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baumer

BSG: Congratulations to FILM!

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What do you think kitik talks about in his secret councils of state, TDKR? He gets out his linear programming charts, statistical decision theories, minimax solutions, and computes the price-cost probabilities of his predictions and guesstimations, just like we do.

 

 

Lol.

 

For the record, I did in fact put some work into winning the game last year, I didn't just stumble into it via blind luck. I spent a lot of time looking at all sorts of numbers before coming up with what I felt were the best answers.

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How about a question after May 1 along the lines of:

 

Of the current wide releases, which one is most likely to change it's release date (by more than 7 days)?

 

No negative points for getting it wrong, just bonus points for anyone who can guess which movie is most likely to get delayed until winter for various GIJoe or Sin City or Frankenstein or whatever reasons.

 

I added in the 7 days qualifier because surely some movies will move forward by a few days (and some may delay by a week too.) Maybe it should be 1 month instead of 7 days.

 

Can't really ask that question now though, since some movies may already move before May 1.

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Top 15

1. How to Train Your Dragon 2 - $355M

2. Godzilla - $288m

3. Transformers: Age of Extinction- $282m

4. X-Men: Days of Future Past - $275m

5. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - $237m

6. Maleficent - $226m

7. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 - $218m

8. Neighbors- $165m

9. Guardians of the Galaxy - $160m

10. 22 Jump Street - $152m

11. Tammy - $144m

12. Get on Up - $120m

13. Deliver Us From Evil - $117m

14. Planes: Fire and Rescue - $110m

15. The Fault in Our Stars - $108m

 

16. Hercules- $104m

17. A Million Ways to Die in the West - $98m

 

 

Worldwide Top 10

1. Transformers Age Of Extinction - $1.12b2. How to Train Your Dragon 2- $950m

3. Godzilla - $875m

4. X-Men: Days of Future Past - $745m

5. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 - $715m6. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - $700m

7. Maleficent - $645m

8. Guardians of the Galaxy - $435m9. Hercules - $350m

10. Edge of Tomorrow - $310m 

Top Opening Weekends Worldwide1. Transformers: Age of Extinction - $250m

2. X-Men: Days of Future Past - $180m

3. Godzilla - $175m

4. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 - $160m

5. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - $130m

 

Top Opening Weekends Domestic

1. Transformers 4 - $118m

2. X-Men: Days of Future Past - $98m

3. How to Train Your Dragon 2 - $94m

4. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 -$92m

5. Godzilla - $88m

6. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - $77m

7. Maleficent - $75m

 

Lowest Grossing Films Of Summer

1. The Fluffy Movie - $2m

2. The Rover - $7m

3. Let's Be Cops - $9m

4. Into the Storm - $12m

5. Legends of Oz - $15m

 

 

 

Preseason Bonus Questions

BONUS 1:

Legends of Oz - $15m

 

BONUS 2:

Maleficent - $228m

 

BONUS 3:

How to Train Your Dragon 2 - $590m

 

Triple Bonus Questions

1. ABSTAIN

2. YES

3. YES

4. YES

5. YES

6. YES

7. YES

8. YES

9. ABSTAIN

10.  X-Men: Days of Future Past, Dawn of the Planet of the Apes, Hercules, The Fluffy Movie, Purge 2

11. ABSTAIN

12. NO

13. YES

14. NO

15. YES

 

16. TASM Bonus

1. NO2. NO3. YES4. NO

 

17. Horror Bonus

1. YES

2. YES

3. ABSTAIN

4. YES

 

18. Comedy Bonus

1. Neighbors

2. 22 Jump Street

3. Tammy

4. A Million Ways to Die in the West

 

19.

1) How many films will gross at least 100 million dollars this summer? 16

2) How many films will gross at least 650 mill WW this summer? 7

3) What will be the total gross for the top 4 films in August? 440m

4) How many films will gross at least 80 million OW? 6

5) Will any film gross at least 35 mill in Brazil? NO

6) Will any horror film make 200 mill WW YES

7) Will any film gross 20 million in Spain? NO

8) What will be the fourth highest grossing film of May? TASM2

9) Will Snowpiercer gross more than 30 million? YES

10) Will TASM2 have a better Thursday than Captain America 2? YES

11) Will Jupiter Ascending make more than 80 million? NO

12) How many 1 billion dollar WW films will there be this summer? 1

13) Will Tammy gross at least half of what Captain 2, ASM2 or X-men DOFP does? YES

14) Will Hercules make more than 70 million? YES

15) Will Lucy make more than 60 million? YES

16) What film finishes second in gross out of the August films? Get On Up

17) Will Michael Bay's films gross more than 400 mill domestic? YES

18) Will frank Miller's Sin City open higher than Expendables 3? NO

19) Will the Fluffy Movie gross at least 15 mill? NO

20) How many films will open to at least 50 million? 10

 

20.

1) Which comedy will open the highest? 22 Jump Street

2) Will any two comedies combine to open with more than 60 million? YES

3) Which film will finish with the lowest total? Sex Tape

4) Will any film have a multiplier of more than 5.75? NO

5) Will any film have a multiplier of less than 3.3? YES

6) How many of these films will open to number one on the weekend? 1

7) Will any film make more than 150 mill internationally? YES

8) Will any film have a first Monday drop of less than 51%? YES

9) Will any film have a first Tuesday increase of more than 15.5%? YES

10) Will any film that opens after June 14th have a second Friday increase of more than 90%? YES

11) Will a sequel be the highest grossing film of all these comedies? NO

12) Will any film make more than 18 million in Russia? NO

13) Will any film make more than 20 mill in the UK? YES

14) Will any film have a second weekend drop of less than 40% YES

15) Which films will combine to have the highest total gross? 22 Jump Street, Tammy, Million Ways

Edited by MovieMan89
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Is it too late to reserve? :lol:

Top 15:

    [*]How to Train Your Dragon 2: $364.47 million [*]Transformers - Age of Extinction: $305.66 million [*]Godzilla: $272.26 million [*]Dawn of the Planet of the Apes: $237.93 million [*]The Amazing Spider-Man 2: $223.07 million [*]X-Men - Days of Future Past: $206.74 million [*]Maleficent: $194.31 million [*]Guardians of the Galaxy: $190.78 million [*]Neighbors: $183.72 million [*]The Fault in Our Stars: $175.21 million [*]Get on Up: $154.83 million  [*]22 Jump Street: $148.17 million [*]Tammy: $131.34 million [*]Planes - Fire and Rescue: $122.04 million [*]Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: $112.62 million [*]Edge of Tomorrow: $105.31 million [*]Lucy: $100.48 million [*]Jupiter Ascending: $94.86 million  [*]Think Like a Man Too: $86.51 million [*]Let's Be Cops: $82.43 million 

International Flairs:

#1 -
Top 10 WW:

    [*]Transformers - Age of Extinction: $1.02 billion [*]How to Train Your Dragon 2: $876.4 million [*]Godzilla: $831.2 million [*]The Amazing Spider-Man 2: $658.7 million [*]Dawn of the Planet of the Apes: $653.1 million [*]Maleficent: $504.8 million [*]X-Men - Days of Future Past: $428.4 million [*]Jupiter Ascending: $392.6 million [*]Guardians of the Galaxy: $363.7 million [*]Edge of Tomorrow: $311.0 million

#2-

    [*]Transformers - Age of Extinction: $324.2 million [*]Godzilla: $195.6 million [*]The Amazing Spider-Man 2: $192.7 million [*]How to Train Your Dragon 2: $163.1 million [*]Dawn of the Planet of the Apes: $137.8 million

Top Domestic Opening Weekends:

    [*]Transformers - Age of Extinction: $103.44 million [*]Godzilla: $97.13 mlilion [*]The Amazing Spider-Man 2: $92.87 million [*]How to Train Your Dragon 2: $86.74 million [*]X-Men - Days of Future Past: $80.55 million/$102.14 million 4 day [*]Dawn of the Planet of the Apes: $79.43 million [*]Maleficent: $67.42 million [*]Guardians of the Galaxy: $58.02 million [*]22 Jump Street: $52.31 million [*]The Fault in Our Stars: $44.82 million

5 Lowest Grossing Films of Summer:

    [*]And So It Goes [*]The Loft [*]Legend of Oz: Dorothy's Return [*]Mom's Night Out [*]When the Game Stands Tall

3 Bonus Questions:

    [*]Legend of Oz: Dorothy's Return: $8 million [*]Maleficent: $195 million [*]How to Train Your Dragon 2: $485 million

Triple Bonus:

    [*]No [*]Yes [*]Yes [*]Yes [*]Yes [*]Yes [*]No [*]Yes [*]Yes [*]#3 [*]Yes [*]No [*]Yes [*]No [*]Yes

ASM Bonus:

    [*]No [*]No [*]No [*]No

Horror Bonus:

    [*]No [*]No [*]No [*]No

Comedy Bonus:

    [*]Tammy: $131 million [*]22 Jump Street: $148 million [*]Neighbors: $183 million [*]Next best - Think Like a Man Too: $85 million

Question 19:

1. 18
2. 4
3. $535 million
4. 6
5. Yes
6. No
7. Yes
8. Neighbors
9. No
10. Yes
11. Yes
12. 1
13. Yes
14. No
15. Yes
16. Get on Up
17. Yes
18. No
19. Yes
20. 8

 

Question 20: 

    [*]22 Jump Street [*]Yes [*]Blended [*]No [*]Yes [*]1  [*]No [*]Yes [*]Yes [*]No [*]No  [*]No [*]No [*]Yes [*]A. $420 million between the 3

Edited by mahnamahna
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Here are the films listed as wide this year...only these films count for top 15 and preseason.  Now keep in mind, this list will be updated right up until May 2nd.  So there may be films that are listed as going wide in the future that are not listed as such yet.  But as of today, here are the films that are wide and part of the game.

Here are all the films that qualify as wide releases for this summer.  This is all according to boxofficemojo.com.  Nothing against Shawn and our home site, but I have been using Mojo for this part of the game since the beginning and I don't like change.

The Amazing Spider-man 2

Chef

Legend of Oz:  Dorothy's Return

Mom's Night Out

Neighbors

Godzilla 

Million Dollar Arm

Blended

X-Men: Days of Future Past

Maleficent

A Million Ways to Die in the West

Edge of Tomorrow

Fault in our Stars

22 Jump Street

How to Train your Dragon 2

The Rover

Jersey Boys

Think Like a Man Too

Transformers Age of Extinction

Deliver us From Evil

Earth to Echo

Tammy

And So It Goes

Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

The Fluffy Movie

Jupiter Ascending

Planes: Fire and Rescue

The Purge: Anarchy

Hercules

Sex Tape

Step Up: All In

Get on Up

Guardians of the Galaxy

The Hundred Foot Journey

Into the Storm

Lucy

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

As Above, So Below

Expendables 3

The Giver

Let's be Cops

Frank Miller's Sin City: A Dame to Kill For

If I Stay

When the Game Stands Tall

Jane Got a Gun

Jessabelle

The Loft

Underdogs

Snowpiercer (not listed as wide yet but it will be, I'm pretty sure).

 

 

Already a change: Chef is no longer listed as a wide release.

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This year is my first time. Time to show some skills. :angry:

Top 15

 

Worldwide Top 10

 

Top Opening Weekends Worldwide
 

Top Opening Weekends Domestic

 

Lowest Grossing Films Of Summer

 

Preseason Bonus Questions

1)
2) Maleficent
3) How To Train Your Dragon 2
 

Triple Bonus Questions

1) yes
2) yes
3) yes
4) yes
5) no
6) no
7) no
8) no
9) yes
10)
11) yes
12) nope
13) yes
14) yes
15) no
 

TASM Bonus Questions

1) yes
2) yes
3) yes
4) yes

Horror Questions

1) yes
2) no
3) no
4) yes

Commedy Question

May:
June:
July:

Edited by Charism
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