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JJ-8

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Everything posted by JJ-8

  1. i''m surprised George St is open at 10m given it's anzac day tomorrow ? i'm seeing it tomorrow afternoon at no lakes
  2. 1. Avengers, Lion King, and Pikachu's combined OW will be: B. Between $550M and $650M 2. Godzilla 2's China Box office will be: ABSTAIN 3. Avengers' Total admissions in South Korea will be: ABSTAIN 4. Secret Life of Pets 2's UK gross will be: B. Between $40M and $55M 5. The film with the best mulitplier will be: C. Toy Story 4 6. Avengers' number of weekends in the domestics top 5 + Lion King's number of weekends in the domestics top 5 + Toy Story's number of weekends in the domestics top 5 will be: B. 14-16 7. Toy Story 4's Domestic Gross divided by Child's Play and Annabelle's combined Domestic Gross will be: A. Less than 2.75 8. Hobbs and Shaw's Overseas (excluding Domestic) Box office will be: A. Less than $700M
  3. 20M - The Secret Life of Pets 2 - Australia 40M - The Secret Life of Pets 2 - UK 60M - Avengers: Endgame - Australia 80M - Avengers: Endgame - South Korea 100M - Avengers: Endgame - UK
  4. Week 1 - No. but i'm pretty much on the cusp... if you see my prediction in the main thread
  5. A: Domestic top 15: 1) Avengers: Endgame - 853.6m 2) The Lion King (2019) - 684.7m 3) Toy Story 4 - 383.6m 4) Spider-man: Far from Home - 380.2m 5) Detective Pikachu - 314.7m 6) The Secret Life of Pets 2 - 286m 7) Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw - 220.5m 😎 Rocketman - 203m 9) Godzilla: King of the Monsters - 193m 10) Aladdin (2019) - 186.1m 11) Dark Phoenix - 160.1m 12) It: Chapter 2 - 145.9m 13) Men in Black: International - 129.5m 14) John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum - 115.4m 15) Dora and the Lost City of Gold - 112m Backup 16*) Annabelle Come Home - 108.4m *Only used if a film above exits the game B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Avengers: Endgame - 295.8m 2) The Lion King (2019) - 206.9m 3) It: Chapter 2 - 135.1m 4) Detective Pikachu - 111.3m 5) Toy Story 4 - 95.3m 6) Spider-man: Far from Home - 86.5m 7) Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw - 77.9m Backup 8*) Godzilla: King of the Monsters - 73.2m *Only used if a film above exits the game 😄 Worldwide top 12: 1) Avengers: Endgame - 2484.4m 2) The Lion Ling (2019) - 1684.7m 3) Detective Pikachu - 1064.7m 4) Toy Story 4 - 1003.6m 5) Spider-man: Far from Home - 980.2m 6) Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw - 840.5m 7) The Secret life of Pets 2 - 776m 😎 Rocketman - 653m 9) Aladdin (2019) - 506.1m 10) Godzilla: King of the Monsters - 493m 11) Men in Black International - 449.5m 12) Dark Phoenix - 326.1m Backup 13*) It: Chapter 2 - 285.9m *Only used if a film above exits the game 😧 TOP 5 Weekends 1) Weekend 26/4 to 28/4 - 353.5m 2) Weekend 19/7 to 21/7 - 288.5m 3) Weekend 7/6 to 9/6 - 269.1m 4) Weekend 10/5 to 12/5 - 258.8m 5) Weekend 2/8 to 4/8 - 246.6m backup 6*) Weekend 21/6 to 23/6 - 243.6 (not really sure how a weekend could exit the game but still ) *Only used if a film above exits the game E: Multipliers 1) Anna (2019) - x 5.75 2) Midsommar - x 4.48 3) Spider-man: Far from home - x 4.40 4) Rocketman - x 4.34 5) Toy Story 4 - x 4.03 backup 6*) the Secret life of Pets - x 3.91 *Only used if a film above exits the game F: Total Grosses Top 15 DOM) 4,359.3m Top7 OW) 1,006.5m Top 12 WW) 11,261.9m Top 5 W/E) 1,416.5m Average Multi) x 4.60 G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 100M Annabelle Comes Home B: 200M Rocketman 😄 300M The Secret life of Pets 2 😧 400M Toy Story 4 E: 500M Toy Story 4 RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game: A: $1.5B The Lion King (2019) B: $1B Toy Story 4 😄 800M The Secret life of Pets 2 😧 600M Rocketman E: 400M Men in Black International RFQ3: Predict the top grossing film of each month: A: April Avengers: Endgame B: May Detective Pikachu 😄 June Toy Story 4 😧 July The Lion King (2019) E: August Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw DO NOT ALTER THE TEMPLATE! JUST ADD IN YOUR ANSWERS AS REQUIRED. FOLLOWING THIS ONE SIMPLE INSTRUCTION WILL LAND YOU 20,000 BONUS POINTS
  6. I think the way the dates land may hurt Endgames changes of breaking either OD or OW records... not impossible but it does make things hard given some states are off holidays...... As noted :- Wednesday is the OD and it's a full day from 8am till last session around midnight starting i think depending on location. There are no previews on the Tuesday night / mids either. but then thursday is a public holiday but is only a half day for cinemas due to the anzac day regulations. I suspect that Wednesday + thursday afternoon/night will play like the full Opening Day would have making the actual OD slightly lower than it might have under normal circumstances. my gut :- Here's my prediction :- (no OD or OW records here but i'd imagine the 5 day total is gonna be impressive ;)) Daily - OW aggregate / total Gross Wed - 8.5m thurs - 7.5m - 7.5m / 16m Fri - 5.5m - 13m / 21.5m Sat - 7.5m - 20.5m / 29m Sun - 6.5m - 27m / 35.5m OD = 8.5m OW = 27m Total Gross to date = 35.5m As I said both records are close but i think we will just fall short due to the thursday public holiday in this. EDIT - without the way it's opening i think it would have landed close to a 12m OD and 30-32m OW... that's my thoughts on it here... either way the opening is impressive, but i think star wars can hold onto it's records here.
