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Bluebomb

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  1. Thursday actuals now in table format. Thursday schedules Battleship is getting 2 screens at night but ticket sales are just ok at the moment. Shame is getting showtimes at 7 locations. Sunny has been booked for a semi wide release. The Soul of Bread moves off limited status and sees its showtimes increase on Thursday. Love in the Buff gets 1 screen (down from 2) while Titanic retains almost all of its showtimes. Mirror Mirror also gets a reprieve with it down only a couple of showtimes. Wrath of the Titans is getting the boot in half of the theaters showing it right now. The Hunger Games also keeps most of its showtimes although it is gone from several theaters this week. The Lorax sees its half-full day showtimes down to actual half day showtimes (5 or 6 down to 3). Man on a Ledge loses an edge with theaters and is hanging on tight with 1 showtime per day. April 12 Predictions 1. Battleship - $1,150,000 (including Wednesday previews) 2. Love in the Buff - $380,000 (-57.8%) 3. Mirror Mirror - $235,000 (-55.2%) 4. Titanic 3D - $200,000 (-65.5%) 5. The Hunger Games - $120,000 (-67.5%) Battleship hasn't looked great but I suspect it will do exceptionally well with walk-ins. Love in the Buff might have slowed down the past few days but Battleship won't hit its main demographic that much. It'll be affected more by the loss of the holidays. All holdovers, not just Love in the Buff will see sloppy drops. Mirror Mirror is looking to have the strongest hold of the top 5 due to no other kids movies' challenging it at this time. Mirror Mirror has mixed WOM but The Lorax failed to do much last weekend so that will help with its drop this week. Titanic saw a fantastic opening (cue the dissenters) last weekend but the heavy drop this week will be due to the loss of holidays as well as 1 IMAX showtime. The Hunger Games will be in Battleship's direct line of fire so a huge dropoff for it is expected.
  2. Ice Age 4. It will do very well in China, moreso than Madagascar 3.I found this quite fascinating. HK and Japan I think are the only Asian markets where there is a clear winner (Ice Age in HK, Madagascar in Japan). The rest of the markets seem to be very close with each other between the two films. Ultimately, I think the winner of the biggest animated film this year in Asia will come down to China.
  3. Ice Age will definitely corner the kids market in June and July. The only chance that Madagascar has of going above 500m is if it gets Asia. Unfortunately, Madagascar 2 and Ice Age 3 both didn't do well in Asia so Asia is definitely looking for a breakout hit like Kung Fu Panda 2. Who knows if Brave will go back to previous Pixar hits in Asia. Madagascar definitely has a chance but animation hasn't done blockbuster numbers in Asia since Kung Fu Panda 2 but that is due to it being a cultural factor than a worldwide hit.
  4. Thanks. Easter Monday admissions Could Love in the Buff be starting to slow down? Mirror Mirror, Titanic and The Hunger Games all showed up well. The Lorax had a fairly good Easter Monday holiday as well.
  5. Honourable mention - The Tree of Life It was expected that this movie of arthouse flavour wouldn't do much while audiences clamored for more Hollywood movie extravaganzas but it showed its mettle opening weekend. The Tree of Life posted a magnificent $136,000 from 10 theaters for a PTA of more than $13,600. It held well for 5 more weekends after that, dropping less than 50% in each of those weekends. It finished with more than a 3 multiplier, well above what a typical arthouse release usually makes. 5. Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol Released: December 15 OW - $1,303,500 Total - $5,704,387 (4.38 multiplier) Looking to rejuvenate his career, Tom Cruise went back to his old faithful in the Mission Impossible series. Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol hoped to be Tom Cruise's meal ticket back towards being an A-lister but it faced some extreme challenges along the way. Set for a December 15 release date in Hong Kong, its release date was pitted against the Sherlock Holmes sequel. This battle is akin to the 'Battle of the MANs' in April 2010 when Iron Man 2 and Ip Man 2 cornered every theater in the market that weekend. The two 'Man' sequels combined for more than 3.25m and dominated the box office with a 90.6% market share and it was expected that something similar would happen with Impossible/Holmes. There were some concerns that with the Mission Impossible series seeing its grosses sliding down ever since the first one made 5.4m that the 4th one would make even less. Needless to say, the 2nd one easing to 4.6m and the 3rd only capturing 3.9m didn't calm fears much. Also, the first Sherlock Holmes made 3m in Hong Kong and sequels usually