Australia Australian Box Office | ....

[DeeCee]

C'mon Wonder.  You can Threepeat.  I know you can.

[JJ-8]

On 11/12/2017 at 10:24 AM, DeeReyEgonnnnn said:

C'mon Wonder.  You can Threepeat.  I know you can.

 

pretty sure that ferdinand has wonder covered....... 

 

[JJ-8]

Ok in all seriousness. Can the last Jedi match the force awakens here?  

 

TFA has the whole first Star Wars in 10 years going for it. But TLJ has some interesting bits on its own.  Including a post death performance by a major character. 

 

Im thinking between 18m and 22m so short of TFA but it’s not impossible to see it going higher. 

[DeeCee]

OK.  A little refresher from way back on page 407.
 
The Force Awakens
Midnights - roughly AUD2.3-2.5m
OD - AUD9.42m
OW - AUD27.254m (OD x 2.9 = OW)
DOMESTIC - USD247.966 (x9.1)
 
Rogue One
OD - AUD4.75m
OW - AUD14.7m (OD x 3.1 = OW)
DOMESTIC - USD155.081 (x10.5)

[JJ-8]

On ‎12‎/‎12‎/‎2017 at 2:05 PM, DeeReyEgonnnnn said:

OK.  A little refresher from way back on page 407.
 
The Force Awakens
Midnights - roughly AUD2.3-2.5m
OD - AUD9.42m
OW - AUD27.254m (OD x 2.9 = OW)
DOMESTIC - USD247.966 (x9.1)
 
Rogue One
OD - AUD4.75m
OW - AUD14.7m (OD x 3.1 = OW)
DOMESTIC - USD155.081 (x10.5)

Anything less than Rogue One is a massive disappointment at this point.  While I can't see it reaching the highs of TFA, I think a 20m+ OW is on the cards...

 

My prediction is :-

 

8.3m OD

24.1m OW

 

[aabattery]

 

Bet y'all thought these were some Star Wars numbers. Gotcha.

[Rthmessiah]

12 hours ago, JJ-8 said:

Anything less than Rogue One is a massive disappointment at this point.  While I can't see it reaching the highs of TFA, I think a 20m+ OW is on the cards...

 

My prediction is :-

 

8.3m OD

24.1m OW

 

around over 20m , OD more like around 7m, either be 2-3 biggest OD, Midnights 3rd behind TFA, DH2

[DeeCee]

Excellent. Should be good for USD200-225m Domestic. 

 

Completely rules out TFA. 

[JJ-8]

Excellent start. Kinda hoping that OD creeps up over DH2 so Star Wars can be 1 and 2

 

20m+ start is still nothing to sneeze at. Awesome start and with Christmas holidays ahead no reason to believe a 60m + finish is happening. Tbh 70m+ is within range if it has legs anything like TFA. 

[SoSaysI]

38 minutes ago, DeeReyEgonnnnn said:

Excellent. Should be good for USD200-225m Domestic. 

 

Completely rules out TFA. 

Unless TLJ pulls a Wonder Woman (not likely and I've been thinking around $225M).

[DeeCee]

The correlation for Star Wars between both markets is far more consistent. 

[Rthmessiah]

7 hours ago, Rth Ragnarok said:

around over 20m , OD more like around 7m, either be 2-3 biggest OD, Midnights 3rd behind TFA, DH2

OD might be more like 6

[DeeCee]

1 hour ago, Rth Ragnarok said:

OD might be more like 6

I hope it’s closer to 7 then 6. 

[FantasticBeasts]

10 minutes ago, DeeReyEgonnnnn said:

I hope it’s closer to 7 then 6. 

Any analysis of what is the lower/higher end for DOM If 6-7m is the range? 

[Rthmessiah]

17 hours ago, Rth Ragnarok said:

around over 20m , OD more like around 7m, either be 2-3 biggest OD, Midnights 3rd behind TFA, DH2

 

9 hours ago, Rth Ragnarok said:

OD might be more like 6

looking better, Looks more like original number of 7m, see later how its looking

[a2k]

If the number increases to 8m OD then using 11x+ gives 90m Dom OD. I think that would translate to a sub-190m Dom OW imo.

8x OD and 12x gives 96m Dom OD which could translate to195-205m Dom OW.

Edited December 14, 2017 by a2knet

[DeeCee]

It's safer to compare opening weekend rather then a single day.  The Australian opening day is a full 24 hour day from midnight to midnight whereas Domestic is Thursday evening through all of Friday.

 

AUD7m would lead to an opening weekend of around AUD20-22m.  That suggests Domestic of around USD200-220m.  At the extremes I suspect USD225m+ can be ruled out and a dip into the USD195-200m is possible.

[redfirebird2008]

2 hours ago, a2knet said:

If the number increases to 8m OD then using 11x+ gives 90m Dom OD. I think that would translate to a sub-190m Dom OW imo.

8x OD and 12x gives 96m Dom OD which could translate to195-205m Dom OW.

 

RTH's comment was too late to believe it's going to jump $1 million from there. So $7m is probably in the right ballpark.

[DeeCee]

 

[DeeCee]

I don't think Wonder can recover from this to threepeat.