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MovieMan89

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Everything posted by MovieMan89

  1. Extrapolation should be after you have at least some semblance of an idea of how it will do for evening business. They still have none.
  2. I still don't understand why all these sources are coming up with a set in stone mid 60m OD without having any idea how it will do tonight. That makes no sense. It's main business will be tonight.
  3. :lol:She's gonna sound like an idiot when it likely breaks the OW record come Sunday.
  4. I actually think it has a slight shot at beating all the non IM Avenger movies combined by the time it's done(Thor, CA, and TIH). Say it opens to $175m this weekend. It would need a 2.8 multi to do it.
  5. Midnight number is excellent for it, especially considering this is May, when midnight are always on the light side. $160m is basically the bare minimum for the weekend now.
  6. Actually 2.7 is closer to the multi it will have if it goes over 400 since 410 would be 2.7x.
  7. Well that's the 2nd best multi out of the top 6 OWs of all time and 3rd best out of the top 10, so yeah I'd actually say there is something special there.
  8. It doesn't even have to be a masterpiece though, this year looks pretty weak for animation. Aside from maybe Frankenweenie what else could pose any kind of threat to taking the Best Animated Feature Oscar from Brave?
  9. Frankenweenie would have to be something really incredible and Brave would have to end up somewhat underwhelming for any other outcome at this point.
  10. That's exactly what I argued all along prior to its opening but no one wanted to listen. Most people just assumed it would act like a Twilight or Potter sequel.
  11. THG will definitely hit the $375m mark before TA hits. Very nice. Just gotta weather the storm a bit and $400m is there.
  12. Might be a stop motion-fest this year if they nominate 5. Wouldn't be surprised if it's Brave, Arriety, Pirates!, Frankenweenie, and Paranorman.
  13. Nothing matters but THG.
  14. $69m (right in the middle of BATB and TLK)Jurassic Park 3d
  15. I would think so. If DH2 could take in $15m after a $4m weekend than THG should be able to pull less than double $15m after a weekend of over 2 and a half times $4m, even if it does have stiff competition.
  16. Satan is making us wait for THG. I hope he made it go up good this week even though it will bare the mark of the beast again.
  17. Iron Man stayed at 94% with well over 200 reviews. I see no reason this can't finish with at least that. It seems like a movie that is pretty hard to hate, even with the critics that don't love it. DH2 is another one, that finished at 96%, nearly 300 reviews.
  18. I think TA will have the higher RT percentage (I don't think it's going below 95%), but TDKR may still end up with the higher average rating. We'll see.
  19. I think THG should beat DH2 by next weekend as long as TA doesn't cause a collapse. Then it will just need less than 20m from there out. I know it can do it now.
  20. Go THG!!! I've been cautious up until this weekend to keep from getting too excited, but screw it, it's making 400m. I've felt it all along and I'm certain now.Amazing hold for TLAM as well for its type of movie. $100m is actually a slight possibility.Absolutely pathetic that 3 holdovers (one of which is 6 weeks old) beat 5YE though. Wow, what an utter failure that turned out to be.
  21. 1) Will The Avengers make more than 22.5 mill for midnights? YES 2) Will The Avengers make more than 27 mill for midnights? NO 3) Will The Avengers make more than 30 mill for midnights? NO 4) Will The Avengers set the midnights record? NO 5) Will The Avengers set any daily or opening record this weekend (midnight, OD, Saturday, Sunday or opening weekend)? YES 6) Will The Avengers have a Friday of more than 68.5 mill? YES 7) Will The Avengers drop more than 15% on Saturday? NO 8) Will The Avengers have a Sunday drop of more than 30%? YES 9) Will The Avengers have a Sunday gross of more than 45 mill? NO 10) Will The Avengers make more than 160 mill this weekend? YES 11) Will The Avengers have a international weekend of more than 225M? YES 12) Will The Avengers WW total be more than 400 mill? YES 13) Will The Avengers open to more than 15 mill in Japan? NO 14) Will The Avengers Friday total gross be at least 2.7 times bigger than it's midnight gross? YES 15) Will The Hunger Games have a drop of less than 40%? NO 16) Will Five Year Engagement finish number 2 for the weekend? NO 17) Will The Raven have a Friday increase of more than 125%? NO 18) Will any film increase by more than 60% on Saturday? YES 19) Will Nikki's FIRST Friday number (not her midnight report, but actual Friday report ) have The Avengers making more than 5 mill more than the real estimate reported by Boxofficemojo.com FOR THE FRIDAY NUMBER? NO 20) Will American Reunion have a Saturday increase of more than 40%? NO 15/20 2000 16/20 3000 17/20 4000 18/20 5000 19/20 8000 20/20 12000 Bonus #1: Tell me what the top 5 cume will be: 206.655 Bonus #2: What will the combined weekend gross be of The Raven, Safe and THG? 12.989 Bonus 3: What will Titanics WW gross be according to THR when it comes out on Sunday? 324.015 What will finish in spots: 3) The Pirates! 7) Safe 8) Chimpanzee 12) 21 Jump Street 15) Titanic 2000 each correct spots, 5000 bonus if you get all five correct.
  22. Wow, I think you hit the nail on the head there. I bet that's exactly the case.
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