Australia Australian Box Office | ....

[lab276]

6 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Easily IMO. Expecting A$60M from NWH. May be A$30M NTTD.

 

On the contrary, I think Bond will be the biggest film of the year. And why 60m for NWH? I'd say that's wildly optimistic. That would be more than pre-pandemic Rise of Skywalker and Jumanji 2.

Edited November 12, 2021 by lab276

[charlie Jatinder]

7 minutes ago, lab276 said:

 

On the contrary, I think Bond will be the biggest film of the year. And why 60m for NWH? I'd say that's wildly optimistic. That would be more than pre-pandemic Rise of Skywalker and Jumanji 2.

It XMAS-New Year release which is HUGE in AUS as full of January is holidays and summer. I think NWH is doing $500M+ in USA, that should be enough to support A$60M total.

 

Bond I guess may be will do Spectre numbers.

[charlie Jatinder]

A$2.17M OD for NTTD. IDK how much previews.

 

Spectre had A$751,145 previews & A$12,069,993 weekend. May be NTTD had A$800K previews and A$1.37M THU. A$10.5M weekend may be. 

 

A$290K THU for Eternals. Total A$8.27M. Mostly A$2.6M 2nd weekend.

Edited November 12, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[lab276]

Not sure if Bond had any previews tbh, as far as I know its first sessions started yesterday.

[lab276]

10 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

It XMAS-New Year release which is HUGE in AUS as full of January is holidays and summer. I think NWH is doing $500M+ in USA, that should be enough to support A$60M total.

 

Bond I guess may be will do Spectre numbers.

 

Yeah but so did those two movies. Competing against each other sure, but there's Matrix opening on Boxing Day too.

[Legion Again]

NWH is bigger movie generally than TROS, much bigger J:TNL. How did raimi trilogy do here in admits as a sanity check?

[lab276]

9 minutes ago, Eternal Legion said:

NWH is bigger movie generally than TROS, much bigger J:TNL. How did raimi trilogy do here in admits as a sanity check?

 

23 hours ago, lab276 said:

 

Here's how the Spider-Man films have done in Australia till now (admits, all estimated)

 

Spider-Man 30.8m (3.4m)

Spider-Man 2 24.4m (2.5m)

Spider-Man 3 24m (2.3m)

Amazing Spider-Man 17.4m (1.3m)

Amazing Spider-Man 2 16.1m (1.2m)

Homecoming 25.7m (1.8m)

Into the Spider-Verse 13.7m (just under 1m)

Far From Home 37.3m (2.6m)

 

Edited November 12, 2021 by lab276

[charlie Jatinder]

WW84 did some A$24M last year. Aquaman did A$40M+ IIRC.

I will be very pissed if NWH miss A$50M and sad if it miss A$60M. AUS is one of those markets I am waiting to see an MCU movie perform on XMAS-New Year.

[lab276]

Rise of Skywalker had around 3.3m admits and Jumanji 2 had round 3.2m, only slightly less than the first Raimi Spider-Man, and none of the rest have come close since.

[charlie Jatinder]

This is what January looks in Australia

New Year Week

Jan 1st Week

Jan 2nd Week

 

3 Weeks of box office mayhem and then there's big Public holiday in January 26 weekend, for which Hollywood is releasing Morbius next year 😛

[Legion Again]

10 minutes ago, lab276 said:

 

 

Hmm, yeah, those raimi admits aren’t that impressive. I could settle for 45

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, Eternal Legion said:

Hmm, yeah, those raimi admits aren’t that impressive. I could settle for 45

I know we jokingly say big numbers yuck, but that would be YIKES. 

[Legion Again]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I know we jokingly say big numbers yuck, but that would be YIKES. 

I think 2nd place Spider-man in admits would be a fine result. Likely to do that or worse in many developed markets. 
 

I guess if ATP is like 10% up from FFH (as in many markets) then +20% FFH admits for 3.1 or so would be like 49M

[charlie Jatinder]

Ok, I was being bit unrealistic I guess. TLJ did only 58M. So I guess I will be fine with 50M but then Aquaman did like 42M and Jumanji 2 did 47M, so... 60M FTW?

Edited November 12, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Jamiem]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 Aquaman did A$40M+ IIRC.

The power of shirtless Momoa, Nicole Kidman and Temuera Morrison 

[lab276]

Having seen finally trailers for some movies other than Bond and Venom, if my reactions are similar to the general audience, Matrix will do very well, Spider-Man will do so-so and Ghostbusters will do meh. Maybe Spider-Man will do it on the back of Marvel and Tom Holland being charismatic, but it looked pretty mediocre to me. I really don't see where the $60m/3m+ admits predictions are coming from.

Edited November 12, 2021 by lab276

[Legion Again]

2 minutes ago, lab276 said:

Having seen finally adds for some movies other than Bond and Venom, if my reactions are similar to the general audience, Matrix will do very well, Spider-Man will do so-so and Ghostbusters will do meh. Maybe Spider-Man will do it on the back of Marvel and Tom Holland being charismatic, but it looked pretty mediocre to me. I really don't see where the $60m/3m+ admits predictions are coming from.

On the back of nostalgia bait/crossover event status (Dafoe, Molina, rumored/assumed return of Garfield/Maguire)

Edited November 12, 2021 by Eternal Legion

[charlie Jatinder]

4 hours ago, lab276 said:

Not sure if Bond had any previews tbh, as far as I know its first sessions started yesterday.

If Bond don't have WED previews, in that case A$2.17M be unreal good. I think there gotta be some A$700-900K previews on WED for sure. Wish I had checked.

[charlie Jatinder]

19 minutes ago, lab276 said:

Having seen finally trailers for some movies other than Bond and Venom, if my reactions are similar to the general audience, Matrix will do very well, Spider-Man will do so-so and Ghostbusters will do meh. Maybe Spider-Man will do it on the back of Marvel and Tom Holland being charismatic, but it looked pretty mediocre to me. I really don't see where the $60m/3m+ admits predictions are coming from.

I agree the trailer was pretty ehh and I don't even have any personal hype but the trailer views did blew up and online buzz is def high with people comparing it with AIW, so that combined with XMAS-New Year I will be very disappointed with under 50M.

[john2000]

I have no idea how spidey will do but regardless of your reaction to the marketing so far, there is no question that the hype is HUGE .The POSTER  has 564k like on twitter...A POSTER....