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WEEKEND ACTUALS 11-14 JUNE

- all in million € -

 

RANK MOVIE WEEKEND GROSS HOLD TOTAL GROSS PROJECTED GROSS
1 Spider Man: Far From Home 3.80 NEW 5.28 11.40
2 Annabelle 3 0.53 -49% 2.54 3.40
3 Toy Story 4 0.50 -46% 4.59 5.60
4 Domino 0.16 NEW 0.16 0.50
5

The Secret Life of Pets 2

0.075 -32% 3.41 3.60
6 Aladdin 0.067

-37%

15.12 15.30
7 The White Crow 0.065 -55% 0.61 0.70
8 The Professor 0.062 -39% 1.33 1.50
9 Restiamo Amici 0.062 -65% 0.33 0.40
10 Welcome Home 0.056 NEW 0.056 0.15

 

The weekend was up an insane +240.33% from the same weekend last year. 2019 is now up from 2018 by 7.95%.

2019 gained 2% from last year in this past week alone. At this point I don't know how we could miss the 100 million tickets sold (would require less than a 10% rise over 2018) and we could even catch 2015's level (106.7M). Finally some good news for the market.

 

Spider Man: FFH got a great start, just 5% behind Captain Marvel's 4-day opening and even 500K above that when we count the entire 5-day frame. More important, it finally reversed the Spider-trend (SM1>SM2>SM3>TASM>TASM2>Homecoming).

A double-digit finish is a done deal, and passing Aquaman's 10.75M gross for the #2 spot of the year among sh movies appears quite likely. At 11.something there are Civil War (11.29) and The Amazing Spider Man (11.77). They're both realistic targets, though they require some help by the weather.

 

Annabelle held pretty good for the genre, still has a shot at overtaking the second chapter's total (needs almost 1 million to do so, meaning a drop in the 40s next weekend).

 

Toy Story 4 keeps the dullness alive and just doesn't want to stabilize. It may even finish below Grinch's already disappointing 5.8M total.

 

The Secret Life of Pets and Aladdin are still doing some decent business, thanks to the fact they're the only option for those kids who are too young for FFH and don't like animated toys.

 

Endgame out of the top 10, #11 with 52K (approx 1/6 of last weekend's gross). Its run is basically over, and it's been a magnificent one. No cherry on the top, though, as Alice in Wonderland will keep the 3rd place among Hollywood releases (unadjusted - Cinetel numbers) at 30.4M.

 

Dark Phoenix stops at 2.6M. Late legs were very poor.

 

This week: The Current War, Serenity, the Chinese animated movie Cats and Peachtopia...and a few other products nobody cares about. FFH will repeat at #1.

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2018/2019 SEASON

 

1 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 30.194.816 4.084.552
2 BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY 29/11/2018 GBR 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 28.930.409 4.129.960
3 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 15.121.568 2.357.488
4 ANIMALI FANTASTICI: I CRIMINI DI GRINDELWALD (FANTASTIC BEASTS: THE CRIMES OF GRINDELWALD) 15/11/2018 GBR WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 12.784.922 1.828.799
5 HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 3: UNA VACANZA MOSTRUOSA (HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 3: SUMMER VACATION) 22/08/2018 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 12.257.813 1.936.135
6 IL RITORNO DI MARY POPPINS (MARY POPPINS RETURNS) 20/12/2018 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 12.159.032 1.828.913
7 GLI INCREDIBILI 2 (INCREDIBLES 2) 19/09/2018 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 12.059.316 1.877.831
8 DUMBO 28/03/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 11.162.901 1.993.973
9 RALPH SPACCA INTERNET (RALPH BREAKS THE INTERNET) 01/01/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 10.847.532 1.683.207
10 AQUAMAN 01/01/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 10.765.538 1.537.278

 

The box office season starts in August and ends in July (kind of like a school year). Everything is pretty much settled, outside of Far From Home's placement (most likely scenario is between I2 and Dumbo).

