Argentina Box Office - Minions: first movie ever to do $35m+!!!

[Hei25]

On 9/28/2018 at 10:02 PM, salvador-232 said:

At the rate at which your currency is depreciating, Argentina box office will end up the same size as Chile in dollars. If I'm doing the math right the average ticket price in USD was already at Perú-levels before today's depreciation. Do you know what was the overall gross in USD for 2017?  

 

Edit: Though I'm seeing that inflation this year will be 42% . Has the ticket price increased that much? 

The ticket prince avg. right now increased a 25% and will finish the year 5-7% inflation.

So tkt price will increase ~35% while ER will finish with a 120-135% depreciation over the year.

[Hei25]

Weekend (11th-14th October) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	Admissions	Screens	Change LW	TOTAL
1	Venom	2nd	147.566	306	-30%	429.248
2	El Potro: Lo Mejor del Amor	2nd	106.692	304	-44%	365.845
3	A Star is Born	New	45.217	165	-	45.217
4	Disney's Christopher Robin	New	37.178	206	-	37.178
5	Smallfoot	3rd	30.398	169	-42%	238.791
6	Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween	New	25.152	154	-	25.152
7	The Nun	6th	10.497	52	-51%	1.133.947
8	Acusada	5th	8.984	36	-44%	352.043
9	El Angel	8th	4.879	18	-30%	1.320.533
10	The Wife	5th	4.370	13	6%	50.898

 

• Massive hold for Venom pushed by the holiday today, it would be great if it develop Logan or DP legs but I don't see it happend, so the goal for consider this a succes is 600k adm.
• A Star is Born opened way softer than expected, yet it can develop good legs. Same with CR.
• El Potro held well, and with this movie 2018 is closing as one of the best years ever for local movies.

Today is holiday, so if number deserve it I will post them tomorrow.

[Hei25]

Weekend (25th - 28th October) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	Admissions	Screens	Change LW	TOTAL
1	Halloween	New	88.335	286	-	88.335
2	Venom	4th	50.384	216	-37%	660.852
3	Alfa	New	34.886	163	-	34.886
4	El Potro: Lo Mejor del Amor	4th	25.172	153	-47%	502.930
5	Smallfoot	5th	22.269	146	1%	311.130
6	A Star is Born	3rd	21.421	71	-29%	126.295
7	Disney's Christopher Robin	3rd	17.049	126	-35%	110.977
8	Solo el Amor	New	14.094	52	-	14.094
9	Rojo	New	11.959	52	-	11.959
10	Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween	3rd	9.031	105	-29%	64.805

 

• Second weekend in a row with very low numbers, Halloween opened above but with a disappointing start (125-150k range was a very good start).
• Venom and El Potro are easily the highlights of Ocotber, the first one has topped x3 multiplier mark with chances to reach 3.5 a very hard achievement for a CBM.

Let's see if Bohemian Rhapsody can make an impact on next weekend. I see it opening above 130k adm.

 

 

[Hei25]

Thursday 1st November Estiamtes:

 

1. Bohemian Rhapsody / 38.590 adm. OD.

2. Halloween / 5.570 adm. (-60%) / Total = 120.917 adm.

3. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms / 5.016 adm. OD.

4. Venom / 2.856 adm. (-44%) / Total = 681.233 adm.

 

• Very good opening for Bohemian Rhapsody and if the WoM is strong this could be a solid weekend, it may target in the high 100ks or even reaching 200k adm.
• Halloween fell hard and will finish way above any expectation.
• Venom still playing strong and will finish above 700k adm. an amazing result for a CBM.

Edited November 2, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Weekend (8th-11th November) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	Admissions	Screens	Change LW	TOTAL
1	Bohemian Rhapsody	2nd	191.197	360	-13%	509.853
2	The Nutcraker and the Four Realms	2nd	51.017	254	-7%	124.193
3	Halloween	3rd	23.446	143	-51%	200.456
4	Overlord	New	16.660	149	-	16.660
5	Venom	6th	16.010	85	-40%	730.358
6	Smallfoot	7th	14.561	97	7%	352.126
7	A Star is Born	5th	8.206	31	-27%	155.962
8	Alfa	3rd	6.652	93	-56%	73.576
9	Cold War	2nd	5.189	25	-41%	16.408
10	Camino Sinuoso	New	4.780	131	-	4.780

 