trend upwards. All of those fears were put to rest on opening weekend as Mission Impossible calmly took the weekend over its rival by over $200,000. Opening weekend admissions saw the Mission Impossible film go back and forth with Sherlock Holmes 2. Thursday saw it field a 3,500 admissions advantage over Holmes. Thursday actuals would put it over $210,000 as IMAX helped it wipe out Sherlock Holmes' opening Wednesday advantage in 1 fell swoop. Friday would see its lead shrink to less than 1,000 with Sherlock Holmes jumping over 50%. Saturday was its best day of the weekend with 53,809 admissions but Sherlock Holmes leapfrogged it with a 100 admissions win. It came roaring back on Sunday with only a 2.5% drop while Holmes blew away 13.5% of its Saturday business and marked Sunday with an impressive 5,700 admissions lead. It sported a 10,000 admissions triumph over Sherlock Holmes 2's opening weekend in the 4-day period and carried its admissions win into gross. It opened with $1,303,500, ahead of Knight & Day but behind MI3, which made over 2m in the summer. Christmas weekend saw 4 new openers but they were no match for Mission Impossible. MI4 remained atop the leaderboard besting the opening weekend of Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1 and the 2nd weekend of Sherlock Holmes 2. It performed admirably in admissions where on Thursday it eased 10% from opening day with 21,987 admissions. That hold was fantastic considering Breaking Dawn stormed to #1 with over 36,000 admissions. Actuals would see it slip only 25% in gross and behind Breaking Dawn by $25,000, only a small gap compared with its big 13,000 one in admissions. It sunk Breaking Dawn Part 1 on Friday, stealing away the #1 spot by just 10 tickets and increased 2% from its opening Friday. It continued to strengthen on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day, increasing on both days. Saturday saw it pump up to 57,476, gaining 7% week-to-week. It saw another jump on Sunday, up 14% and managing to post its best admissions day on Christmas. Its weekend admissions was up 6% to 172,055 but it couldn't achieve a similar hold in gross, instead falling 12%. Outside of the weekend, MI4 held steady while Breaking Dawn started to fade as December 26 and 27 saw great holds. It passed 3m on Monday and by the end of the week, it had already doubled Knight & Day's gross and placed in the top 10 of the year. Weaker competition allowed it to rule a 3rd weekend as it had the best admissions drop of the top 5. Turning Point 2 opened but to little fanfare as MI4 scored another weekend of over 100,000 admissions and stumbled only 29% with an $838,000 weekend. It not only passed 4m after the weekend but took MI3 down. After its 3rd week, it stood at an astonishing 4.9m, killing MI2 and it was just a few hundred thousands away from the big kahuna, the first Mission Impossible. Mission Impossible 4 would pass 5m on the start of its 4th weekend but The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo snatched #1 away from it, ending its 3 week reign as the boss. The end of the holidays meant that movies could no longer be seen at any time of day and 7/8 holdovers in the top 10 declined 60% or higher including Mission Impossible 4. It still had the 2nd best hold with a 60% drop and held a $7,500 PTA in its 4th weekend. After 28 days, it came in just a hair shy of 5.4m. It enjoyed the best hold of the top 5 on its 5th weekend, off 47% to 5.57m. It spent another weekend in the top 5 and ran past the original Mission Impossible, finally clinching the victory in 32 days. Chinese New Year came on MI4's 6th weekend but it came with a price. 9 new openers filled theaters, 8 of them landing in the top 10 as the big holiday sees many studios put a big movie there to make money off of the Lunar New Year holidays. As a result, MI4 screen counts and showtimes nosedived and it was only left with 7 theaters, down from 39 its 5th weekend. It crumbled 87% to 5.655m. The effects of having the Lunar New Year holidays on the weekdays bled into MI4's 7th weekend. Half of the movies saw blue including all of the top 5. Unfortunately to MI4's dismay, it did not see any increase itself. It went down 40% and lost another 5 screens in the process. 8th weekend saw it tumble 84% with 7 new movies coming out but it soldiered on past 5.7m. Its final weekend saw it make $1,166 to close out its run with an amazing 5.704m. A couple of uncertainties made people nervous about its box office prospects but it completely shattered and blew past any and all preconceived notions with its run. It not only took down Sherlock Holmes 2 in an epic battle but survived well throughout the holidays with superb holds thanks to great WOM. It also continued to solidify Tom Cruise's place as an action star in Asia and Mission Impossible 4 became Tom Cruise's biggest movie ever in Hong Kong.