Outside the top 10, we find Captain Marvel at #11 (10.24M) and Green Book at #12 (10.002M). The latter, though, is above Aquaman (and thus in the top 10 chart) when it comes to admissions (1.603.000).

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Yeah great Monday overall!

 

1 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 618.177 97.133
2 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 106.043 18.074
3 ANNABELLE 3 (ANNABELLE COMES HOME) 03/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 103.352 16.299
4 DOMINO 11/07/2019 DNK EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 24.742 4.412
5 PETS 2 - VITA DA ANIMALI (THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS 2) 06/06/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 19.858 3.350
6 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 13.602 2.212
7 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 11.479 1.748
8 ARRIVEDERCI PROFESSORE (THE PROFESSOR) 20/06/2019 USA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 10.503 1.629
9 WELCOME HOME 11/07/2019 USA ALTRE STORIE € 9.903 1.765
10 RESTIAMO AMICI 04/07/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 9.343 1.395

 

Some of the drops are just bonkers. Annabelle dropped just 20% from Sunday!

 

Edit: oh, and Endgame is back in the top 10!

Edited by Omni
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16/07/19 (Tuesday)

 

1 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 494.721 81.365
2 ANNABELLE 3 (ANNABELLE COMES HOME) 03/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 84.950 14.331
3 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 76.943 13.917
4 DOMINO 11/07/2019 DNK EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 22.173 4.114
5 NUREYEV - THE WHITE CROW 27/06/2019 GBR EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 11.424 1.946
6 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 10.669 1.724
7 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 10.457 1.828
8 PETS 2 - VITA DA ANIMALI (THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS 2) 06/06/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 9.941 1.864
9 RESTIAMO AMICI 04/07/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 9.855 1.485
10 ARRIVEDERCI PROFESSORE (THE PROFESSOR) 20/06/2019 USA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 8.917 1.508

 

Annabelle and Endgame are really having amazing weekdays!

And this is a solid hold for Far From Home, too, considering the weather change. Tomorrow it will kick HTTYD3 out of the yearly top 10.

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12 hours ago, Omni said:

7 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 10.457 1.828

So this is probably great for a movie being in cinemas for nearly two months now? If this could have had Marvels bad weather :wub:

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Definitely! Puts it at the end of July and it may beat Beauty and the Beast!

If Lion King is well received AND we get a rainy end of the summer (it opens on August 21st) I'm not sure if Endgame is safe for #1 of the year. It has 3 summer weeks all to itself.

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17/07/19 (Wednesday)

 

1 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 478.807 83.345
2 ANNABELLE 3 (ANNABELLE COMES HOME) 03/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 79.001 14.327
3 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 77.888 14.867
4 DOMINO 11/07/2019 DNK EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 23.953 5.634
5 PETS 2 - VITA DA ANIMALI (THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS 2) 06/06/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 11.740 2.162
6 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 11.091 1.975
7 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 10.704 1.880
8 NUREYEV - THE WHITE CROW 27/06/2019 GBR EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 9.750 1.792
9 ARRIVEDERCI PROFESSORE (THE PROFESSOR) 20/06/2019 USA NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 8.576 1.587
10 RESTIAMO AMICI 04/07/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 7.744 1.247

 

Another solid day for Spider Man, whose total is now approaching the 7M mark (6.91). We get good weather this weekend, so I'd expect something like 360K Thu / 375K Fri / 550K Sat / 450K Sun // 1.75-1.80M weekend (low 50's drop for an 8.7M total). The film is pretty good (saw it yesterday) so I hope it does a little better than that.

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4 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

What are some typical 2nd weekend multis here? Unless legs are shorter than DOM seems like that weekend keeps Hancock/SS very reachable.

