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Bluebomb

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  1. Bluebomb
    Crossing my fingers Wreck-It Ralph holds well.
  2. Bluebomb
    Thursday November 8 Rank Title LW (adm.) TW (adm.) Gross (USD) % chg (adm.) 1 Cold War -- 41,798 $345,170 -- 2 Skyfall 40,134 13,588 $138,383 -66.1% 3 Natural Born Lovers -- 1,840 $15,346 -- 4 Umizaru: Brave Hearts -- 1,052 $8,474 -- 5 Silent Hill: Revelation -- 1,030 $11,094 -- WOW. Cold War manages to defeat Skyfall's OD admissions. That is fantastic. It did a 3x multiplier today. This bodes really well for the weekend where pre-sales have looked even better than today. It will take home the biggest OW of the year for a local film and will pass 1.5m OW. 2m can not be counted out. Its OD is +127.5% higher than Overheard 2's opening day, +124.0% bigger than Love in the Buff and +10.0% stronger than A Simple Life, which opened on a Friday and had a boost with night shows. This is unbelievable. WOM has looked good so far. If it holds, we might even see our first 5m grosser for a local film this year. Skyfall crumbled under Cold War's watch. The negative word of mouth among the general public doesn't inspire confidence that it will hold better the coming weeks. Overall WOM remains ok but it is a divisive film amongst moviegoers. It'll rebound slightly this weekend but Cold War remains a huge force this weekend. It'll drop slightly bigger on Saturday while flexing a better hold on Sunday. Skyfall could squeeze out a 60% drop if it holds well on Sunday.
  3. Bluebomb
    Skyfall is definitely not doing well in predominantly Chinese markets. It only has average word of mouth in HK. I would even say that negative word of mouth has spread amongst the more general population. Skyfall is doing well in Europe because James Bond appeals more to Europeans while Tom Cruise still remains a huge draw in Asia.
  4. Bluebomb
    Best episode of the last 2 seasons for me. Every storyline clicked and there were many laugh-out-loud moments (even Lily was funny!). I think Phil's grown-up speech to Haley was the most powerful part of the episode. It's nice to see that he can crack out the old whip once in a while.
  5. Bluebomb
    This movie was great. All 3 leads did an impressive job. I don't think Emma's hot but in the movie, she looked pretty good. 9/10 (A-)
  6. Bluebomb
    Nov 1 WKD Rank Movie Distributor Weekend BO Weeks Engmnts Eng. average % change B.O. Cume 1 Skyfall Sony $1,824,640 1 132 $13,823 $1,824,640 2 Natural Born Lovers Newport Entertainment $175,995 2 37 $4,757 -40% $601,097 3 Silent Hill: Revelation 3D Edko Films $148,382 2 47 $3,157 -60% $657,573 4 Umizaru4 (Umizaru 4) Intercontinental Films $87,253 2 22 $3,966 -51% $438,036 5 Frankenweenie Disney $24,753 3 19 $1,303 -77% $543,378 6 The Perks of Being A Wallflower Deltamac (HK) $18,434 3 8 $2,304 -47% $131,158 7 Going With The West Newport Entertainment $17,664 7 6 $2,944 -42% $2,404,935 8 Heruta Sukeruta (Helter Skelter) Intercontinental Films $16,202 4 8 $2,025 -75% $766,966 9 Tai Chi II: Heroes Rise (Tai Chi II) Intercontinental Films $14,088 2 15 $939 -81% $115,317 10 The Intouchables Golden Scene Co $9,913 9 9 $1,101 -57% $1,061,937 Big discrepancy between Mojo and Variety this week. Regardless, Skyfall opened to huge numbers. Natural Born Lovers held very well. Silent Hill is having toxic WOM. Umizaru isn't doing too badly. Frankenweenie had most of its screens cut. The Perks of Being A Wallflower is holding excellently after that slow OW. Due West is holding decently. Helter Skelter has done pretty well. Tai Chi 2 is having terrible legs. Intouchables is holding on but won't last much longer.