  6. Bryan, I know you want Brave to beat Ice Age but Ice Age will do monster business OS.I don't think TASM will take down a lot of records in Asia. Transformers 3 capitalized with a much bigger opening when Green Lantern flopped hard in most of Asia. I don't see GI Joe 2, Brave or other movies around Spider-Man faltering that much.
  7. Russia is becoming like a mini-China. Nice to see big growth there.
  8. I've always liked Ice Age for 800m and I'm sticking by that prediction. I think it will be the go-to animated film for a lot of territories.
  9. That is a good gross for Love in the Buff. I'm surprised it made over 2m.
  10. If that's the case then there should upward adjustments for all movies. The Hunger Games could fall below 20% while Love in the Buff might have increased. Titanic and Mirror Mirror could see weekends of over $500,000.
  11. Easter had less of an effect this year with the Ching Ming holiday falling in the vicinity of the Easter holidays. Box office should be down from the last 2 Easters as most people took Thursday off and created a 6-day holiday for themselves to go elsewhere. Love in the Buff fell slightly from projections although a 2% drop is still excellent. The Hunger Games got bumped up a tad.
  12. I thought this was interesting. Full article here. That is sad and fascinating at the same time. It amazes me that HK can pull in such big numbers with only 47 theaters. No wonder it usually has the highest PTA's of any country for a blockbuster release opening weekend. Hope this answers your question lab.
  13. Love in the Buff badly outdid its nearest competitors and doubled their grosses this Easter weekend. It will be the 2nd local film of the season to pass 3m when it does it sometime Tuesday. 2nd place will come down to the wire with Mirror Mirror and Titanic deadlocked. Mirror Mirror and Titanic both enjoyed a very good Saturday and Sunday as Mirror Mirror dropped lightly but Titanic impressed a bit more by increasing on Saturday. Both should debut with over $500,000 for the 4-day (including sneaks). After a decent start, The Hunger Games has held well although this weekend doesn't look as great last weekend when it dropped 35% in the face of 2 openers and no holidays. Even though it doesn't look as good, the 26% decline is still a decent hold and it might be enough to send The Hunger Games past 2.5m. The Lorax didn't play well with kids this weekend. Looks like kids are holding out for something better.
  14. Oh yeah, definitely. Titanic is going to increase as the weekend progresses in HK. In fact, it already increased on Saturday. Sunday may turn out to be its best day this weekend which after the two holidays that it's already gotten is bizarre and fantastic. Pretty impressive showing for a 3D re-release.
  15. Really good drop for Love in the Buff. Fantastic hold for Mirror Mirror. Superb for Titanic. That doesn't look good for The Lorax. Mild drop for The Hunger Games. Pre-selling for The Avengers is now up and running at all Broadway/AMC locations. IMAX has already started advanced ticketing for The Avengers although schedules have not been posted online. Poll results Q: #1 film of 2012? 1. The Dark Knight Rises - 11 votes 2. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - 3 votes 3. Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 2 - 1 vote 4. Kung Fu Hustle 2/Another film from 2012 - 1 vote Q: Top 5 of 2012? 1. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - 14 votes 2. The Dark Knight Rises - 13 votes 3. The Avengers - 11 votes 4. The Amazing Spider-Man - 10 votes 5. Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 2 - 6 votes T6. The Hunger Games/Ice Age: Continental Drift/Kung Fu Hustle 2 - 4 votes 9. Brave - 3 votes 10. Puss in Boots - 2 votes T11. Madagascar 3/The Expendables - 1 vote Some interesting results although Twilight is not making the top 10 let alone the top 5. The Hunger Games/Puss in Boots are not top 10 bound. The Dark Knight RIses really has a commanding lead as the #1 film. I'd say it's going to be a 3 horse race between Dark Knight, Hobbit and Spider-Man. Thanks for voting!
