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ITALY (Botteghino): 'Minions 2' on course to become biggest film of 2022

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Pos.
Titolo
Prima Progr.
Nazione
Distribuzione
Incasso
Presenze
1 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 1.755.761 250.209
2 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 543.207 78.678
3 DOLOR Y GLORIA 17/05/2019 ESP WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 243.809 35.220
4 JOHN WICK 3 - PARABELLUM (JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3) 16/05/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 235.633 32.215
5 ATTENTI A QUELLE DUE (THE HUSTLE) 16/05/2019 USA EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 159.095 22.357
6 POKEMON DETECTIVE PIKACHU (DETECTIVE PIKACHU) 09/05/2019 GBR WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 145.854 21.134
7 L'ANGELO DEL MALE: BRIGHTBURN 23/05/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 97.906 13.465
8 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 69.622 9.333
9 TED BUNDY - FASCINO CRIMINALE (EXTREMELY WICKED, SHOCKINGLY EVIL AND VILE) 09/05/2019 USA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 40.565 5.427
10 PET SEMATARY 09/05/2019 USA 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 24.873 3.181
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Disappointing increase for Aladdin, definitely sub-par. Great for Il Traditore.

 

Maleficent vs Aladdin

Wed > 577K vs 735K

Thu > 497K (-14%) vs 566K (-23%)

Fri > 666K (ha!) (+34%) vs 845K (+67%)

Sat > 1.495M (+125%) vs 1.756 (+108%)

Sun > 1.547M (+3%)

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You should look at data more often. The big opening leads to smaller jumps on Saturday only when there's some rush factor and frontloadness, which usually isn't the case for family movies in Italy. Going by your post, Beauty and the Beast (which opened on Thursday - meaning less time to 'stabilize' - and had a Friday above 1.1M) should have increased like 80/90% on Saturday. Instead, it went from 1.110 to 2.350, for a 112% jump. And that was by far the more anticipated Disney LA of all. Also, the average % increase yesterday was higher than it was on BatB's first day. Cinderella also went up 164% on its first Saturday, and Dumbo 140%. And Jungle Book 145%. When ALL previous titles increase more than you do on an overall very strong day, your specific number is disappointing. End of the story.

 

 

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Boom baby!

 

26/05/19 (Sunday)

 

1 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 2.372.103 346.828
2 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 592.761 87.254
3 DOLOR Y GLORIA 17/05/2019 ESP WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 292.026 42.938
4 JOHN WICK 3 - PARABELLUM (JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3) 16/05/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 211.299 29.473
5 POKEMON DETECTIVE PIKACHU (DETECTIVE PIKACHU) 09/05/2019 GBR WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 167.241 24.745
6 ATTENTI A QUELLE DUE (THE HUSTLE) 16/05/2019 USA EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 149.586 21.752
7 L'ANGELO DEL MALE: BRIGHTBURN 23/05/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 87.453 12.357
8 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 71.995 10.017
9 TED BUNDY - FASCINO CRIMINALE (EXTREMELY WICKED, SHOCKINGLY EVIL AND VILE) 09/05/2019 USA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 25.913 3.599
10 TUTTI PAZZI A TEL AVIV (TEL AVIV ON FIRE) 09/05/2019 LUX ACADEMY TWO DISTR. S.R.L. € 14.569 2.281

 

What a Sunday for Aladdin! Incredible "recovery", and the highest non-Endgame single day since...Infinity War! Also, best hold in the top 10 by a mile.