  7. Bluebomb
    Thursday admissions (so far) 1. Cold War - 12,997 2. Skyfall - 3,996 (-75.9%) Cold War pre-sales are looking good. It's up 62.6% from Love in the Buff's opening day and 112.8% higher than Overheard 2's opening day. It is lagging behind A Simple Life's opening day numbers, making just over half of ASL's opening day pre-sales. Weekend pre-sales for Cold War seem to be much better than its weekday evening shows. It will open to over 1m and could reach 1.5m if all goes well. Skyfall is falling apart. With only average WOM in HK and Cold War taking the majority of screens, Skyfall's pre-sales have took a huge hit. Last Thursday saw huge pre-sales in the areas with more foreigners (Central, Admiralty, Tsim Sha Tsui) but this week, ticket sales for Skyfall in Tsim Sha Tsui have evaporated. The business sector on HK Island is still doing the best with sellouts for Skyfall as early as 5 PM today. Even with the fast selling for Skyfall there, Cold War has performed admirably. Cold War will remain on the biggest screens on Saturday and Sunday so chances of Skyfall mounting a comeback on the weekend to salvage a decent hold is very slim. Last week had very high pre-sales but this week, pre-sales have been slow at most places. Walk-ins could make up 75% of Skyfall's business today whereas last week, pre-sales accounted for almost 50%. Some good news for Skyfall now. It opened to 1.97m last weekend according to Mojo and it pushed the total box office high enough to claim the biggest November weekend on record! Woo-hoo!
  8. Bluebomb
    Do you live in China? Next time you watch a movie in HK, there are some theaters that have bigger screens. This post is from 2 pages ago. Barney Ross (Unagi) also recommended iSQUARE if that helps. I personally don't like iSQUARE as much as The ONE because the screens there are small. My top 3 personal favourite theaters are 1. Pacific Place (best all around theater, big screen, leather seats, stadium seating, best service) 2. The ONE (slightly smaller screen than Pacific Place, leather seats, stadium seating) 3. Palace IFC (stadium seating [except house 5 -- watch out], same sized screen as Pacific Place, leather seats; downside...houses are way too small)
  9. Bluebomb
    Cold War should lead off with 16,000-17,000 admissions in pre-sales. It is doing 5-10x Skyfall's night business at a number of locations and is in much bigger screens. For instance, at The ONE, Cold War is leading by nearly a 5:1 ratio while at Palace APM, Cold War has over an 8:1 advantage over Skyfall.Skyfall is heading for 4,000-5,000 in pre-sales (70-80% drop from OD pre-sales).
  10. Bluebomb
    More screen counts are coming in and Broadway Mongkok (3rd highest grossing theater in HK) has cut 91% of Skyfall's screens on Thursday. They're giving Cold War the 3 biggest screens and putting Skyfall in a small house. Cold War is targeting a 1.3m OW while Skyfall is headed for a 62% collapse ($700,000 2nd weekend).
  11. Bluebomb
    Just read that PoI, TBBT and 2BG are all WB shows and that Elementary is a CBS-produced show. No wonder they chose Elementary despite its sinking ratings. CBS better hope it doesn't fall into the mid-high 1's come Superbowl time.
  12. Bluebomb
    It should have been Person of Interest.
  13. Bluebomb
    Looking at the screen counts this week, Cold War has a huge advantage over Skyfall. It also helps to be distributed by the largest theater chain in HK (EDKO, which owns Broadway/AMC). Cold War screen count Broadway/AMC: 2-4 screens (most at 3) UA: 2-3 screens MCL: 2 screens Skyfall - screen % loss (by theater chain) Broadway/AMC: over 60% (some have cut Skyfall's screens by almost 75%) UA: over 50% MCL: 40% (The Grand is still a big supporter -- over 30 showings on Thursday)
  14. Bluebomb
    Day 5: Skyfall loses 53% of admissions on Monday from Thursday. Massive erosion.Terrible drop for Skyfall. It will still make it to 3.5m but 4m is looking a bit shaky.
  15. Bluebomb
    I forgot to mention that falling more than 11% on Sunday might not be much % wise but in admissions, Skyfall lost 10,000.Skyfall ACTUAL - $1,885,123
  16. Bluebomb
    Dang, Ted is a freaking monster everywhere!
