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Argentina Box Office - Minions: first movie ever to do $35m+!!!

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Thursday 18th January Estimates:

 

1. Coco 54.817 (-22%) Total = 703.579 Adm.

2. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 21.680 Adm. (-22%) Total = 742.905

3. Insidious: The Last Key 20.410 Adm. *New

4. The Commuter 7.770 Adm. *New

...

6. Las Grietas de Jara 3.760 Adm. *New

7. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 3.581 Adm. *New

 

 

Huge hold for Coco on it's second thursday (Higher than Sing and Wreck it Ralph OD also almost on par with Moana's OD and above Tangled and Frozen 2nd Thursday). Last weekend weather was rainy and this looks preaty sunny and warm so it may affect it's weekend hold, but I imagine it falling a mere 28-33%, something great based on it's OW. Coco wlll reach 1M on it's 12 or 13 day of realease.

Jumanji once again with another impressive hold, even that, Coco will outsell it on saturday. But everytime it's final estimatation is looking higher.

Nice OD for Insidious TLK, it may top 100k admissions.-

And local movie "Las Grietas de Jara" flopped, but Disney didn't expect to much from it based on it's low screen count.

 

 

Edited by Hei25
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11 hours ago, Hei25 said:

Thursday 18th January Estimates:

 

1. Coco 54.817 (-22%) Total = 703.579 Adm.

2. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 21.680 Adm. (-22%) Total = 742.905

3. Insidious: The Last Key 20.410 Adm. *New

4. The Commuter 7.770 Adm. *New

...

6. Las Grietas de Jara 3.760 Adm. *New

7. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 3.581 Adm. *New

 

 

Huge hold for Coco on it's second thursday (Higher than Sing and Wreck it Ralph OD also almost on par with Moana's OD and above Tangled and Frozen 2nd Thursday). Last weekend weather was rainy and this looks preaty sunny and warm so it may affect it's weekend hold, but I imagine it falling a mere 28-33%, something great based on it's OW. Coco wlll reach 1M on it's 12 or 13 day of realease.

Jumanji once again with another impressive hold, even that, Coco will outsell it on saturday. But everytime it's final estimatation is looking higher.

Nice OD for Insidious TLK, it may top 100k admissions.-

And local movie "Las Grietas de Jara" flopped, but Disney didn't expect to much from it based on it's low screen count.

 

 

Does Coco have a chance to reach $15 million USD?

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15 hours ago, averagejoe said:

Does Coco have a chance to reach $15 million USD?

$12 million USD seems to be locked, and it has a shot somewhere btw $13-13,5 (2.100.000-2.250.000) . But I don't ser it reaching 15 million USD (2.500.000-2.600.000 admissions).

 

I really hope beeing wrong, and Coco get to that milestone. 

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Weekend Estimates January 18th-21th

 

# MOVIE Week  ADMISSIONS SCREENS % CHANGE LW  TOTAL
1 Coco 2nd 260.020 403      -37% 909.226
2 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 2nd 107.828 283      -49% 829.121
3 Insidious: The Last Key New 87.055 190      - 87.055
4 The Commuter New 45.597 152      - 45.597
5 Three Bilboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri New 24.493 94      - 24.493
6 Las Grietas de Jara New 23.398 92      - 23.398
7 Ferdinand 3rd 22.424 130      -59% 290.830
8 The Greatest Showman 4th 11.263 38      -54% 182.466
9 No Dormiras 2nd 10.736 109      -78% 80.999
10 Star Wars: The Last Jedi 6th 6.698 26      -63% 762.728

 

 

Strong second weekend for Coco despite a bigger drop than expected 'coz the diferent wheater from it's OW (Rainy before, and sunny and warm this weekend), weekdays forecast says that monday and thuesday may rain.

Jumanji also was hit by the weater, and also was affected by the Soccer Derby btw the two most populars teams (Boca Juniors - River Plate).

 

Coco's second weekend despite all the said factors was stronger than the OW from Wreck it Ralph, Sing and Moana; and was the strongest 2nd wknd from all the January animated hits. Coco is a big hit not doubt about it, right now is pacing 10% ahead of Frozen (1.943.000 adm total).

