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5 hours ago, druv10 said:

Jajang, what's your OW and total prediction for SW7?

 

Ok, it's a really tough call, as the big openers normally open Boxing Day here ... Avatar is the best comparison for opening time at least.

 

My predictions are all in AUD:

 

This is my fan boy prediction ~

OD = 9m AUD (Record opening day)

OW = 27m OW

2nd weekend = 19m 

Final Total = 102m :ph34r:

 

more realistic version now:-

 

OD = 7.5m (still record OD)

OW = 21m OW (record also)

2nd Weekend = 12m

Final Total = 75m

 

Given presales and all.... the worst i'm seeing is:

 

OD = 6.5m (i would be shocked if this happens)

OW = 16m

2nd Weekend = 10m

Final Total = 60m

 

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MJ2 will get a 4th weekend at #1 and then it begins. 

 

 

Weekend, December 3-6, 2015
WIR = Weeks In Release
No WIR Title $ %
Total $
1 3 THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY PART 2 (M), ROADSHOW [442/ $6,419] 2,836,979 -46%
22,352,770
2 4 SPECTRE (M), SONY PICTURES [447/ $4,706] 2,103,423 -39%
29,137,225
3 2 HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 2 (PG), SONY PICTURES [409/ $3,614] 1,478,127 -32%
4,482,982
4 2 CREED (M), WARNER BROS [197/ $6,245] 1,230,211 -28%
3,553,051
5 1 IN THE HEART OF THE SEA (M), ROADSHOW [429/ $2,043] 876,237 N/A
876,237
6 1 THE NIGHT BEFORE (MA15+), SONY PICTURES [182/ $4,270] 777,230 N/A
789,533
7 6 THE DRESSMAKER (M), UNIVERSAL [275/ $2,145] 589,853 -35%
16,295,430
8 2 LOVE THE COOPERS (PG), ENTERTAINMENT ONE [161/ $1,628] 262,070 -33%
843,327
9 3 SECRET IN THEIR EYES (M), ROADSHOW [133/ $878] 116,816 -61%
1,386,233
10 7 BRIDGE OF SPIES (M), FOX [63/ $1,404] 88,431 -26%
7,170,433
11 10 THE MARTIAN (M), FOX [56/ $1,273] 71,313 -40%
27,119,673
12 1 TRUTH (M), ROADSHOW [10/ $5,797] 57,974 N/A
57,974
13 2 TAMASHA (PG), MINDBLOWING FILMS [21/ $2,461] 51,688 -72%
299,537
14 1 MET OPERA: TANNHAUSER (WAGNER) (EX), SHARMILL [28/ $1,835] 51,377 N/A
51,377
15 3 OUR TIMES (M), MAGNUM FILMS [11/ $4,565] 50,217 -55%
454,287
16 1 FALL IN LOVE LIKE A STAR (PG), CHINALION FILM [11/ $4,003] 44,038 N/A
44,038
17 2 BY THE SEA (MA15+), UNIVERSAL [50/ $870] 43,491 -69%
237,373
18 1 PHOENIX (M), MADMAN [11/ $3,949] 43,438 N/A
138,154
19 2 THE PROGRAM (M), STUDIOCANAL [26/ $1,250] 32,501 -46%
136,264
20 7 THE LOBSTER (MA15+), SONY PICTURES [18/ $1,740]
Edited by DeeCee
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The Hunger Games Showdown Down Under

 

Wk

The Hunger Games

Catching Fire

Mockinjay Part 1

Mockinjay Part 2

 

22-Mar-2012

21-Nov-2013

20-Nov-2014

19-Nov-2015

 

 

 

 

 

1:

9.1m/9.1m

12.5m/12.5m

11.9m/11.9m

9.8m/9.8m

Scns/Ave

471/19,218

580/21,545

574/20,771

624/15,757

2:

4.8m/16.2m

6.8m/22.7m

5.8m/20.9m

5.2m/17.9m

3:

3.2m/21.3m

3.5m/28.3m

3.0m/25.7m

2.8m/22.4m

4:

2.3m/26.0m

2.2m/32.0m

1.8m/28.7m

 

5:

1.5m/28.4m

1.4m/34.4m

1.2m/30.8m

 

6:

683k/29.8m

1.1m/36.0m

663k/32.2m

 

7:

398k/30.4m

838k/37.5m

564k/33.3m

 

8:

184k/30.7m

470k/38.5m

176k/33.6m

 

9:

101k/30.9m

269k/39.0m

 

 

10:

44k/31.0m

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL:

31.1m

39.19m

33.83m

17.86m

Projected

 

