Indian Box Office Thread | Jawan overtakes Pathaan, becomes highest grossing Indian movie of 2023

[Flop]

 

[Flop]

@Jedi Jat

 

What is your projection for Good Newwz?? Is 250Cr final total feasible??

[cdsacken]

On 1/1/2020 at 3:47 AM, Steven said:

by adjust number Titanic is stil highest grossing English film in india,that is insane

It's really not though. Titantic in 2019 would do less than it did 1997 unadjusted. Just watch when avatar does way less in 2021. If it doesn't do above 600 in China it's not reaching 2.5B

Edited January 3, 2020 by cdsacken

[charlie Jatinder]

23 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

It's really not though. Titantic in 2019 would do less than it did 1997 unadjusted.

No way. Ticket rates in India are 9x 1998 besides Titanic 3D itself did ₹20cr when unadjusted Titanic in 1998 was ₹53cr.

 

Titanic if released today will do ₹300cr quite easily.

[charlie Jatinder]

2 hours ago, Flop said:

@Jedi Jat

 

What is your projection for Good Newwz?? Is 250Cr final total feasible??

Noy anymore. Still expecting ₹225cr Nett though.

[charlie Jatinder]

Bollywood

2016: ₹3,665cr

2017: ₹3,245cr (-12%)

2018: ₹4,146cr (+28.5%)

2019: ₹4,910cr (+18.4%)

 

Hollywood

2013: ₹500cr

2014: ₹610cr (+22%)

2015: ₹895cr (+47%)

2016: ₹1,074cr (+20%)

2017: ₹1,049cr (-2.4%) 

2018: ₹1,280cr (+22%)

2019: ₹1,590cr (+25%)

 

This may look great but minus MCU 2019 is ₹948cr which is not much higher than ₹836cr in 2017 ₹790cr in 2015. In fact it will be less than ₹965cr in 2016.

 

Special comps for Hollywood

• minus Avengers and Jungle Book.

Spoiler

2016: ₹819cr (-8.5%)

2017: ₹1,049cr (+28%)

2018: ₹985cr (-6.2%)

2019: ₹1,151cr (+6.7%)

• minus MCU

Spoiler

2015: ₹785cr

2016: ₹956cr

2017: ₹836cr

2018: ₹876cr

2019: ₹948cr

• minus Disney

Spoiler

2015: ₹745cr

2016: ₹633cr

2017: ₹849cr

2018: ₹800cr

2019: ₹757cr (₹680cr including Fox films)

 

Edited March 24, 2020 by charlie Jatinder

[charlie Jatinder]

Tollywood

Year	Total Share	% +/-	Releases	Average	#1 release	Share
2019	₹825.00	0.00%	165	₹5.00	Syeraa Narasimha Reddy	₹121.25
2018	₹825.00	-27.63%	173	₹4.77	Rangasthalam	₹103.32
2017	₹1,140.00	58.55%	171	₹6.67	Baahubali: The Conclusion	₹250.15
2016	₹719.00	5.58%	177	₹4.06	Sarrainodu	₹67.40
2015	₹681.00		173	₹3.94	Baahubali: The Beginning	₹149.20

 

These are box office SHARE. Gross will be roughly ₹1,450cr in 2019 and ₹1,700cr in 2018.

Quote

 

Over the last few years, drawing conclusions on comparison from the box office share has become a little complicated due to imposition of GST, which deflated the shares in the second half of 2017 and whole of 2018 with 28 percent tax rate, and then inflated the numbers in 2019 with reduction of rate to 18 percent. Complicating things further, in 2019, distributors quietly began including the GST output when reporting box office numbers. The move was basically to juice the numbers.

 

Adjusting these two factors, the comparable number last year is ₹720 crore approx, which is about 13 percent down from last year. This consecutive two years decline in box office is a worrisome issue for the industry. Despite continuous increase in ticket rates and growth in multiplex sector, the box office is on decline

 

 

[cdsacken]

3 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

No way. Ticket rates in India are 9x 1998 besides Titanic 3D itself did ₹20cr when unadjusted Titanic in 1998 was ₹53cr.

