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laguy03

laguy's Winter Game - And the winner is...

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Welcome to laguy’s 2013/14 Winter Game!

 
This is a (nearly) 4 month game that begins on Friday, October 4th, 2013 and ends on Monday, January 20th, 2014. That means everything that is asked of you in this game, from predicted grosses to SOTMs, only concern box office grosses earned during this period.
 
All preseason predictions and answers are due on Thursday, October 3rd at 12 PM PST. This thread will only be used for the discussion of the game. Your Top 15 films, Top 5 Opening Weekends, and preseason answers will be posted in a separate thread. Every scorable answer must be posted in the designated thread. I won’t be scoring anything that is posted in this thread. Also, I will not accept PM answers.
 
I will be strict with deadlines, so please be sure that you post your answers/responses before the given deadlines.
 
Game Components:

 
Predict Top 15 Films of Winter (750,000 points + 900,000 potential bonus points)
Predict the order and grosses of the top 15 films released between October 4th, 2013 and January 20th, 2014.
 
Point System for Predicting Grosses:
For every Top 15 film’s gross that you call within $10M, you get 30,000 points. If you call it between $10M-$20M, you get 20,000 points. If you call it between $20M-$30M, you get 10,000 points. If you call it within $30M-$40M, you don’t gain or lose points. If the final gross you predicted is off by between $40M-$60M, you will lose 5,000 points. For every $20M you are off by after that, you will lose an additional 5,000 points. So if, for example you are off by $101M, you will lose 20,000 points for that film.
 
Point System for Predicting Positions:

    [*]For every film you call correctly in the Top 15, you will get 20,000 points. [*]If you call a film in the correct spot, you will get 20,000 bonus points. [*]If you predict a film will make the Top 15 and it misses, you will lose 15,000 points for that prediction. [*]You will not gain or lose points for the predicted grosses of the films that miss the Top 15

The bonus point breakdowns are described below. You can score one of the first three bonuses in addition to a bonus from the rest of the list.

    [*]If you call the top 3 positions correctly, in order, you will get a 50,000 point bonus [*]If you call the top 4 positions correctly, in order, you will get a 75,000 point bonus [*]If you call the top 5 positions correctly, in order, you will get a 100,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 8 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 50,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 9 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 100,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 10 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 150,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 11 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 200,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 12 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 250,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 13 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 300,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 14 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 400,000 point bonus [*]If you can call 15 out of the 15 films correctly, regardless of order and gross, you will get a 500,000 point bonus

Predict Top 5 Opening Weekends (75,000 points + 200,000 potential bonus points)
Predict the 5 biggest opening weekend grosses (and the order of those openings). All films released between October 4th, 2013 and January 20th, 2014 will count. I consider a film’s opening weekend gross to be as all money earned starting with Thursday sneak peaks and leading up to Sunday night.
 
Point System for Predicting Top 5 OW:
For every film you call correctly in the top 5, regardless of order, you will receive 15,000 points. For every film you call in the exact spot, you will get 10,000 bonus points. If you are able to call 3 of the 5 correctly, regardless of order, you will receive a 50,000 point bonus. Call 4 out of 5 correctly, you will get a 75,000 point bonus. If you call 5 out of 5 correctly, you will get a 100,000 point bonus. For every film you call incorrectly in the top 5, you lose 10,000 points. As a bonus, for every Top 5 opening weekend gross that you guess within $10M, you will get 10,000 points. Since these are bonus points, predicting the OW grosses is not mandatory. The only thing I have to have are the film titles and their respective positions.
 

10 Preseason Questions (100,000 points)
 

Note: For every film that you don’t give an answer for, you will automatically lose 7,000 points.

1. Will at least 3 films gross more than $85M dollars opening weekend (domestically)?
Answer it correctly: 10,000 points
Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points
Abstain: 2,500 points

2. Will at least three films gross more than $37.5M opening day?
Answer it correctly: 10,000 points
Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points
Abstain: 2,500 points

3. Will at least 2 films make more than $800M WW by the end of the game?
Answer it correctly: 10,000 points
Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points
Abstain: 2,500 points

4. Will at least 3 films, listed as a comedy by Box Office Mojo make more than $100M dollars this winter?
(The films that qualify for this question include: A.C.O.D., Bad Milo!, Zero Charisma, Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa, Last Vegas, About Time, Best Man Down, A Case of You, The Best Man Holiday, Nebraska, Delivery Man, Inside Llewyn Davis, Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas, Anchorman: The Legend Continues, Her, Grudge Match, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty, August: Osage County, and Ride Along)
Answer it correctly: 10,000 points
Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points
Abstain: 2,500 points

5. Will the combined grosses of the top 2 films add up to more than the combined gross of films that land in spots #3 - #9?
Answer it correctly: 10,000 points
Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points
Abstain: 2,500 points

6. Of the following movies currently listed as being released in a limited amount of theaters, which will be the highest grossing?

Twelve Years A Slave, American Hustle, or Saving Mr. Banks
Answer it correctly: 10,000 points
Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points
Abstain: 2,500 points

7. Of the following movies currently listed as being released in a limited amount of theaters, which will be the lowest grossing?

