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Hernan Gonzalez

Argentina Box Office - Minions: first movie ever to do $35m+!!!

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Weekly Estimates (19th - 25th April):

 

# MOVIE Week  ADMISSIONS SCREENS  CHANGE LW TOTAL
1 Rampage 2nd 122.944 275 -29% 297.333
2 Perdida New 95.742 231 - 95.742
3 Truth or Dare 2nd 43.939 176 -22% 100.579
4 A Quiet Place 3rd 35.715 114 -43% 219.285
5 Ready Player One 4th 27.948 95 -28% 344.219
6 Gnome Alone New 23.581 147 - 23.581
7 Madame New 20.203 50 - 20.203
8 Peter Rabbit 5th 12.750 87 -23% 206.604
9 Jang san beom New 12.016 79 - 12.016
10 A Wrinkle in Time 4th 11.788 59 -27% 140.054

 

  • Solid holds for all the board thanks the bad weather and the weak impact from new releases. Rampage had a solid run befor IW release, so let's see how much can make from now on with the screen loss.
  • Perdida will easily bocome the most attended local movie till the date during the weekend.
  • Coco fell from the top 10, but it's 11th place is still solid, and will crawl to overtake Shrek 2 (3.120.000) for the 9th place on the all time most attended movies.

 

Today Wide Releases:

  • Avengers: Infinity War Pt. 1 (453 Screens in all formats including IMAX)
  • Nada á Perder pt. 1 (Brasil - 100 Screens)
  • Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool

AIW will easily lead the weekend looking to open above all MCU movies released before. Nada á Perder will had a solid OW, religious based movies tend to call a lot of religious groups and this one has already over 50k admissions sold in preasale.

 

 

 

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MCU TOP OPENERS IN ADMISSIONS:

 

Marvel's Avengers (2012):

OD: 80.701 

OW: 498.099 

Total: 2.675.356

 

Iron Man 3 (2013):

OD: 85.000 

OW: 503.013 

Total: 1.860.750

 

Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015):

OD: 77.292 (+ previews = 98.052)

OW: 482.897

Total: 1.870.123

 

Captain América Civil War (2016):

OD: 84.026

OW: 607.743

Total: 1.518.848

 

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1 minute ago, Hei25 said:

MCU TOP OPENERS IN ADMISSIONS:

 

Marvel's Avengers (2012):

OD: 80.701 

OW: 498.099 

Total: 2.675.356

 

Iron Man 3 (2013):

OD: 85.000 

OW: 503.013 

Total: 1.860.750

 

Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015):

OD: 77.292 (+ previews = 98.052)

OW: 482.897

Total: 1.870.123

 

Captain América Civil War (2016):

OD: 84.026

OW: 607.743

Total: 1.518.848

 

Where's IW likely to debut? 

 

Based on these I'd hope for 90k OD, 700k OW and 2m Total (basically improving on CW). But I don't know the market very well so I don't know

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@feasby007

 

This should improve from CW, so your thoughts aren't bad at all. I feel that 700k OW a bit high. I expect it's OW a just a bit over CW (615k-635k), but this is a market that you don't have a lot of data from presales, so it also can open in the 500k~. Based on the media and social networks, I see it opening over 600k, and with the holiday on monday a 750k-800k total in 5 days, seems likely. 

Total should top AoU without a doubt.

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5 minutes ago, Hei25 said:

@feasby007

 

This should improve from CW, so your thoughts aren't bad at all. I feel that 700k OW a bit high. I expect it's OW a just a bit over CW (615k-635k), but this is a market that you don't have a lot of data from presales, so it also can open in the 500k~. Based on the media and social networks, I see it opening over 600k, and with the holiday on monday a 750k-800k total in 5 days, seems likely. 

Total should top AoU without a doubt.

That would be an excellent result :)  Thanks for the info!