Typically a SH may count on adding 2/2.5x its 2nd weekend (2nd weekend hold is often the strongest here, and certainly not like DOM). That would give Spider Man a total around Aquaman's 10.75. But it's summer, so weekdays increase the multiplier, and also as fabiopazzo mentioned it has very little competition (MI4 is coming, but it certainly doesn't look like a big threat). I would still put it around Civil War's number (low 11's), so a bit below Hancock/SS, for high temperatures are coming back in full force next week.

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18/07/19 (Thursday)

 

1 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 334.071 52.134
2 SERENITY 29/06/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 73.208 11.764
3 EDISON - L'UOMO CHE ILLUMINO' IL MONDO (THE CURRENT WAR) 18/07/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 66.992 12.080
4 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 52.228 8.934
5 ANNABELLE 3 (ANNABELLE COMES HOME) 03/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 50.644 7.756
6 BIRBA - MICIO COMBINAGUAI (CATS AND PEACHTOPIA) 18/07/2019 CHN NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 14.225 2.500
7 DOMINO 11/07/2019 DNK EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 12.140 2.291
8 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 6.874 1.140
9 PETS 2 - VITA DA ANIMALI (THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS 2) 06/06/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 5.579 943
10 NUREYEV - THE WHITE CROW 27/06/2019 GBR EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 4.405 702

 

Below 5/10% what I was expecting for FFH, but it has been an overall weak Thursday. Decent starts for Serenity and Edison. Chinese animated movie Cats and Peachtopia's start was weak (nobody could possibly think at a debut in the top 5) but strong enough to damage Aladdin and Pets 2 (and obviously the latter more than the former).

 

10 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 7.271.303 1.080.365

Parket and MJ enter the top 10 of the year. they will be #8 by today but it will take awhile to get to #7 (Green Book, 10.00M).

 

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19/07/19 (Friday)

 

1 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 317.988 48.020
2 EDISON - L'UOMO CHE ILLUMINO' IL MONDO (THE CURRENT WAR) 18/07/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 78.523 14.058
3 SERENITY 29/06/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 75.865 12.017
4 ANNABELLE 3 (ANNABELLE COMES HOME) 03/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 50.329 7.380
5 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 48.207 7.866
6 DOMINO 11/07/2019 DNK EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 14.196 2.702
7 BIRBA - MICIO COMBINAGUAI (CATS AND PEACHTOPIA) 18/07/2019 CHN NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 13.225 2.284
8 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 8.221 1.334
9 NUREYEV - THE WHITE CROW 27/06/2019 GBR EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 7.980 1.247
10 PETS 2 - VITA DA ANIMALI (THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS 2) 06/06/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 5.566 921

 

Among movies not aimed for adults, only Aladdin managed an increase.

Spider Man's hold is not bad in relative terms, but in absolute terms it's not a good situation. It dropped from Thursday and it's down 60% from its first Friday. At this point it will be very very difficult to even achieve a sub-55% drop over the weekend. Suicide Squad definitely out of reach, true target is Aquaman (10.75).

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Saturday - garbage edition

 

1 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 417.755 57.919
2 SERENITY 29/06/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 119.899 17.511
3 EDISON - L'UOMO CHE ILLUMINO' IL MONDO (THE CURRENT WAR) 18/07/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 118.454 19.877
4 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 75.224 11.126
5 ANNABELLE 3 (ANNABELLE COMES HOME) 03/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 69.204 9.311
6 BIRBA - MICIO COMBINAGUAI (CATS AND PEACHTOPIA) 18/07/2019 CHN NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 25.339 4.004
7 DOMINO 11/07/2019 DNK EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 19.819 3.579
8 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 13.122 1.818
9 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 12.871 2.061
10 PETS 2 - VITA DA ANIMALI (THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS 2) 06/06/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 12.227 1.813

 

Terribly low increases.

Far From Home is collapsing, TS4 keeps having weak holds and MI4 will most likely do poor numbers. So let's just wait the F&F spinoff opens in 3 weeks. Until then it's a borefest.

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