Reminds me of Finding Dory (went from an unexciting 1.7M Sat to a 2.4M Sun)

 

Edited by Omni
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WEEKEND ACTUALS 23-26 MAY

- all in million € -

 

RANK MOVIE WEEKEND GROSS HOLD TOTAL GROSS PROJECTED GROSS
1 Aladdin 5.64 NEW 6.39 14.80
2 Il Traditore (It) 1.45 NEW 1.45 4.00
3 Dolor y Gloria (Sp) 0.71 -35% 2.13 3.30
4 John Wick 3 0.65 -58% 2.59 3.30
5

The Hustle

0.41 -53% 1.45 1.90
6 Detective Pikachu 0.40

-71%

4.93 5.40
7 BrightBurn 0.25 NEW 0.25 0.50
8 Avengers: Endgame 0.19 -71% 29.56 29.80
9 Extremely Wicked, Shockingly Evil and Vile 0.09 -76% 1.33 1.40
10 Asbury Park 0.06 NEW 0.08 0.20

 

 

Thanks to Aladdin, this weekend was up 137.7 freaking percent from the same weekend last year. 2019 is now above 2018 by 3.42%.

 

Aladdin went pretty much as high as it could go.

 

Disney LA openings:

Beauty and the Beast > 6.9M

Aladdin > 5.6M

Cinderella > 5.1M

Maleficent > 3.7M

Dumbo > 3.3M

The Jungle Book > 3.0M

 

So only 20% below the opening of BatB and even up 10% from Cinderella. Italians always prefer Disney films when there's a princess in it!

 

I still think it will fall short of Cinderella's 15M total gross, as weather is improving, and it's 100% definitely turning into hot next week. Also, it's not easy to hold very well against Godzilla+(Rocketman?)+Dark Phoenix+Pets. I guess it will remain above Cinderella until next weekend, and then it will freefall.

 

Dolor y Gloria got by far the best hold in the top 10.

John Wick recovered during the weekend, but its drop remain very very bad.

Detective Pikachu got mauled, but a 5M+ finish is still respectable. Endgame got destroyed too, and is now below IW in dailies and certain to miss the 30M mark. It will still have enough gas to pass Ice Age 3's 29.7M gross, and thus be second only to Alice in Wonderland among non-Cameron Hollywood movies.

 

This week:

* Godzilla: KOTM > everything above the 2.59M 4-day opening that the "original" got will be a win, especially considering that movie had awful legs (2x multiplier); thinking it will stop below 2M though

* Rocketman > the movie tries to bank on Bohemian Rhapsody's insane success, and it's marketed as another event; it's a bit of a wildcard - all I can say is that I hope it bombs

And some minor Italian/French stuff...

 

Edit: @jj99 Definitely!

 

Edited by Omni
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19 hours ago, Omni said:

You should look at data more often. The big opening leads to smaller jumps on Saturday only when there's some rush factor and frontloadness, which usually isn't the case for family movies in Italy. Going by your post, Beauty and the Beast (which opened on Thursday - meaning less time to 'stabilize' - and had a Friday above 1.1M) should have increased like 80/90% on Saturday. Instead, it went from 1.110 to 2.350, for a 112% jump. And that was by far the more anticipated Disney LA of all. Also, the average % increase yesterday was higher than it was on BatB's first day. Cinderella also went up 164% on its first Saturday, and Dumbo 140%. And Jungle Book 145%. When ALL previous titles increase more than you do on an overall very strong day, your specific number is disappointing. End of the story.

 

 

If a movie makes 850k on friday and it's a family movie is easier having a 160% increase on saturday. If a movie makes 2 M on friday it's more difficult a 160% increase cause the movie just doesn't have the space to do 2 M + the 160% 

 

And Aladdin has more teens and adults in its audience than cinderella so it's pretty normal biggest weekdays and lowest weekend jumps lol.

Your post is useful, who cares about maleficient and cinderella biggest jumps but  with a lot less money? This makes aladdin disappointing? The last word in the universe for what aladdin did in thiis weekend in Italy is disappoiting. 

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Did you even read what I said? Aladdin's Saturday rise was the lowest of ALL Disney LA movies, even lower than BatB, which had a Thursday opening, and was bigger on Friday by a good margin. When your increase is the lowest of all among comparable title on an overall very strong day, your increase is sub-par, and therefore disappointing. It's not a matter of opinion, it's a simple fact, like saying that Dumbo grossed more than Oz in Italy.