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17 hours ago, Hei25 said:

MCU TOP OPENERS IN ADMISSIONS:

 

Marvel's Avengers (2012):

OD: 80.701 

OW: 498.099 

Total: 2.675.356

 

Iron Man 3 (2013):

OD: 85.000 

OW: 503.013 

Total: 1.860.750

 

Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015):

OD: 77.292 (+ previews = 98.052)

OW: 482.897

Total: 1.870.123

 

Captain América Civil War (2016):

OD: 84.026

OW: 607.743

Total: 1.518.848

 

 

Just now, HouseOfTheSun said:

How is this number?

 

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Rank Movie Title Opening % of
Total
Total Gross
1 The Fate of the Furious $8,827,179 48.4% $18,239,438
2 Furious 7 $8,483,215 80.8% $10,494,030
3 Monsters University $5,491,000 23.3% $23,556,117
4 Minions $5,335,676 14.8% $36,154,412
5 Despicable Me 3 $4,923,707 23.7% $20,805,538
6 Beauty and the Beast (2017) $4,425,300 38.2% $11,594,071
7 Avengers: Age of Ultron $4,219,198 45.5% $9,280,502
8 Jurassic World $4,153,349 26.9% $15,418,925
9 It $4,107,368 35.4% $11,600,000
10 Iron Man 3 $3,852,313 28.4% $13,556,234
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It's not a récord itself, but F7 and F8 all both fell on holiday. Not a normal workday as yesterday.

This is massive, certainly I expect some frontloading on this, but Saturday and Sunday may hit 200k per day.

700k++ OW is in play.

And also 1M on the 5 days is not out of reach.

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Thursday 26th April Estimates:

 

  1. Avengers: Indinity War 158.647 adm. OD
  2. Nada á Perder 40.869 adm. OD
  3. Perdida 3.823 adm. (-57%) Total = 100.029 adm.
  4. Rampage 3.019 adm. (-58%) Total = 300.653 adm.

 

AIW dropped one of the most impressive OD in Argentina, there's still some screens to update the data so 160k adm. OD is locked. (I'll make a post then to see where it lands over the Opening Days chart).

Also behind the huge wall from AIW OD, Nada á Perder also dropped one of the best OD of the year (also I will put that chart). Finally after a poor march and a poor april hte box office started to play hard with the sights on the most crowded Weekend of the year.

 

2018 TOP OD (40.000++ adm.):

 

  Movie Adm. OW
1 Avengers: Infinity War 158.647 ??
2 Fifty Shades Freed 81.301 231.230
3 Coco 70.457 409.717
4 Black Panther 57.612 247.154
5 Jumanji 49.331 268.215
6 Nada á Perder 40.869 ??

 

 

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BEST OD IN TERMS OF ADMISSIONS SINCE 1997 (100k+ adm.):

 

 

Movie Adm. Year
Furious 7 (*) 268840 2015
Fate 8 (*) 246005 2017
Monsters University (**) 189756 2013
Simpsons The Movie (**) 181721 2007
Avengers: Infinity War 164968 2018
It (2017) 153168 2017
Secret Life of Pets (**) 149158 2016
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2 144214 2011
Harry Potter and The Half Blood Prince 129853 2009
The Chronicles of Narnia 112913 2006
Minions  110202 2015
Fast and Furious 6 (*) 101037 2013

 

(*) = Holiday

(**) = Winter Holidays

 

 

Edited by Hei25
Update
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Thursday 26th April Estimates Update:

 

1. Avengers: Infinity War 164.968 adm.

2. Nada á Perder 41.463 adm.

 

 

Comp. against MCU top openers:

TA +104% 

IM3 +94%

AoU +113% (with previews +68%)

CA:CW +96%

 

"Huge" doens't descrive this performance.

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2 hours ago, Hei25 said:

Thursday 26th April Estimates Update:

 

1. Avengers: Infinity War 167.160 adm.

2. Nada á Perder 41.463 adm.

 

 

Comp. against MCU top openers:

TA +107% 

IM3 +97%

AoU +116% (with previews +70%)

CA:CW +99%

 

"Huge" doens't descrive this performance.

 

Estimates update.

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