blackspider

Assuming the 21m for Barbie sticks, that means it maintained 80% of the 26.1m on Monday. Looking at other massive July openers for comparison: Lion King: 71% HP7 Part 2: 62% TDKR: 68% TDK: 67% Thor 4: 68% This thing is a monster!

Glad Empire prefaced he’s going conservative today so this # should hold more firmly than that $30m number yesterday which was just mind boggling from the jump. Domestic crown looks like it’s all for the taking if it can keep this up.

Barbie is making Monday a second Sunday with that type of #. Man that’s insane if that holds.

Absolutely incredible number for Avatar following its Friday #. Won’t be surprised if actuals come in higher either. Last week I was assuming 650-700. Right now, 700+ and domestic crown seems completely plausible. Insane recovery after its underwhelming opening week.

Even with Thursday coming in sub 7m, I see this baby hitting 45m+ this weekend. We’ve all been seeing great Friday increases for it and finally it’ll have a Saturday not muted by a holiday.

Anything over 10m would be fantastic! I’m assuming this movie would set the record for most consecutive days over 10m if it can clear it today. Happy to see this film chugging along nicely.

Well with an 18m Saturday, that’s the first day since Xmas Eve that is more down to earth. Can’t be too surprised it’s daily performance got muted by the holiday. Big question is how much it will rebound today and tomorrow. Won’t be surprised if actuals beat the estimates. 600m+ is a foregone conclusion IMO. I’d say 650-700 looks definitely feasible. The hold next weekend will be critical for its long term outlook.

Avatar’s numbers from Christmas Day onward have been nothing short of amazing.

Damn I went to bed with the 20-23 range and now it’s at 24m! Not too shabby. Hoping for a solid hold today as Wednesday drops tend to make or break the weekend outlook.

I’ll do movies only, TV shows too hard to mix in as it’s not as apples to apples as I’d like. 1. Empire Strikes Back 2. Revenge of the Sith 3. A New Hope 4. Rogue One 5. Return of the Jedi 6. The Phantom Menace 7. The Force Awakens 8. Attack of the Clones 9. Rise of Skywalker 10. Solo 11. The Last Jedi

Gotcha, thank you! Overall seems pretty solid. I was assuming anything over 20m a win.

Hmm not even gonna even attempt to decipher this haha.

I’m late on the uptake and not gonna sift through the countless pages in the thread. Any Tuesday update?

Had a slight suspicion the tracking for Aladdin was a bit low. Caught it last night, it’s a crowd pleaser, perfect type of film to enjoy over the holiday weekend. Hoping JW can pull 30m 4 day. Looks like it will end the streak of getting a 3 multiplier but to be expected following its massive opening.

I think TFA has warped our perspectives a bit. Let’s not forget that TFA was the first modern blockbuster to break the OW crown and claim top domestic performer and did so convincingly. We’ve seen the OW record fall countless times and most didn’t come close to being #1 all-time. I know a counter argument to that would be since Endgame broke the record by such a large margin it’s road to #1 is easier. It’s true, it beat the previous OW by 38%. Only other recent example that comes close is Spider-Man which beat Harry Potter by 28%. A still collosal opening for its time much like Endgame. Spider-Man fell about 200m short of the all-time spot despite having a terrific run. In fact, if Endgame ends around 850m it will be around 90% of TFA’s total, much better than the 67% Spider-Man had against Titanic. Maybe not a true apples to apples comparison, but what was true back then still applies today; what goes up must come down.