JJ-8

Pretty sure I still have all my avatar data in excel from back in the day. ….. ps it’s performing fine will be interesting how the dailies went whether it’s heading for 60m (seems way under now) or pushing for 100m. I think it’s heading for 80-90m finish. But way to early days.

Stunning film. I caught it Boxing Day. Yet again Cameron has outdone himself.

Up to you whether you accept @chasmmi but late entry for week 1. Weekly Questions will have 13 questions, except for the weeks that don't: Part A: 1. Will No Time To Die to more than $75M? 1000 YES 2. Will No Time To Die to more than $100M? 2000 NO 3. Will No Time To Die to more than $87.5M? 3000 NO 4. Will No Time To Die's best day be enough to take number 1 for the weekend on its own? 4000 YES 5. Will Venom drop more than 54%? 1000 YES 6. Will Addam's Family stay above $10M? 2000 YES 7. Will South of Heaven open above Lamb? 3000 NO 8. Will Chal Mera Putt 3 stay above Titane? 4000 YES 9 Will Free Guy drop more than 50%? 1000 YES 10. Will Candyman increase more than 65% on Saturday? 2000 YES 11. Will Evan Hanson have a PTA above $375? 3000 NO 12. Will Shang Chi have a smaller percentage drop than Jungle Cruise? 4000 YES 13. Will No Time To Die's Domestic Total after Sunday be closer to the domestic total of Venom or Evan Hanson? 6000 VENOM Bonus: 6/13 2000 7/13 4000 8/13 6000 9/13 9000 10/13 12000 11/13 16000 12/13 20,000 13/13 24,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will No Day To Die make for its 3 day OW? 82.111m 2. What will Venom's percentage drop be? -58.9% 3. What will Lamb's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? 1000 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. No Time to Die 2. Venom 2 4. Shang Chi 6. Free Guy 8. Lamb 10. Jungle Cruise Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000

TOP 10 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 20,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game. A: Domestic top 10: 1) Spider-man No Way Home 350m 2) Eternals 200m 3) No Time to Die 190m 4) Matrix Resurections 185m 5) Encanto 130m 6) Dune 127m 7) Ghostbusters Afterlife 100m 😎 Sing 2 95m 9) Morbius 93m 10) West Side Story 88m Backup 11*) King Richard 80m *Only used if a film above exits the game B: Top 5 Domestic OW: 1) Spider-man No Way Home 135m 2) No Time to Die 85m 3) Eternals 81m 4) Matrix Resurections 80m 5) Ghostbusters Afterlife 47m Backup 6*) Dune 45m *Only used if a film above exits the game 😄 RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 50M Halloween Kills B: 100M Ghostbusters Afterlife C 150M Encanto D 200M Eternals RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following best weekend milestones by the end of the game: A: $30 King Richard B: $45 Dune C $60 Matrix Resurections D $75 Eternals RFQ3: Predict the highest grossing film released in each month by the end of the game: A: October No Time to Die B: November Eternals 😄 December Spider-man No Way Home 😧 January Morbius 😧 RANDOM QUESTIONS OF DANGER 1. How many films in the OW Top 5 will release Day and Date on a streaming service? a) 0 b) 1 c) 2 2. If Venom had been eligible for the game, where would its final total gross finish? a) Top 3 b) Top 6 c) 7th or lower 3. Which of the following Studios will have the highest grossing film? a) Sony b) MGM c) Warner Bros 4. How many films will gross more than $100M? a) 6 or fewer b) 7-8 c) 9 or more 5. Which studio will have the most films in the top 5? a) Disney b) Sony c) Warner Bros 6. Which studio will have the most films in places 6-10? a) Disney b) Universal c) Warner Bros 7. Which studio will have the most films in places 10-15? a) Universal b) Sony c) Warner Bros 8. How many different films will finish 1st Domestic, 1st Top Weekend, and 1st WW? a) 1 b) 2 c) 3 9. Which of the following will have the highest combined Domestic gross? a) Eternals + Encanto b) Bond + Dune c) Spider-Man + Ghostbusters 10. Which of the following will have the closest combined best weekends? a) Spider-Man + Halloween b) Matrix + Sing c) Bond + West Side Story 11. How much will the Domestic Top 10’s combined gross be? a) Less than $1.25B b) $1.25B-1.6B c) Over $1.6B 12. How much will the top 5 best Weekends’ combined gross be? a) Less than $300M b) $300M-$400M c) Over $400M DO NOT ALTER THE TEMPLATE! JUST ADD IN YOUR ANSWERS AS REQUIRED. FOLLOWING THIS ONE SIMPLE INSTRUCTION WILL LAND YOU 20,000 BONUS POINTS

Until then the box office is prob running at around 30 or 40% of the market. Maybe even less (30% nsw, 29% Vic, act 1%? 🤷🏻‍♂️) in other news I’m double phizeeeerrrrrrrred - I think that’s it should written (sorry been watching too much Jimmy Rees!