 

Also, is it so difficult to understand that every comment refers to the specific number that is commented? One thing is saying that Aladdin's performance is disappointing (totally uncorrect, unless you had silly unrealistic expectations), another thing is saying that the hold on a specific day is weaker than what should have been. Aladdin got a disappointing jump on Saturday (fact), followed by a wonderful rise on Sunday (fact - because it's higher than it was supposed to do). Overall, a great opening.

 

Finally, it's kind of funny how you used the demographic issue to justify its low increase on Saturday, when the Sunday rise clearly shows it attracted lots of kids and families!

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Well, this is something...

 

27/05/19 (Monday)

 

1 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 684.361 115.595
2 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 131.934 23.030
3 DENTRO CARAVAGGIO 27/05/2019 ITA NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A. € 78.295 8.807
4 JOHN WICK 3 - PARABELLUM (JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3) 16/05/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 65.691 10.841
5 DOLOR Y GLORIA 17/05/2019 ESP WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 53.441 9.443
6 POKEMON DETECTIVE PIKACHU (DETECTIVE PIKACHU) 09/05/2019 GBR WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 40.825 7.213
7 ATTENTI A QUELLE DUE (THE HUSTLE) 16/05/2019 USA EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 33.141 5.965
8 L'ANGELO DEL MALE: BRIGHTBURN 23/05/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 29.781 5.079
9 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 18.148 2.968
10 TED BUNDY - FASCINO CRIMINALE (EXTREMELY WICKED, SHOCKINGLY EVIL AND VILE) 09/05/2019 USA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 7.671 1.286

 

Aladdin's first Monday is...above BatB's already super-high first Monday (667K).

Considering some schools were (and still are today) closed due to European elections, I'd wait for the Wednesday numbers before reaching any conclusion. Detective Pikachu held better than it was supposed to do, too.

 

#3 is the nth "event" about *insert random Italian artist*.

 

 

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28/05/19 (Tuesday)

 

1 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 634.375 112.028
2 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 163.453 29.640
3 DENTRO CARAVAGGIO 27/05/2019 ITA NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A. € 116.839 13.153
4 DOLOR Y GLORIA 17/05/2019 ESP WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 64.123 11.786
5 JOHN WICK 3 - PARABELLUM (JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3) 16/05/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 61.871 10.516
6 ATTENTI A QUELLE DUE (THE HUSTLE) 16/05/2019 USA EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 31.302 5.569
7 L'ANGELO DEL MALE: BRIGHTBURN 23/05/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 27.992 4.867
8 POKEMON DETECTIVE PIKACHU (DETECTIVE PIKACHU) 09/05/2019 GBR WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 27.798 5.035
9 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 15.688 2.584
10 TED BUNDY - FASCINO CRIMINALE (EXTREMELY WICKED, SHOCKINGLY EVIL AND VILE) 09/05/2019 USA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 7.426 1.306

 

Back to Earth. Yesterday was really inflated, as the 30%+ drop of Detective Pikachu confirms. Still, Aladdin limited the damage by dropping less than 10%. Only Beauty and the Beast managed to sell 100K+ tickets on normal weekdays among Disney LAs, so this remains a very very high number. Unfortunately, forecast for this weekend is going to push people back to the beaches.

 

Comparisons:

Beauty and the Beast > 747K (+12%)

Cinderella > 449K (+32%)

Maleficent > 378K (-68%) > Monday was holiday

 

 

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29/05/19 (Wednesday)

 

1 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 593.220 109.112
2 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 157.677 30.506
3 DENTRO CARAVAGGIO 27/05/2019 ITA NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A. € 124.650 13.886
4 ROCKETMAN 29/05/2019 GBR 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 101.732 15.728
5 DOLOR Y GLORIA 17/05/2019 ESP WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 67.809 12.764
6 JOHN WICK 3 - PARABELLUM (JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3) 16/05/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 52.250 9.505
7 ATTENTI A QUELLE DUE (THE HUSTLE) 16/05/2019 USA EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 27.700 5.305
8 L'ANGELO DEL MALE: BRIGHTBURN 23/05/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 21.686 3.980
9 POKEMON DETECTIVE PIKACHU (DETECTIVE PIKACHU) 09/05/2019 GBR WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 20.420 3.844
10 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 10.656 1.921

