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ITALY (Botteghino): 'Bohemian Rhapsody' crushes competition – achieves 2nd best opening of the 2018-2019 season

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The Grinch is getting an insane amount of showings. At a multiplex near Venice, it has 38 showings listed for the weekend.

Bohemian Rhapsody's very strong too. Gonna be a big weekend...and an awful one for FB2, whose number of showings decreased drastically and whose dailies are down 60% from last week.

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Huge opening for Bohemian Rhapsody: 800K. If the Saturday rise is strong enough, we may have another film finishing with the double-digit.

 

The Grinch opened...in third place. 121K. Okay, this was not supposed to open above BR on a Thursday, but we're looking at a potential sub-2M opening.

FB2 already below 100K *-*

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Bohemian Rhapsody headed to a 4.8/5.0M euros debut. The Grinch to a 1.9M one.

60% falls for FB2 and Nutcracker.

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WEEKEND ACTUALS 29 NOVEMBER - 2 DECEMBER

- all in million € -

 

-RANK- MOVIE WEEKEND GROSS HOLD TOTAL GROSS PROJECTED GROSS
1 Bohemian Rhapsody 5.41 NEW 5.41 20.10
2 The Grinch 1.81 NEW 1.81 6.00
3 Se Son Rose (It) 1.63 NEW 1.63 5.00
4 Fantastic Beasts 2 0.96 -63% 11.75 13.00
5 Robin Hood 0.49 -42% 1.53 2.10
6 Troppa Grazia (It) 0.28

-39%

0.82 1.10
7 The Nutcracker and the 4 Realms 0.19 -63% 9.20 9.50
8 Trois Visages (Iran) 0.12 NEW 0.12 0.30
9 Dead in a Week (GB) 0.11 -62% 0.46 0.60
10 Widows 0.10 -67% 1.19 1.30

 

 

Insane performance for Bohemian Rhapsody. In many other countries it's doing great numbers after developing very long legs, but Italy is one of the few countries where the opening is already at uber-blockbuster levels (at least by today's standards). Second best opening of the season, only behind FB2 and ahead of Incredibles 2, Hotel Transylvania, Nutcracker, Venom. Its 4-day gross is already above the total gross of Ant Man 2 and MI:6, and just 20% behind the total gross of A Star is Born. It even managed to get a Sunday increase, while adult movies always drop 10-25% that day.

Great opening, great WOM, very little competition until the weekend before the Xmas holidays...can it beat Avengers Infinity War (18.76M) for the top spot of the year? Chances are high, and it may even become the only film in the last 18 months able to pass the 20M milestone (the last one is Beauty and the Beast with around 20.5M). It'll be fun to follow.

 

Other than BR...The Grinch opened 50%+ lower than HT3 and I2. It should have a very good hold next weekend, and probably the following one too, but not enough to make a success out of it.

FB2 will indeed struggle to 13M. It will get the season crown next weekend, only to lose it the week(end) after.

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Huge dailies for Bohemian Rhapsody: 540K on Monday and 670K on Tuesday, which is down only 16% from OD.

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Aaand 786K on Wednesday. 7.5M opening week, more than 1 million admissions already. I wonder what's next.

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@Omni

 

 but Italy is one of the few countries where the opening is already at uber-blockbuster levels (at least by today's standards)

 

BR is uber blockbuster cause it's achieving insane OS run w/o China. many huge successes aren't BR level once you take China out. For example, BR is gonna crush Antman&theWasp, Wonder Woman, Doctor Strange despite their China grosses. It's absolutely incredible performance. Freddie Mercury is a superhero. 

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1 hour ago, Valonqar said:

@Omni

 

 

 

 

BR is uber blockbuster cause it's achieving insane OS run w/o China. many huge successes aren't BR level once you take China out. For example, BR is gonna crush Antman&theWasp, Wonder Woman, Doctor Strange despite their China grosses. It's absolutely incredible performance. Freddie Mercury is a superhero. 

WW did $821M...

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1 hour ago, efialtes76 said:

WW did $821M...

Not OS. I'm talking about OS only. 

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The top 3 of last weekend will repeat, and they should all have great holds.

Bohemian Rhapsody is down a mere 39% from its (inflated) OD (it certainly won't jump by 15% today like it did last week), while Se Son Rose (Italian comedy) and The Grinch are both down 35% or so from their non-inflated debuts.

