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Hernan Gonzalez

Argentina Box Office - Minions: first movie ever to do $35m+!!!

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Monday 20th (Holiday) 

 

1. Justice League 97k adm. (-3% from sunday) = Total 397.391

2. MotOE 21k adm (-3% from sunday) = Total 177.095

3. Thor: Ragnarok 22,5k adm. (+7% from sunday) = Total 854.759

 

Thor Ragnarok becomes the most attended film in the Trilogy topping the 832.000 admissions, and still has some legs to top the 900k, in my opinion a powerfull result.

 

Poor result for the Justice League, it has no competition and will keep most of the screens 'till Star Wars VIII release on 14th december (also will have another holiday on 8th december), maybe with this fact could manage to have a decent finish, but it's realy hard to tell.

 

 

 

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On 20/11/2017 at 2:04 PM, A District 3 Engineer said:

Seems like the Argentinian are not too fond to comicbook movies. 

In fact 2017 was a really poor year for the genre, there's no comicbook movie in the Top 10 in terms of admissions, and won't be unless Justice League develops amazing legs (something that won't happend). 2016, had 3 movies that topped the most attended of this year. That said, the genre is not so popular than is it in Mexico or Brazil.

 

11th SM:HC 1.121.866

14th Thor 3  859.689 *still on theaters, but 13th movie sold 1.064.477, so there's no chance to get higher 

15th Logan   828.006

19th GotG2   698.080

23rd WW      578.891

29th JL         424.365 *of course will end higher, but with luck it will crack the top 15

 

I won't mention Kingsman 2, because it's hard to tell it's ranking with it's poor 86.000~ adm.

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16 hours ago, A District 3 Engineer said:

It's nice seeing Logan in 3rd spot though 😊

Thanks for your kind response. 

Logan result is amazing, compared to the first two entries in the trilogy and even with the entire X-MEN franchise. Also it has the socond highest multiplier among the comic book movies just behind SM:HC (pushed by the winter holidays).

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WEEKLY ESTIMATES:

 

1- Justice League  459.438 adm. *New  

2- Murder on the Orient Express 91.822 2d WK (-5%) Total = 188.454 adm.

3- Thor Ragnarok 85.631 adm. 4th WK (-39%) Total = 866.853 adm.

 

Strong weekly holds thanks to monday's holiday. JL is pacing 15% ahead of THOR 3 first week.

Right now Thor 3 first week multiplier stands on x2.17 it will end higher, but if JL at least can manage to repeat that multi it will end close to the 1M milestone, But Thor's holds were very good (2nd Week -41%, 3rd Week -42%, 4th -39%).

 

Today New wide Releases (all with low screen count):

 

-Bad Cat (Turkish animated movie)

-Suburbicon

-Kidnap

 

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# Title Seal Public Screens Sem anti % Variation Accumulated
1 League of Justice WAR 15,300 311 55,389 -72.38 475,497
2 Murder on the Orient Express FOX 3.514 94 5.718 -38.54 192,291
3 Thor: Ragnarok DISNEY 2,651 92 4,599 -42.36 869,574
4 Victoria and Abdul UIP 1,237 48 0 - 1,237
5 The monster family BF PARIS 1.037 88 1,733 -40.16 75.025
6 Missing: They got into the wrong mother BF PARIS 956 52 0 - 956
7 Jigsaw: The game continues BF PARIS 897 37 2.070 -56.67 153,683
8 The informant DIAM 877 twenty-one 28 3032,14 17,671
9 Suburbicon: Welcome to paradise DIAM 753 63 0 - 753
10 Geo-Storm WAR 475 32 1,147 -58.59 381,667
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WEEKEND (23-26 NOV)

 

1. Justice League 135.766 adm. (-56%) = Total 595.963

2. MotOE 36.193 adm (-40%) = Total 224.970

3. Thor: Ragnarok 28.203 adm. (-45%) = Total 895.126

 

*Justice League Opening Weekend Actual = 303.684 (passes Thor for the 9th highest OW of the Year, sure to finish 10th after SW VIII) Even with that fact, reach the 800k adm. it's starting to look preaty hard.

