The Lion King (1994): 20,4M€ - 16 animated films with +20M€: 6 Pixar, 5 Illumination , 2 Walt Disney Animation, 2 Dreamworks, 1 Blue Sky. - Pixar was the king of the animation films in Spain but since pandemic, Illumination it's in a better position. - Super Mario Bros have a shot to surpass Shrek 2 and become the highest grossing animated film in Spain. But in my opinion, it should end with 27M-27,5M€

Spain 19-21 May 2023: Top 10 (€) 1. Fast X: 5.050.970 (NEW) ------------ 5.050.970 2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3: 1.038.350 (-45%) ------------ 8.954.415 3. The Super Mario Bros Movie: 628.633 (-22%) ---------- 25.842.996 4. Vaya Vacaciones: 402.147 (-05%) ------------ 3.691.385 5. Evil Dead Rise: 157.656 (-33%) ------------ 3.542.836 6. Pattie et la colère de Poséidon: 118.634 (-17%) ------------ 360.848 7. A Good Person: 81.184 (NEW) ------------ 81.184 8. Le Otto montagne: 74.202 (NEW) ----------- 80.107 9. Mavka Lisova Pisnya: 70.687 (-31%) ------------ 786.185 10. Marlowe: 65.257 (-44%) ------------ 273.640 TOP 25 = 8M€

Really good start for Fast 10 !! With 1,6M€ on Friday I expect OW= 4,5-5M€ That would be the best opening of the saga. Let's hope it's not frontloaded Orden Título Año estreno Recaudación 1 Fast & Furious 5 2011 4,45M€ 2 FAST & FURIOUS 7 2015 4,23M€ 3 Fast & Furious 6 2013 4,06M€ 4 FAST & FURIOUS 8 2017 4,06M€ 5 Fast & Furious 9 2021 2,80M€ 6 Fast & Furious: Aún más rápido 2008 2,68M€ 7 Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw 2019 2,21M€

Spain 12-14 May 2023: Top 10 (€) 1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3: 1.897.265 (-39%) ------------ 6.498.432 2. The Super Mario Bros. Movie: 803.196 (-16%) ---------- 24.150.650 3. Vaya Vacaciones: 422.236 (-03%) ------------ 2.949.578 4. Evil Dead Rise: 236.265 (-28%) ------------ 3.169.060 5. Pattie et la colère de Poséidon: 138.500 (NEW) ------------ 138.500 6. Marlowe: 116.107 (NEW) ------------ 116.107 7. Mavka. Lisova Pisnya: 101.690 (-27%) ------------ 653.505 8. Love Again: 97.500 (NEW) ------------ 97.500 9. Book Club: The Next Chapter: 96.931 (NEW) ------------ 96.931 10. Jeepers Creepers Reborn: 73.227 (NEW) ------------ 73.227 TOP 25 = 4,44M€