laguy03

All questions worth 1,000 points, unless otherwise specified All answers are due by Thursday at 11:59 pm (PST) All questions pertain to the top 12 films of the weekend 1) Will Gravity open to more than $37M? 2) Will Gravity have an opening day of more than $14M? 3) Will Runner Runner’s opening weekend gross be within $5M of Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 weekend gross? 4) Will Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 drop less than 30%? 5) Will Prisoners have a Saturday drop of more than 40%? 6) Will at least 2 films drop less than 20%? 7) Will Don Jon drop less than 45%? 8) Will The Butler stay in the Top 12? 9) Will Rush drop less than 25%? 10) Will any film have a drop of less than 22% on Sunday? 8/10 Correct = 4,000 bonus points 9/10 Correct = 6,000 bonus points 10/10 Correct = 8,000 bonus points Bonus #1) How much will the top 3 films gross (combined)? [4,000 points] Bonus #2) What will the combined percentage drop be for the two films that drop the least amount this weekend? (For example, if Prisoners & Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 have the best drops, and Prisoners drops -5% and CWACOM2 drops -2%, your answer would be 7%.) [4,000 points] Bonus #3) What will finish in spots: #2) #6) #11) [2,000 points each. If you get all 3 correct, you get 3,000 bonus points.] Total points up for grabs: 35,000

Yes. I feel very confident that 12 Years a Slave will also go wide at some point. There is a really good chance that the 3 films listed in #7 will go wide as well.

Reminder: I need you all to give me predictions for your Top 18 films just in case some of the films in your Top 15 get pushed back to next year. Thank you!

That's a good question. I think what I'm going to do is ask everyone to give me 3 alternates in their preseason predictions. That means that instead of a Top 15, I will ask for a Top 18. Only the Top 15 films will count toward your score, but if one of your top 15 predictions gets its release date pushed back, I will remove that film and replace it with the film you had right behind it. So if for example, if you have Wolf of Wall Street at #1 and it gets moved to Spring, we will move up whatever film you had at #2 to #1 and that will continue all the way down your list, until your #16 becomes your #15. Make sense?

I've been really busy the past 2 days so I wasn't able to finalize preseason questions. I will have them up by tomorrow. Thanks for your patience!

Everyone please remember that the Preseason Prediction/Answer thread should not be used for any discussion. Everyone participating in the game should really only have one post in that thread. Thank you!

One of the things that makes the Winter Game so interesting is that there are always at least a handful of films that get limited release but then expand over the course of weeks and some end up being $100M+ grossing films, in large part due to all of the awards season campaigning and sometimes just from word of mouth buzz. I am looking at ALL films for my Top 15, not just wide releases.

Remember that you need to post your predictions here.

I really hope you reconsider narniadis. There will only be 10 questions on a weekly basis and 5 SOTMs. I think that even though it sounds like a big commitments, it's really not that bad.

Yes. That is the Preseason predictions/answers thread. Separate threads will be created for weekly questions & SOTMS. This thread is only for discussion/updates.

By the way, in case anyone was wondering, the only prizes you can get in this game are bragging rights. This is just for fun!

It's the same thread. I just asked baumer to move it to this forum for visibility purposes. This thread is for discussion and the other one I created is only for preseason predictions and answers.

Please read my first post. I linked to the thread that has the guidelines. Also, please remember that this thread is only for answers. If you have any questions, you can post them there or PM me if you'd like.

Top 18 1. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire – $400M 2. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug – $300M 3. Thor: The Dark World – $195M 4. Frozen – $165M 5. Gravity – $142M 6. Anchorman: The Legend Continues – $134M 7. The Wolf of Wall Street – $118M 8. Captain Phillips – $109M 9. Twelve Years A Slave – $99M 10. Walking with Dinosaurs – $88M 11. Ender’s Game – $85M 12. Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa – $82M 13. Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas – $76M 14. American Hustle – $73M 15. Free Birds – $70M 16. Last Vegas – $68M 17. All Is Lost - $66M 18. The Counselor – $65M Top 5 OW 1. The Hunger Games:Catching Fire - $158M 2. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug - $94M 3. Thor: The Dark World - $78M 4. Anchorman: The Legend Continues - $57M 5. Frozen - $44M PRESEASON QUESTIONS 1. Will at least 3 films gross more than $85M dollars opening weekend (domestically)? YES Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 2. Will at least three films gross more than $37.5M opening day? ABSTAIN Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 3. Will at least 2 films make more than $800M WW by the end of the game? YES Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 4. Will at least 3 films, listed as a comedy by Box Office Mojo make more than $100M dollars this winter? (The films that qualify for this question include: A.C.O.D., Bad Milo!, Zero Charisma, Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa, Last Vegas, About Time, Best Man Down, A Case of You, The Best Man Holiday, Nebraska, Delivery Man, Inside Llewyn Davis, Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas, Anchorman: The Legend Continues, Her, Grudge Match, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty, August: Osage County, and Ride Along) NO Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 5. Will the combined grosses of the top 2 films add up to more than the combined gross of films that land in spots #3 - #9? NO Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 6. Of the following movies currently listed as being released in a limited amount of theaters, which will be the highest grossing? Twelve Years A Slave, American Hustle, or Saving Mr. Banks TWELVE YEARS A SLAVE Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 7. Of the following movies currently listed as being released in a limited amount of theaters, which will be the lowest grossing? Her, Nebraska, or Dallas Buyers Club DALLAS BUYERS CLUB Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 8. Will the November opening weekend record be broken by more than $25M? (The current record holder is The Twilight Saga: New Moon with $142,839,137.) ABSTAIN Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 9. Will the December opening weekend record be broken by more than $10M? (The current record holder is The Hobbit with $84,617,303.) ABSTAIN Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 10. Which combination of movies will gross the most amount of money during the game? A. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire, Twelve Years A Slave, All Is Lost, & Old Boy B. The Hobbit: the Desolation of Smaug, Gravity, Captain Phillips, Last Vegas, & The Secret Life of Walter Mitty C. Thor: The Dark World, Anchorman: The Legend Continues, Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa, Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas, & Frozen C. Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points