 

 

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2017 was a year full of limited releases of Japanese animation movies, 'coz I'm a fan I make a list of how much adm. they sold. Numbers are low but that's all because almost every movie has very few shows (1 or 2 some) and not in all the theaters chains (5-15 cinemas depending on movie).

 

Kokaku kidotai                                   3153  
Koe no Katachi                                  8985  
Fairy Tail Dragon Cry                         3174  
Akira                                                1788  
Kimi no na Wa                                   6336  
Pokemon The Movie: I Choose You    14077

 

 

 

Also "The Wind Rises" and "Sword of the Strager" had releases but I couldn't find any number for them.

 

The number of shows that Pokemon received was a huge mistake, 'coz it had a lot space to drop better number. It has just 1 per day, during just two days in at least 25 complexes. And had the best adm. avg in that weekend among all the movies.

 

 

 

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WEEKLY ESTIMATES (23-29 NOV):

 

1. Justice Leage 190.137 adm. (-59%) = Total 650.334

2. MotOE 48.535 adm. (-47%) = Total 237.312

3. Thor Ragnarok 40.384 (-53%) = Total 907.307

 

*JL still ahead of TR in term of admissions but just bit ahead (10k adm), something that should tourn around in this weekend, it has two more weeks 'till the arrive of Stars Wars to develop some kind of legs. Thor multi will hit the x3 today, and still has some legs so once again I say: amazing result (first MCU movie to hit 900k adm. without Tony Stark on the screen).

 

Today wide releases:

-Happy Death Day

-Daddy's Home 2

-Battle of Sexes

-Wonder

 

 

Edited by Hei25
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THURSDAY 30TH NOV

 

1. Justice League 11.000 adm. (-33%) = Total 661.611

2. Happy Death Day 9.388 adm. *NEW 

3. Daddy's Home 2 6.646 adm. *NEW

4. Wonder 4.124 adm. *NEW

5. MotOE 2.764 adm. (-25%) = Total 240.215

6. Thor Ragnarok 2.375 (-15%) = Total 909.716

 

 

Edited by Hei25
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WEEKEND ESTIMATES (30 NOV-03 DEC)

 

# MOVIE Weeks  ADMISSIONS SCREENS % CHANGE LW TOTAL
1 Justice League 3 96.671 230 -30% 747.282
2 Daddy's Home 2  NEW 72.531 215 - 72.531
3 Happy Death Day  NEW 68.192 177 - 68.192
4 Wonder  NEW 38.762 111 - 38.762
5 Murder on the Orient Express 4 28.458 69 -22% 265.909
6 The Son of Big Foot NEW 24.209 203 - 24.209
7 Thor: Ragnarok 6 21.766 69 -23% 929.088
8 Kidnap 2 9.538 55 -54% 37.363
9 Victoria and Abdul 2 7.550 38 -55% 29.202
10 Happy Family 4 6.212 41 -56% 99.404

 

 

Strong hold for almost every movie, thanks to an awfull rainy sunday. 

 

Justice League vs. Thor Ragnarok

 

  3RD WKND   %LW   TOTAL
JL     96.671     -30%   747.282
TR     105.143    -41%   746.765

 

Next friday it's a holiday with almost no competition for JL in it's 4th weekend (TR faced JL in it's 4th weekend, also with a holiday) So le'ts see how this continue for both. Also in 14th Dec Stars Wars hits theaters with for sure the widest release ever, so don't know what to expect if JL can develop late legs as TR. Argentina isn't a big deal for Stars Wars (I see it finishing btw 1.2m-1.3m admissions, btw 8th and 10th place on most attended films of the year rank).-

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by Hei25
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WEEKLY ESTIMATES (30 NOV- 06 DEC)

