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Peeta Tong Karanasios

Maleficent OS Thread

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Disclaimer: prediction is based on similar movie chosen by me. Differences are in comparison between the two movies, not absolute guests.Similar: Oz TGaP 235 dom + 260 osKey differencesDisney's "Frozen effect" +10%Jolie boost +20% dom +35% osLesser knows characters -10% (os only)Too much dark for kids -5%No James Franco -10%Supporting role actress - 5%Elle Fanning dislike -5%Maleficent Dom 260 Os 290Other: Disney marketing effect is unpredictable: lacking (like Tangled) -10% or standard + 0% or good + 10% or masterpiece (like Frozen) + 25%I think good, so have a Final prediction to 285 dom and 325 os total 610 ww

 

 

285:325 for a European fairytale with real starpower (Jolie) in it?

 

I think more like 170:340

170 Dom would be bad for Disney, that had its best momentum since 90's, for a good job it needs at least the same gross of oz. Other I had understimated frozen's effect: in every news and rewiew regarding Maleficent latest disney's animated is cited.

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170 Dom would be bad for Disney, that had its best momentum since 90's, for a good job it needs at least the same gross of oz. Other I had understimated frozen's effect: in every news and rewiew regarding Maleficent latest disney's animated is cited.

I doubt it will go much over 200 DOM, but chances are it will make twice that OS

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Holy cow. This is a monster debut in Italy, no?

Spring 2014 4-days opening

 

Movie Date Gross Adm   Ticket AVG

THE AMAZING SPIDER-MAN 2 (5 days) 27/04/2014 € 4.582.140 621.518  € 7,37

CAPTAIN AMERICA - THE WINTER SOLDIER  30/03/2014 € 2.955.437 411.315  € 7,19

RIO 2 27/04/2014 € 2.858.195 438.427  € 6,52

NOAH   13/04/2014 € 2.665.566 367.866  € 7,25

GODZILLA   18/05/2014 € 2.591.637 430.264  € 6,02

300: RISE OF AN EMPIRE   09/03/2014 € 2.435.966 310.777  € 7,84

X-MEN: DAYS OF FUTURE PAST   25/05/2014 € 2.342.725 322.016  € 7,28

 

It could pass TASM2 (5-days) today, also have a monday holiday to pass 6M€: if so happen it's a very good start, but not monster.

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MALEFICENT hit $100M+ overseas this wknd: MEX ($13.4M) RUS ($11.5M) UK ($11M) ITA ($6.4M) BRZ ($5.4M) GER ($5.2M)11:37 PM - 1 Jun 2014

So I tried comparing these numbers to the OW numbers of Oz and Snow White from BOM and they were a lot bigger (especially UK and Mexico), with the exception being Oz's Russian OW. Hopefully it can go past 400M OS.
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So I tried comparing these numbers to the OW numbers of Oz and Snow White from BOM and they were a lot bigger (especially UK and Mexico), with the exception being Oz's Russian OW. Hopefully it can go past 400M OS.

 

It's difficult to compare them since they didn't open in the same markets.  Maleficent has yet to open in China and Japan, for example and Jolie is massive in Japan.  If it ever breaks out there, then Japan + China could bring in $150m - $200m more...

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It's difficult to compare them since they didn't open in the same markets.  Maleficent has yet to open in China and Japan, for example and Jolie is massive in Japan.  If it ever breaks out there, then Japan + China could bring in $150m - $200m more...

I just compared the individual market breakdown by OW listed on the post to that of Oz and Snow White, and not their respective OW OS totals.
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