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thajdikt

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Everything posted by thajdikt

  1. Having only five movies nominated for Best Picture is meh. 10 movies is great. Stuff like The Dark Knight should never happen again. Movie like Avatar prob would have gotten a nom with five noms and it deserves to be in that category.
  2. My predictions: Best Picture: Avatar The Way of Water Everything Everywhere all at Once Elvis The Fabelmans Tar Top Gun Maverick All Quiet on The Western Front Women Talking Triangle of Sadness Babylon Best Actor: Colin Farrel Austin Butler Brendan Fraiser Bill Paul Mescal Best Actress: Cate Blanchett Viola Davis Deadwyler Yeoh Michelle Williams Best Supporting Actress: Angela Basset Kerry Condon Lee Curtis Stephanie Hsu Hong Chau Best Supporting Actor: Barry Keoghan Brendan Gleeson Jude Hirsch Bradd Pitt Kee Huy Quan Director: Todd Field Spielberg The Daniels Edward Berger McDonagh
  3. Yeah you´re probably right about it getting a boost from trailers playing ahead of these big CNY movies.
  4. Yeah it´s a weird one. The main reason for it is I doubt it will match the massive grosses the second one had in South Korea and China. Also 2022 saw a bit downwards trend for MCU OS
  5. I see. That´s a nice increase. Did Wakanda Forever get a similar boost?
  6. Wasn´t it on 30K yesterday? Or do you mean 20K increase today?
  7. What ideally should WTS be at 1-2 days before release for an MCU movie?
  8. Could Ant-Man 3 WTS be lower than expected due to Wakanda Forever is also coming out just before? Surprised that WF is bigger than Ant-Man 3
  9. I feel like 1B was always a bit to high. I would be surprised if this gets to even 50MUSD. MCU hasn´t been in China for so long isn´t a big possibility that the momentum is weakened and thus they have to build it back up again. How much is Wakanda Forever wts? Maybe, I just don´t see how it´s going to recover the big drop in Korea even with inflation. But I would happily be proven wrong.
  10. "Based on independent sampling, Quantumania is currently generating around 76 percent of total opening day (Thursday previews and true Friday combined) pre-sales from Thursday by itself, relative to Black Panther: Wakanda Forever‘s 66 percent and Doctor Strange In the Multiverse of Madness‘s 61 percent Thursday share at the same point in time after sales began." - Box office pro Long Range Forecast is 96M-131m https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-ant-man-and-the-wasp-quantumania-tracking-for-marvel-sub-franchises-best-start-yet-can-it-become-2023s-first-100m-opener/
  11. I see. Thanks for the answer. Looks like I´m going to eat my words about this having previews closer to Ant-Man 2
  12. Right now without any reviews or WOM I´m thinking 250M domestic, 275M OS-C and 40M China for 565M worldwide. Ofc can go higher if the movie is received well but also lower if it´s not
  13. I don´t see how this does more than 250-300M OS-C. I also feel like Marvel might have to rebuild themselves in China again. Would be surprised given the covid situation if it gets that much. Hoping for 50M but I´m doubtful.
  14. WF will prob not get much from China but if it get like 30M it will pass two MCU movies for what that´s worth. WF release feels more symbolic then anything.
  15. A China release makes OS gross much more spicy. I´m still worried about South Korea drop but I´m hoping Mexico which seems to be doing well for the MCU combat that. Also hoping U.K improves. What we thinking realistic target for this one? 350-400M?
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