 

Another drop for Aladdin. On normal circumstances it would be a bad sign, but it looks like Tuesday was inflated too (Pikachu got another harsh drop, Endgame an even bigger one). Actually, most movies dropped from Tuesday so Aladdin's hold looks relatively strong once again.

 

Rocketman's opening has probably something to do with some of the drops. The Elton John biopic failed to bank on BR's tremendous success and with such a weak Wednesday it's looking at a sub-1M OW.

 

Comparisons for Aladdin:

Beauty and the Beast > 967K (+29%) > totally bonkers!

Aladdin > 593K (-6.5%)

Cinderella > 548K (+22%)

Maleficent > 447K (+18%)

 

Today it's Godzilla's turn. The 2014 movie opened with 578K, but that number was inflated by the Festa del Cinema (discount tickets). Everything above 400K is a success, and above 300K is acceptable.

Edited by Omni
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30/05/19 (Thursday)

 

1 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 420.357 68.930
2 GODZILLA 2: KING OF THE MONSTERS (GODZILLA: KING OF THE MONSTERS) 30/05/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 187.434 28.199
3 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 128.135 21.657
4 ROCKETMAN 29/05/2019 GBR 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 83.178 13.505
5 DOLOR Y GLORIA 17/05/2019 ESP WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 39.388 6.538
6 JOHN WICK 3 - PARABELLUM (JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3) 16/05/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 36.547 5.899
7 ATTENTI A QUELLE DUE (THE HUSTLE) 16/05/2019 USA EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 15.849 2.682
8 L'ANGELO DEL MALE: BRIGHTBURN 23/05/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 10.223 1.640
9 POKEMON DETECTIVE PIKACHU (DETECTIVE PIKACHU) 09/05/2019 GBR WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 8.292 1.442
10 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 5.645 827

 

Godzilla KotM failed. The opening is less than 1/3 of Godzilla (2014)'s OD. Even when taking into account that G1's OD was inflated, this second chapter is looking at a 35/40% drop from its predecessor.

The best comparison for it is now Kong: Skull Island (141K OD / 1.4M OW / 3.3M total). With competition, bad reception and sunny weather, Godzilla will likely fall short of that.

 

Aladdin did AMAZING. It's down just 26% from its first Thursday, and despite the openers it's still counting for 40%+ of the total business.

I'm conservatively predicting a 35% drop for it for the whole weekend, as this Sunday is going to be so warm and cloudless that beaches will be totally crowded. In a similar situation, Dumbo remained flat from Saturday - Aladdin won't see another 40% jump.

 

Beauty and the Beast > 563K (-32%)

Aladdin > 420K (-29%)

Maleficent > 294K (-34%)

Cinderella > 284K (-48%)

 

Il Traditore (a praised movie about mafia) is UP from last Thursday. Rocketman also held very well, meaning some still thought it was a Thursday release (even the trailer in front of Godzilla said "May 30th"). Solid for Almodovar.

Pikachu and Avengers collpased once again.

 

Edited by Omni
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31/01/19 (Friday)

 

1 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 538.334 85.021
2 GODZILLA 2: KING OF THE MONSTERS (GODZILLA: KING OF THE MONSTERS) 30/05/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 195.558 29.507
3 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 165.719 26.577
4 ROCKETMAN 29/05/2019 GBR 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 114.701 18.179
5 DOLOR Y GLORIA 17/05/2019 ESP WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 52.841 8.432
6 JOHN WICK 3 - PARABELLUM (JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3) 16/05/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 48.807 7.454
7 ATTENTI A QUELLE DUE (THE HUSTLE) 16/05/2019 USA EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 24.820 3.978
8 L'ANGELO DEL MALE: BRIGHTBURN 23/05/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 15.244 2.362
9 POKEMON DETECTIVE PIKACHU (DETECTIVE PIKACHU) 09/05/2019 GBR WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 14.015 2.368
10 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 10.285 1.496

 

Shit numbers all around. The arrival of the good weather and high temperatures hurt the box office.

