Bobzaruni
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Posts posted by Bobzaruni
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I've officially seen Oppenheimer!
Fantastic film.+s: Score, Visuals, Acting (RDJ gives an Oscar-worthy performance alongside Cillian).
-s: can feel its length at moments, might want more from some characters (but neither is that big of an issue at all in the grander scope of the movie)
It's a dense movie that will absorb you entirely. I cannot praise the Score enough, it's unreal. Every single actor in this movie delivers to an unbelievable extent. Some parts of the movie have some very interesting use of editing specifically, can't say if I like it or not but I think it works well for the movie. The visualization of some stuff, and the visuals in general, are so incredibly done.
My 3rd favorite Nolan film after Memento and Interstellar-
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3 minutes ago, joselowe said:
Are there any mixed reviews yet or all positive so far?
there's like a small few but that's about it
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1 minute ago, Flamengo81 said:
I started tracking this year, so no Endgame or NWH previews numbers. But with that level of occupancy and this number of showings, unless Salvador is overindexing like crazy and this is somehow even more frontloaded than both, I don't think it's impossible for this to become the highest opening of all time, it might sound madness to say that, but it is what it is.
🤯
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The trendline for Barbie search volume is doubling Mario's peak for the week before release in Brazil😲😲😲😲😲😲
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1 minute ago, Flamengo81 said:
Have no idea, my friend. This movie can't be predicted...
(what is the limit for this, Avengers record in threat? Does it have the showings for that?)
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1 hour ago, Bobzaruni said:
Just running some numbers for overseas and despite a weaker Asia, it's going to BLOW everything out of the water
15M+ Aus17M~ Mexico
15M+ (at minimum) Brazil
10M+ (at minimum) UK
Using Mario's concentration in its top 4 markets on release here assuming a similar distribution, $135M-$140M INT OW minimum; probably will go even higher though if things play out right (which they probably will). 300M global opening in the cards. With good holds and a good China/Japan/SK, Barbilllion to the moon.Brazil numbers might actually be too low if the PS are what they're suggesting; insanity, madness
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6 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:
If Barbie and Mario end up as the only billionaire movies of the year, then we will never hear the end of it from a certain person that likes referring to things as Nostalgic Toy Commericals. So Dune 2 needs to hit a Billie as well.
I don't think there's any path for Dune 2, especially with no promotion due to the strike to build hype. Barbie's buzz materialized because it had already been building.
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4 minutes ago, ZattMurdock said:
LMAO this is equally good and bad in the best way possible:
He loves hideo kojima from the look of his previous tweets about him btw, so this is probably a good thing
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Just running some numbers for overseas and despite a weaker Asia, it's going to BLOW everything out of the water
15M+ Aus17M~ Mexico
15M+ (at minimum) Brazil
10M+ (at minimum) UK
Using Mario's concentration in its top 4 markets on release here assuming a similar distribution, $135M-$140M INT OW minimum; probably will go even higher though if things play out right (which they probably will). 300M global opening in the cards. With good holds and a good China/Japan/SK, Barbilllion to the moon. -
On 7/15/2023 at 11:45 PM, Flamengo81 said:
“Barbie” Greater Salvador Region tracking: T-05
SHOWINGS
TOTAL SEATS
SEATS SOLD
PCT. SOLD
65
13757
4253
30.92%
SEATS SOLD IN THE PAST 4 DAYS
430
COMPS T-05
The Little Mermaid – 13.126x
The Flash – 15.298x (27.38M)
Into The Spiderverse – 14.146x (25.37M)
Guardians of The Galaxy Vol 3. – 8.697x (27.07M)
Fast X – 10.445x (52.25M)
So... The """bad news """ is that Barbie slowed down significantly compared to the previous days and the comps came down to a more realistic, but still mindblowing level. There is an excellent news though: the allocation increased significantly and there is now enough room to accomodate a very likely big final push in these last few days. I probably won't dare to predict a final number on this, but whatever it makes it's 100% going to be phenomenal.
I'm trying to do some analysis around Barbie's INT opening, idk what to even put for what I project here. Is 17M~ USD (80M lc) a decent number for OW or double? just roughly
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It could open close (if not more) than No Way Home if it keeps pace and the numbers aren't skewed. Just wow.
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45 minutes ago, Carlangonz said:
BARBIE OPENING DAY - T-3 DAYS
Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-6 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc Barbie 105 15226 23117 21.26% 65.86% Spiderverse 84 9797 19284 12.71% 50.8% 155.41% $69.93M The comp is just getting bigger and bigger! Remaining shows should start to be added as soon as tonight but nearest locations to those among the sample are getting all the spillover already.
Matinee shows at VIP locations are pretty much done with PLFs looking to be at least to 50% full and traditional screenings doing great numbers as well.
Will wait for final allocation but this may be closer to Mario's TFSS than expected.
Any numbers for full OW?
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Oppenheimer might have a pretty good IM, OW as a whole is looking strong
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I'd be pleasantly surprised if this is in the A-range for CinemaScore, but it's far too long for that. I'm luckily seeing it today so I'll have a clearer picture soon.
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Haunted Mansion being that high is very confusing and, in my opinion, shows the inability to capture a clear picture here
A movie that is (potentially) years away from release is just 10% under Barbie tooAlso, Barbie and Oppenheimer are both not even top 10 in Interest here
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20 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said:
Reactions today esp the indiewire one bode really well.
Yeah she ain't exactly the most reliable pinnacle of criticism but Randolph reaction makes me all the more curious.
Hold on to your seatbelts because this looking more and more like cultural zeitgeist movie and oh boy those can explode box office wise.
The Joker 2.0
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1 minute ago, rayjulio said:
wow, india seems like nolan so much. is he the most popular director there or cameron ? also how much oppenheimer can get with that much presale ?
Cameron is technically more popular but it's less because of him and more because of his movies, whereas there are people who are 'Nolan' fans rather than 'Avatar' fans in Cameron's case
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Middle-Eastern countries banned Spider-Verse for having a trans flag for 1.2 seconds, I wouldn't be surprised
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225M DOM
275M INT
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One thing they can do if they really want to squeeze every last bit of it is a Middle-East release alongside the Labor Day expansion stateside but I highly doubt that it's even in the realm of possibilities given the circumstances.
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Worst drop in a while. -41%. Usually the Weekends aren't insanely great and similar-ish but Weekdays are crazy strong. Last 3 weekdays were sub-30, sub-25 and even 1 week at sub-20. The weekday drop was pretty harsh. MI7 opening early definitely nuked screens for weekdays. next weekdays should have a decent hold but next weekend will be just as, if not more, brutal.
Looking like 305-310M OS finish compared to 310M+ based on previous drops. Dom hold was strong and might have it at 385-390M. final will be 690M~ and if it can somehow hold somewhat okay next week, 700M might be possible. Otherwise, they can try labor day expansion domestically and maybe squeeze that last bit.
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On 7/15/2023 at 4:41 AM, MovieMan89 said:
I predict people would actually watch this year if that ended up the race. Probably won’t get nearly that mainstream appealing though.
If Spider-Verse makes it in there too, it makes it that much more appealing.
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2 minutes ago, Kon said:
The estimates for DR according to DiscussingFilm:
From Variety, https://variety.com/2023/film/box-office/mission-impossible-7-projected-opening-weekend-tom-cruise-1235670840/
Oppenheimer | 2024 Academy Award Winner for Best Picture and Best Director
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
I think if people are familiar with Nolan's work and its structure, they'll really like it.
But if they're expecting a lot of action and things of that sort, they might be taken out a bit. People are dumb if they're expecting that kind of movie though (like Fast X, Mission Impossible etc.)