elinio

I think it will be July with the date of Fantastic Four. (25th july) And Fantastic Four will we release in november (7th november) because Blade will not be release in november. Fantastic Four is still filming. It will not be release in July.

There is also a world where Kraven the Hunter make 100M.

Smile 2 and A complete Unknown can gross 100M.

With just some preview Bettlejuice was first the last thursday in front of Le Comte and was second yesterday behind Le Comte. So we can expect a great opening day and week for Bettlejuice wednesday.

It would be fantastic to see 2024 beat 2023. People still want to go to theaters. We just need good and big films.I'm pretty sure 2025 will be close to 2015-2019 (205-210M admissions per year). The summer (may-august) was similar to 2015-2019. January, February, April were awful because of the hollywood strike and the lack of big american films. Last year the strike was catastrophic too (Dune 2 delay, etc..).

The lineup seems very strong until the end of the year compared to 2023. September with Bettlejuice will probably be better than 2023 who was bad. October is very packed with Joker 2, Venom 3, L'amour Ouf, Transformers, The Wild Robot, 4 zéros, Mr Aznavour. November will be decent with Gladiator 2 and Moana 2, two films who will be huge . December will be great too with Mufasa, Sonic 3, the continuation of Vaiana 2, Lord of the Rings, and 2-3 french comedies like Mercato , Un noel en famille or Jamais sans mon psy. At the end of August we have 117,75M admissions compared to 124,92M in 2023. There was 180,76M admission in 2023, right now i would say 178-179M admissions for 2024, it will be close.

Wicked in the top 10 globally make any sense. It's an american thing like twisters. Here in France for example we already know Mufasa will be huge and wicked not. Mufasa will be easily in the top 10 globally. But much more than that,it can be huge .Moana 2 and Mufasa can reach $1B globally. Disney will be fine.

Sonic can be in the top 10. Sonic 2 made 2,2m admissions in march 2022 at the end of the covid era. So Sonic 3 during christmas will make easily more admissions. I can see this one make 3-3,5m admissions.

It could change i think. Here in France it will be release in theater in February.

I think Mufasa is underrated by everyone. It will be massive worldwide. In europe it will be huge for sure. I can see Mufasa doing $800m OS and $1,1 Billion worldwide.

My 2025 box office predictions (top ten): 1. Avatar 3: $150m / $600m / $2.200m 2. Zootopia 2: $150m / $600m / $1.600m 3. Michael: $100m / $330m / $1.000m 4. Jurassic World 4: $110m / $350m / $900m 5. The Fantastic Four: $100m / $300m / $850m 6. Snow White: $110m / $330m / $850m 7. How to Train Your Dragon: $80m / $230m / $750m 8. Mission Impossible 8: $85m / $250m / $740m 9. Minecraft: $80m / $275m / $725m 10. Superman: Legacy: $108m / $310m / $650m and Lilo and Stich: $90m / $300m / $650m It would change if Ressurection of the christ and Beyond the spiderverse are releasing in 2025. I think Captain America and Thunderbolt will make less than 500m worldwide. My wildcard is Karate Kid, i don't know how Cobra Kai will help this film. It could be a big hit and make 600-700m worldwide. And i don't know what is the potential for a Gabby's Dollhouse movie.

Here in France it was obvious twitster would be a flop. But Beetlejuice will be big, very big. 250-300m DOMESTIC, and 350-400m OS.

Second best opening day of 2024 here In France with 265475 admissions. Great start.

Here in france on allocine: critics: 3,7/5 audience: 4/5 Very very good for a marvel movie.

https://deadline.com/2024/07/blake-lively-movie-it-ends-with-us-box-office-1236017671/ very promising start for It Ends With Us

July will be very good. Last year, thanks to Barbie and Oppenheimer, there was 18,22M admissions in July (compared to 16,69M for the period 2017-2019), a fantastic result. I think it will be better this year, i expect 19M admissions.

Yesterday (saturday) Monte-Cristo had more admissions than DM4, i'm not surprised with 1,15m admissions for DM4. Minions 2 made 1,36M admissions the first week, DM4 will be close to this number.

I expect 5,5M-6M admissions for Monte-Cristo. The average per theater is very good. And people love the film (4.5/5 on allocine).

https://deadline.com/2024/07/box-office-despicable-me-4-1236001250/ A+ cinemascore , 97% from audience, it seems this one can be the summer surprise.

Gladiator will me massive. In europe the first is one of the most beloved film ever. In France it will me massive.

The comte of monte cristo will be release friday. Expect a big week-end with this one, inside out and un ptit truc en +. Sunday (beginning of national cinema week) will probably be one of the best day of the year for cinemas. . There are also a quiet place, kind of kindness and a dany boon movie who are in theaters since today. Huge lineup. In my local theater, tickets for sunday for the comte of monte cristo sell very well.

There is no reason to push back captain america, thunderbolt ou F4. But clearly Blade will not be release in november, this film still doesn't have a director. Sony doesn't have a great lineup for 2025 so i think beyond the spiderverse will take this date (7th november 2025).

Next week with the debut of Le comte de monte cristo, and with Inside out and of course la fete du cinéma (tickets à 5 euros dimanche jusqu'à mercredi), it will be massive. I expect a fantastic hold for Inside Out.

Yes, i agree with you. We knew January, February and April would be awful because the slate was weak. The only failure is May . September (Bettlejuice, The Wild Robot, Transformers) , October (Joker 2, Smile 2, Venom 3) , November (Gladiator, Red One, Moana 2, Wicked), December (Mufasa, Sonic 3, Lord of the Rings) will be better than 2023 where the strike had big effects with the calendar (Dune 2 , Ghostbusters for example). At the end of August, 2024 will be probably 25-28% behind 2023, but after that it will be a different story. September, October, November, December were quite weak in 2023 with only 7 movies who grossed more than 100m during this period (Taylor Swift, Five night at Freddy's, Aquaman, Migration, Wonka, Hunger Games, Trolls) and only one movie (Wonka with 218m ) grossed more than 200m. It was a very weak end of year.

Good because the box office was very weak (except Un Ptit Truc en Plus) since April. With Le comte de Monte Cristo next week , and after that Minions, Twisters, Deadpool, Garfield, Largo Winch, the end of June and July will be good.