  17. Bluebomb
    It won't match Infernal Affairs for sure. Life of Pi is opening in 2 weeks and I can see that becoming a mini Avatar. I agree with Olive here. I see somewhere between 3-4m. Skyfall weekend estimate - $1,950,000 Skyfall fell more than 11% on Sunday which suggests weak word of mouth and demand being met. It won't break 2m but that's where all the bad news stops. Skyfall will increase 65% from both CR and QoS. More mainlanders/influx of British people, higher ticket prices and hot reviews accounts for most of this increase. It will pass 2m in just 5 days. ______________________________________________________________________ Monday pre-sales - 4,898 (-71% from Thursday pre-sales) Ouch! I didn't see this eroding so quickly. If it keeps on declining at this fast pace, it could fall over 70% next weekend. Early user reviews have been less than stellar for Skyfall. Since it only has decent word of mouth in HK, good legs most likely will not happen, especially with Cold War opening next week. Cold War takes over the biggest screen next weekend. Pre-sales have looked solid at most theaters but they haven't been selling as fast as Skyfall did. Thursday looks a bit worrisome but Friday has seen admissions soar. With Skyfall exploding this weekend, theaters will have to make a big decision as to where to put their biggest screens on Saturday/Sunday. Most have already given Cold War the biggest screen on Thursday and Friday but if Skyfall cannot match the pace of Cold War, Cold War will take the biggest screen from Skyfall and that could give it the edge to win the weekend after Skyfall's surprising OW. Moviegoers that caught the previews last week have given it a good rating so it seems word of mouth will spread nicely. I don't think it will have Overheard 2 legs but a higher OW is expected after the huge successes of the past 6 months (Vulgaria, Love in the Buff, A Simple Life, Nightfall). 1-1.2m OW is what I expect right now.
  18. Bluebomb
    Sunday will decide whether or not Skyfall breaks 2m this weekend. It'll be very close. It cannot drop more than 6.5% on Sunday. If it does, 2m will not happen.Even if Skyfall doesn't achieve this, it has already made more in 3 days than it did with CR/QoS's OW. Skyfall's OW will increase 65% from CR/QoS at the very least.That's not all. This weekend has a shot of being the biggest November weekend on record. The record is held by the November 3rd weekend from last year. If Skyfall makes 2m, this is a realistic possibility.
  19. Bluebomb
    Skyfall garnered $346,399 from 40,134 admissions on Thursday. It is looking at a 1.9-2m OW. It will be the only Bond film to pass 3m and 4m.But next week, Cold War makes its highly anticipated debut on the big screen. If this week doesn't turn out to be the biggest November weekend ever, next week will.
  20. Bluebomb
    Actuals (through October 2) 1. Ted - $1,999,984 (6 day weekend actual) 2. Upside Down - $490,002 (6 day weekend actual) 3. Due West - $1,680,193 4. Taken 2 - $373,949 (4 day weekend actual) Looper - $180,527 (6 day weekend actual) The Assassins - $109,605 (5 day weekend actual) Finding Nemo 3D - $91,553 (4 day weekend actual) Magic Mike - $83,816 (6 day weekend actual) Intouchables - $772,399 Resident Evil: Retribution - $2,533,829 The Bullet Vanishes - $973,558 Almost everything was overestimated. Due West was the only film to be underestimated. Not much change at the top. It's still an excellent sum for Ted. Pretty decent for Upside Down and while Taken 2 went down $50,000, it's still an excellent preview launch. Response so far has been encouraging and word of mouth has been very good. Bodes extremely well for its official start this week. Looper faltered. Terrible for The Assassins. Not bad for Finding Nemo compared to past 3D re-releases. Magic Mike stunk. Not even $100,000 with 2 holidays to help it. Yikes. Weak word of mouth from Contagion and Haywire, its subject matter and its III rating are to blame. Intouchables continues its push for 1m. Resident Evil 5 is the first of the series to pass 2.5m. The Bullet Vanishes will creep past 1m.