  7. the question i have can we finally see a 10m OD ?
  8. Right so time to put things in perspective here :- Opening Weekend Records (please correct if i miss something) 1. Star Wars: the Force Awakens 27.3m 2. Avengers: Infinity War 21.2m (29.9m if you include the Wednesday Opening Day) 3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 21.0m 4. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 18.4m (25.5m if you include the Wednesday Opening Day) Opening Day Records 1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 9.4m 2. Avengers: Infinity War 8.7m 3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 7.1m 4. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 7.0m (I think i'm missing a OD but i can't find the records anymore) the best comparisons here are Infinity War (of course and is probably the yardstick it needs to beat) and Harry Potters then record opening is also relevant but less so... Especially given Endgame opens on the Wednesday like Infinity War - I think this will put the OW record out of reach at this point (27m seems a stretch for the normal 4 day weekend but 35m over 5 days seems in reach however.
  9. ok that makes life simpler! will update my spreadsheet accordingly.
  10. Full Investment - Detective Pikachu Full Investment - The Secret life of Pets 2 Full Investment - Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw Full Investment - Rocketman Full Investment - It: Chapter 2 Full Investment - John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum Full Investment - Annabelle Comes Home Full Investment - Shaft
  11. @chasmmi Chas - so i understand the scoring system here. Incorrect Answers count as Cashouts or not (in the context of the number of Cashouts) - just clarifying so this is scored correctly
  12. I have a sneaking feeling Chas is trying to pull a swiftly on us. Both songs by Celine. Mmmmmm very suspicious
  13. Can I ask how many songs that someone picked as no.1 didn’t make the top 106.
  14. just looking, it's on 4 x VMAX, 2 x Gold Class and 1 x normal - pretty much only playing on a premium format.... Just looking at Avengers endgame - i see it opens on the 24th here ? (a day earlier than expected). Also noticing that the first sessions are 8am on wed (exclude thursday because nothing starts before 2pm), fri, sat and sunday. last sessions on thursday, friday and saturday start at 11pm too... so pretty much playing all day (been a while since i've seen sessions that early and late)
  15. i think it's going to be interesting which film everyone puts to the top of their domestic.... you could argue 3 films have a shot based on predictions :- Avengers Pika The Lion King They are appear to be the 3 front runners for top spot this game... It's almost a toss up this one. you could debate that toy story 4 is an outside but very unlikely shot too. it's going to be interesting game (could we see 3 films go in excess of 600m in 1 summer ? too low ? 700m then (I've seen predictions for all 3 films that or higher) As for OW u would think Avengers has that sewn up however i suspect pika and lion king could end up a lot closer than u think and heck who knows where spiderman lands in all this (if I were sony I would have released this in november avoiding the craziness that is this summer....)
  16. Here is my take on the mcu and how I like each film.... The 2 weakest films in the mcu for me is The Incredible Hulk and Thor 2. Infinity War is the strongest but The original Avengers, GOTG, and Antman and the wasp also hit the big notes for me too.. Phase 1 Iron Man 8.5 / 10 The Incredible Hulk 7 / 10 Iron Man 2 8 / 10 Thor 8 / 10 Captain America : The First Avenger 7.5 / 10 The Avengers 9.5 / 10 Phase 2 Iron Man 3 8 / 10 Thor : The Dark World 7 / 10 Captain America : The Winter Soldier 9 / 10 Guardians of the Galaxy 9.5 / 10 Avengers : Age of Ultron 9 / 10 Ant-Man 8 / 10 Phase 3 Captain America: Civil War 9 / 10 Doctor Strange 8.5 / 10 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 9 / 10 Spider-Man: Homecoming 8 / 10 Thor: Ragnarok 9 / 10 Black Panther 9 / 10 Avengers: Infinity War 10 / 10 Ant-Man and the Wasp 9.5 / 10 Captain Marvel 9 / 10 [yes I have seen it and enjoyed it - great addition to the mcu…] very much looking forward to endgame!