I think it’s nearly half the population is currently on lockdown. I heard reported over 11m. 🤔

quick update. Wrath of Man takes top spot from MK which dips a hefty 54%. While GodzillaVKong has been giving 30m a good shake here, it's looking like it will fall short now and probably finalise between 27m and 28m.

oh and small update on the list above.... Godzilla vs Kong in top spot now and Peter Rabbit 2 has shifted into 5th pushing tenet out of the top 5.

Mortal Kombat producing a knock out victory at the top of the charts here. Frankly I would have been happy with the result here pre-covid which is a good sign for the movie market here. Godzilla vs Kong continuing on it's merry way to nearly 30m (it's going to be close, 26m and counting.) Remember this is like making 300m in the US. Peter Rabbit 2 also performing quite well with nearly 19m to date.

The Dry is having a fantastic run. 15m already. I feel like 20m is easily going to be passed with the small drops it keeps getting. At this rate 25m isn’t impossible in this market. to me the dry has turned out to be a film that has benefited from COVID. I think in a normal market this makes around 10m? COVID has given the film room to breathe. And the lack of competition has pushed it a lot further too.

True for the larger chains such as event. But I can see big troubles for the smaller operators without changes. Not saying it’s impossible but not a great situation

True. Accept that is being wound in the next few months (it’s already reduced) the long term viability of cinemas not only overseas but here in Australia is in question right now. I don’t see numbers returning quickly especially with the move Warner’s took. in saying that WW84 had a very respectable start here. But even with that the overall BO for Xmas/ New Years is way down on previous years. though we aren’t getting the day and date release here so..... don’t think Warner’s will let foxtel play their movies earlier than normal.

interesting article in the Brisbane Times .... https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/culture/movies/there-will-be-no-more-cinemas-operators-lobby-government-for-survival-20210104-p56ro4.html It's from a local independant cinema owner in brisbane (United Cinemas - runs the elderado cinemas at indooroopilly). Unless there is some intervention (and we are talking here in australia) he sees struggles for cinemas here where we are able to open. Raises a lot of points which i think have been mentioned around here already but still...... interesting read to see how australian cinemas are taking all this. especially the WB move (day and date releases in the USA)

Yeah I'm thinking 200k Xmas day, 3.8m boxing 2.x sunday.

For those that don't know the Australian box office the next whole week after boxing day normally sees daily total near weekend dailies. So the weekdays could see another 4-6m before new years weekend. I'm expecting WW84 to be over 15m after new years. I feel like 30m isn't out of reach here which is a total Warners would have been looking for in AUS even pre covid.

Fantastic start for WW84 here. 4.5m USD or over 6m AUD opening weekend. That's a 2 day total because boxing day fell on a Saturday. Compared to last year jumanji TNL did 13.2m over 4days (boxing landed on a Thursday) so not a bad start in comparison. Very hard to compare as not apples for apples but this feels stronger than the first WW of 6.8m over a normal 4 day weekend. Unless we get another covid outbreak I think WW84 Should top it's predecessors total of 25m here. All round great start. Pretty sure the overall box office is down due to lack of product but fantastic start for WW84 here

Nice. Hopefully we can route em in the morning so we can finish it off again.....

I guess India wasn't going to repeat it's adelaide performance 10 / 36 (well technically 9 / 36 + 1 retired hurt but still)

any early thoughts on how boxing day performed here.... @Rthtr @charlie Jatinder - kinda hoping we see an reasonable uptick (not expecting anywhere near previous boxing day results but still hopeful. I haven't had time to catch WW84 as yet though i'm not the biggest DC fan so really isn't high on my agenda to see (though i did enjoy the first film)

Makes sense. Still a little confusing when the numbers aren't up to date. I'm guessing there won't be much official reporting till after new years now.

Not disagreeing but look at the 11th Dec chart (incomplete as it is). Tenets total has reduced by 200k? From 14.9m to 14.7m approx. All totals on the numbers are USD converted back to AUD. works for weekly numbers but overall totals don't work. See my post above from screen Australia. Tenet is over 15.4m as of 18 Dec.

The problem with the numbers is all numbers are in US first and then converted back to AUD often making the AUD figure wrong. Eg. Tenet shows as up to 14.9m AUD on the numbers but the real AUD figure is over 15.4m

See my above post for the widget but screen Australia update their totals weekly (Inc monthly and a top 50 yearly chart)

Testing - checking too see if the embed option from screen Australia works.

Late belated Christmas to everyone here from down under (boxing day has already arrived Here)