  16. The Avengers has started pre-selling for April 26 and in some places April 27 at a handful of theaters today. Battleship, on the other hand, has started pre-selling for Wednesday shows only at 2 locations. I have never seen advanced ticketing this far ahead for a tentpole release. It's even gotten advanced ticketing in the business district location which rarely happens. I badly underestimated a lot of the holdovers this weekend. Love in the Buff's 4-day may see a slight increase from last weekend. Its 7-day could increase 70-80% from last weekend and its total may reach almost 3m after Easter Monday. Mirror Mirror is picking up steam. The Hunger Games's low increase Friday isn't great and it might finish the weekend either slightly down or flat from last week. It really depends on how much it falls today and tomorrow. The Lorax rebounded after an underwhelming Thursday. Titanic has been growing. It'll see its biggest grosses today and tomorrow. __________________________________________________________________ This has been a banner year so far for local movies. Last year, only 4 local movies made more than 2m and they combine for a $13,587,136 total. This year has already eclipsed last year's tally with 5 films (A Simple Life, The Viral Factor, I Love Hong Kong 2012, Nightfall and Love in the Buff) all reaching 2m and it's only the beginning of April! Those 5 films will combine for more than last year's gross when all is said and done.
  17. It's happening in HK. Russia seems to be doing well too.
  18. How much is Titanic expected to make in Portugal this weekend?
  19. No, I haven't but it's coming out here on April 19. Just wanted some feedback on the movie. Thanks.
  20. Welcome to the forums!Is In Darkness any good? Have you seen it?
  21. Almost all other shows last night dropped huge, it wasn't just Community. I expect these ratings won't reflect much in NBC's decision to renew or cancel it.Demo lost vs. last original:American Idol: -0.6Big Bang Theory: -0.5Touch: -0.5Community: -0.4Person of Interest: -0.4
  22. Thursday actuals (accurate to the HK$ thousands) 1. Love in the Buff - $178,992 (+25.1%)/$2,029,441 2. Titanic 3D - $86,277/$215,048 3. Mirror Mirror - $81,126/$155,813 4. The Hunger Games - $73,399 (+14.3%)/$1,856,887 5. Wrath of the Titans - $65,673 (-37.5%)/$1,028,885 6. The Lorax - $63,098 7. Man on a Ledge - $33,480 8. Nightfall - $23,178 (-14.9%)/$2,091,251 9. A Simple Life - $19,315 (-27.2%)/$3,246,332 10. Pleasant Goat and Big Bad Wolf 4 - $7,855 Guilty of Romance - $2,317 Bollywood: The Greatest Love Story Ever Told - $1,416 Ratios for the top 5 Love in the Buff - 7.34 Titanic - 9.60 Mirror Mirror - 6.85 The Hunger Games - 7.09 The Lorax - 7.40 Great for Love in the Buff. It'll pass 3.5m and could hit 4m. Titanic is doing well. It's going to triple or quadruple the most recent OWs of 3D re-releases and may hit $650k-700k for the 5-day weekend (including Tuesday sneaks). Mirror Mirror also showed some muscles. It could land somewhere within the realm of $500,000-$600,000 for the 4-day (including special screenings). Solid increase for The Hunger Games. I think it will end with about 2.7-2.8m. It will depend on how much it makes the rest of the holidays and how badly Battleship affects it on Wednesday. Wrath of the Titans will experience a loss of showtimes this weekend. It'll finish somewhere around 1.4-1.5m. Battleship will swallow up most of its remaining showtimes. The Lorax did alright. It'll pull some good grosses throughout the weekend. It might be aiming for about $550,000 for the 4-day. Man on a Ledge is headed for a $200,000 4-day weekend. Nightfall held up ok. It'll likely finish with 2.3m. A Simple Life could be headed for 3.4-3.5m if there is no resurgence from the Hong Kong Film Awards next week. If, however, it dominates and bags the major categories, it might see an uplift in screens and showtimes which could see its final tally balloon to over 4m. Pleasant Goat might be headed towards a $75,000 weekend.
  23. Best episode yet. Shame this will be cancelled.
  24. Wow, so much love!I thought this episode was well made but I didn't find it all that funny. I did like that Leonard was given more to do and say and Fat Neil came back but I couldn't get into the whole documentary style feel of the whole episode.
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