Christmas Day numbers | Bilbo leads

[lilmac]

I love that DOS was #1 and could possibly win the weekend.  Woohooo

[Lordmandeep]

While many thought it was underperforming, there were those of us who actually knew about Christmas trends, who still said it has a chance at 120-140 mill.  It'll be at 100 mill before the end of the year so the 150 club is still very much alive.  

 

 

Anyone with any sense knows a film during X-mas is backloaded. 

 

 

Anyone who remembers how LOTR, Avatar, Night at the Museum, Meet the Fockers all performed over the holidays. 

Edited December 27, 2013 by Lordmandeep

[a2k]

CF is on 381 with 3 million today. It can average 2-2.5 over next 10 days and reach 401-406 by end of Jan 3-5 weekend. So 420 is still on though not a lock-in.

[Lordmandeep]

No no you forget that Jan weekend will see some drops so its still heading towards 410-415 million. 

[a2k]

No no you forget that Jan weekend will see some drops so its still heading towards 410-415 million. 

I considered the jan drop.

 

It will conservatively have a  9.5(3.5 + 3.75 + 2.25) million this weekend taking it to 390.5

http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2002-12-27

 

Then mon to thursday will add 8.5 more if you see the 2002 pattern taking it to 399

http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2002-12-30

 

The Jan 3-5 weekend will drop 30% to 35% http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2003&wknd=01&p=.htm

That will give it a 6.5(-32%) million weekend for a gross of 405.5

 

Then it needs 14.5 more to get 420.

If you consider the following weekends alone without weekdays, it will make 3.5(-46%) + 2 + 1.25* + 0.75 + (1.5 more in all the following weekends) = 9, taking it to 414.5. so it needs just 5.5 during the weekdays corresponding to the above weekends

 

*i have not even included the small martin luther king day weekend bump.

Edited December 27, 2013 by a2knet