thajdikt

I´m pretty sure Deadpool has already been moved to November. Blade is releasing in September now.

How much are we expecting Wakanda Forever to be at next Sunday? 300M?

I feel like for a film that has had so many problems that it had in pre-production , and lost it´s lead this was probably close to the best possible scenario. Also considering the poor reception from the latest two MCU movies and the reviews being good not great.

Would that be underwhelming? The general impression I got was that we expected a such drop? I got the impression we would go even lower

The world cup hype is pretty bad but it also makes sense because of: - The season is still going on, as opposed to it ending 3-4 week before and then you start counting the days for World Cup to start. - All the drama with Qatar and human rights hasn´t helped at all - It being in the winter is just stupid. However when the tournament actually starts shit will pick up drastically. It will be everything people talks about. WF legs might take a big hit imo. Especially in Europe and LatAM. Go out in the cold and go to a theater to watch a superhero movie that costs way too much or watch the biggest tournament in the world on the telly in the comfort of your home? Easy choice.

What would we need today for it to get on the high end of projections?

Yes she is. But she´s going to be overlooked because it´s a superhero movie. Also the category is stacked this year.

Phase 4 CS: Black Widow A- Shang-Chi A Eternals B No Way Home A+ Multiverse of Madness B+ Thor Love and Thunder B+ BP Wakanda Forever A

A cinemascore for Black Panther Wakanda Forever. Did not expect that when I watched on Wed. Massive for the movie but also the MCU as a whole.

I would argue that Phase 5 is going to that. With movies like Thunderbolts, The Marvels, and Captain America 4. The landscape from AoU to Infinity War is vastly different and a lot of that build came from the Phase 3 movies. Also I´m happy that they don´t start with another Avengers movies before Kang Dynasti because it would feel underwhelming in my opinon. I don´t really see them going back to "normal" Avengers movies after IW and Endgame.

How did the first Black Panther do in this market?

I feel like this reaching 600M would be like 1B for this movie. Especially without China and Russia.

Well best comp we have is Eternals which they put on D+ Jan 12. Hopefully they give this one longer. I am expecting almost them putting Strange World on D+ during Christmas like Encanto and hold off Wakanda Forever but who knows with Disney.

Are we expecting the world cup to have an effect domestic?

On the other hand I watched it again today and was maybe excepting me liking it less on a second viewing but I loved it even more. My friend who is a Marvel fan but hasn´t been a fan of the latest movies except NWH really liked it. She was very sceptical but really liked it.

Very likely it will drop.

The all audiences is filled with many giving it either one stars or five stars. Pretty hard reviewbombing and fanboying going on there. Will never understand people that reviewbomb shit.

Wouldn´t it need really good legs to get to 480M from 185?

It has 7,3 IMDb but has been reviewbombed aswell a bit. True value may be 7,5 ish. Letterboxd 3,8 is strong with most votes on 4/5. Seems at least not as negative as the WOM in Korea suggested but we will see. Feels like it will be A- cinemascore or less.

Just watched it. I loved it. It´s not as good as the first one, but it´s pretty good imo. Way better than the average MCU film. I was surprised over the reactions from Korea because they were what, almost on Thor Love and Thunder level? This movie is way better than Love and Thunder. It has arcs that feels properly developed and it doesn´t crack jokes 24/7. But this movie doesn´t feel like an MCU blockbuster. Yes there is some elements but it is more a slowburn movie depicting grief. I don´t know how the average MCU fan or general audience member will react to it. Feels like a movie "film twitter" will like more than the average fan. You don´t go out of the movie feeling like you had a great time. You go out sad. The VFX is also fine, it´s like every Marvel movie. It looks great for the most part but some few wonky stuff here and there that average person won´t notice. I just wished they would treat the VFX artists better. There is some flaws. The movie can drag a little bit in the middle and there is a storyline/character that wasn´t needed at all and it´s not the character everyone think it is. But none of that I really see affecting the average moviegoer. All I can say if the audience response to this is on the level on Thor Love and Thunder in USA aswell then they deserve movies like that. Movies like Ryan went for here and almost 100% succeeded with need to encouraged. Stuff like Love and Thunder needs to slaughtered. I understand the RT score. 75-85% feels accurate for this one. I can see why some of the critics didn´t like it but the majority still did. Overall I feel like Ryan Coogler succeeded with what he tried to do with this movie after Chadwicks passing. But I don´t know if they comparison to the first one or the nature of it is what will put some people off. But the MCU needs more movies like this one that feels mature and important.

Shang-Chi that low?

If the movie delivers on those other beats yup. Which it seem to atleast based from the review. But if it doesn´t then the pacing can be the worst part of it.

I don´t know how this can not be good. NWH is a own thing and comparing to that is not useful. Considering this is a MCU movie that is maybe less frontloaded and could have strong walk-ins I would argue this is good. But I´m no insider and pretty new to this stuff.

Reviews are one thing, which seem to be good. Maybe it will land around IW %. But i´m very interested in how the audience reacts to it.

THR saying 155M-190M. Why is trades saying so high suddenly? Sunday comes and all will be complaining about it not reaching those high projections.