 

 

31m

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James Bond (Daniel Craig) Showdown

 

Wk

Casino Royale

Quantum of Solace

Skyfall

Spectre

 

06-Dec-06

24-Nov-08

22-Nov-12

12-Nov-15

 

 

 

 

 

1:

6.7m/6.9m

9.7m/11.8m

12.3m/12.6m

11.3m/12.1m

Scns/Ave

401/17,100

476/20,439

580/21,215

618/18,315

2:

3.7m/13.2m

4.2m/18.8m

7.7m/24.8m

5.5m/20.7m

%Drop

-45%

-57%

-37%

-52%

3:

2.4m/17.4m

2.5m/22.6m

4.2m/32.2m

3.4m/25.8m

4:

2.8m/21.8m

1.6m/25.2m

3.2m/37.2m

2.1m/29.1m

5:

2.1m/25.7m

1.0m/26.9m

2.4m/41.0m*

 

6:

1.3m/28.0m

785k/28.2m

2.0m/43.9m*

 

7:

830k/29.5m

587k/29.5m

966k/45.7m

 

8:

630k/30.5m

277k/29.5m

629k/46.8m

 

9:

450k/31.2m

123k/30.1m

437k/47.5m

 

10:

227k/31.6m

 

246k/48.1m

 

 

 

 

*Estimated

 

TOTAL:

32.2m

31.0m

48.4m

25.8m

PROJECTED

 

 

 

35m

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Only a week to go....

Anyone have an updated presales figure. It must be massive. I have never seen sales like this.

For example chermside gold class is sold out completely opening day (all sessions) vmax isn't far behind. I would think that presales would be close to 50% of available seats on OD from a quick glance. That is just crazy.

Thing is Gold class is sold nearly all weekend and even weekdays are selling. Heck there are sellouts on Boxing Day already.

Be interesting to know how presales are traveling overall. Not all sites are selling this crazy but many are just as sold out.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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Thanks DeeCee, i'm reposting this link here... some interesting facts about the upcoming opening of SW for Australia in the article...

 

SMH - Star Wars by the Numbers: Why Disney has scored the deal of the Century

 

Biggest points from the article while not confirmed numbers:

 

  • Star Wars is expected expected to be the widest release ever on a rumoured 900+ screens. (some 150 above the previous high by Age of Ultron)  FYI total screens in australia is 2080. 
    • Given what i've seen lately, i'm not surprised.  the midnight showings at Chermside is 11 / 16 screens playing; at Brisbane City 8 / 8 screens; i could go on but many places are playing this at midnight on every single screen in the complex. so that 900 figure isn't surprising at all.
  • Pre-Sales is estimated to be > 10m already.  Now while that could be spread beyond the opening weekend, you would think that the bulk of it will be for the opening weekend.  especially given the number of sellouts / near sellouts i'm seeing already.

 

I was thinking pre-sales might top 5m.. but 10m already ?  gotta think we are heading for a opening well north of 15m at this point and more than likely 20m.  is 25m possible on OW in australia ? Or dare i say it.. a OW starting with 3 :ph34r:

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oh i will be creating a showdown for TFA ....

 

I think SWTFA vs HPATDHP2 vs TA vs Avatar (i'm leaving titanic off as it took so long to reach that final total it just floats on forever.......)

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2 minutes ago, James said:

Can you include Fantastic Beasts in that showdown next year??

Trimis de pe al meu SM-J100H folosind Tapatalk

 

i'll probably do  one  vs the other november Harry Potter openers and possibly twilight... 

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The top 20 made just under $10m this past weekend. I'm expecting 1 film to double that next weekend. All the films are doubled up. I'll re-paste when Urban Cinefile fix it. 

 

BOX OFFICE
Monday, December 14, 2015

Mary Sum says: The top 20 dipped 14% to $9.27 m overall, but notably, The Dressmaker dipped on;y 5% in its 7th weekend. The Lobster hung on with a strong claw to drop just 2%, while many films recorded increased takings, notably Oddball (up 107%) in its 13th weekend, and The Martian (up 40%) in its 11th weekend. #Figures in [brackets] indicate number of screens and averages; takings are in Aus dollars.