Saturday is also a holiday here, meaning the boost may lead to sub-20% drops for all those three movies. And Bohemian Rhapsody may even show us something more.

 

Fantastic Beasts 2 will drop by around 50% even with the holiday's help.

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FB2 reached €12m (€12.008.242). A €13m finish would be ok, a not so bad drop from the first one (€14,9m).

 

In its last seven days it grossed €1.123.854, with the holidays it should barely make it.

 

BR is a beast.

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WEEKEND ACTUALS 6-9 DECEMBER

- all in million € -

 

-RANK- MOVIE WEEKEND GROSS HOLD TOTAL GROSS PROJECTED GROSS
1 Bohemian Rhapsody 4.18 -23% 11.72 20.10
2 The Grinch 1.37 -24% 3.51 6.00
3 Se Son Rose (It) 1.14 -30% 3.16 5.00
4 Alpha 0.60 NEW 0.60 1.50
5 Fantastic Beasts 2 0.45 -53% 12.42 12.80
6 Ghostland 0.42

NEW

0.42 0.90
7 Colette 0.25 NEW 0.25 0.60
8 La Prima Pietra (It) 0.24 NEW 0.24 0.60
9 Robin Hood 0.17 -65% 1.80 1.90
10 Santiago (It) 0.14 NEW 0.14 0.40

 

 

I have no words to describe Bohemian Rhapsody's performance. Its 2nd weekend, while inflated (though not as inflated as Grinch's, as it's not a family movie) is:

* Slightly higher than the 4-day opening of HT3 (previous leader of the season)

* Just 1% lower than I2's OW

* 10% higher than Venom's OW

Starting from its 4th weekend, it will begin to run out of gas just like every damn release in Italy, but by then it will already be above 16 millions, and will still be strong enough to be a solid option during Christmas I guess.  Infinity War (18.77M) is now very likely to fall. Incredible.

 

Good hold for The Grinch, though its Sunday being down 35% from the previous week shows how holiday-dependent was the hold. It should be able to survive the Spiderman toon, but likely not Mary Poppins the week after. In fact, once you exclude the top trio, Grindelwald got the best hold of all.

 

As usual, small openers are no threat for the bigger and "younger" movies, but have the ability of destroying smaller holdovers.

Edited by Omni
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SEASONAL (AUGUST 2018 - JULY 2019) TOP 10

- gross in € -

 

-RANK- MOVIE STUDIO RELEASE DATE TOTAL GROSS TOTAL ADMISSIONS
1 Fantastic Beasts 2 Warner Bros 15/11/2018 12.424.671 1.769.403
2 Hotel Transylvania Warner Bros 22/08/2018 12.248.608 1.933.886
3 Incredibles 2 Disney 19/09/2018 12.036.064 1.872.315
4 Bohemian Rhapsody 20th Century Fox 29/11/2018 11.722.046 1.647.209
5 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms Disney 31/10/2018 9.310.023 1.455.712
6 Venom Warner Bros

04/10/2018

8.477.649 1.233.523
7 A Star is Born Warner Bros 11/10/2018 6.751.578 989.560
8 The Nun Warner Bros 20/09/2018 5.459.259 794.150
9 Mission Impossible: Fallout 20th Century Fox 29/08/2018 5.244.349 766.740
10 The Meg Warner Bros 09/08/2018 5.023.769 732.881

 

 

Fantastic Beast: The Crimes of Grindelwald gets to the top spot (but only in euros, as in admissions it's #3, and will become #4 very soon). It won't last long. By Wednesday, Bohemian Rhapsody will have passed it.

The Grinch has a #8 spot locked, and a very very small chance of reaching ASiB for a temporary 7th place.

Among future releases: Aquaman should make a little less than Venom's number, Ralph will most likely find a place between Nutcracker and I2 (closer to the former), and Mary Poppins...no idea, total wildcard.

Edited by Omni
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And as expected Bohemian Rhapsody took the top spot from Fantastic Beasts 2 on Wednesday. 12.87M vs 12.50M. Grindelwald held the crown for just a few days.

 

This weekend holds may be a little harsh due to last weekend being inflated, but the lack of competition will limit the damage. The only "notable" new releases are A Simple Favor and Il Testimone Silenzioso (Italian thriller). Bohemian Rhapsody and The Grinch should remain on top, both with a drop in the 40's.

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