  21. Bluebomb
    2-day holiday estimates Rank Title 2 day est. Total (Oct. 2) 1 Ted $700,000 $2,025,000 2 Taken 2 $220,000 $420,000 3 Upside Down $205,000 $525,000 4 Due West $165,000 $1,670,000 5 Looper $100,000 $235,000 Ted exploded and has already passed The Hangover 2. Taken 2 has also been building momentum ahead of its official release as it is already grossed 2/3 of Taken's cume. It also overtook Upside Down as the weekend progressed and has been widening the gap. Taken 2 will increase next week based on it having 4 days as opposed to 2 and it will pass 1.2m. Upside Down performed decently but it is starting to show cracks. It had the smallest increase on Monday and has been falling behind Taken 2 every day since Taken 2 came out. Due West had no noticeable holiday effect but next week it should have the best hold of all the holdovers. Looper has grown tremendously throughout the week as it more than doubled its Thursday admissions on Sunday and Monday saw it have the biggest increase of the top 5.
  22. Bluebomb
    Tuesday adm. (so far) October 2 Rank Title LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg 1 Ted -- 16,568 -- -17.5% 2 Upside Down -- 4,018 -- -17.6% 3 Taken 2 -- 3,793 -- -10.9% 4 Due West -- 2,510 -- -4.2% 5 Resident Evil: Retribution -- 2,386 -- -8.9% Huge drops in pre-sales for all films. Next year, summer animation will be extremely competitive with 4 movies already set with a release date. 2013 Summer Animation Schedule Release Date Movie Title June 27 Epic July 4 Despicable Me 2 July 11 Monsters University August 1 The Smurfs 2 Epic will fare the worst of the 4 but it does have the July 1 holiday and it is first out of the gate. The first Despicable Me opened softly and it's total wasn't anything spectacular so I only see a slight increase for the sequel. Monsters University has a pretty good release date and it is far away from The Smurfs. Pixar movies have tapered off in HK with Brave bombing here but Monsters University could be the film to right the Pixar ship. The Smurfs 2 is coming off a successful predecessor where it was one of the lone bright spots for animation in 2010. I see a bigger increase and it will duel MU for the summer animation title. Turbo hasn't gotten a release date yet so theoretically, it could slot in the July 18 spot or around mid August.
  23. Bluebomb
    Latest update36 people dead (including 2 children)7 people in critical condition66 people released from hospital
  24. Bluebomb
    Monday adm. October 1 Rank Title LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg 1 Ted -- 61,934 -- +8.9% 2 Taken 2 -- 16,674 -- +9.7% 3 Upside Down -- 16,414 -- +3.0% 4 Due West -- 9,817 -- +8.2% 5 Looper -- 5,957 -- +15.7% Ted saw a 5,000 increase in admissions on Monday. Taken 2 overtook Upside Down in admissions for the first time. Due West has been stuck in the 9,000-10,000 admissions range since Saturday. Good bump for Looper. That's not the big story at this moment. Earlier this evening at about 8:20 PM, a commercial boat carrying about 120 people collided with a ferry and sank. 101 people were rescued but 8 people are now dead and there's still some dozen people missing.
  25. Bluebomb
    It's been out since Saturday. Monday holiday pre-sales Monday adm. (so far) October 1 Rank Title LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg 1 Ted -- 20,071 -- +4.4% 2 Upside Down -- 4,876 -- -11.3% 3 Taken 2 -- 4,255 -- +0.1% 4 Due West -- 2,621 -- +0.3% 5 Resident Evil: Retribution -- 2,619 -- +6.9% Good for Ted. Huge decrease for Upside Down. Decent for Taken 2. After the week it's been having, not a good increase for Due West. Another solid increase for RE5. *I made a mistake with Ted's estimated total. It should be 1.325m not 1.495m. REVISED Sept. 27 Weekend Estimates Weekend Estimates September 27 Rank Title TW % chg Total 1 Ted $1,050,000 +382.4% $1,325,000 2 Upside Down $320,000 $320,000 3 Due West $300,000 -56.6% $1,505,000 4 Taken 2 $200,000 $200,000 5 Looper $135,000 $135,000
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