Flamengo81

Unfortunately I don't have the time to track right now 😕

We are in the height of winter here, so no summer holidays over here...

That is very low if you think about it

But were just a few, not enough to make a difference unlike NWH.

“Oppenheimer” Greater Salvador Region tracking: T-00 SHOWINGS TOTAL SEATS SEATS SOLD PCT. SOLD 23 4481 1246 27.81% SEATS SOLD TODAY 51 COMPS T-00 Into The Spiderverse – 1.483x (2.61M) Guardians of The Galaxy Vol 3. – 0.946x (2.94M) Fast X – 0.724x (3.62M) This might sound like a bad day on the surface, but remember it's Thursday release and no Wednesday, so it's 5 hours~ less of tickets solds. The allocation is also a big factor, since it has basically half of the other movies showings. The comps should definitely be a underindexing too, since this has a much higher ATP than the rest. Given the Thursday vs Wednesday release, the big difference in allocation and in ATP, It's definitely very tricky movie to predict. If I had to guess, I think this is probably doing around 3.8M with a 0.5+/- margin.

“Barbie” Greater Salvador Region tracking: T-00 SHOWINGS TOTAL SEATS SEATS SOLD PCT. SOLD 103 21878 13502 61.71% SEATS SOLD TODAY 3358 COMPS T-00 Into The Spiderverse – 16.073x (28.29M) Guardians of The Galaxy Vol 3. – 10.252x (31.91M) Fast X – 7.850x (39.25M) It's here! Final mindblowing numbers for Barbie. I will say it again: I just can't see a scenario where this is not a top 3 opening of all time. Going even further: I think this is beating NWH for the 2nd spot and I would not be shocked to see this actually dethrone Endgame for the number one spot, I think it will depend on the WOM throught the weekend. I don't think we will see such a phenomenon like this in Brazil anytime soon at all. Ps: I am going Sunday with my girlfriend to see it because she forced me to and because she is going to Oppenheimer with me Saturday 😁

I saw SEVERAL women on the street today wearing pink and everywhere you could hear people talking about the movie. This completely captured the zeitgeist.

Showings will start in less than 2 hours. Oppenheimer finished tracking with 1.246 tickets solds, that is only 51 since yesterday, but we have to remember that most other comps are Wednesday previews, so showings starts 4 to 5 hours later. Anyway, it's low number today is also likely due to people wanting to watch it at premium screens (that are already packed), so it's expected.

So guys... I actually managed to track it 😁 The theater that reseted the showings and seemed to be bugged came back to normal today, so the T-0 numbers are the real accurate numbers. Unfortunately, I don't have the comps right now since I am not at home, but I will post the complete final numbers and comps tonight. But to the numbers: Barbie sold 13.502 tickets at 103 showings. I don't see any scenario where this is not a top-3 opening of all time and honestly: I am not saying it will happen, but I won't be shocked if this beats Endgame. This is going to be a mind-blowing weekend for sure!

“Oppenheimer” Greater Salvador Region tracking: T-01 SHOWINGS TOTAL SEATS SEATS SOLD PCT. SOLD 23 4481 1195 26.67% TOTAL SEATS SOLD 1195 COMPS T-01 The Little Mermaid – 1.326x The Flash – 1.921x (3.44M) Into The Spiderverse – 1.853x (3.26M) Guardians of The Galaxy Vol 3. – 1.192x (3.71M) Fast X – 1.224x (6.12M) Absolutely crazy numbers for Oppenheimer too! The ATP is going to be much higher than everyone else too as this is getting more than half of it's shows at premium screens, the 3 IMAX sessions are absolutely packed. I took a look at the weekend sales and it's also very good. This is going to be an all-time great weekend over here for sure.

“Barbie” Greater Salvador Region tracking: T-01 SHOWINGS TOTAL SEATS SEATS SOLD PCT. SOLD 91 19088 10144 53.14% SEATS SOLD IN THE PAST 2 DAYS 2074 COMPS T-01 The Little Mermaid – 11.258x The Flash – 16.308x (29.19M) Into The Spiderverse – 15.727x (27.68M) Guardians of The Galaxy Vol 3. – 10.123x (31.51M) Fast X – 14.65x (51.97M) Here are the insane final numbers. But this comes with a little caveat: the biggest theater basically reseted the showings and so the numbers are lower than what it should be with the previous showings. But it might be a bug (probably is?), so the numbers in reality could actually be a lot bigger. How much bigger? Well, if we use the numbers from these showings at T-03 the total tickets solds would be at 11.214, that is a pretty big difference and it would be even more at T-01. But I decided to use the numbers I am seeing right now and not conjectures, so these are the final results. I will TRY to track tomorrow before shows starts, but it's a tiny possibility. I will definitely take a look to see if the showings remains the same though, just out of curiosity. Analyzing the numbers we have, the only thing I could say is that anything could happen. I could definitely see actual numbers being much lower than what comps suggests, but I would no be chocked with the comps turning out to be accurate either (except for Fast X), Barbie is simply a phenomenom here in Brazil and you can hear it being talked about everywhere, so no matter what the actuals turns out to be, this will 100% be a performance for the ages regardless.

