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MJL

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Everything posted by MJL

  1. I just hope the Mary Poppins sequel is amazing so I could get the true life sequel I always wanted.... Sound of Music II -- It would be a musical mixed with the tone and style of The Revenant and 127 Hours because you know taking a bunch of kids with no supplies into the wilderness is going to go OH SO GREAT!! ?
  2. Talking about live action adaptations, Disney would be a fool not to do a live action Fantasia immediately after Marijuana is legalized in all 50 states. 300M OW guaranteed!!!!! ?
  3. I think DHD is being conservative. Look at what THR reported. They make it seem like 60M is the minimum it can do. "Disney's live-action musical Beauty and the Beast is doing monstrous business at the North American box office, where it should waltz past $60 million on Friday alone for a possible opening of $165 million-$170 million, according to early Friday returns." http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/weekend-box-office-beauty-beast-roars-163m-thursday-986898
  4. On another note (and forgive me if it's been posted), PotC5 just got more interesting.. http://toofab.com/2016/12/17/keira-knightley-to-return-to-pirates-of-caribbean-exclusive-details/ (Before anyone wonders, TooFab is under TMZ)
  5. Also does anyone forget that Rey was ALREADY skilled at weapons before the events in the FA. How do we know this? Look at her first fight with a weapon. I'm not talking about her fight with Kylo, but how she had that fight when first running into Finn and how he was shocked how she knocked him off his feet so fast and dispatched those two other guys with her staff. Now think how hard is it to pick up a lightsaber and fight with it if you have previous years of experience with a staff..
  6. To put things into perspective, RO has a chance to make less in it's OW than TFA's second weekend. It's not that RO is doing badly at all (it's now my 3rd favorite SW), it's just showing how insane TFA's run actually was last year...
  7. So now the question is which trend will it follow. Ep III did 16.5m from previews (which adjusts to 22.2m in 2016) and went on to a 50m OD (67m adj) on a Thursday and FA did 57m from previews and a 120m OD. So, we are looking at a 2.1 - 3.0 multi from previews for a 61m - 87m range. Previews have definitely grown since then, but at the same time RO isn't as much of a "Rush out and see this for a first showing" type of movie as FA with the return of the main cast (in my opinion). I still feel 3x is obviously way too high to expect but feel 2.1x is too low. I'm thinking this should get about a 2.3 - 2.5 multi for a 67 - 72m OD (38 - 43m true Friday).
  8. On another note, GotG 2 is going to be utterly huge based on the reaction in my theater to the trailer
  9. So, you would have rather had them done what most others movies do and have the cast be like 90% White A List actors with maybe 1 or 2 minorities represented in small rolls? Rogue One has a much more diverse cast than most movies do...and that's something worth rooting for IMO
  10. I honestly think everyone should be rooting for Rogue One to succeed even if you think it may not live up to expectations. Not because of it being a Star Wars film, but because of the sheer diversity of the cast focused on in Rogue One.
  11. @MovieMan89. If kids hate it then how is what I posted on the last page possible?
  12. Despite any notoin that Rogue One is a darker film, 90% of all boys under 12 will recommend it to their friends, while 84% of all girls will pass the good word around about Jyn Erso. http://deadline.com/2016/12/rogue-one-star-wars-story-preview-box-office-social-media-1201871704/ hmmmmm.......
  13. Here's where I think the great divide between people who love the movie and hate it is:
  14. I would say my top 3 biggest surprises in the last few years (not ranked in order) are: 1) Frozen 2) American Sniper 3) Deadpool
  15. I don't think there is any possible way to look at TFA being a bigger surprise over Deadpool. Think of it this way.... When TFA was announced, people may not have been predicting smashing the opening weekend record or topping Avatar...but it was a credible possibility. Once marketing hit, it became clear that it would do amazing numbers at least CLOSE to the record and would challenge at least JW total. Now Deadpool, on the other hand, doubled most people's predictions they had on the week of release. When the midnight numbers came out, people still were debating if it would be able to break FSOG's record over the 3 and 4 day. No one could have even fathomed it would do 152m over the 4 day and there were very few predictions for over a 200m total gross LET ALONE a 300m or chance at a 400m total. Another way to look at it is tracking. Here is the tracking for both approximately 3 weeks from release. Deadpool outdid it's tracking by about 2.5x where TFA would have had to been tracking at about 100m to jump as much from tracking as Deadpool did as shown below: "Those with access to prerelease services say the scores are strong for Deadpool among both males and females (as of now, it is the first choice among females). One service even has Deadpool crossing $60 million, and that's before Fox makes its major marketing push." http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-ryan-reynolds-deadpool-858018 "Star Wars: The Force Awakens registered on distributors’ tracking reports today, four weeks before the film opens. On the low end, some are projecting $185 million, at the high end they’re looking at $210M, and Disney insiders think an opening close to $170M is possible." http://deadline.com/2015/11/star-wars-the-force-awakens-box-office-opening-estimate-1201636913/
  16. I wonder if the great holds on other movies were from people getting tickets to sneak into Deadpool ?
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