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Biggestgeekever

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  1. I don't want to put a ton of stock into the fact that Us isn't a sequel; Jordan Peele's name means a ton after Get Out's financial and critical success, and that's absolutely driving demand for Us in a similar way being a sequel would. I think that Signs is a good comparison for this. That jumped about 125% from The Sixth Sense's opening, a similar jump from Get Out would put Us at $75M for the 3-day.
  2. Interesting info from Deadline's latest update: That breakdown compares poorly to Wonder Woman's OD which was 52% female. If that ends up holding throughout the weekend, I think the film wasn't as appealing to women as was expected (maybe the lack of a love interest played a part?) and that prevented it from hitting the $170-180M OW range.
  3. Fucking furious that ass passed on Binx.
  4. Can't find a final Thursday update, but it looks like Captain Marvel tonight will comfortably surpass where Thor Ragnarok was on Thursday afternoon.
  5. LA Times has it at $175M+ https://www.latimes.com/business/hollywood/la-fi-ct-box-office-captain-marvel-20190306-story.html
  6. Yeah, Valentine's Day on Wednesday is gonna skew the MT comparison enough that it probably won't be too meaningful (also probably explains why it's Fandango sales barely increases from Tuesday). Still, it looks like Captain Marvel is gonna get around 60% with the final update and is well positioned to break 80% on Thursday. I think we've only seen that before with Star Wars, Avengers, and IT which had comically low competition. BP and Incredibles 2 came very close to 80% as well.
  7. Final (probably?) prediction: Pre: $24.5M Fri: $48.0M/$72.5M Sat: $62.8M +30.8%/-13.4% Sun: $48.3M -23.1% OW: $183.6M 2nd: $87.0M -52.6% 3rd: $46.2M -44.6% 4th: $28.8M -40.2% DOM: $520M INT: $600M WW: $1.120B I kind of did have the urge to go with $200M, hehe, since it does have that same sense of hype really surging in the final days that happens with openers that hit that number. But we'll see, I wouldn't be totally surprised if that happens but I do think it probably needs a preview number in the high 20s to pull that off.
  8. Is Captain Marvel's opening day under similar circumstances as BP and AOU? Same number of schools in session, people working, etc?
  9. There was nothing weirdly frontloaded about Ant-Man and the Wasp; it released in July with the 4th on Wednesday, so many people had Thursday and Friday off. You can see that Friday and Saturday increases for holdovers were weak across the board: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2018-07-06&track=ant-manandthewasp.htm
  10. Oh, this is what DL meant https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/heat-vision/captain-marvel-top-fandango-preseller-avengers-infinity-war-1192446?utm_source=twitter&utm_source=t.co&utm_medium=referral
  11. Best guess: they're referring to Atom ticket sales and didn't mention that because Deadline will Deadline.
  12. https://deadline.com/2019/03/captain-marvel-box-office-opening-record-preview-1202569811/
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