Unfortunately the two Cinepolis theaters are offline. Will try to access them later today, but we might not have T-01 numbers 😢

Updates later today. But a sneak peak: the showings went above 90 lol

We are on the same page, but even if the opening day get's limited by the allocation the spillover over the weekend will be insane.

The thing is that I don't have the numbers of showings of movies like NWH to compare with. But 67 showings is already much higher than what Fast X had (52) with one less theater available (that would give an additional 10~ screens) and I don't know how much higher it could possibly be, it's already reaching the showings cap IMO. It would be interesting to see numbers in a city like São Paulo which has a gigarnomous number of theaters to see if that is a big issue.

Whatever comparisons you make the results are the same, I did this too. If you just compare "Barbie" with "Mario" you get the same results too...

I started tracking this year, so no Endgame or NWH previews numbers. But with that level of occupancy and this number of showings, unless Salvador is overindexing like crazy and this is somehow even more frontloaded than both, I don't think it's impossible for this to become the highest opening of all time, it might sound madness to say that, but it is what it is.

Yes.

Have no idea, my friend. This movie can't be predicted...

“Barbie” Greater Salvador Region tracking: T-03 SHOWINGS TOTAL SEATS SEATS SOLD PCT. SOLD 67 15079 8070 53.52% SEATS SOLD IN THE PAST 2 DAYS 3817 COMPS T-03 The Little Mermaid – 24.234x Into The Spiderverse – 21.293x (37.47M) Guardians of The Galaxy Vol 3. – 13.961x (43.46M) Fast X – 14.65x (73.23M) I mean... the numbers are the numbers. I don't even know what to say, what the numbers are suggesting is an opening for the ages. Are they "wrong" and this is actually an insane frontloaded movie? Don't know and won't even try to respond that question. Note 1: By the way, this is with one less Theater since Cinepolis Bela Vista closed this month. Note 2: The Flash comp will return at T-01, I missed T-03 😕.

My eyes cannot believe the numbers I am seeing. This is crazier than the first update lmao

“Barbie” Greater Salvador Region tracking: T-05 SHOWINGS TOTAL SEATS SEATS SOLD PCT. SOLD 65 13757 4253 30.92% SEATS SOLD IN THE PAST 4 DAYS 430 COMPS T-05 The Little Mermaid – 13.126x The Flash – 15.298x (27.38M) Into The Spiderverse – 14.146x (25.37M) Guardians of The Galaxy Vol 3. – 8.697x (27.07M) Fast X – 10.445x (52.25M) So... The """bad news """ is that Barbie slowed down significantly compared to the previous days and the comps came down to a more realistic, but still mindblowing level. There is an excellent news though: the allocation increased significantly and there is now enough room to accomodate a very likely big final push in these last few days. I probably won't dare to predict a final number on this, but whatever it makes it's 100% going to be phenomenal.

Will bring updates soon. Both """"bad"""" and good news coming...

“Barbie” Greater Salvador Region tracking: T-09 SHOWINGS TOTAL SEATS SEATS SOLD PCT. SOLD 46 11744 3823 32.55% SEATS SOLD IN THE PAST 5 DAYS 1964 COMPS T-09 The Little Mermaid – 18.379x The Flash – 20.335x (36.40M) Into The Spiderverse – 22.356x (39.35M) Fast X – 16.622x (83.11M) COMPS T-09 x T-01: The Little Mermaid – 4.243x The Flash – 6.146x (11M) Into The Spiderverse – 5.927x (10.43M) Guardians of The Galaxy Vol.3 – 3.815x (11.87M) Fast X – 3.917x (19.58M) Just let that sink in... Note: Added "normal" comps since it's now entering the final stage of the cycle and to give a notion about the pace of this pink monster. Note 2: In contrast to many other markets, this is getting PLFs around here. No IMAX, but IMAX in Brazil are not too many and make just a small share of PLF screens in it's totality.