• Massive hold for Bohemian Rhapsody, the movie based in the aclaimed band took the first spot in it's second weekend with in my opinion the best hold of the year (a weekend with massive rain and the Superclasico Final) a really impressive feature, next weekend will be pushed by holiday in monday but will face FB2, if can hold in mid -20% it will be pushing to reach 1M adm.
• All other movies had diferent holds, but the 2nd increase in a row for Smallfoot is a huge sign that the market needs a family movie (Illumination's The Grinch may drop big numbers in 2 weeks)

[Hei25]

Weekend (15th - 18th November + Monday holiday):

 

1. Fantastic Beast: The Crimes of Grindelwal / 258.566 adm.

2. Bohemian Rhapsody / 232.029 adm. / Total = 835.633 adm.

3. The Nutcraker and the Four Realms / 49.717 adm. / Total = 189.714 adm.

4. Peppermint / 24.907 adm.

5. Smallfoot / 17.734 adm. / Total = 374.878 adm.

6. HellFest / 12.790 adm.

7. Halloween / 11.815 adm. / Total = 220.693 adm.

8. Venom / 10,419 adm. / Total = 747.771 adm.

9. Loving Pablo / 8.197 adm. 

10. BlacKkKlansman / 7.011 adm.

 

• Good 4 day OW for FB2, it opened 10% below the first one and with monday numbers it looks even better. Despite that it will fall short of the first entry, surely next weekend will fall to the 3rd spot with a harsh drop thanksthe SuperFinal of Libertadores cup which will drop a Champion.
• Bohemian Rhpasody is beating every expectation and fell less than 10% in the normal 4 day weekend, it locked finish above 1M admissions, yet I can see the roof of this hit. I will suffer a harsh drop next weekend but an increase in the following weekend seems likely.
• Next weekend also will feature the release of Illumination's The Grinch a movie that should do solid business till the end of the year.
•  

[Hei25]

Weekend (29th November - 2nd December) Estimates:

 

1. Bohemian Rhapsody / 102.228 adm. (-8%) / Total = 1.147.154 adm.

2. Dr. Seuss's The Grinch / 87.606 adm. (+7%) / Total = 201.520 adm.

3. Fantastic Beats and The Crimes of Grindelwald / 54.474 adm. (-32%) / Total = 475.111 adm.

4. BTS: Burn The Stage Movie / 46.194 adm. OW / Total = 48.072 adm.

5. Robin Hood / 33.636 adm. OW.

6. Instant Family / 28.203 adm. OW.

7. First Man / 17.540 adm. OW.

 

• Bohemian Rhapsody the high point of the end of the year, keeps rollin doing amazing business. It's a very surprising hit, for me the most impressive one.

[salvador-232]

Weekend January 3-6th 

 

#	Título	Sello	Público	Pantallas	Sem ant	% Variación	Acumulado
1	WIFI Ralph	DISNEY	342.952	444	0	-	342.952
2	Aquaman	WAR	78.280	205	108.252	-27,69	696.202
3	La Mula	WAR	67.930	146	0	-	67.930
4	Bumblebee	UIP	66.222	339	121.719	-45,59	252.925
5	Bohemian Rhapsody	FOX	23.996	62	32.771	-26,78	1.458.805
6	Jefa por accidente	DIAM	18.175	90	0	-	18.175
7	Terremoto	ENERGIA	9.903	56	21.918	-54,82	38.611
8	El Grinch	UIP	8.385	87	40.602	-79,35	508.452
9	Cadáver	UIP	5.712	24	14.113	-59,53	170.507
10	Enamorado de mi mujer	MIRADA	2.453	16	7.439	-67,03	11.363

 

Excellent opening by Ralph. Third best Disney animated opening behind Coco and Frozen. Screen Daily reported 1,4M USD. 

[Hei25]

Thursday 10th December:

 

Dragon Ball Super: Broly 103.531 admissions.

 

Mindblowing OD for the beloved anime series. One of the few movies to open above the 100k milestone.

Edited January 11, 2019 by Hei25

[salvador-232]

30 minutes ago, Hei25 said:

Thursday 10th December:

 

Dragon Ball Super: Broly 103.531 admissions.

 

Mindblowing OD for the beloved anime series. One of the few movies to open above the 100k milestone.

My God, it narrowly beated the Incredibles 2 OD and doubled Resurrection F OD. 

 

 

What kind of total can we expect? 

[scabab]

The last two movies made like $3 million didn't they? But hasn't the exchange rate gone to shit in Argentina?

 

Infact could anymore estimate what that 103,000 tickets would be in US gross?

Edited January 11, 2019 by scabab

[salvador-232]

1 hour ago, scabab said:

The last two movies made like $3 million didn't they? But hasn't the exchange rate gone to shit in Argentina?

