MovieMan89

But it's not the same I tell you!

But she said "not record breaking" not "not a record." Not the same thing!

But it's not quite the phrase "not a record" though so that better not count as a yes on the BSG question dammit!

She left out an a between the not and record though.

Haha, it was manatees wasn't it? Manatees, dolphins, whales....whatever!

From the Family Guy dolphin writers.

It's looking like anywhere between 68-75m.

Chew on this fact: If anyone had tried to say Iron Man 3 could beat TDKR's OD a year ago they would have been crucified. And now that's exactly what might happen.

$75M OD!!! Shit, it could end up in spitting range of TA's OD at this point!

We'll see. Marketing has been superb and tracking for it is excellent.

Yeah but aside from IM3 all the other holdovers are practically dead. TGG could hit 50m and IM3 70m and the overall weekend still wouldn't be much higher than $140m. Very doable.

I'm gonna be pissed now though if it misses 71m by less than a mil for summer game purposes.

I think it will end up with nearly the exact same legs of IM2. Not because WOM will be as bad as that, but because it's a much higher OW and this May is just so overcrowded.

Avenger's OD trajectory was a blast to watch that Friday. Going from 60m OD to mid 60's, to low 70's, to mid 70's, to holy shit is it gonna stop going up?!?!

I remember when my AMC was doing a $5 dollar Tuesday thing a year or two back. Damn I miss that.

Walk ups are to Marvel movies what presales were to Potter/Twilight movies.

Damn. And I thought it sucked I pay that for the 3D showing at my AMC.

Maybe a tad high but looks pretty good to me. I expect something like: 16m Thurs/Mid 57m Friday 59m Saturday (+3.5%) 42m Sunday (-29%) 174m OW

Is the 15.6m for midnights only or Thurs+mids? Great either way, and only about 2m below TA's mids. $160m+ is looking good.

Geez, how many total points is this week worth?

1) Will The IM3 make more than 62 mill OD? 5000 YES 2) Will IM3 make less than 55 mill OD? 3000 NO 3) Will IM3 make more than 71.167 M OD mill OD? 3000 YES 4) Will IM3 make more than 15 mill OW in Russia? 2000 YES 5) Will IM3 make more than 8 mill OW in Germany? 2000 YES 6) Will IM3 make more than 1 mill OW in Poland? 2000 YES 7) Will IM3 have a Saturday drop of more than 15%? YES 8) Will IM3 make more than 16 mill at midnight/thurs? YES 9) Will IM3 make more than 12.5 mill at IMAX domestically? YES 10) Will IM3 have a per theater average of more than $37,200? YES 11) Will IM3 have a cinemascore of A or better? NO 12) Will IM3 fall less than 33% on Sunday? YES 13) Will IM3 make at least 140 mill more than positions 2 and 3 combined? YES 14) Will IM3 make more than 145 mill OW? 2000 YES 15) Will IM3 make more than 155 OW? 2000 YES 16) Will IM3 make more than 165 mill OW? 2000 YES 17) Will IM3 have a world wide weekend of more than 300 mill? YES 18) Will the top 10 films combine to make more than 205 million? YES 19 Will Pain and Gain drop less than 55.5%? NO 20) Will Pain and Gain have a Friday increase of more than 120%? NO 21) Will Oblivion have a Saturday increase of more than 35%? YES 22) Will Nikki's first Friday report come out before 1pm PST time (just go to deadline and see when she posts her tentpoles)? YES 23) Will Nikki's first posting about IM3 contain the phrase "NOT A RECORD" anywhere in the post? NO 24) Will Nikki's first "projection" about IM3 be higher than the number reported with official Friday estimates? 3000 NO 25) On the first three days, will BKB post anywhere at anytime about how the film is not exceeding expectations from a box office standpoint, or at least how amazing the film is doing? YES 26) Will the Weekend Numbers thread (this starts with Thurs midnights and goes until Sunday estimates) reach 150 pages by 9AM on Monday morning? (I'll keep track...this would be our first enormous thread of the yr) YES 27) Will The Big Wedding drop less than 45%? NO 28) Will GI Joe drop less than 45%? YES 29) Will any film in the top 12 drop less than 35%? YES 30) Will Mud make the top 12? YES 31) Will Jurassic Park drop less than 55%? YES 32) Will Evil Dead and Scary Movie both drop more than 50%? YES 33) Will IM3 drop less than 45% in UK? NO 34) Will IM3 have an international weekend of more than 150 mill? YES 35) Will The Croods have a Saturday increase of more than 98%? YES 30/35 5000 31/45 8000 32/35 10,000 33/35 12,000 34/35 15,000 35/35 25,000 Bonus 1: What will IM3s weekend gross be? 173.855 Bonus 2: What will Pain and Gain's weekend gross be? 5000 8.090 Bonus 3: What will The Big Wedding's weekend gross be? 5000 3.110 Bonus 4: What will IM3, Mud and Place BTP combined gross be? 5000 178.644 Bonus 5: What finishes in spots: 6 Mud 8 Joe 2 10 Place Beyond the Pines 11 Scary Movie 5 13 Oz 2000 each and a bonus of 5000 if all correct Bonus 6: According to the International Report in the International section (first report will be the one we go by), Internationally, what finishes in spots: 3 Oblivion 4 Joe 6 Scary Movie 5 2000 each one correct and a bonus of 3000 if all three correct.

Reserving this spot for Harrison Ford after he surely gets snubbed next year for 42. Movie came out too early.

Yeah still no, but a bit less emphatically than before.

With a sub 20m OW and summer starting full gear next week P&G might struggle to recoup its measly $26m budget. OS is sure to be tiny for it.

SOTM1: N.O.