Hi everyone, please use this thread to post your Top 15 highest grossing films of Winter, Top 5 OW, and preseason answers. While you are working on those things, please feel free to post a "reserve" spot for your answers. Keep the discussion for the main thread, located here. Thank you!

Welcome to laguy’s 2013/14 Winter Game! This is a (nearly) 4 month game that begins on Friday, October 4th, 2013 and ends on Monday, January 20th, 2014. That means everything that is asked of you in this game, from predicted grosses to SOTMs, only concern box office grosses earned during this period. All preseason predictions and answers are due on Thursday, October 3rd at 12 PM PST. This thread will only be used for the discussion of the game. Your Top 15 films, Top 5 Opening Weekends, and preseason answers will be posted in a separate thread. Every scorable answer must be posted in the designated thread. I won’t be scoring anything that is posted in this thread. Also, I will not accept PM answers. I will be strict with deadlines, so please be sure that you post your answers/responses before the given deadlines. Game Components: Predict Top 15 Films of Winter (750,000 points + 900,000 potential bonus points) Predict the order and grosses of the top 15 films released between October 4th, 2013 and January 20th, 2014. Point System for Predicting Grosses: For every Top 15 film’s gross that you call within $10M, you get 30,000 points. If you call it between $10M-$20M, you get 20,000 points. If you call it between $20M-$30M, you get 10,000 points. If you call it within $30M-$40M, you don’t gain or lose points. If the final gross you predicted is off by between $40M-$60M, you will lose 5,000 points. For every $20M you are off by after that, you will lose an additional 5,000 points. So if, for example you are off by $101M, you will lose 20,000 points for that film. Point System for Predicting Positions: [*]For every film you call correctly in the Top 15, you will get 20,000 points. [*]If you call a film in the correct spot, you will get 20,000 bonus points. [*]If you predict a film will make the Top 15 and it misses, you will lose 15,000 points for that prediction. [*]You will not gain or lose points for the predicted grosses of the films that miss the Top 15 The bonus point breakdowns are described below. You can score one of the first three bonuses in addition to a bonus from the rest of the list. [*]If you call the top 3 positions correctly, in order, you will get a 50,000 point bonus [*]If you call the top 4 positions correctly, in order, you will get a 75,000 point bonus [*]If you call the top 5 positions correctly, in order, you will get a 100,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 8 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 50,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 9 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 100,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 10 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 150,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 11 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 200,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 12 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 250,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 13 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 300,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 14 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 400,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 15 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 500,000 point bonus Predict Top 5 Opening Weekends (75,000 points + 200,000 potential bonus points) Predict the 5 biggest opening weekend grosses (and the order of those openings). All films released between October 4th, 2013 and January 20th, 2014 will count. I consider a film’s opening weekend gross to be as all money earned starting with Thursday sneak peaks and leading up to Sunday night. Point System for Predicting Top 5 OW: For every film you call correctly in the top 5, regardless of order, you will receive 15,000 points. For every film you call in the exact spot, you will get 10,000 bonus points. If you are able to call 3 of the 5 correctly, regardless of order, you will receive a 50,000 point bonus. Call 4 out of 5 correctly, you will get a 75,000 point bonus. If you call 5 out of 5 correctly, you will get a 100,000 point bonus. For every film you call incorrectly in the top 5, you lose 10,000 points. As a bonus, for every Top 5 opening weekend gross that you guess within $10M, you will get 10,000 points. Since these are bonus points, predicting the OW grosses is not mandatory. The only thing I have to have are the film titles and their respective positions. 10 Preseason Questions (100,000 points) Note: For every film that you don’t give an answer for, you will automatically lose 7,000 points. 1. Will at least 3 films gross more than $85M dollars opening weekend (domestically)? Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 2. Will at least three films gross more than $37.5M opening day? Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 3. Will at least 2 films make more than $800M WW by the end of the game? Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 4. Will at least 3 films, listed as a comedy by Box Office Mojo make more than $100M dollars this winter? (The films that qualify for this question include: A.C.O.D., Bad Milo!, Zero Charisma, Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa, Last Vegas, About Time, Best Man Down, A Case of You, The Best Man Holiday, Nebraska, Delivery Man, Inside Llewyn Davis, Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas, Anchorman: The Legend Continues, Her, Grudge Match, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty, August: Osage County, and Ride Along) Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 5. Will the combined grosses of the top 2 films add up to more than the combined gross of films that land in spots #3 - #9? Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 6. Of the following movies currently listed as being released in a limited amount of theaters, which will be the highest grossing? Twelve Years A Slave, American Hustle, or Saving Mr. Banks Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 7. Of the following movies currently listed as being released in a limited amount of theaters, which will be the lowest grossing? Her, Nebraska, or Dallas Buyers Club Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 8. Will the November opening weekend record be broken by more than $25M? (The current record holder is The Twilight Saga: New Moon with $142,839,137.) Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 9. Will the December opening weekend record be broken by more than $10M? (The current record holder is The Hobbit with $84,617,303.) Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points 10. Which combination of movies will gross the most amount of money during the game? A. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire, Twelve Years A Slave, All Is Lost, & Old Boy B. The Hobbit: the Desolation of Smaug, Gravity, Captain Phillips, Last Vegas, & The Secret Life of Walter Mitty C. Thor: The Dark World, Anchorman: The Legend Continues, Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa, Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas, & Frozen Answer it correctly: 10,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points Abstain: 2,500 points Weekly Questions (160,000 + potential bonus points) Every week, there will be 10 questions that must be answered by Thursday night at 11:59 PM PST. The deadline will always be the same, regardless of when movies are released and whatever else is going on that week (including Holidays). Anywhere from 2-3 bonus questions will be included every week. The points on those will vary. SOTM Questions (50,000 points) There will be 5 Spur Of The Moment questions. Each will be worth 10,000 points. So that pretty much covers everything. You have less than 2 weeks to get all of your preseason answers in. If you have any suggestions or questions, please post them here. Good luck everyone!