 


 

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On 6/1/2018 at 2:59 PM, Hei25 said:

2017 HIGHEST OPENING WEEKENDS (100.000+ ADMISSIONS~)

 

 

1

Fate of Furious

969.198 

2

Despicable Me 3

742.377 

3

Beuty and the Beast

654.827 

4

It (2017)

648.708 

5

Pirates of the Caribbean 5

419.925 

6

Anabelle 2: Creation

415.700 

7

Spiderman Homecoming

316.812 

8

Cars 3

316.359 

9

Justice League

303.684 

10

Thor: Ragnarok

302.733 

11

Transformers: The Last Knight

295.056 

12

El Futbol o Yo (*)

289.513 

13

Star Wars VIII: The Last Jedi

282.235 

14

Boss Baby

268.606 

15

Fifty Shades Darker

265.872 

16

Guardians of Galaxy Vol. 2

258.466 

17

Logan

246.448 

18

Sing

241.382 

19

La Cordillera (*)

228.727 

20

Moana

225.803 

21

The Mummy

212.693 

22

War of the Planet of The Apes

190.868 

23

Mamá se fue de Viaje (*)

181.686 

24

Wonder Woman

172.744 

25

Nieve Negra (*)

171.619 

26

Kong: Skull Island

170.318 

27

Moises y los Diez Mandamientos

169.533 

28

The Smurfs 3

167.988 

29

Emoji The Movie

140.345 

30

Los Padecientes (*)

133.786 

31

Geostorm

129.332 

32

Dunkirk

128.296 

33

Assassin's Creed

127.772 

34

Los que Aman Odian (*)

124.507 

35

Rings

116.656 

36

Lego Batman The Movie

108.950 

 

(*) = Local Movies

 

 

 

I'll continue with 2017's charts

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2017's Highest Multipliers in terms of admissions (Movies over 300.000 admissions total):

 

 

Rank

Movie

Multi.

OW

Total

1

Mamá se fue de Viaje

9,21

181.686 

1.673.525

2

Moana

6,53

225.803 

1.474.056

3

Emoji The Movie

5,52

140.345 

775.186

4

Boss Baby

5,22

268.606 

1.401.539

5

Despicable Me 3

5,17

742.377 

3.836.225

6

Munder on the Orient Express (**)

5,00

74.068 

370.000

7

Split

4,86

98.749 

479.903

8

La La Land

4,70

90.446 

425.093

9

Sing

4,65

241.382 

1.121.598

10

Cars 3

4,04

316.359 

1.278.406

11

Nieve Negra (*)

4,02

171.619 

690.393

12

El Futbol o Yo (*)

3,68

289.513 

1.064.580

13

Lego Batman The Movie

3,61

108.950 

393.511

14

Spiderman Homecoming

3,54

316.812 

1.121.922

15

Kong: Skull Island

3,39

170.318 

577.528

16

Logan

3,36

246.448 

828.112

17

Wonder Woman

3,35

172.744 

578.891

18

Rings

3,21

116.656 

374.719

19

Justice League (**)

3,20

303.684 

972.000

20

Thor: Ragnarok

3,19

302.733 

966.306

21

The Mummy

3,18

212.693 

676.901

22

Pirates of the Caribbean 5

3,18

419.925 

1.336.159

23

Beuty and the Beast

3,13

654.827 

2.048.409

24

Geostorm

3,05

129.332 

394.119

25

Los Padecientes (*)

3,00

133.786 

401.741

26

Assassin's Creed

2,97

127.772 

380.020

27

Dunkirk

2,92

128.296 

374.039

28

It (2017)

2,90

648.708 

1.882.045

29

Anabelle 2: Creation

2,88

415.700 

1.195.299

30

War of the Planet of The Apes

2,86

190.868 

545.890

31

Fate of Furious

2,83

969.198 

2.738.840

32

La Cordillera (*)

2,79

228.727 

638.158

33

Los que Aman Odian (*)

