MovieMan89
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Everything posted by MovieMan89
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2014 looks unusually quiet for them though. Talk about the calm before the storm! It's really too bad they can't move one of their 2015 mega hitters up to 2014.
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Still a development issue. Paramount might not care enough to deal with any development issues next time around. Believe me, studios hate taking losses on blockbuster films. If anyone thinks STID not making bank wouldn't put a sour taste in Paramount's mouth for the series, they're kidding themselves. We'll see how OS and legs turn out though. It could still pass 500 WW, which should put it in the green.
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STID had problems getting going and ST09 was a huge success. What makes you think a sequel to STID might not have problems ever happening if STID takes a loss for Paramount? It won't be a priority series for them anymore, and if there's any development problems, they'll more than likely just throw in the towel on it.
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That just made me realize Oz could very well beat STID at the box office.
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Originally Abrams intended to make a series to go along with the movies. That didn't work out though obviously.
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Uh, that's the movie that killed the franchise so it had to be rebooted. STID had a $200m budget, not including marketing. If it just barely passes 200 DOM, Paramount is likely looking at a loss or not much of a profit. This isn't an OS series to save it. If it's not profitable and Abrams doesn't want to make another one, Paramount could easily send the series into darkness. At least for another decade or so until a new reboot comes along.
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Oops missed that. Good job baumer! It could actually do just that.
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Next week will be brutal for all the holdovers. You have Hangover targeting teens/young adults, Epic targeting kids and family, and F6 targeting most everyone. The only thing that might not suffer too bad is TGG because that's still the only movie mainly targeting women.
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With Abrams leaving, if STID really underperforms at the BO the series might be dead again before it really got started. I don't think 200m by any means guarantees a ST3.
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No way DM2 and MU both fail to hit 300. If one doesn't, the other sure as hell will. Mostly the list does look pretty sensible though. Except even that turned out to be too high for STID.
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Disney doesn't care about the quality or who is better suited. They care about $$$$$.
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Alright, so who isn't screwed by Star Trek flopping for their top 15? Who had the lowest guess?
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Disney announces the title for Episode VII after seeing this weekend's box office results:
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I really think it's as simple as the 4 year gap. The GA moved on from Star Trek since 2009. It wasn't an established enough franchise yet for the GA to care about it that long. 3 years is the most studios should wait for a first sequel, imo.
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Um, how? Even with a sub 20% Sunday drop it would still be looking at 85m tops for the 4 day. And sunday's drop will likely be more around 25-30%.
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Yeah, that was 2004. Sky Captain is still such an overlooked little gem.
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No it isn't. F5 fell 63% its second weekend, and it had great WOM and a smaller OW than F6 will likely have. A 65% 2nd weekend drop should be expected for F6, regardless of WOM. It's a Twilight/Potter type of franchise.
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Actually if it can make it through next weekend without imploding, STID may still have a decent run legs wise. The Fast franchise is one of the most frontloaded around, and I have a feeling TH3 will be unusually frontloaded as well so I expect them to both fall below 35m on their 2nd weekends. So after memorial Day, STID will have relatively weak competition till MOS. Even if good legs happen though, it looks like ST09 is the highest it could possibly go now.
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Depressing that it has like zero chance now of beating ST09's OW, even with 3d and 4 years of inflation.
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QFT. If that were the Friday # it would be in great shape. Now though...
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Yeah, but nothing compared to IM3's jump. IM3 just had "a shocking Friday jump for the ages."
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If it's really just a 23m Friday, the rest of the weekend better look like this: Saturday: 33m (+43%) Sunday: 25m (-25%) 81m weekend
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Yeah F6 and TH3 are the ones that should feel the burnout sting if that's a factor. We have still only had one real blockbuster before this.
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If Friday is that low it simply has to have a big Sat bump. It just can't open that bad.
