The Amazing Spider-Man 2: Record opening in Philippines and India, stabilizing elsewhere

[Olive]

Closing abroad with Godzilla and the upcoming Xmen DOFP and Maleficient.  I don't see it reaching $700M.

 

It has maybe $20 M left at best on the foreign front and needs around another $50M at home to reach it.

It made 30M+ OS this weekend, won't miss 500M OS.

[Ent]

It made 30M+ OS this weekend, won't miss 500M OS.

How to add $40 M ? 

 

It's closing in a lot of countries where it opened 5 weeks ago as DOFP is opening on wednesday already with Godzilla taking its full gear and Maleficent is right at the corner, within 10 days.

Edited May 18, 2014 by Ent

[A Marvel Fanboy]

It did only 57m last week, down 55% from the week before. Needs another 40m for 500m. The chance is basically dead. Mutants full power this week globally.

[bapi]

It did only 57m last week, down 55% from the week before. Needs another 40m for 500m. The chance is basically dead. Mutants full power this week globally.

So WW finish under 720M WW... YES! That's what I wanted!

[Godzilla]

It did only 57m last week, down 55% from the week before. Needs another 40m for 500m. The chance is basically dead. Mutants full power this week globally.

Or the mutants could easily disappoint. Prove once again that X-Men is not big with foreign audiences, just like Star Trek last year.

[Ent]

It made 30M+ OS this weekend, won't miss 500M OS.

 

 

How ?  

 

Its theater counts in a lot of countries is reduced (like one per day in two theaters in my city).  

 

That movie has been out since April the 16th in a majority of countries.  CAP2 stayed in my cinema three whole weeks.  Spidey has had one session per day for the past week  and is closing on tuesday nigh after 5 weeks as DOFP will be released on wednesday then Maleficent on the next one.  

 

Quite frankly, it will need for it to stay three extra week with no new releases to add those extra $40M.

 

Only China may add a little more money but anywhere, i don't see it.

[Ent]

It made 30M+ OS this weekend, won't miss 500M OS.

 

double post !

Edited May 18, 2014 by Ent

[Rudolf]

movie year OS-China

SM1 2002    414

SM2 2004    404

SM3 2007    535

TASM 2012  442

TSM2 2014  <400

With the exception of Spider-Man 3 the BO of all Spideys has remained about the same in the World without China and Northamerica. It grew in China and it shrunk in NA.

[LexJoker]

It made 30M+ OS this weekend, won't miss 500M OS.

You of all people should know most of this came from China, where it will die when DOFP releases next week.

[a2k]

It did only 57m last week, down 55% from the week before. Needs another 40m for 500m. The chance is basically dead. Mutants full power this week globally.

 

is at 461m. needs 39m more. had a 31.5m weekend. even with dofp releasing, 500m is a lock.

 

EDIT:

last week - 57.5m. next 4 weeks:

23 (-60%) [mon-thu no dofp..so drop due to dofp will be divided over next weekend, and weekdays after that]

9.2 (-60%) [first weekdays of dofp]

4.6 (-50%)

2.3 (-50%)

39.1 => 500.1

that's just 4 weeks. will play out some more.

it will also stabilize(<50%) drop at some point on the lower side. will go north of 505m at least.

Edited May 19, 2014 by a2k

[keysersoze123]

if you break up china and rest of the world, it will probably drop 70% in china and 50% ROW. So next week will give us the big picture. Problem for TASM2 now is China is the biggest driver.

 

But 500M should happen for sure. But definitely not 750M WW.

[a2k]

if you break up china and rest of the world, it will probably drop 70% in china and 50% ROW. So next week will give us the big picture. Problem for TASM2 now is China is the biggest driver.

 

But 500M should happen for sure. But definitely not 750M WW.

 

yeah. looks like it will max out at 510m. dom 205-210m. ww 715-720m. below ca2. that's something.

[Sam]

Cap will end around 715M so TASM2 still have a very solid shot of beating it. Just not by a wide margin like many thought though.

[Rudolf]

yeah. looks like it will max out at 510m. dom 205-210m. ww 715-720m. below ca2. that's something.

based on last screen appearances Spider-Man, Superman,Thor and Captain America are now second rated SuperHeroes with WW BO of $650m to $750m

All 4 behind the top 2 Iron Man and Batman, who command over $1b

[Ent]

You of all people should know most of this came from China, where it will die when DOFP releases next week.

Exactly.

 

It did $31M this week, $22M of which is China.  So, it did $9M elsewhere.

 

Where are those extra $40M to be found with Godzilla fully out a few days ago and Dofp released in two days in a lot of european countries, then in three days in the rest of them and in latine america, then on friday in China and Asia ?

 

TASM2 has basicly 48 hours before it is removed in a majority of theaters where it has been running since April the 16th and then for the residual left has to compete with direct competitor DOFP, Godzilla and a bunch of newcommer in the form of local releases.

 

In my opinion, $40m is dead in the water.  It had a chance if it had hit $475M+ this weekend like i said last week. It may even struggle to hit TASM's $490m if it completely falls in China when opposed to DOFP this  coming weekend.

Edited May 19, 2014 by Ent

[Sam]

Exactly. It did $31M this week, $22M of which is China.  So, it did $9M elsewhere. Where are those extra $40M to be found with Godzilla fully out a few days ago and Dofp released in two days in a lot of european countries, then in three days in the rest of them and in latine america, then on friday in China and Asia ? TASM2 has basicly 48 hours before it is removed in a majority of theaters where it has been running since April the 16th and then for the residual left has to compete with direct competitor DOFP, Godzilla and a bunch of newcommer in the form of local releases. In my opinion, $40m is dead in the water.  It had a chance if it had hit $475M+ this weekend like i said last week. It may even struggle to hit TASM's $490m if it completely falls in China when opposed to DOFP this  coming weekend.

It grossed about 57M for the whole week Ent, 31M is weekend only.

[TalismanRing]

It grossed about 57M for the whole week Ent, 31M is weekend only.

 

And and of the $31m w/e about $14m is from China (89m y)

Edited May 19, 2014 by TalismanRing

[Fake]

Removing China from the equation, the past few weekends have been:

 

May 2-4: 107.6M

May 9-11: 44.8M (-58.4%) (Full week 79.9M)

May 16-18:18.0M (-59.8%) (Full week 34.2M)

 

Next weekend should also drop around 60% thanks to X-Men opening. So there seems to be another $25m possible from here on.

 

China looks to have around another $15m potential. So TASM2 will just scrape by 500M. Worldwide, it may very well lose to Cap2.

Edited May 19, 2014 by Fake

[Hernan Gonzalez]

As of last Sunday OS TASM TASM2 Weekends Year 2012 2014 Australia 17.9 / 14.5 5 Brazil 24.2 / 22.0 3 China 48.8 / 80.9 2 France 17.9 / 20.4 3 Germany 17.6 / 15.6 5 Italy 12.6 / 12.7 4 Japan 32.9 / 25.3 4 Mexico 28.2 / 27.9 5 Russia – CIS 21.6 / 20.7 4 South Korea 35.4 / 33.6 4 Spain 10.9 / 8.3 5 United Kingdom 39.0 / 38.9 5 Total 307.0 320.8 DOM TASM TASM2 Weekends Year 2012 2014 DOM 228.6 172.2 3

[TalismanRing]

-$42.6m from ASm1 as of Sunday from it's top 13 markets.  Urghhh