 

Infact could anymore estimate what that 103,000 tickets would be in US gross?

Yes ER is trash but ticket prices have begun to catch up. Bumblebee had an avge ticket price of 5 dollars, so it could be 500k USD or a bit more 

[Hei25]

1 hour ago, salvador-232 said:

Yes ER is trash but ticket prices have begun to catch up. Bumblebee had an avge ticket price of 5 dollars, so it could be 500k USD or a bit more 

Yep, around that amount of USD will be right. 

Where's heading ? I think that this movie will be very froantloaded, but will improcedente from previous entries with ease. A Final around 700k adm. seems likely. WOM is strong, so maybe it surprise us with a better than expected legs.

[scabab]

So it could actually beat the $3 million of the other two despite the exchange rate being much worse?

[salvador-232]

13 minutes ago, scabab said:

So it could actually beat the $3 million of the other two despite the exchange rate being much worse?

Yes. In Argentina the ER is always getting worse because of inflation, but as long as ticket prices increase at a similar pace there's isn't much long term effect. The problem last year was there were 2 sudden and huge collapses which drove the avge ticket price from over 6 dollars to under $4. The ER has been stable in the last few months so inflation has begun to catch up and now ticket prices are close to $5 again. 

 

Battle of the Gods, for example, had and avge of $6 USD so the difference can be recovered with the increase in admissions. Had this been released like 3-4 months ago there would be no chance. 

[scabab]

Oh well that's good. I though itd be lucky to even make $1 million after seeing that exchange rate on Google.

[Hei25]

Thursday 10th January

1. Dragon Ball Super: Broly 108.795 adm. OD
2. Ralph Breaks The Internet 60.989 adm. (-30%) / Total = 620.839 adm.
3. Spider-Man in to the Spider-Verse 24.266 adm. OD
4. The Mule 10.581 adm. (+22%) / Total = 112.482 adm.
5. Aquaman 8.744 adm. (-38%) / Total = 750.340 adm.

DBS Broly acomplished one of the best ODs ever. I think the most impressive along with "It" back in 2017. This will be a very froantloaded movie, but it may finish way above the last of the franchise 450.000 adm.

Ralph despite facing 2 animated releases holded amazingly well, and despite it collapse when HTYD3 it may contend for being one of the biggest movie of 2018.-

The Animated adaptation of the Spider hero opened very well having in mind the competition is facing and should have a decent run, finishing around 400k adm.

The Mule didn't want to keep behind the amazing run of the animated stuff, and delivered a very solid increase to start it's second week of release.-

 

 

All time top Attended Opening Days (100k adm. ++)

 

Movie Adm. Year Furious 7 (*) 268.840 2015 Fate 8 (*) 246.005 2017 Monsters University (**) 189.756 2013 Simpsons The Movie (**) 184.956 2007 Avengers: Infinity War 167.160 2018 It (2017) 153.168 2017 Secret Life of Pets (**) 149.158 2016 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2 144.214 2011 Batman vs. Superman (*) 137.000 2016 Harry Potter and The Half Blood Prince 129.853 2009 The Chronicles of Narnia 114.017 2006 Dragon Ball Super: Broly 112.948 2019 Minions 110.202 2015 Fifty Shades  106.624 2015 The Incredibles 2 103.348 2018 Metegol (**) 102.867 2013 Puss in Boots 102.533 2011 Fast and Furious 6 (*) 101.037 2013

 

(*) = Holiday Weekend

(**) = Weekend Holidays

 

 

Edited January 18, 2019 by Hei25

[scabab]

Dragon Ball Super: Broly is up to 195,826 now.

 

I imagine that's over Thursday and Friday then. Is that any good? Like $900,000+ or something?

[Hei25]

Friday 11th Estimates:

 

1. Dragon Ball Super: Broly 87.031 adm. (-20%) / Total = 195.826 adm.

2. Ralph Breaks the Internet 43.974 adm. (-28%) / Total = 664.813 adm.

3. Spider-Man in to the Spider-Verse 16.913 adm. (-30%) / Total = 41.179 adm.

4. The Mule 11.545 adm. (+9%) / Total = 124.027 adm.

5. Aquaman 8.570 adm. (-2%) / Total = 758.910 adm.

 

DBS Broly holded surprisingly well after that huge OD, it even holded better than Ralph and the Spidey. Also again The Mule having the highlight of the top 10. 

DBS Broly is heading to an OW around 350k adm. and even can reach 400k, 50k less than Fukkatsu no F entire run.

 

[scabab]

So this is good not just for an anime movie but just in general?