 

Most Popular Films For Period Weekend, Dec 10 - 13, 2015
WIR = Weeks In Release
No WIR Title $ %
Total $
1 4 THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY PART 2 (M), ROADSHOW [415/ $4,840] 2,008,729 -29%
25,473,178
1 4 THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY PART 2 (M), ROADSHOW [415/ $4,840] 2,008,729 -29%
25,473,178
2 5 SPECTRE (M), SONY PICTURES [432/ $3,807] 1,644,424 -22%
31,603,268
2 5 SPECTRE (M), SONY PICTURES [432/ $3,807] 1,644,424 -22%
31,603,268
3 3 HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 2 (PG), SONY PICTURES [362/ $3,849] 1,393,494 -6%
6,456,508
3 3 HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 2 (PG), SONY PICTURES [362/ $3,849] 1,393,494 -6%
6,456,508
4 3 CREED (M), WARNER BROS [225/ $4,869] 1,095,413 -11%
5,134,176
4 3 CREED (M), WARNER BROS [225/ $4,869] 1,095,413 -11%
5,134,176
5 2 THE NIGHT BEFORE (MA15+), SONY PICTURES [182/ $3,687] 671,014 -14%
1,843,170
5 2 THE NIGHT BEFORE (MA15+), SONY PICTURES [182/ $3,687] 671,014 -14%
1,843,170
6 2 IN THE HEART OF THE SEA (M), ROADSHOW [308/ $2,047] 630,362 -28%
1,920,522
6 2 IN THE HEART OF THE SEA (M), ROADSHOW [308/ $2,047] 630,362 -28%
1,920,522
7 7 THE DRESSMAKER (M), UNIVERSAL [257/ $2,217] 569,760 -5%
17,129,248
7 7 THE DRESSMAKER (M), UNIVERSAL [257/ $2,217] 569,760 -5%
17,129,248
8 PR THE GOOD DINOSAUR (PG), WALT DISNEY [187/ $1,588] 296,889 N/A
311,845
8 PR THE GOOD DINOSAUR (PG), WALT DISNEY [187/ $1,588] 296,889 N/A
311,845
9 3 LOVE THE COOPERS (PG), ENTERTAINMENT ONE [168/ $1,662] 279,248 7%
1,266,067
9 3 LOVE THE COOPERS (PG), ENTERTAINMENT ONE [168/ $1,662] 279,248 7%
1,266,067
10 8 BRIDGE OF SPIES (M), FOX [81/ $1,491] 120,774 35%
7,327,215
10 8 BRIDGE OF SPIES (M), FOX [81/ $1,491] 120,774 35%
7,327,215
11 11 THE MARTIAN (M), FOX [49/ $2,031] 99,508 40%
27,251,486
11 11 THE MARTIAN (M), FOX [49/ $2,031] 99,508 40%
27,251,486
12 2 TRUTH (M), ROADSHOW [11/ $7,091] 78,006 35%
168,266
12 2 TRUTH (M), ROADSHOW [11/ $7,091] 78,006 35%
168,266
13 1 INSIDE MEN (MA15+), DREAMWEST PICTURES [13/ $5,909] 76,817 N/A
76,817
13 1 INSIDE MEN (MA15+), DREAMWEST PICTURES [13/ $5,909] 76,817 N/A
76,817
14 4 SECRET IN THEIR EYES (M), ROADSHOW [84/ $817] 68,669 -41%
1,509,735
14 4 SECRET IN THEIR EYES (M), ROADSHOW [84/ $817] 68,669 -41%
1,509,735
15 PR THE BELIER FAMILY (M), PALACE [21/ $3,006] 63,122 N/A
266,669
15 PR THE BELIER FAMILY (M), PALACE [21/ $3,006] 63,122 N/A
266,669
16 1 A SECOND CHANCE (M), ABS-CBN DISTRIBUTORS [11/ $5,091] 55,997 N/A
55,997
16 1 A SECOND CHANCE (M), ABS-CBN DISTRIBUTORS [11/ $5,091] 55,997 N/A
55,997
17 2 PHOENIX (M), MADMAN [11/ $4,179] 45,973 6%
204,601
17 2 PHOENIX (M), MADMAN [11/ $4,179] 45,973 6%
204,601
18 8 THE LOBSTER (MA15+), SONY PICTURES [15/ $2,047] 30,707 -2%
569,045
18 8 THE LOBSTER (MA15+), SONY PICTURES [15/ $2,047] 30,707 -2%
569,045
19 13 ODDBALL (G), ROADSHOW [41/ $598] 24,515 107%
10,959,356
19 13 ODDBALL (G), ROADSHOW [41/ $598] 24,515 107%
10,959,356
20 3 THE PROGRAM (M), STUDIOCANAL [23/ $987] 22,709 -30%
174,623
20 3 THE PROGRAM (M), STUDIOCANAL [23/ $987] 22,709 -30%
174,623

 

 

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There's still tickets available to the 3am at IMAX Sydney.

 

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