2,78

124.507 

345.936

34

Transformers: The Last Knight

2,76

295.056 

815.266

35

Moises y los Diez Mandamientos

2,75

169.533 

466.073

36

Fifty Shades Darker

2,74

265.872 

729.789

37

Star Wars VIII: The Last Jedi (**)

2,74

282.235 

773.000

38

Guardians of Galaxy Vol. 2

2,70

258.466 

698.080

39

The Smurfs 3

2,42

167.988 

407.364

 

(*) = Local Movies

(**) = Final Estimate

Edited by Hei25
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2017's Top Ticket Selling Movies (300.000++):

 

 

Rank

MOVIE

TOTAL

1

Despicable Me 3

3.836.225

2

Fate of Furious

2.738.840

3

Beuty and the Beast

2.048.409

4

It (2017)

1.882.045

5

Mamá se fue de Viaje (*)

1.673.525

6

Moana

1.474.056

7

Boss Baby

1.401.539

8

Pirates of the Caribbean 5

1.336.159

9

Cars 3

1.278.406

10

Anabelle 2: Creation

1.195.299

11

Spiderman Homecoming

1.121.922

12

Sing

1.121.598

13

El Futbol o Yo (*)

1.064.580

14

Justice League (**)

972.000

15

Thor: Ragnarok

966.306

16

Logan

828.112

17

Transformers: The Last Knight

815.266

18

Emoji The Movie

775.186

19

Star Wars VIII: The Last Jedi (**)

773.000

20

Fifty Shades Darker

729.789

21

Guardians of Galaxy Vol. 2

698.080

22

Nieve Negra (*)

690.393

23

The Mummy

676.901

24

La Cordillera (*)

638.158

25

Wonder Woman

578.891

26

Kong: Skull Island

577.528

27

War of the Planet of The Apes

545.890

28

Split

479.903

29

Moises y los Diez Mandamientos

466.073

30

La La Land

425.093

31

The Smurfs 3

407.364

32

Los Padecientes (*)

401.741

33

Geostorm

394.119

34

Lego Batman The Movie

393.511

35

Assassin's Creed

380.020

36

Rings

374.719

37

Dunkirk

374.039

38

Munder on the Orient Express (**)

370.000

39

Los que Aman Odian (*)

345.936

 

(*) = Local Movies

(**) = Final Estimate

 

As a simple opinion, it calls my attention that the top 5 movies of the year are from very diferent one from each other.-

 

 

 

 

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4 hours ago, feasby007 said:

Has there ever been a 1 million admissions OW? If not, do you think any 2018 film has a chance to eclipse that?

 

Just Furious 7 was able to top the 1 million admissions OW (1.024.714 adm.) and just F7 and F8 were able to open above of 800.000 admissions. So answering your question, no there wont't be a movie this year that would open above 1 million, even above 800.000. I can't even see a movie able to achieve that in the next few years also, maybe Frozen 2 could brake the 800.000 OW barrier.

Minions had itself a weekend over 800.000 but was it's 2nd weekend.

Edited by Hei25
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5 minutes ago, Hei25 said:

 

Just Furious 7 was able to top the 1 million admissions OW (1.024.714 adm.) and just F7 and F8 were able to open above of 800.000 admissions. So answering your question, no there wont't be a movie this year that would open above 1 million, even above 800.000. I can't even see a movie able to achieve that in the next few years also, maybe Frozen 2 could brake the 800.000 OW barrier.

Minions had itself a weekend over 800.000 but was it's 2nd weekend.

That's phenomenal! So just the furious serious has truly captured the eyes of Argentina on OW? 

 

My thought was whether Incredibles 2 could get any close to 800k maybe? How did Incredibles do there? Or was the market too underdeveloped?

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21 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

That's phenomenal! So just the furious serious has truly captured the eyes of Argentina on OW? 

 

My thought was whether Incredibles 2 could get any close to 800k maybe? How did Incredibles do there? Or was the market too underdeveloped?

Furious franchise is huge here, but it's OW were on easter weekend so they had the help that thursday and friday were holidays.

The Incredibles was a success with a total over 1.6 million admissions, but I have my doubts of how well The Incredibles 2 will do, at least it will best first movie total, but have un mind that in the same period Soccer World Cup will be the event that every Argentinian is waiting for.