 

Titanic if released today will do ₹300cr quite easily.

Nah I meant in USA. I have no clue about Indian Box office.

[Legion Again]

7 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

Hollywood

2013: ₹500cr

2014: ₹610cr (+22%)

2015: ₹895cr (+47%)

2016: ₹1,074cr (+20%)

2017: ₹1,049cr (-2.4%) 

2018: ₹1,280cr (+22%)

2019: ₹1,490cr (+16%)

 

7 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

Minus MCU

2015: ₹785cr

2016: ₹956cr

2017: ₹880cr

2018: ₹876cr

2019: ₹848cr

Deductively, MCU:

2015 110cr, 

2016 118cr, +7%

2017 169cr, +43%

2018 404cr, +139%

2019 642cr, +59%  

 

Pretty crazy. 2020 will be a humongous come down before 4 a year takes things back to a nice level.

[charlie Jatinder]

[charlie Jatinder]

30k interested in Dolittle on BMS, 2 Weeks out. Final number shall be 100k.

 

That's really great. FWIW can open to $700-900k OD, perhaps $3.25-4mn weekend.  That's just reading from BMS and RDJ hype.

[a2k]

On 1/4/2020 at 10:23 AM, Jedi Jat said:

H4 did 200cr more or less...can you shed light on how it's not a clean hit?

That chart makes me re-think how great a year A.Kumar had.

[a2k]

Hindi OD - BOI

Chpk 4.25cr

Tanji 14.5cr

https://boxofficeindia.com/report-details.php?articleid=5800

 

Would guess

Chpk - 18 ow, 28-30cr 7-day, 37.5-42.5cr lifetime.

Tanji - 60cr ow, 95cr 7-day, 175-185cr lifetime

Edited January 11, 2020 by a2k

[charlie Jatinder]

8 hours ago, a2k said:

H4 did 200cr more or less...can you shed light on how it's not a clean hit?

That chart makes me re-think how great a year A.Kumar had.

The verdicts by Komal Nahata are quite stricter and plainly for trade. BoxOfficeIndia are for internet audience majorily and quite leniant for big films.

 

Komal Nahata verdicts are strongly on Distributor and Exhibitor recovery and theatrical while BOI give more focus to producer and verdicts are hybrid.

 

Akshay had a really good year, even with Komal Nahata standard as all his films were successful but not as big as BOI made them out.

[Flop]

What would happen if the Khans made films in the frequency of Akki?? Would that dilute their brand?? Will it mean lesser returns as their movies lose event status??

[Flop]

Is there any female star in Bollywood with legit appeal for the masses?? Or even for the urban/multiplex crowd?? I see recent female fronted movies opening in single digits so this (Manikarnika probably opened in double digits but that was based on historical events) popped into my head. I also remember Kriti Sanon being upset at press media for neglecting her contribution to Luka Chhupi's success so there's that as well. Are there really no female stars with big hype and credibility??

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, Flop said:

Is there any female star in Bollywood with legit appeal for the masses

No. Last was Katrina. Sonakshi Sinha briefly in 2010-2013.

 

Edited January 11, 2020 by Jedi Jat

[a2k]

BOI https://boxofficeindia.com/report-details.php?articleid=5807

Quote

Tanhaji - The Unsung Warrior has recorded excellent collections on Sunday with 25-26 crore nett as per early estimates which will mean a 60 crore nett weekend for the film. The growth is superb on Sunday with collections going up 30%.

 

Chhapaak has fared poorly with a 7-7.50 crore nett Sunday which means a weekend of 18 crore nett plus. 

Looking at the trend 3x+ the weekend for 180cr+ total for Tanhaji looks feasible.

 

Chhapaak may not do more than 2x the weekend and may end under 40cr nett. Should have done that in the first week with strong wom and doubling the opening week instead of the opening weekend should have been the goal.

[charlie Jatinder]

Collection will be boosted for next two days and iirc there is a holiday in some parts on 15th as well. ₹150cr I guess. May be hit ₹170cr ish.

 

Edited January 13, 2020 by Jedi Jat

[charlie Jatinder]

Very strong Monday. ₹200cr is very likely.