Wrong..
I have seen AIW twice. Probably won't see it again in Cinemas
Seeing DP2 opening day, if it wasn't coming out it would have had no bearing on me seeing AIW a third time or not
Summer.
The BO expands to accommodate, hence why majority of films release in Summer. They have only just caught on you can actually make decent cash outside of summer as well.
AIW will be 600m+ by the time DP2 opens anyway
Ok, I am in Aus so maybe it was different WOM here due to the cultural differences
BP will almost get 3.5x so why is 3x not possible to AIW? The WOM is still very positive.
I said I feel it has... therefor IMO
Panther may have been received slightly better, but it didn't have people raving "you have to see it to believe it" type of WOM.
Panther was, "yeah it was really good, it is worth watching"
RT User Rating
AIW 93%
BP 79%
Guess we can all point to stats that favour our opinion...
Just it missing 600m talk. 2.34x multi is falling off a cliff to me
I think 3x multi should be the over under.
Missing BP ~700m would be a massive disappointment. It opened larger and I feel has better WOM
It is horrendous analysis to just say 800m is impossible because of Avengers 1 multi.
This movie has exceeded all expectations for Sat and Sun and I even think Fri given SW7 had the marathon dollars rolled into it.
To suddenly predict this to fall of a cliff is going against the trend = poor analysis.
To even question sub 600m is ludicrous. Opening 60m higher than BP and make 100m less... Wut?
This has unanimous "You have to see this" wom.
360m by Friday from then on 120m/360 type of run with potential to do better
720 - 800m
I noticed how you ignored my post on population change.
GWIW sold ~160m tickets in 1939 when USA population was 131m
According to your simplified logic all movies now should be selling 400m tickets.
Its a different market you can only compare the BO +- 10 to 15 years max accurately due to changing conditions, don't be a fool.
We will be lucky to be seeing $2b Box office or 100m tickets sold in 2040 with a population of 500m
Americas Population in 1980 - 226m
Americas Population in 2014 - 318m
Change = 40%
Meanwhile the average age has increased by 5 years
You really think an older population which visits the cinema less frequent, during the technology age where downloading is rampant among many other economical factors contributes less than 40% against ticket sales?
if population increase was such a determining factor why havent films been doing $1b+ domestic for 15 years now?