I expect an OW over 500k and a finish just above 2 million admissions.  

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Coco yesterday became the 1st Millionaire movie of the year (1.014.235 admissions).

It needed just 13 days. The other january hits that needed less than 20 days were Frozen 15 and Tangled 19. On thursday or friday will outsell Wreck it Ralph and Sing total run.-

Next week Jumanji may top that milestone too.

Edited by Hei25
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January 18th-24th January Estimates

 

 

# MOVIE Week  ADMISSIONS   SCREENS  CHANGE LW   TOTAL
1 Coco 2nd 470.440 413 -28%  1.121.494
2 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 3rd 183.318 286 -43%  905.096
3 Insidious: The Last Key New 136.012 194 -  136.012
4 The Commuter New 69.501 160  69.501
5 Ferdinand 3rd 42.290 131 -51%  311.399
6 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri New 38.483 97 -  38.483
7 Las grietas de Jara New 33.531 95 -  33.531
8 The Greatest Showman 4th 18.405 39 -49%  189.608
9 No dormirás 2nd 16.720 110 -76%  87.178
10 Star Wars: The Last Jedi 6th 11.090 26 -61%  767.120

 

 

Coco once again led the week, having strong very strong weekdays (Wednesday with a massive 101.539 admissions) recovering from a steeper fall during the weekend.  Now will face Tadeo Jones 2 (spanish animated movie), the true is that Coco will erase TJ2, the excelent WOM of Coco is spreading fast, so I expect a massive hold.-

Jumanji as Coco recovered during the weekdays and had a nice hold, with a hold on the same % during this week, it will reach  million admissions on wednesday.-

Strong first week for Insidious TLK, with just one week it almost tied the gross from Insidious 3 total run (the highest grosser of the franchise, 'till next weekend).

 

Today Wide Releases (Thursday 25th)

-Maze Runner: The Death Cure (265 screens, including IMAX)

-Tadeo Jones 2

-El Ultimo Traje (Local movie)

-The Big Sick

-Molly's Game

Edited by Hei25
Estimates Update
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January Animated Hits Comparisson (2010-2018)

 

 

Wreck it Ralph

Moana

Sing*

Tangled

Frozen

Coco

OW

210.068

225.803

241.382

299.308

352.711

409.717

1st Wk   Wkdays

148.555

164.584

138.907

209.265

229.537

241.057

1st Week Total

358.623

390.387

380.289

508.579

582.248

650.774

2nd

WKND

126.838

(-40%)

154.422

(--32%)

178.021

(-26%)

190.477

(-36%)

243.617

(-31%)

260.020

(-37%)

2nd Wk   Wkdays

101.335

(-32%)

124.422

(-24%)

108.809

(-22%)

161.700

(-23%)

164.642

(-28%)

210.420

(-13%)

2nd Week   Total

228.173

(-36%)

278.844

(-29%)

286.830

(-25%)

352.177

(-31%)

408.259

(-30%)

470.440

(-28%)

Total at this point

586.796

669.231

763.967

860.756

990.507

1.121.494

 

 

Coco's pacing 13% ahead of Frozen, every time 2 million admissions are looking very likely. On february 1st will face more famili movies competition.-

Edited by Hei25
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18 hours ago, manny1234 said:

It's amazing that Argentina ten years ago had an exchange rate of 1 USD = 3.19 to right now exchange rate of 1 USD = 19.64 and that has also had an effect on the box office using USD.

At the same time that Argentinian Peso ER fell, the ticket price also increased in a avr. of 20% per year.

On 2007 the avg. ticket price was 9.6 ARS, so a 3,1 USD (ER 2007 1 USD = 3,10 ARS)

On 2017 the avb. ticket price was 101.5 ARS 2017 so 5.91 USD (ER 2017  1 USD = 15.8 to 18.55 ARS = Avg, 17.18 ARS)

 

In 2017 ARS ER fell 17%, but avg. ticket price increased, while the ticket price increased 26%

 

On 2018 the ARS ER is fluctuacting strong:

29/12/2017 - 1 USD = 18.55 ARS

23/01/2018 - 1 USD = 19.64 ARS

24/01/2018 - 1 USD = 19.93 ARS

25/01/2018 - 1 USD = 19.85 ARS

 

A 7% change from the last bank day of last year and today.-

 

The prices increase expectation is btw 15-18%, the less since 2005, so ticket prices may increase in this range.-

The revenue from argentinta compared to other countries in the region is not because the ER, it's because the size of the market. 

