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MightyDargon

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Everything posted by MightyDargon

  1. But kids don't like Mario! We need to have him ride Shai Halud through a desert so he can be relevant again!!11!
  2. Not really. (I mean the positive WOM is there). But the idea that this was gonna be driven be "leisurely" viewing on weekends at PLFs was already observable in advance sales. The Wick 4 comparison was decent but Wick 4 had really only 1 weekend of PLF exclusivity. Dune 2 has 3. (Also some theaters won't be in a hurry to kick it out or will try to get it back in later).
  3. It basically confirms my theory that this is going to be a mini Avatar and be driven by PLF screenings on its most open days.
  4. In retrospect No Hard Feelings didn't get x2 gross but at only 45 mil it's not the kind of "money loser" to put much of a dent in the studio profits....and it's also low enough that whatever deal Netflix has with Sony probably did make it profitable. Now if it was Amazing Spiderman 2 then yes it likely wouldn't cover it.
  5. Oh you mean the ones that ended in 1983? I think theatrical runs and multipliers are so different then from now that it's difficult to compare. Dune 1984 flat out bombed.
  6. By the end of the Sequel Trilogy I wouldn't exactly call Star Wars "catnip". Cat piss maybe.
  7. I doubt No Hard Feelings lost very much. Pretty sure it probably made money via the Netflix deal by this point even if its theatrical didn't work.
  8. Mutant Mayhem's full global is about 180 mil so it still doesn't hit the 3x rule. Yes TMNT has a long term fanbase (which did make it viable even during the strike) but it wasn't exactly Mario during its run. I question the viability of the 3x rule if Mutant Mayhem can still manage. For what it's worth, most animated movies that aren't Mario aren't super blockbusters at this point, so it also had that going for it.
  9. I don't get where people are getting the "only 500 mil" figure for Dune 2 based on only week 1 anyway.
  10. Pretty sure Mutant Mayhem failed the x2 rule and got a sequel announcement anyway. I'm not complaining. It just did.
  11. I mean, Mutant Mayhem got a sequel and people here said that underperformed. I take what people here say with a grain of salt. Especially after the "Aquaman 2 didn't flop" fiasco.
  12. I don't think even Variety's "numbers from opposing studios" (which are always highballs) were predicting over 85 mil. Considering how many movies WB has liquidated this doing enough to get Messiah made is a miracle. Who the fuck cares what Jeff Sneider says, none of his stuff has any basis in verified fact.
  13. Beyond jat absolutely no one cares and the "fudge" money likely came from elsewhere in the weekend so I really don't give a crap.
  14. I think this is a pretty good result overall. The only way it would "look bad" is for people expecting 85 mil plus OW and the PLF capacity really doesn't exist for that. I was basically worried about under 65 mil OW and that seems unlikely.
  15. Because of all this I don't think Wick is a great model for this movie.
  16. I don't think Wick 4 was very invested in IMAX which should really be taken into account. There's still capacity issues for "true PLF" hits.
  17. For what it's worth, this has 85 in user ratings on Metacritic now. I think that's about as high as any mass release film can hope for.
  18. Well, YOU try flying with a giant birdwang sticking out and tell me if Manhawke is feasible!
  19. The irony is this is the closest thing to a super critical hit WB will have all year and its still getting poo-pooed on here because "it's not LOTR". I guarantee GodzillaxKong would kill for an opening like this.
  20. No one said they were doing that. Jat claimed a little over 11mil and the official estimate is 12 mil. Nobody gave an official estimate of 10mil except for Deadline's usual bad numbers.
  21. What was the last super high grosser that didn't involve using PLFs in its strategy? I'd like to say Barbie but I don't remember. Other than Barbie I can't remember anything post Covid that did extremely well without a PLF push.
  22. This isn't very scientific, but would 4.6 on Letterboxd be good for a mass release film?
  23. Really going into Rule 0 territory there but it was the people in the production studio that chose to do what they did to Barrera, not "the discourse".
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