Her, Nebraska, or Dallas Buyers Club
Answer it correctly: 10,000 points
Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points
Abstain: 2,500 points

8. Will the November opening weekend record be broken by more than $25M? (The current record holder is The Twilight Saga: New Moon with $142,839,137.)
Answer it correctly: 10,000 points
Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points
Abstain: 2,500 points

9. Will the December opening weekend record be broken by more than $10M? (The current record holder is The Hobbit with $84,617,303.)
Answer it correctly: 10,000 points
Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points
Abstain: 2,500 points

10. Which combination of movies will gross the most amount of money during the game?
A. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire, Twelve Years A Slave, All Is Lost, & Old Boy
B. The Hobbit: the Desolation of Smaug, Gravity, Captain Phillips, Last Vegas, & The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
C. Thor: The Dark World, Anchorman: The Legend Continues, Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa, Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas, & Frozen
Answer it correctly: 10,000 points
Answer it incorrectly: lose 5,000 points
Abstain: 2,500 points


Weekly Questions (160,000 + potential bonus points)
Every week, there will be 10 questions that must be answered by Thursday night at 11:59 PM PST. The deadline will always be the same, regardless of when movies are released and whatever else is going on that week (including Holidays). Anywhere from 2-3 bonus questions will be included every week. The points on those will vary.
 

SOTM Questions (50,000 points)
There will be 5 Spur Of The Moment questions. Each will be worth 10,000 points.

So that pretty much covers everything. You have less than 2 weeks to get all of your preseason answers in. If you have any suggestions or questions, please post them here.


 

Good luck everyone!

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Yes. That is the Preseason predictions/answers thread. Separate threads will be created for weekly questions & SOTMS. This thread is only for discussion/updates.

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Yikes! nearly 4 months for winter... to much for me with school. Good luck guys! I will have fun commenting from time to time. (although I might submit a top 15 for the heck of it)

 

I really hope you reconsider narniadis. There will only be 10 questions on a weekly basis and 5 SOTMs. I think that even though it sounds like a big commitments, it's really not that bad.

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For Tele:

 

I'm only assuming these are the films that will be included:]

 

Gravity 

Runner Runner

Captain Phillips 

Machete Kills

Carrie

Escape Plan

Fifth Estate

The Counselor

Grandpa Jackass Movie

Ender's Game

Free Birds

Last Vegas

Thor 2

About Time

The Best Man Holiday

The Book Thief

Wolf of Wall Street

The Delivery Man

Hunger Games 2

Black Nativity

Homefront

Oldboy

Out of the Furnace

Hobbit 2

Tyler Perry's Madea Christmas

Abchorman 2

Monument Men

Frozen

Saving Mr. Banks

 

Walking With Dinosaurs

47 Ronin

Grudge Match 

Jack Ryan

The Secret Life of walter Mitty

American Hustle

Devil's Due

Paranormal Activity 5

Her 

Labour Day 

Lone Survivor

The Nut Job

Ride Along

 

These are all the releases listed as wide.

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1. Catching Fire - $455 million 

2. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug - $285 million 

3. Thor: The Dark World - $235 million

4. Frozen - $220 million

5. Anchorman 2 - $205 million 

6. The Secret Life of Walter Mitty - $155 million

7. Gravity - $140 million

8. The Wolf of Wall Street - $125 million

9. A Madea Christmas - $110 million

10. Saving Mr. Banks - $105 million

11. Jack Ryan - $100 million

12. The Delivery Man - $95 million 

13. Captain Phillips - $85 million

14. Last Vegas - $70 million

15. Free Birds - $65 million 

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1. Catching Fire - $455 million 

2. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug - $285 million 

3. Thor: The Dark World - $235 million

4. Frozen - $220 million

5. Anchorman 2 - $205 million 

6. The Secret Life of Walter Mitty - $155 million

7. Gravity - $140 million

8. The Wolf of Wall Street - $125 million

9. A Madea Christmas - $110 million

10. Saving Mr. Banks - $105 million

11. Jack Ryan - $100 million

12. The Delivery Man - $95 million 

13. Captain Phillips - $85 million

14. Last Vegas - $70 million

15. Free Birds - $65 million 

 

Remember that you need to post your  predictions here.

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For Tele:

 

I'm only assuming these are the films that will be included:]

 

Gravity 

Runner Runner

Captain Phillips 

Machete Kills

Carrie

Escape Plan

Fifth Estate

The Counselor

Grandpa Jackass Movie

Ender's Game

Free Birds

Last Vegas

Thor 2

About Time

The Best Man Holiday

The Book Thief

Wolf of Wall Street

The Delivery Man

Hunger Games 2

Black Nativity

Homefront

Oldboy

Out of the Furnace

Hobbit 2

Tyler Perry's Madea Christmas

Abchorman 2

Monument Men

Walking With Dinosaurs

47 Ronin

Grudge Match 

Jack Ryan

The Secret Life of walter Mitty

American Hustle

Devil's Due

Paranormal Activity 5

Her 

Labour Day 

Lone Survivor

The Nut Job

Ride Along

 

These are all the releases listed as wide.

 

 

There are a few big ones missing from this list... Frozen, Mr. Banks, and Osage County

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For Tele:

 

I'm only assuming these are the films that will be included:]

 

Gravity 

Runner Runner

Captain Phillips 

Machete Kills

Carrie

Escape Plan

Fifth Estate

The Counselor

Grandpa Jackass Movie

Ender's Game

Free Birds

Last Vegas

Thor 2

About Time

The Best Man Holiday

The Book Thief

Wolf of Wall Street

The Delivery Man

Hunger Games 2

Black Nativity

Homefront

Oldboy

Out of the Furnace

Hobbit 2

Tyler Perry's Madea Christmas

Abchorman 2

Monument Men

Walking With Dinosaurs

47 Ronin

Grudge Match 

Jack Ryan

The Secret Life of walter Mitty

American Hustle

Devil's Due

Paranormal Activity 5

Her 

Labour Day 

Lone Survivor

The Nut Job

Ride Along

 

These are all the releases listed as wide.

 

 

Thanks. Frozen? I assume that's wide too.

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