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cory

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Everything posted by cory

  1. 38% jump over the previous non-holiday 3rd Monday record (TGM/JW). Astronomical.
  2. Not even exaggerating when I say that's the most impressive non-OW number I've ever seen in nearly 20 years of following the box office. And the rest of the week might top it.
  3. They had Memorial Day. Barbie has the highest non-holiday 2nd Monday of all time (unadjusted).
  4. $20M previews with Dolby as the only PLF is blowing my mind. As far as OWs go, hands down the most impressive of the decade so far, it's a phenomenon.
  5. 6 (5) Transformers: Rise of the… Paramount Pi… $991,154 -39% -29% 2,852 $348 $140,805,321 27
  6. For comparison A2: 50 M Day 1 40 M Day 2 30 M Day 11 20 M Day 23 (pending) TGM: 50 M Day 1 40 M Day 1 30 M Day 9 20 M Day 16 15 M Day 24 10 M Day 30 5 M Day 44 3 M Day 65 2 M Day 101 1 M Day 114 This type of record probably benefits non-summer movies more, but on the other hand this was Father's Day weekend for TGM and it only got to 17.7M on its best day vs 20 for A2 on a non-holiday weekend with nearly 50M more demand burnt off already.
  7. Yeah the exact number doesn't really matter at this point, it's a few hundred k above the non-holiday 3rd Wed. record regardless (which previously belonged to Avatar) and after an inflated Tue. Not concerned about legs shortening until we see Saturday's number.
  8. A2's 1st week = $193M less than TFA's 1st week A2's 3rd week = ~$5M less than TFA's 3rd week
  9. A true non-holiday record yesterday. And January weekdays aren't nearly as busy as mid-June.
  10. Nearly a 30% jump from the previous biggest non-holiday 3rd Tuesday, we're truly in uncharted territory here (well, uncharted since the last Avatar). $50M 4th weekend is definitely in play but I'm thinking 45-47 right now to be on the safe side.
  11. That sounds right. Slightly above TDK with everything broken out by format IIRC. But that was back when that data was easier to find and only 3 real formats to track.
  12. I think the increase in PLF offsets the decrease in normal 3D so it probably needs more than that to match.
  13. Have a weird feeling that it's just going to copy TFA's raw numbers from here on out and end up 10th all time, maybe slightly worse drops on weekdays and slightly stronger holds on weekends due to the run time but it will even out. If it comes in at or above TGM's 4th weekend then it will be a different story.
  14. Yeah I don't see it being useful after Monday once the calendar configuration is over. The only appropriate comparisons are A1/TFA/NWH after that.
  15. Right now I'm thinking $600M - Floor 600-620 - 10% 625-645 - 25% 650-670 - 40% 675-695 - 15% 700-715 - 7.5% 720+ - 2.5%
  16. Highest non-NYD 3rd Friday was TLJ with $19M. This is a whopping 28% jump from that. Starting to think the DOM total might start with a 7...
  17. Potentially increasing in its 3rd weekend after burning off $360M in demand is quite the feat. On the very outside chance that it beats Avatar's 3rd weekend, that might mean 8 straight days of 20M+ (potentially 9 with Monday). I think only TFA and Endgame have done that.
  18. I don't see it happening. $70M is already +10% from last weekend and that's asking a lot as it is.
  19. Taking the highest and lowest daily DOM changes out of the equation, Way of Water is remarkably stable so far even compared to the original Avatar.
  20. So to summarize, at the time that A2 was greenlit, it needed to match something like DH2 around 1.3B to break even, so 1.5B sounds about right for today's market. Looking pretty likely like JC will have 3 movies in the top 7 all time WW so I don't know what the trades are on about.
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