baumer Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 You can just hand the oscar to Keaton this year. To me, he is as much of a favourite as Heath was for TDK. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 I'll take bets and give odds to people as well. I'll pay 4-1 on any other actor winning best actor. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLK Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 You can just hand the oscar to Keaton this year. To me, he is as much of a favourite as Heath was for TDK. Well, Heath died so that's not the best comparison. The thing is that these performances don't play in a vacuum. Keaton will be competing against four other men and one of them may be better than him. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 5, 2014 Share Posted November 5, 2014 ^maybe not better, but one of them may have harvey weinstein leading their campaign. i think it's a toss up between them, like what Jake said. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLK Posted November 5, 2014 Share Posted November 5, 2014 Then there is Redmayne. Academy isn't very kind to young male actors but there are exceptions. Here is a write-up from earlier today. In The Theory of Everything, directed by Oscar winning filmmaker James Marsh (Man on Wire), Redmayne delivers arguably the most meticulously crafted performance of the year. He fully embodies acclaimed physicist Stephen Hawking, from his days as a lovesick Cambridge student courting future wife Jane Wilde (Felicity Jones) to his neurodegeneration due to amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) to achieving science immortality with the publication of his tome, A Brief History of Time. Redmayne captures Hawking’s physical deterioration vividly, mirroring his slurred speech and facial tics and never drifting into caricature. “It looks like he’s not moving, but he is,” says Redmayne. “So you’re doing these long takes where you’re looking still, but what you’re doing is your breathing patterns are changing, as are your blinking patterns. What was interesting, for me, was trying to isolate those muscles because he exploits everything he can, and as a consequence, for someone that can move so little, he has perhaps the most expressive and charismatic face I’ve ever seen.” Redmayne’s career-best performance has earned critical raves ever since the movie premiered at the Toronto Film Festival, with the Oscar prediction site Gold Derby recently running the headline, “Is Eddie Redmayne unbeatable for Best Actor?” http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/11/03/eddie-redmayne-s-time-has-come-on-his-heartrending-turn-as-stephen-hawking-and-benedict-bromance.html 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 5, 2014 Share Posted November 5, 2014 Keaton, Redmayne, Cumberbatch are locked. Then I guess I'd say Steve Carell and Timothy Spall rounding it out. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted November 5, 2014 Share Posted November 5, 2014 ^maybe not better, but one of them may have harvey weinstein leading their campaign. i think it's a toss up between them, like what Jake said. Have you seen Birdman yet? Honestly, I don't think even with Weinstein pushing Cucumber is going to get win this year. And, I am pretty sure it is nowhere near a tossup. Baumer is right, Keaton's performance is way up there. He's gonna win. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 (edited) the nominees will be 1. michael keaton 2. jack o connell 3. bradley cooper 4. david oyewolo 5. benedict cumberbatch 3 of the 5 will be war flicks, right in the oscars voters wheelhouse. 4/5 are period flicks taking place during a particular 'event' eg a war or a civil rights movement. perfect for academy voters. 1/5 is an art house indie flick in 'birdman'. most of the nominees will be from unseen films(unbroken,selma,american sniper) so i am taking a hunch, so we have to wait for these to be released. Edited November 9, 2014 by Halba 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 The nominees should be, based on what I've seen so far: Keaton Murray Gyllenhaal Affleck McConnaughey (IS) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 McConnaughey deserves another nomination for Interstellar, he is so strong. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 McConnaughey deserves another nomination for Interstellar, he is so strong. He deserves it for sure, but won't get it. Won last year and the movie isn't Academy-friendly enough help him slide in to one of the 5 spots. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChD Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 He might get in if some of the voters still root for him. People really started liking him last year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 He deserves it for sure, but won't get it. Won last year and the movie isn't Academy-friendly enough help him slide in to one of the 5 spots. I think Interstellar has a strong enough vocal base that they can get him and Chastain in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 TONS of praise for Oyewolo coming out of AFI Fest. I'd say he's looking like a strong contender. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Hmm, indeed. The reactions for Selma are very strong, and MLK feels like the sort of role like Lincoln where if the actor totally nails it they could be very hard to beat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 So it appears the fifth spot could be between Carell, O'Connell, Cooper and Spall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 For what it's worth, Cooper is also getting mega praise out of AFI Fest, too, though not quite as much as Oyewelo. I'd say that Oyewelo, Keaton, and Cumberbatch are locks, with Redmayne and Cooper maybe the favorites for the last two at this point. Carrel, Turner, Gyllenhaal, and O'Connell may end up on the outside looking in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Cooper's getting good reviews, but the movie itself is getting mixed word. usually when it's a close in an acting category the academy just picks the movie they like more (this explains Bale getting in over Hanks last year. It's clear overall they liked hustle a bit more) so that's why I think Carell or Spall are more likely than cooper. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Im surprised no-one has mentioned Hardy in Locke, only actor that deserves it this year so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 There's a 0% chance he gets in no matter how much he deserves it 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