Aside from Godzilla being about flat from Tursday, most movies increased in the 20/40% range, which is supposed to be 50/100% instead. The bottom 3 movies did better just because their Thursday drop was terrible.

This is not unprecedented, as something even worse happened to Maleficent, which was a little closer to the summer than Aladdin is (and that Friday was hotter). I didn't take that into account - so my Aladdin's drop should be around 40/45% instead of the 35% I predicted.

 

Beauty and the Beast > 781K (+39%)

Aladdin > 538K (+28%)

Cinderella > 466K (+77%)

Maleficent > 331K (+13%)

 

Being so comfortably higher than Maleficent is a very good thing, but keep in mind that the Angelina Jolie movie had a very weird pattern: it collapsed on its 2nd weekend, held very strong on its 3rd weekend thanks to a monster increase on Sunday (above 100%) and managed a multiplier around 3.5x after that. All of that was due to competition being completely nonexistent (it was still #1 on its 5th weekend). Aladdin won't have that luck. In fact, its real target is Cinderella, which had a much more traditional run, opened 10% lower than Aladdin and finished with 15 millions. Pretty sure Aladdin will start losing ground tomorrow or even today.

 

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YEARLY TOP 10

 

1 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 29.643.162 4.001.374
2 DUMBO 28/03/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 11.156.069 1.992.373
3 RALPH SPACCA INTERNET (RALPH BREAKS THE INTERNET) 01/01/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 10.844.301 1.682.287
4 AQUAMAN 01/01/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 10.765.490 1.537.267
5 CAPTAIN MARVEL 06/03/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 10.237.698 1.554.701
6 GREEN BOOK 31/01/2019 USA EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 9.866.251 1.577.369
7 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 9.388.964 1.458.287
8 BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY 29/11/2018 GBR 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 7.600.562 1.121.138
9 10 GIORNI SENZA MAMMA 07/02/2019 ITA MEDUSA FILM S.P.A. € 7.446.759 1.187.194
10 DRAGON TRAINER - IL MONDO NASCOSTO (HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON: THE HIDDEN WORLD) 31/01/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 7.225.778 1.119.064

 

Endgame passed the 4M admissions. Once it overtakes Ice Age 3 (29.694M), it won't have any more milestone left. Wonderful run.

Dumbo has to find 7627 tickets in order to reach 2M admissions. Even if it doesn't, it's a very good result, higher than Jungle Book.

If nothing goes terribly wrong, Aladdin should be #2 by tomorrow.

Dragon 3 will enjoy a couple more weeks in the top 10, before Pets beats it.

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Pos.
Titolo
Prima Progr.
Nazione
Distribuzione
Incasso
Presenze
1 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 923.130 132.697
2 GODZILLA 2: KING OF THE MONSTERS (GODZILLA: KING OF THE MONSTERS) 30/05/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 323.770 44.743
3 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 303.759 44.026
4 ROCKETMAN 29/05/2019 GBR 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 211.412 30.153
5 DOLOR Y GLORIA 17/05/2019 ESP WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 105.283 15.159
6 JOHN WICK 3 - PARABELLUM (JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3) 16/05/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 73.882 10.000
7 ATTENTI A QUELLE DUE (THE HUSTLE) 16/05/2019 USA EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 51.859 7.216
8 POKEMON DETECTIVE PIKACHU (DETECTIVE PIKACHU) 09/05/2019 GBR WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 38.987 5.644
9 L'ANGELO DEL MALE: BRIGHTBURN 23/05/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 27.193 3.682
10 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 18.037 2.253
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