Alright everyone. I will work on a thread that will get started sometime this weekend. In the meantime, start thinking about your Top 15 movies of Winter! The season will kick off in two weeks with the release of "Gravity" and end on MLK weekend (Jan. 20 will be the final day of the game).

I would like to run the game, but only if I can get someone to help me along the way. I can come up with all of the rules/guidelines, do scoring, and things like SOTMS but I would like to have someone assist with coming up with weekly questions/preseason questions.

Just wondering because I haven't seen any announcements about it. I remember Shawn mentioning a few weeks ago that he would let us know before the end of that week but I don't recall seeing anything.

Thanks for this thread, baumer! And thanks everyone else for your comments. I'm glad that people look forward to the thread because I look forward to updating it every week. As you mentioned, baumer, I do it strictly for the love of the game. But I wouldn't even be able to have a thread to update if you didn't create and run such an awesome game. Thank YOU for all the work you put into the game. I look forward to it every year. Here's to next year's game!

Is this what you are looking for? http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/9467-bsg-final-weekend-1-kitik-2-shawnmr-3-cedar-laguy-biggest-jump10-spots/page-167#entry1012411

Here is the updated bonus point structure based on the fact that We're the Millers knocked Epic out of the Top 15: 11/15 (250,000 bonus) acsc1312 baumer CEDAR ChFloppit cmasterclay Filmovie IronMan89 iTz ED junkshop38 laguy03 Mattrek Newbie Telemachos TylerDurden365 10/15 (250,000 bonus) Blankments Into Darkness Chasmmi CJohn Dexter of Suburbia Druv10 GoffeSteel glassfairy grim22 Iceroll JackO Jay Salahi kitik Michael G Scott narniadis Punishment RichWS Sam Schumacher FTW ShawnMR Tower Vanilla 9/15 (250,000 bonus) 24Lost DAR Fake gizmo Iron Olive Jake Gittes Jessie kayumanggi Neo Simionski The Stingray 8/15 (250,000 bonus) C00k13 TLK

I just created a new thread that includes all links to scoring posts and answer keys. Here is the link to the thread:http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/11699-baumers-summer-2013-game-links-to-answer-keys-scores

SOTM Questions SOTM 1: Scoring Post: Here SOTM 2: Scoring Post: Here SOTM 3: Scoring Post: Here SOTM 4: Scoring Post: Here SOTM 5: Scoring Post: Here SOTM 6: Scoring Post: Here SOTM 7: Scoring Post: Here SOTM 8: Scoring Post: Here SOTM 9: Scoring Post: Here SOTM 10: Scoring Post: Here SOTM 11: Not yet scored. SOTM 12: Scoring Post: Here Donovan Question: Scoring Post: Here

Weekly Questions Week 1 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 2 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 3 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 4 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 5 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 6 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 7 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 8 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 9 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 10 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 11 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 12 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 13 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 14 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 15 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 16 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 17 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 18 Questions: Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here Week 19 Questions: Not yet scored. Makeup Questions (1st Set): Answer Key: Here Scoring Post: Here