 

For example last year Despicable Me 3 made 22 million USD with 3.850.000 admissions, in Mexico to reach that amount of groos it may need arround 9 million admissions, in Brazil also will need arround 4.5-5 Million to reach the same amount. 

Yet in Latinamerica Argentina is the 3rd Market, being the 4th most populated country (40.117.000 ppl.), Far behind Brazil and Mexico. And even for Colombia (46.500.000 ppl) is very dificult for movies to reach 10 million USD.

 

So, the USD gross doesn't depend too much on the ER, is more related to the success of the movie. If a movie can gross over 3 million admissions there will be more movies over 20 million USD making the market a top 10 OS market for many movies. But that's yet dificult for the size of the market (from 1997 till nowadays just 9 movies sold over 3 million admissions).

 

2018 will be a funny year to follow, because many blockbuster movies are realeased but many of them will face Soccer World Cup. 2017 had 4 movies over 10 milion USD, let's see how many this year reaches.-

Edited by Hei25
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Thursday 25th January Estimates:

 

1. Coco 50.555 adm. (-10%) Total = 1.173.059 adm.

2. Maze Runner: The Death Cure 24.709 *New

3. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 14.676 adm. (-34%) Total = 919.923 adm.

4. Insidious TLK 11.328 (-46% Total = 147.653 adm.

5. The Commuter4.524 (-43%) Total = 74.149 adm.

6. Tadeo Jones 2 3.860 adm. *New

7. Molly's Game 3.296 adm. *New

 

Coco as expected, had an amazing hold it's 3rd Thursday is higher than Wreck it Ralph and Sing OD. Weekend weather is so/so (when I talk about weather, I mean Greater Buenos Aires weather where 60% of the business is located) that's why I expect a strong weekend over 200.000 adm. 

Maze Runner 3 looks in good shape, and may achieve a OW over 100.000 adm. (Maze Runner 1 Total  = 294.000 / Maze Runner 2 Total = 323.000).

Jumanji experienced also a great hold and is looking in good shape to exceed the 1.000.000 milestone during this week.-

Edited by Hei25
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6 minutes ago, Hei25 said:

Thursday 25th January Estimates:

 

1. Coco 50.555 adm. (-10%) Total = 1.173.059 adm.

2. Maze Runner: The Death Cure 24.709 *New

3. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 14.676 adm. (-34%) Total = 919.923 adm.

4. Insidious TLK 11.328 (-46% Total = 147.653 adm.

5. The Commuter4.524 (-43%) Total = 74.149 adm.

6. Tadeo Jones 2 3.860 adm. *New

7. Molly's Game 3.296 adm. *New

 

Coco as expected, had an amazing hold it's 3rd Thursday is higher than Wreck it Ralph and Sing OD. Weekend weather is so/so (when I talk about weather, I mean Greater Buenos Aires weather where 6% of the business is located) that's why I expect a strong weekend over 200.000 adm. 

Maze Runner 3 looks in good shape, and may achieve a OW over 100.000 adm. (Maze Runner 1 Total  = 294.000 / Maze Runner 2 Total = 323.000).

Jumanji experienced also a great hold and is looking in good shape to exceed the 1.000.000 milestone during this week.-

 

Maze Runner 3 outgross or stay flat from the first or second? 

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6 hours ago, John Marston said:

 

Maze Runner 3 outgross or stay flat from the first or second? 

Maze Runner Franchise Opening Day Comparisson:

 

The Maze Runner = 11.130 adm.

Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials = 15.451 adm.

Maze Runner: The Death Cure = 24.709 adm.

 

MR3 beat both ODs but It may be more fronloaded than the previous entries, so let's wait if it can beat them in totals.-

Edited by Hei25
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