 

 

# MOVIE WEEKS     ADMISSIONS   SCREENS   % CHANGE LW    TOTAL
1 Justice League     3 130.141 233 -32%   782.183
2 Happy Death Day  NEW 94.617 178       94.617
3 Daddy's Home 2  NEW 94.458 221       94.458
4 Wonder  NEW 52.840 113       52.828
5 Murder on the Orient Express       4 36.575 70 -25%   274.198
6 The Son of Big Foot NEW 31.389 206       31.389
7 Thor: Ragnarok   6 30.398 75 -25%   937.832
8 Kidnap   2 12.262 87 -56%     40.091
9 Victoria and Abdul   2 9.496 39 -57%     31.368
10 Happy Family   4 7.742 42 -60%   100.979

 

 

The week continued with the trend of the weekend, strong holds among the board. 'Coz BO isn't so active I'll have fun comparing the run of JL vs. TR. 

This friday it's a holiday and movies won't lose too much screens, so strong holds may (should) happend. Thor Ragnarok sold 85k in it's 4th week, a number that JL must beat. 900k admissions seems to be locked, and even It has a chance to best TR total.

 

Justice League vs. Thor Ragnarok

 

                          3rd Week    %LW    TOTAL 

Justice League     130.141      -32%     782.183

Thor Ragnarok    139.579      -42%     781.201

 

 

TODAY WIDE REALEASES:

-The Foreigner

-The Star

 

Edited by Hei25
Update of Estimates
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Thursday 7th Dec. Estimates:

 

# MOVIE Weeks  ADMISSIONS SCREENS % CHANGE LW TOTAL
1 Justice League 4th 8.116 155 -27,26 790.299
2 Happy Death Day 2nd 5.974 145 -37,01 100.591
3 Daddy's Home 2 2nd 5.455 140 -20,04 99.913
4 Wonder 2nd 3.629 83 -12,97 56.469
5 The Star NEW 3.065 122 - 3.065
6 Murder on the Orient Express 5th 2.456 44 -12,16 276.654
7 The Foreigner NEW 2.208 104 - 2.208
8 Verónica NEW 2.202 97 - 2.202
9 Thor: Ragnarok 7th 1.589 40 -33,4 939.421
10 First Kill NEW 923 78 - 923

 

 

 

 

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Despite being a Weekend with a holiday, things are very quiet in the cinemas. And since I don't think SW VIII will be something very special, I wxpect a powerfull OW, but I think it will fall ~20% from Episode VII. I decided to make and post a Top 100 movies based in admissions (Since 1997), coz I'm sure it wont change in few monts. Some movies of this year cracked this top. And I hope next year some others crack it to. 

After SWIII run over, I'll post 2017's ranks (OW, Totals, Multipliers)

 

TOP 100 BY ADMISSIONS (1997-....)

 

# MOVIE        TOTAL   YEAR
1 Minions  4.933.196   2015
2 Titanic 4.721.445   1998-2012
3 Ice Age 4: Continental Drift 4.494.000   2012
4 Relatos Salvajes (*)  3.937.520   2014
5 Despicable Me 3 3.833.211   2017
6 Fast & Furious 7  3.355.209   2015
7 Monsters University  3.338.566   2013
8 Toy Story 3 3.230.000   2010
9 Shrek 2 3.120.000   2004
10 Finding Dory 2.955.607   2016
11 Avatar  2.862.000   2010
12 Madagascar 3  2.856.000   2012
13 Inside Out  2.823.678   2015
14 The Passion of the Christ  2.801.000   2004
15 Shrek 4 2.762.000   2010
16 Fate of Furious 2.738.840   2017
17 The Avengers  2.675.000   2012
18 Despicable Me 2  2.611.023   2013
19 El Clan (*) 2.605.858   2015
20 Ice Age: Collision Course 2.595.559   2016
21 Ice Age 2  2.530.000   2006
22 The Simpsons  2.491.000   2007
23 El Secreto de sus Ojos (*) 2.410.000   2009
24 The Secret Life of Pets 2.397.195   2016
25 Manuelita (*)  2.210.600   1999
26 Fast & Furious 6  2.210.193   2013
27 Madagascar  2.168.000   2005
28 Metegol (*) 2.113.861   2013
29 Cars 2 2.051.211   2011
30 Beuty and the Beast 2.048.409   2017
31 Ice Age 3 2.025.000   2009
32 Jurassic World  2.016.764   2015
33 The Chronlicles of Narnia 2.006.000   2006
34 Matrix Reloded 1.990.000   2003
35 Me Case con un Boludo (*) 1.982.843   2016
36 Finding Nemo 1.981.000   2003
37 Lord of The Rings: The Return of the King 1.949.000   2004
38 Frozen 1.943.239   2014
39 Shrek the Third 1.936.000   2007
40 Pirates of the Caribbean on Stranger Tides 1.929.000   2011
41 Patoruzito (*) 1.892.481   2004
42 Maleficent 1.884.021   2014
43 Puss in Boots 1.884.000   2011
44 It 1.882.045   2017
45 Avengers Age of Ultron  1.870.123   2015
46 Sixth Sense 1.869.000   1999
47 Iron Man 3 1.860.750   2013
48 Harry Potter and The Deadly Hallos Pt 2 1.823.000   2011
49 The Dark Knight Rises 1.807.000   2012
50 Zootopia 1.793.847   2016
51 The Conjuring 2 1.782.235   2016
52 Rio 2 1.707.222   2014
53 Corazón de León (*) 1.704.873   2013
54 El Hijo de la Novia (*) 1.694.000   2001
55 Brave 1.692.000   2012
56 Spiderman  1.687.965   2002
57 Troy 1.683.000   2004
58 The Jungle Book 1.673.683   2016
59 Mamá se fue de Viaje (*) 1.671.104   2017
60 Dinosaur 1.649.264   2000
61 Rio  1.649.000   2011
62 Ice Age 1.635.811   2002
63 Lord of The Rings: The Two Towers 1.635.000   2003
64 Harry Potter and The Chamber of Secrets 1.623.000   2002
65 Tangled 1.620.000   2011
66 The Incredibles 1.604.000   2004
66 Kung fu Panda 2 1.604.000   2011
68 Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End 1.599.000   2007
68 Alice in Wonderland 1.599.000   2010
70 The Da Vinci Code 1.598.000   2006
71 Day After Tomorrow 1.595.000   2004
72 Harry Potter and The Sorcerer's Stone 1.593.000   2001
73 Un Argentino en Nueva York (*) 1.592.130   1998
74 Spiderman 2 1.588.000   2004
75 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest 1.572.000   2006
76 Madagascar 2 1.561.000   2008
77 Transformers 4: Age of Extingtion 1.547.371   2014
78 Big Hero 6 1.527.120   2014
79 Papá se Volvió Loco (*) 1.527.000   2005
80 Captain America: Civil War 1.518.848   2016
81 Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring 1.511.131   2002
82 Kung fu Panda 1.504.000   2008
83 War of the Worlds 1.499.000   2005
84 Harry Potter and The Order of the Phoenix 1.479.000   2007
85 Moana 1.467.840   2017
86 Harry Potter and The Goblet of Fire 1.427.000   2005
87 Un Novio para mi Mujer (*) 1.405.000   2008
88 Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens 1.399.484   2105
89 Spiderman 3 1.399.000   2007
90 Boss Baby 1.398.942   2017
91 Bruce Almighty 1.397.000   2003
82 Tarzan 1.396.548   1999
93 Pirates of the Carribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl 1.378.000   2003
94 Godzilla 1.369.430   1998
95 Hotel Transylvania 2 1.357.638   2015
96 Papá es un Idolo 1.357.107   2000
97 Batman vs, Superman 1.355.307   2016
98 Ratatoulle 1.338.000   2007
99 The Dark Knight 1.337.000   2008
100 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man Tell no Tales 1.336.159   2017

 

(*) = Local Movies

 

Edited by Hei25
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WEEKEND ESTIMATES (7 - 10 DEC.)

 

# MOVIE Weeks  ADMISSIONS SCREENS % CHANGE LW TOTAL
1 Justice League 4th 59.390 181      -39% 841.573
2 Daddy's Home 2 2nd 45.303 177      -38% 139.761
3 Happy Death Day 2nd 38.155 190      -44% 132.772
4 Wonder 2nd 28.115 98      -27% 80.955
5 The Star NEW 24.479 159          - 24.479
6 Murder on the Orient Express 5th 21.127 57      -26% 295.325
7 The Foreigner NEW 18.936 133         - 18.936
8 Verónica NEW 15.687 122        - 15.687
9 Thor: Ragnarok 7th 12.029 49      -45% 949.861
10 The Son of Big Foot 2nd 7.746 108       -68% 39.135

 

 

Despite of the holiday on friday a very poor weekend. I think that it was because two factors, first of all the excelente weather and the second it's because people are having end of year meetings with friends and work mates (Bars and Restaurants were overbooked on friday and saturday night).

 

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WEEKLY ESTIMATES (7 - 13 DEC)

 

 


# MOVIE Weeks  ADMISSIONS SCREENS % CHANGE LW TOTAL
1 Justice League 4th  80.690 185      -38% 863.010
2 Daddy's Home 2 2nd         61.045   180      -35% 139.761
3 Happy Death Day 2nd 53.296 193      -44% 132.772
4 Wonder 2nd 39.538 101       -25%   92.415
5 The Star NEW 35.179 164          -   35.179
6 Murder on the Orient Express 5th 26.508 57      -28% 300.728
7 The Foreigner NEW        24.943 136         -   24.943
8 Verónica NEW        22.239 130         -   22.239
9 Thor: Ragnarok 7th 16.515  52       -46% 954.347
10 The Son of Big Foot 2nd        10.392 111       -67%   41.867

 

 

 

Week is over, strong weekdays so holds are fine. Let's see how SW TLJ affect holdovers.

 

Star Wars Episode VIII - The Last Jedi, will be released in 432 screens, (I was expecting the widest release ever) this will be 19 screen less than TFA, and will be the 3rd widest of the year behind DM3 and JL. Beside it it will have one of the strongest OW of the year, but I expect to be very frontloaded. Remember that in Argentina there aren't holidays 'till 2nd january.

 

SW VII - TFA:

 

Previews: 23.352 Adm.

OD: 89.493 adm. ( 112.672 + previews)

OW: 368.117 adm. (391.469 + previews)

TOTAL: 1.399.484 adm. 

 

Edited by Hei25
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THURSDAY 14TH DEC ESTIMATES

 

1. Stars Wars: The Last Jedi  74.525 adm. *NEW

2. Justice League 3.465 adm. (-59%) = Total 866.475 ad..

3. Daddy's Home 2 3.048 adm. (-47%) =Total 158.694 adm.

4. Wonder 2.380 adm. (-37%) = Total 94.795 adm.

5. Happy Death Day 2.364 (-63%) = Total 150.270 adm.

6. A Bad Moms Christmas 2.258 adm. *NEW

 

Star Wars VIII OW Comp.

 

SW VII - TFA:

Previews: 23.352 Adm.

OD: 89.493 adm. ( 112.672 + previews)

OW: 368.117 adm. (391.469 + previews)

TOTAL: 1.399.484 adm. 

MULTI: x3.8

 

Rogue One:

OD: 31.008 adm.

OW: 153.238 adm.

TOTAL: 570.463 adm.

MULTI: x3.72

 

 

Not bad at all OD (-17% from TFA) for SW VIII (34% Higher thatn JL OD, which had a 303k OW 5 weeks ago). I think it's heading to an OW in arround 330-340k adm., that will mean a -10% from TFA OW (without previews). After that it will dependes on legs, TFA had a x3.8 multi. that multi for TLJ will mean a total btw 1.250.000~1.300.000 adm.

It needs to beat Anabelle 2's 1.195.000 adm. to join the top 10 of most attended film of 2017.

Edited by Hei25
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Star Wars : Episode VIII - The Last Jedi Daily Admissions Estimates:

 

Thursday 75.100  
Friday 51.500 -31%
Saturday 72.400 +41%
Total 199.000  


SW VIII numbers are not so good, since there's no daily track of TFA, I will compare against the last 2 biggest OW of this year.

 

    
       Justice League*          Thor Ragnarok*
Thursday 55.100     Thursday 49.100  
Friday 54.100 -2%   Friday 56.400 +15%
Saturday 88.000 +63%   Saturday 96.000 +70%
Sunday 103.700 +18%   Sunday 99.000 +3%
Total 300.900     Total 302.500  

 

*Based on estimates, not in actuals.

 

SW SWIII, Saturday may be affected by very good weather durind the day and a strong storm during the evening. Today weather isn't as good as yesterday and there's no forecast for storms. So let's hope it has a powerfull day, if not it will fall short from 300k admissions (-20% from TFA).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by Hei25
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14 hours ago, Hei25 said:

Star Wars : Episode VIII - The Last Jedi Daily Admissions Estimates:

 

Thursday 75.100  
Friday 51.500 -31%
Saturday 72.400 +41%
Total 199.000  


SW VIII numbers are not so good, since there's no daily track of TFA, I will compare against the last 2 biggest OW of this year.

 

    
       Justice League*          Thor Ragnarok*
Thursday 55.100     Thursday 49.100  
Friday 54.100 -2%   Friday 56.400 +15%
Saturday 88.000 +63%   Saturday 96.000 +70%
Sunday 103.700 +18%   Sunday 99.000 +3%
Total 300.900     Total 302.500  

 

*Based on estimates, not in actuals.

 

SW SWIII, Saturday may be affected by very good weather durind the day and a strong storm during the evening. Today weather isn't as good as yesterday and there's no forecast for storms. So let's hope it has a powerfull day, if not it will fall short from 300k admissions (-20% from TFA).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A 20% drop from TFA is fine though. Nice drop if that happens.

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Weekend (14-17 Dec.) Estimates: 

 


 
# MOVIE Week Admissions Screens % LW   Total
1 Star Wars: The Last Jedi NEW  282.235 493   282.235
2 Justice League  5th   30.640 105 -49% 893.650
3 Daddy's Home 2  3rd   27.276 114 -40% 182.922
4 Wonder    3rd    18.349 70 -35% 110.764
5 Happy Death Day  3rd   18.312 85 -53% 166.352
6 Bad Moms Christmas NEW   16.830 127    16.830
7 The Star 2nd   16.332 142 -34%  51.511
8 Murder on the Orient Express  6th   13.356 37 -37% 314.084
9 The Foreigner 2nd    4.136 38 -78%  29.079
10 Veronica 2nd    3.684 29 -77%   25.923

 

 

SWIII Weekend Daily Admissions:

 

Thursday

 

75.100

 
Friday 51.500 -31%
Saturday 72.400 +43%
Sunday 83.200  +15%
Total  282.200

*

 

*12th highest OW of the year.

 

Soft OW for TLJ (-24% from TFA OW), worst than OD was suggesting (-17%). Now depends on legs TFA and RO had almost same multiplier (3.8 and 3.7), but I highly doubt it will develop that kind of legs, it needs a multiplierx3.56 to reach 1 Million admissions (Something I really doubt to happend, I imagine a drop btw 30-35% in totals).

 

 

Edited by Hei25
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