  17. Wow. Nice So we have Pv - 20.5m Friday (without Pv) - 40.9m Sat (a guard) - 53m - 54.5m Sun (projected) - 37m to 49m So the range I get after those is 151m - 164m) I think CM lands around 158m based on this Fantastic result!
  18. and yet again another season where u just need to be close to top in the weeklies but a monster preseason will win the game.
  19. and just for interests sake... here is top 15 against the actuals..... you can see he only missed 1 film (The Upside is the missing piece) surprisingly he didn't get 1 film in the exact position and the closest to predictor is coloured green... very impressive... @Simionski @chasmmi A: Top 15 Domestic Actuals Simionski Movie Gross. Position. # Predictions Closest Prediction Gross Position Mary Poppins Returns $170,951,108 6 18 $155,000,000 $300,000,000 1 Ralph Breaks the Internet $199,892,052 4 18 $205,700,000 $250,000,000 2 Aquaman $332,990,756 1 18 $285,000,000 $250,000,000 3 Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) $270,620,950 2 18 $275,000,000 $240,000,000 4 Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald $159,555,901 7 18 $200,000,000 $200,000,000 5 Bohemian Rhapsody $213,204,792 3 17 $215,000,000 $185,000,000 6 Glass $108,080,145 10 17 $95,000,000 $180,000,000 7 The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part $83,670,388 13 18 $87,000,000 $175,000,000 8 Bumblebee $126,944,067 8 18 $126,000,000 $150,000,000 9 Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse $185,003,294 5 18 $175,000,000 $140,000,000 10 Creed II $115,692,155 9 18 $115,200,000 $115,000,000 11 The Mule $103,468,651 11 12 $95,000,000 $80,000,000 12 Alita: Battle Angel $61,954,428 0 $75,000,000 13 Instant Family $67,363,237 15 2 $75,000,000 $75,000,000 14 Green Book $69,991,771 14 6 $70,000,000 $70,000,000 15
  20. Here is the top 15 Scores table for interest... Simionski won this by miles here.... # Top 15 Domestic # Correct # within 50m # closest Predictions Prediction Score Bonus Score Total Score 1 Simionski 14 8 3 1,262,000 720,000 1,982,000 2 PanaMovie 13 6 1 1,003,000 465,000 1,468,000 3 Kalo 12 7 3 1,021,000 445,000 1,466,000 4 aabattery 13 6 0 1,025,000 425,000 1,450,000 5 kayumanggi 13 6 1 972,000 465,000 1,437,000 6 glassfairy 12 4 3 976,000 420,000 1,396,000 7 The Panda 12 8 2 929,000 430,000 1,359,000 8 bcf26 12 7 1 881,000 365,000 1,246,000 9 Sheikh 12 6 1 877,000 365,000 1,242,000 10 BobDole 12 4 1 897,000 340,000 1,237,000 11 WrathofHan 12 8 0 850,000 350,000 1,200,000 12 Chasmmi 12 5 1 845,000 340,000 1,185,000 13 Fancyarcher 12 5 0 885,000 300,000 1,185,000 14 Wrath 12 4 0 853,000 300,000 1,153,000 15 Telemachos 11 6 0 800,000 250,000 1,050,000 16 Mike Hunt 11 5 0 767,000 225,000 992,000 17 JJ-8 11 6 0 728,000 250,000 978,000 18 ZeeSoh 11 5 0 728,000 225,000 953,000
  21. yeah when i was scoring i kinda realised simionski had it in the bag when i saw he had 14 / 15 .... @chasmmi i don't think anyone has done 14 / 15 before ... can you remember ? @baumer
  22. For reference, @Simionski has won the 2018 / 2019 winter game @Sheikh landed in runner up while bronze went to @PanaMovie Congratulations to everyone and thanks for a wonderful game... so much fun and back soon wwhen the summer game post lands.... and it's closer than you think @chasmmi
  23. @Sheikh your turn is here... Sheikh Like ZeeSoh before him, Sheikh needs a monster top 15 to hand onto top from here.
  24. And then there was 1, @Sheikh who has led for much of the game now since he took from @BobDole, now needs to put up one of the best scores of the top 15 (2nd best is required here)..... it seems almost impossible but then @Simionski has proven it's possible... but can he do it!
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