rehpyc
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
rehpyc replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
3 - 3.15 is about where I have it, more inclined for the higher end. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
rehpyc replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Will try to add updates, but so far for KFP4 T-5 to T-4: Elemental: 4,40M, 4.64M Trolls: 3.27M, 3.43M Migration: 3.63M, 3.77M Minions: 5.02M, 4.92M Shazam 2: 2.15M, 2.47M Minions has been relatively flat for several days around that 5M mark, with KFP4 maintaining about half its daily add. The other comps have been trending up with a trajectory of that ~4.5M range. Let's see how the next day or two go. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
rehpyc replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Happy to take the win on the 10M estimate, but I do feel there's a bit of play with the numbers going on. Would figure more of a 9.7M - 9.8M, unless Canada just happened to over index on this one. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
rehpyc replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Weighted a good deal to the under than over. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
rehpyc replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Dune 2 T-1 (excluding EA) Oppenheimer: 8.98 Avatar 2: 10.58 Dune1: 10.12 Barbie: 11.32 Somewhere around 10 still seems about right. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
rehpyc replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
A bit late on providing an update on this from yesterday's sales, but I'm trying to stay on top of things as best I can for you all. Dune 2 T-3 to T-2 (excluding EA) Oppenheimer: 9.40, 9.38 Avatar 2: 10.22, 10.52 Dune 1: 10.34, 10.36 Jurassic World: apparently I deleted it? Barbie: 13.28, 12.64 -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
rehpyc replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Oppy and Avatar (even w/ 3D lift) are good comps for both pace (except yesterday's WOM boost) and ATP. Pace is very similar to Dune 1 as well, but would just need to adjust the ATP up (would suggest 1.75-1.80). Next update tomorrow with T-3 & 2 for me. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
rehpyc replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
I guess I'm really just here to confirm what the other great trackers have indicated.. current trajectories of each of the mentioned comps are looking around a 10M average (excluding EA) should their current growth patterns remain. Avatar, Dune, and Oppenheimer are particularly flat and likely the best indicators, indicating a range about 9-10M, with Oppenheimer edging that lower end. Dune 2 T-7 to T-4 (excluding EA) Oppenheimer: 9.65, 9.46, 9.28, 9.09 Avatar 2: 9.60, 9.59, 9.61, 9.52 Dune 1: 10.13, 10.06, 10.01, 10.02 Jurassic World 😧 15.26, 14.82, 14.46, 13.85 Barbie: 16.70, 15.63, 14.77, 13.73 -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
rehpyc replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Tonight. Someone feel free to PM me comps. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
rehpyc replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Great that you'll be covering a larger footprint with utilizing Fandango, rather than the per-circuit scripts you'd use before! I know some chains will use the same session for both the standard and specialty seating, just noting differences in their seat maps ,on their own sites (i.e. Cinemark for their D-BOX), whereas Fandango will separate these - you're likely already aware of this for the show counts, but just in case. In the coming days I'll likely DM you, to share something that may assist with speeding up your initial show listing. -
The theatrical year still has through this Thursday to go, but just to put some things in perspective of this year's recovery compared to last year. Barbenheimer really helped give a morphine shot mid-year, just treading water and slowly heading back down since.
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Disney really helped prop up the industry at large during the late pre-COVID years. The pandemic not only brought about streaming, which is very evident that it changed consumer habits in how movies were consumed, but it also simply changed consumer habits with entertainment as a whole. Admissions have always been on the decline, with the pandemic/streaming just kicking that ahead by several years. The consumer base that leans into the IMAX/PLF/4DX/VIP has grown considerably compared to pre-pandemic, too. Sadly, cinema chains will be largely conserving cash throughout this next year, but I'd expect some considerable investments in the future years, expanding to multiple IMAX, PLF, and 4DX screens per location (AMC already has 2 PLF offerings, many at the same location, and Cinemark has already been expanding to 2 XDs per location). Chains will also lean more into recliners and dine-in, if they haven't already been on this path in investment already.
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This year’s slate relatively matching last year’s in gross was a better situation for cinemas. Avatar’s much higher ATP driving things last year means far more admissions this year to make things match up in revenue, which provided cinemas more butts in seats for concession sales. However, the lack of holdover demand into this new year compared to Avatar will be painful.
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rehpyc started following Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread (12/26-28)
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Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread (12/26-28)
rehpyc replied to Borobudur's topic in Numbers and Data
If you must be so connected to checking each time a text/call/email comes in, get a smart watch. At least those are typically inherently dim, especially for those trying to save on their often limited battery life. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
rehpyc replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion