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Bluebomb

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  1. I don't think you understand that politics are directly affecting the box office right now. The majority of theaters have had to close on any given day due to riots and unrest. This isn't Donald Trump doing something controversial for the millionth time in 3 days. This is hitting every spectrum of life. 24 hour supermarkets have had to close the whole day. Transportation has been shut down. Theaters have had to shut down over safety concerns for staff and the general public. Many citizens are living in fear and rushing home early to avoid interacting with these hooligans. It pains me to see how much destruction and disruption they have caused to the city. Everyone has been affected. Maybe when this quiets down, you can enforce the separate politics talk from box office but not when this is an escalating situation that has been getting worse by the day. A little ugly? You clearly do not understand what is going on. I suggest you educate yourself or I would be willing to provide examples. Or better yet, look through the previous post that was deleted. Hong Kong is in crisis mode. It would be as if New York was kind of separate from America but still in America, ran its own box office and citizens threw a temper tantrum and uprooted the whole city in every area and promoted themselves as judge, jury and executioner. If politics and box office weren't correlating with each other, I wouldn't comment, however, they are and I will report on this situation as it develops. Please do not edit my titles again. I am only reporting on the situation as it is happening. Something that many people do not have access to or don't know where to look.
  2. Monday adm. October 7 Rank Movie LW TW % chg QD % chg 1 Joker -- 59,847 -- +33.6% 2 Abominable -- 12,740 -- +27.4% 3 Ad Astra -- 3,192 -- +48.1% 4 Ready or Not -- 2,759 -- +36.4% 5 The Climbers -- 1,848 -- +40.1% 6 Rambo: The Last Blood -- 1,783 -- +46.0% 7 Fagara -- 1,503 -- +18.7% Only 16 theaters were affected today which allowed many films to climb from yesterday. Joker's 5-day opening weekend admissions - 214,082 Joker's 5-day opening weekend estimate - $2,270,000 Joker went up from projections so that is good news. Relief probably set in for many theaters after many closures the past few days. I saw a lot of sellouts for Joker yesterday and today and it looks like theaters are retaining most of its Wednesday showtimes on Thursday.
  3. Sunday October 6 Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg 1 Joker -- 44,787 -- +3.4% 2 Abominable -- 10,000 -- +94.9% 3 Ad Astra -- 2,156 -- +30.9% 4 Ready or Not -- 2,023 -- +7.1% 5 The Climbers -- 1,319 -- -- 6 Fagara -- 1,266 -- -- 7 Rambo: The Last Blood -- 1,221 -- -- 37 theaters closed fully or partially. 1 more stayed open but reduced showtimes at night. . Decent number for Joker. Abominable rebounded from its horrid Saturday number. Most of its showtimes were not affected. Ad Astra also bounced back from Saturday. Joker 4-day opening weekend admissions - 154,235 Joker 4-day opening weekend estimate - $1,630,000 October 7 pre-sales Joker - 11,173 There are no theater closures as of yet. Joker 5-day opening weekend projection - $2,250,000
  4. Saturday October 5 Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg 1 Joker -- 43,298 -- +62.8% 2 Abominable -- 5,132 -- +184.3% 3 Ready or Not -- 1,889 -- -- 4 Ad Astra -- 1,647 -- -18.7% 25 theaters were affected today either with full day closures or partial ones. Good increase for Joker. Really bad for Abominable. It even has a better user score than Joker (4.7 vs. 4.6 for Joker) but it looks like families are staying away from theaters for the time being. Terrible for Ad Astra. Weekly Gross (Mon-Sun) Sep 23-29 LW TW Title Last Week (HKD) This Week (HKD) Days in release % chg Total (HKD) This Week (USD) Total (USD) -- 1 Ad Astra -- $3,931,992 4 -- $3,931,992 $501,647 $501,647 -- 2 Rambo: The Last Blood -- $3,056,336 11 -- $6,861,413 $389,930 $875,385 -- 3 Ready or Not -- $2,439,295 4 -- $2,439,295 $311,207 $311,207 -- 4 It: Chapter 2 -- $2,388,394 18 -- $14,810,011 $304,713 $1,889,475 -- 5 Fagara -- $1,679,898 18 -- $6,350,377 $214,323 $810,187 -- 6 Anna -- $743,511 25 -- $7,089,824 $94,857 $904,526 -- 7 Exit -- $579,687 25 -- $5,347,093 $73,957 $682,187 -- 8 Angel Has Fallen -- $478,380 32 -- $16,391,190 $61,032 $2,091,203 -- 9 Ossan's Love: Love or Dead -- $443,222 18 -- $3,095,024 $56,546 $394,866 -- 10 Good Boys -- $315,511 25 -- $3,732,900 $40,253 $476,247 Really bare at the moment. When the top film is only making $500,000 in 7 days, there's something extremely wrong going on. Top 50 Films of All Time (Hong Kong) Rank Movie HK Gross US Gross 1 Avengers: Endgame $223,089,935 $28,462,030 2 Avatar* $178,248,295 $22,964,414 3 Avengers: Infinity War $153,301,337 $19,549,780 4 Avengers: Age of Ultron $133,061,397 $17,121,674 5 Titanic** $115,306,690 $14,826,276 6 Captain America: Civil War $112,654,686 $14,365,941 7 Iron Man 3 $106,389,801 $13,723,457 8 Transformers 4 $98,196,851 $12,601,288 9 The Avengers $96,705,670 $12,474,280 10 Jurassic World $96,295,976 $12,357,355 11 Toy Story 3 $89,364,118 $11,527,276 12 Jurassic Park: Fallen Kingdom $88,649,003 $11,304,980 13 Toy Story 4* $88,541,985 $11,296,272 14 Spider-Man: Far From Home* $85,393,469 $10,894,581 15 Transformers 3 $84,703,797 $10,804,696 16 Star Wars: The Force Awakens $81,701,193 $10,512,900 17 The Dark Knight Rises $80,269,966 $10,354,201 18 Minions $78,404,191 $10,088,659 19 Monsters University $77,407,664 $9,984,987 20 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 $76,785,999 $9,904,797 21 Captain Marvel $76,590,738 $9,767,247 22 Aquaman $75,625,663 $9,644,176 23 Incredibles 2 $71,205,663 $9,080,282 24 Train to Busan $68,004,629 $8,672,080 25 Beauty and the Beast $67,232,357 $8,573,598 26 Cold War 2 $66,244,171 $8,447,583 27 Inside Out $66,016,979 $8,418,611 28 Spider-Man: Homecoming $65,760,306 $8,385,880 29 Black Panther $63,312,121 $8,073,682 30 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice $62,286,926 $7,942,948 31 The Amazing Spider-Man $61,983,852 $7,904,299 32 Jurassic Park $61,898,795 $7,893,452 33 You Are the Apple of My Eye $61,857,826 $7,888,228 34 Kung Fu Hustle $61,278,697 $7,863,699 35 Shaolin Soccer $60,739,847 $7,794,550 36 Mission Impossible: Fallout $60,449,812 $7,708,675 37 Ip Man 3 $60,261,407 $7,684,650 38 Aladdin* $60,026,865 $7,658,285 39 Doctor Strange $59,793,472 $7,627,170 40 Furious 7 $59,634,515 $7,604,707 41 The Dark Knight $58,524,393 $7,531,944 42 Inception $58,380,823 $7,513,467 43 Deadpool $58,332,555 $7,535,722 44 The Lost World: Jurassic Park $58,231,885 $7,494,299 45 Police Story 4: First Strike $57,518,795 $7,402,526 46 Ant-Man and the Wasp $57,068,721 $7,277,512 47 Rumble in the Bronx $56,912,536 $7,257,595 48 Captain America: The Winter Soldier $56,552,117 $7,211,634 49 The Mermaid $56,224,292 $7,169,829 50 Infernal Affairs $55,057,176 $7,085,722 * - without re-release (Re-release included: $183,411,471 HK) ** - without re-release (Re-release included: $128,003,033 HK) * - still in release Avengers 4 finished its run weeks ago. Toy Story 4 will end up missing its predecessor's total by less than 1m HK. There's a slim chance that it could pass Jurassic Park: Fallen Kingdom for #12 but it's only about a 10% chance. Aladdin finally passes 60m HK. Sunday pre-sales Joker - 11,155 Sunday pre-sales are down from Saturday's pre-sales by about 20%. It seems like everyone including theater owners are taking a wait-and-see approach to today. Yesterday, 17 theaters made the decision to close down for the entire day by 1 AM. Today, only 6 theaters have purged their Sunday schedules so far.
  5. Joker opening day actual - $433,511 Opening day comparisons -34.9% from The Dark Knight Rises OD -42.5% from Deadpool's OD (holiday) -47.1% from Captain Marvel's OD Friday admissions (October 4) 1. Joker - 26,603 (-32.7% from Thursday) Normally films do not drop on Friday, however, 30 theaters closed today during the 6 PM hour or later due to the ongoing riots/unrest which means more than 15,000 potential ticket sales were affected. All IMAX showtimes were cancelled as well. Now, I'm not sure how studios/theaters calculate grosses after theaters close but if they also count revenue from tickets sold for showtimes after 6 PM then Joker's Friday gross should be a lot closer to its OD gross. Due to the sudden closures of more than half of the theaters today, I am revising Joker's 4-day OW to anywhere between 1.5-2.5m. The reason for the large spread is because if we see theater closures like this again this weekend, Joker's OW will be severely disrupted. With a 5-day OW, I see an OW of around 2-3.4m. Sunday will be almost every film's best day with the holiday Monday, however, we have seen animation films top their Sunday admissions on Monday.
  6. Thursday admissions (October 3) 1. Joker - 39,547 adm. 2/3 of business comprised of walk-ins. With its impeccable 4.7/5 in opening day reviews so far, this seems poised to blow up this weekend. Depending on ticket prices and multipliers, it is aiming for an opening weekend of 2.2-2.7m, better than 2.1m OW achieved by The Dark Knight. If it performs on the high end of that range, it will gross 3/4 of The Dark Knight Rises OW.
  7. 7 PM update: The sun has set and more theaters have closed. Broadway/AMC - 11/14 theaters closed UA - 7/7 theaters closed MCL - 6/10 theaters closed + 2 more to be closed Golden Harvest - 5/7 theaters closed Cinema City - 4/5 theaters closed Emperor - 2/3 theaters closed Newport Circuit - 1/4 theaters closed If you include the 2 theaters that will close after 8 PM, 38 theaters will have been affected by the riots today. That is 2/3 of the city's entire theater count. Not surprisingly, movies have been greatly affected. Within a 2 and a half hour period from 4:40 - 7:10 pm, Ad Astra only picked up 400 admissions and it was the top performer over any other film in that time frame. Normally, the top films gains 1,000+ admissions per hour and upwards for 4,000-5,000 admissions for blockbusters on regular weekends. National Day Admissions - taken at 8 PM 1. Abominable - 12,158 adm. 2. Ad Astra - 6,218 3. Ready or Not - 3,226 4. Rambo: The Last Blood - 2,497 (-67.8%) 5. The Climbers - 1,805 6. Fagara - 1,779 (-49.2%) 7. It: Chapter 2 - 1,468 (-62.3%) Abominable would have possibly claimed 40,000 admissions today with all theaters operating. The holdovers were crushed hard including Fagara which has been a standout for the past 2 weeks. The remaining 4 hours won't matter much to each film's final admissions. We started with 44 films with showtimes today but only 30 films managed to squeak out showtimes that have run completely with all the closures popping up.
  8. 2 PM update: More theaters have shutdown. Breakdown is below. Broadway/AMC - 8/14 theaters closed UA - 7/7 theaters closed MCL - 5/10 theaters closed + 1 more to close after 5 PM. Cinema City - 3/5 theaters closed Golden Harvest - 2/7 theaters closed These 5 theater chains represent more than 75% of HK's box office. 25 theaters have closed and 1 more will be added after 5 PM. I am shocked they haven't closed some theaters in the hot spots yet. They should shut down every theater. There's no need to jeopardize public safety like this especially when nearly all locations are reporting lower than normal ticket sales.
  9. 19 theaters across the city will be closed the entire day today amidst expected clashes between rioters/police. The breakdown is as follows: Broadway/AMC - 7/14 theaters closed MCL - 4/10 theaters closed UA - 4/7 theaters closed Cinema City - 2/5 theaters closed + 1 partial = 3/5 theaters affected Golden Harvest - 2/7 theaters closed No other theater chains are reporting any closures. I expect by the time the sun sets tomorrow, at least half of theaters will have shut down in some capacity. R.I.P. HK box office. This is a major calamity for everyone in HK. For more than 1/3 of theaters to not be in operation on a public holiday is a disaster. These theater closures are having a major effect on movies already. Abominable comes out today and in 2 and a half hours, it has gone down from 8,620 admissions at midnight to just 6,439 (2,000+ admissions lost) now.
  10. Top Animated Films (in HKD) (updated as of August 5, 2019) Toy Story 3 - $89,364,118 Toy Story 4 - $81,499,994 - still in release Minions - $78,404,191 Monsters University - $77,407,664 Incredibles 2 - $71,205,663 Inside Out - $66,016,979 Zootopia - $51,865,101 Despicable Me 3 - $49,892,324 Finding Dory - $49,524,251 Stand By Me Doraemon - 46,891,675 The Boss Baby - 41,766,789 Coco - 40,701,893 Kung Fu Panda 2 - $39,469,375 Ice Age 4: Continental Drift - $38,236,658 Ralph Breaks the Internet - $38,200,000 (estimate) Toy Story 2 - $35,732,127 Big Hero 6 - $34,340,162 (estimate) The Incredibles - $33,777,162 Up - $33,248,227 Despicable Me 2 - $32,603,704 Ice Age 3: Dawn of the Dinosaurs - $32,446,094 Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted - $32,191,416 Finding Nemo - $31,816,876 Your Name - more than $31,478,296 Kung Fu Panda - $31,457,738 The Secret Life of Pets - $30,460,851 @Omni Updated. Top 50 Films of All Time (Hong Kong) Rank Movie HK Gross US Gross 1 Avengers: Endgame* $223,047,953 $28,451,680 2 Avatar* $178,248,295 $22,964,414 3 Avengers: Infinity War $153,301,337 $19,549,780 4 Avengers: Age of Ultron $133,061,397 $17,121,674 5 Titanic** $115,306,690 $14,826,276 6 Captain America: Civil War $112,654,686 $14,365,941 7 Iron Man 3 $106,389,801 $13,723,457 8 Transformers 4 $98,196,851 $12,601,288 9 The Avengers $96,705,670 $12,474,280 10 Jurassic World $96,295,976 $12,357,355 11 Toy Story 3 $89,364,118 $11,527,276 12 Jurassic Park: Fallen Kingdom $88,649,003 $11,304,980 13 Spider-Man: Far From Home* $84,843,161 $10,822,473 14 Transformers 3 $84,703,797 $10,804,696 15 Star Wars: The Force Awakens $81,701,193 $10,512,900 16 Toy Story 4* $81,499,994 $10,396,023 17 The Dark Knight Rises $80,269,966 $10,354,201 18 Minions $78,404,191 $10,088,659 19 Monsters University $77,407,664 $9,984,987 20 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 $76,785,999 $9,904,797 21 Captain Marvel $76,590,738 $9,767,247 22 Aquaman $75,625,663 $9,644,176 23 Incredibles 2 $71,205,663 $9,080,282 24 Train to Busan $68,004,629 $8,672,080 25 Beauty and the Beast $67,232,357 $8,573,598 26 Cold War 2 $66,244,171 $8,447,583 27 Inside Out $66,016,979 $8,418,611 28 Spider-Man: Homecoming $65,760,306 $8,385,880 29 Black Panther $63,312,121 $8,073,682 30 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice $62,286,926 $7,942,948 31 The Amazing Spider-Man $61,983,852 $7,904,299 32 Jurassic Park $61,898,795 $7,893,452 33 You Are the Apple of My Eye $61,857,826 $7,888,228 34 Kung Fu Hustle $61,278,697 $7,863,699 35 Shaolin Soccer $60,739,847 $7,794,550 36 Mission Impossible: Fallout $60,449,812 $7,708,675 37 Ip Man 3 $60,261,407 $7,684,650 38 Doctor Strange $59,793,472 $7,627,170 39 Aladdin* $59,788,008 $7,626,473 40 Furious 7 $59,634,515 $7,604,707 41 The Dark Knight $58,524,393 $7,531,944 42 Inception $58,380,823 $7,513,467 43 Deadpool $58,332,555 $7,535,722 44 The Lost World: Jurassic Park $58,231,885 $7,494,299 45 Police Story 4: First Strike $57,518,795 $7,402,526 46 Ant-Man and the Wasp $57,068,721 $7,277,512 47 Rumble in the Bronx $56,912,536 $7,257,595 48 Captain America: The Winter Soldier $56,552,117 $7,211,634 49 The Mermaid $56,224,292 $7,169,829 50 Infernal Affairs $55,057,176 $7,085,722 * - without re-release (Re-release included: $183,411,471 HK) ** - without re-release (Re-release included: $128,003,033 HK) * - still in release Updated as of August 5, 2019. Avengers 4 is still chugging along. Top 10 looks safe with Toy Story 4 fading. Toy Story 4 will leapfrog over Spider-Man: Far From Home this week. 60m HK might not be impossible for Aladdin. It will depend on how many showtimes it gets this weekend.
  11. Sunday August 4 Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg 1 Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw -- 49,297 -- -0.8% 2 The Lion King 53,539 28,977 -45.9% +2.0% 3 Toy Story 4 36,010 19,074 -47.0% +5.8% 4 The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker -- 11,160 -- +21.8% 5 Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration 12,625 7,968 -36.9% +46.7% 6 Once Upon A Time in Hollywood 11,360 5,710 -49.7% -17.3% 7 The White Storm 2: Drug Lords 15,712 5,318 -66.2% -2.7% 8 Weathering with You -- 2,262 -- +25.7% 9 The Confidence Man JP: The Movie 3,862 1,756 -54.5% -7.4% 10 Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane 1,973 1,405 -28.8% -- Big Sunday crash for all films. The most telling examples were The White Storm 2 and The Confidence Man JP. Going from a 60% increase in pre-sales to a decrease in final admissions. Most holdovers had good holds overall. Hobbs & Shaw performed pretty well today. Weekend adm. Aug 1-4 Rank Movie LW TW % chg 1 Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw -- 162,779 -- 2 The Lion King 174,975 89,019 -49.1% 3 Toy Story 4 106,003 57,423 -45.8% 4 The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker -- 37,232 -- 5 Once Upon A Time in Hollywood 38,008 20,070 -47.2% 6 Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration 12,625 17,492 +38.6% 7 The White Storm 2: Drug Lords 51,347 17,432 -66.1% 8 The Confidence Man JP: The Movie 14,248 5,741 -59.7% Weekend Estimates August 1 Rank Movie TW % chg Total 1 Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw $1,970,000 $1,970,000 2 The Lion King $850,000 -55.1% $3,500,000 3 Toy Story 4 $565,000 -44.9% $10,330,000 4 The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Great Jail-Breaker $335,000 $335,000 5 Once Upon A Time in Hollywood $255,000 -46.9% $870,000 With Sunday being well overestimated, Hobbs & Shaw is now unlikely to pass 2m. The Lion King had an iffy hold. Though it held better as the weekend went along, this was either on the 2nd or 3rd screen which meant that it had the seats to hold well. Unlike The Lion King, Toy Story 4 had a good hold. When a movie is on the 3rd or 4th biggest screen, it can be a huge difference when two theaters can hold over 200 seats and the other 2 can only seat 70 for example. Toy Story 4 was on the 3rd, 4th or 5th biggest screen depending on Hobbs & Shaw's performance at individual theaters. Logic dictates that this will pass Toy Story 3 for the biggest animated movie of all time but there's a lot of uncertainty with moviegoing right now. The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes had a seesaw weekend. Very good opening day followed by a shocking Friday along with a weak Saturday only to come back on Sunday. Once Upon A Time in Hollywood will pass 1m next week.
  12. Saturday August 3 Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg 1 Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw -- 49,678 -- +56.4% 2 The Lion King 51,827 28,415 -45.2% +62.0% 3 Toy Story 4 31,422 18,027 -42.6% +66.0% 4 The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker -- 9,163 -- +21.7% 5 Once Upon A Time in Hollywood 11,763 6,903 -41.3% +50.1% 6 The White Storm 2: Drug Lords 15,200 5,466 -64.0% +43.8% 7 Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration -- 5,432 -- +146.1% 8 The Confidence Man JP: The Movie 4,005 1,896 -52.7% +50.5% 9 Weathering with You -- 1,800 -- -- 10 Spider-Man: Far From Home 3,563 1,188 -66.7% -5.7% Today was walk-ins day as every film from this morning increased from its pre-sales %. Hobbs & Shaw saw a decent increase from yesterday. The top 3 holdovers saw good holds. The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes managed to snag an increase but it still fell from its Thursday admissions. Hobbs & Shaw opening weekend projection - $2,065,000 After recalculating the multiplier due to 3D IMAX showings, Hobbs & Shaw is looking at a weekend over 2m. Sunday adm. (so far) August 4 Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg 1 Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw -- 17,224 -- +40.0% 2 The Lion King 20,723 12,107 -41.6% +51.3% 3 Toy Story 4 14,288 8,401 -41.2% +73.6% 4 The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Great Jail-Breaker 348 5,873 +1587.6% +75.6% 5 Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration 7,952 3,979 -50.0% +140.1% 6 Once Upon A Time in Hollywood 3,798 1,769 -53.4% -3.9% 7 The White Storm 2: Drug Lords 4,321 1,602 -62.9% +59.9% 8 Weathering with You -- 1,374 -- -2.8% 9 The Confidence Man JP: The Movie 1,187 597 -49.7% +71.1% 10 Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane 600 432 -28.0% -- Those increases are insane. 6 films over 50% higher than Saturday pre-sales. Even Hobbs & Shaw is rocking a 40% increase. It's probably because of a planned city wide strike on Monday which will wreak havoc on admissions and Thursday scheduling for theaters. The Lion King went from -73% with Thursday pre-sales to only -42% today. Similarly, The Confidence Man went from -76% on Thursday to -50% today.
  13. Fast & Furious 8 opened with 57,600 admissions on Easter long weekend, grossing $673,000 on Thursday. Hobbs & Shaw is looking at an estimated $363,000 which would be about 54% of Fast & Furious 8's opening day gross. For the weekend, Fast & Furious 8 made around $3,462,542 for the 5-day holiday weekend while Hobbs & Shaw are looking at retaining half of that number this weekend. Friday August 2 Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg 1 Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw -- 31,758 -- -0.9% 2 The Lion King 34,939 17,540 -49.8% +24.5% 3 Toy Story 4 21,322 10,860 -49.1% +14.8% 4 The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker -- 7,527 -- -19.8% 5 Once Upon A Time in Hollywood 7,900 4,599 -41.8% +60.9% 6 The White Storm 2: Drug Lords 11,452 3,800 -66.8% +33.4% 7 Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration -- 2,207 -- +17.1% 8 Spider-Man: Far From Home 2,688 1,571 -41.6% +106.4% 9 The Confidence Man JP: The Movie 3,544 1,260 -64.4% +52.0% 10 Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane 1,586 842 -46.9% +2.3% Hobbs & Shaw drops from Thursday although it is almost flat. Fast & Furious films aren't usually the frontloaded type. We'll see if this drop will have an effect on its admissions this weekend. Most holdovers held alright with Once Upon A Time in Hollywood and Spider-Man: Far From Home holding above average. The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes declined sharply on Friday, down a whopping 20% from Thursday. Poor hold for White Storm 2. It seems like this might miss out on making 4m which would be a disappointing result given the first film grossed 4.1m under less inflation and in the wintertime as well. Saturday adm. (so far) August 3 Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg 1 Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw -- 12,299 -- +47.0% 2 The Lion King 19,129 8,000 -58.2% +50.5% 3 Toy Story 4 10,765 4,839 -55.0% +54.7% 4 The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker -- 3,345 -- -0.7% 5 Once Upon A Time in Hollywood 3,427 1,840 -46.3% +25.9% 6 Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration -- 1,657 -- +32.5% 7 Weathering with You -- 1,414 -- -- 8 The White Storm 2: Drug Lords 3,531 1,002 -71.6% +11.0% 9 Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire -- 367 -- -- 10 The Confidence Man JP: The Movie 925 349 -62.3% +18.3% Average increases for almost all films. Hobbs & Shaw looks like it will target 46-47k admissions today. The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes decreases from its Friday pre-sales. Yikes. If it decreases on Saturday, it might be the first animated film ever to fall on Saturday. Down in 7th, Weathering with You begins its sneak previews with only 1 or 2 showtimes at theaters showing this ahead of its full release next Thursday.
  14. Thursday August 1 Rank Movie LW TW % chg QD % chg 1 Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw -- 32,046 -- -- 2 The Lion King 34,670 14,087 -59.4% -45.3% 3 Toy Story 4 17,249 9,462 -45.1% -39.8% 4 The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker -- 9,382 -- -- 5 Once Upon A Time in Hollywood 6,985 2,858 -59.1% -54.4% 6 The White Storm 2: Drug Lords 8,983 2,848 -68.3% -67.0% 7 Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration -- 1,885 -- -40.1% 8 The Confidence Man JP: The Movie 2,837 829 -70.8% -64.1% 9 Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane 1,616 823 -49.1% -46.0% 10 Spider-Man: Far From Home 2,184 761 -65.2% -59.5% Strong walk-ins for Hobbs & Shaw. Opening day reviews are in and it has started off with a solid 4.2/5. Due to its performance today, it will get another screen on Saturday/Sunday pushing down The Lion King/Toy Story 4 and The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes. Decent walk-ins for The Lion King. Its hold isn't great but still acceptable for now. Good hold for Toy Story 4. It had the best hold of the top 10 and just snuck in ahead of The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes for #3 within the last 2 hours. The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker had good pre-sales but fell apart with walk-ins. As this is a frontloaded movie, expect a drop on Friday with a slight rebound for Saturday/Sunday. OK for Once Upon A Time in Hollywood. Today's drops were going to be slightly more inflated with yesterday suddenly becoming a half-day holiday. The White Storm 2 had a bad hold. Doraemon 2019 is still in sneaks mode and will be officially out next Thursday. Friday adm. (so far) August 2 Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg 1 Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw -- 8,364 -- -4.0% 2 The Lion King 13,758 5,317 -61.4% +53.6% 3 The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker -- 3,370 -- -39.6% 4 Toy Story 4 7,717 3,128 -59.5% +19.1% 5 Once Upon A Time in Hollywood 2,537 1,461 -42.4% +92.5% 6 Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration -- 1,251 -- +35.5% 7 The White Storm 2: Drug Lords 2,974 903 -69.6% +69.7% 8 The Confidence Man JP: The Movie 1,029 295 -71.3% +30.5% 9 Spider-Man: Far From Home 622 238 -61.7% -- 10 Parasite -- 142 -- -- Ouch for Hobbs & Shaw. Very good increase from Thursday's pre-sales for The Lion King. Terrible drop in pre-sales for The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes. Toy Story 4 had its first weak hold and its Friday increase is its worst since it opened. It will pass 10m today. Good hold for Once Upon A Time in Hollywood.
  15. Thursday adm. (so far) August 1 Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg 1 Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw -- 8,716 -- -- 2 The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker -- 5,576 -- -- 3 The Lion King 13,263 3,461 -73.9% -50.1% 4 Toy Story 4 5,293 2,626 -50.4% -37.7% 5 Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration -- 923 -- -49.3% 6 Once Upon A Time in Hollywood 1,992 759 -61.9% -40.6% 7 The White Storm 2: Drug Lords 1,981 532 -73.1% -64.1% 8 The Confidence Man JP: The Movie 958 226 -76.4% -54.0% 9 Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane -- 143 -- -- 10 Psycho-Pass: Sinners of the System - Case 1 -- 139 -- -- Weak opening day pre-sales for the Fast & Furious spinoff. The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes opening day pre-sales seem to be largely concentrated at 2 movie theater chains. 9 AM showtimes are full or nearly sold out at most MCL/Emperor theaters, however, other theater chains are seeing slow business so far throughout the day. Decent opening day pre-sales for the anime flick. All holdovers saw inflated drops in pre-sales today due to a storm paralyzing the city yesterday leading to Sunday-like admissions on Wednesday. Only 2/9 films saw drops on Wednesday compared with Tuesday's final admissions. We should expect deflated holds for all holdovers this weekend.
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